Queen's Vase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 1546 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Queen's Vase will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Queen's Vase, a race run over 1m6f at Ascot during the Royal Ascot.

Queen's Vase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Queen's Vase Preview

Established in 1838, the Queen's Vase was initially run over two miles but was reduced to one mile and six furlongs in 2017. The Group 2 race is open to three-year-olds only in which any previous Group 1 winner receives a 3lb penalty whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

Queen's Vase Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Queen's Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 102%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queen's Vase, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Queen's Vase Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Queen's Vase next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +22.90. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Queen's Vase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2011 renewal when Namibian from Mark Johnston under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa, won in a time of 3:40.97, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Kew Gardens, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 3:00.89 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen's Vase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Kew Gardens (3:00.89)
  • 2022 - Eldar Eldarov (3:01.33)
  • 2017 - Stradivarius (3:01.47)

Queen's Vase Past Winners

Here are the Queen's Vase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queen's Vase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
3:03.13
Gregory (GB)
3yo 9-2 (8 of 14) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
3:01.33
Eldar Eldarov (GB)
3yo 9-2 (3 of 12) 5/2F
David Egan
Roger Varian (GB)
2021
3:04.02
Kemari (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 15/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
3:05.67
Santiago (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
3:07.86
Dashing Willoughby (GB)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 13) 6/1
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
3:00.89
Kew Gardens (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
3:01.47
Stradivarius (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 13) 11/2
Andrea Atzeni
John Gosden (GB)
2016
3:34.55
Sword Fighter (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (4 of 18) 33/1
Colm O'Donoghue
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
3:28.40
Aloft (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (12 of 13) 5/2F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014
3:24.73
Hartnell (GB)
3yo 9-3 (2 of 10) 7/2
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen's Vase have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 30 placings from 185 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 10 placings from 59 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Queen's Vase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen's Vase over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Mahler (2007), Mikhail Glinka (2010), Leading Light (2013), Aloft (2015), Sword Fighter (2016), Kew Gardens (2018) and Santiago (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Queen's Vase are Mark Johnston (5 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Queen's Vase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 32-7-15 +27.41 +12.23
Mark Johnston 28-5-7 -1.00 -6.60
Sir Michael Stoute 7-2-3 -0.50 -1.00
Andrew Balding 14-1-4 -7.00 -5.80
John Gosden 12-1-4 -5.50 -0.76
Charlie Appleby 9-1-4 -0.50 +0.50
John & Thady Gosden 6-1-2 -4.00 -2.70
Saeed bin Suroor 5-1-3 +0.50 +1.60
Roger Varian 3-1-1 +0.50 -0.50
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00

Queen's Vase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen's Vase over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Patkai (2008), Estimate (2012), Aloft (2015), Kew Gardens (2018) and Santiago (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Queen's Vase are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and Joe Fanning (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Queen's Vase, Jamie Spencer has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queen's Vase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 17-5-9 +1.66 +1.88
Frankie Dettori 12-2-4 -4.50 -3.80
Joe Fanning 9-2-3 +3.50 +0.40
William Buick 11-1-5 -2.50 +0.04
Silvestre De Sousa 7-1-1 -2.50 -3.90
Oisin Murphy 6-1-4 +1.00 +2.20
Andrea Atzeni 4-1-2 +2.50 +2.40
David Egan 2-1-1 +1.50 +0.50
Jamie Spencer 11-0-1 -11.00 -10.25
James Doyle 7-0-3 -7.00 -2.85

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 9, 2, 4, 1, 12, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 4, 7, 9, 4, 2, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Carried 124 - 135lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved a TS of 41+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m4f
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran over 7f - 1m4f (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest ran 1mf - 1m4½f
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in FRA/ITA/SCO/UAE/WAL (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 126 - 131lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m4½f (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - Were not geldings
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Previously won on turf

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queen's Vase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Queen's Vase by adding a tip on the race here.

Queen's Vase Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 season places, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-37.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 8 (4,7) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (6,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (5,12) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (2,4) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (12,8) [13 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Queen's Vase are Lingfield, Epsom, Chester and Haydock, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 222 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 24 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen's Vase:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Authorized (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen's Vase despite multiple attempts:

  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • New Approach (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sword Fighter in 2016, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Queen's Vase.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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