Queen's Vase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Delve into the Queen's Vase, examining the records of top trainers and jockeys. Analyse past winners to identify trends in this historic staying race for three-year-olds.
Queen's Vase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2026 Queen's Vase Preview

Established in 1838, the Queen's Vase was initially run over two miles but was reduced to one mile and six furlongs in 2017.

The Group 2 race is open to three-year-olds only, in which any previous Group 1 winner receives a 3lb penalty, whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

Queen's Vase Information:

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Queen's Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 102%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queen's Vase, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Queen's Vase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Queen's Vase Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Queen's Vase races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Carmers (2:59.53) in 2025
  2. Illinois (3:00.57) in 2024
  3. Kew Gardens (3:00.89) in 2018

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Queen's Vase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +22.90. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Queen's Vase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:59.53 was set by Carmers in 2025, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by P Twomey and ridden by W J Lee. The slowest winning time was set in 2011 when Namibian won in a time of 3:40.97, booked to ride was Silvestre De Sousa by trainer Mark Johnston.

What the expert says...
<p>The four winners between 2021-24 went on to either run in the Grand Prix de Paris (x2) or the Great Voltigeur (x2) and since 2006, eight in total have gone to those races, however, the five going to the Great Voltigeur are winless whilst Kew Gardens (2018) won in France.</p>

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Queen's Vase Past Winners

Here are the Queen's Vase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Queen's Vase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
2:59.53
Carmers (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (4 of 13) 9/2
W J Lee
P Twomey (IRE)
2024
3:00.57
Illinois (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (5 of 11) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2023
3:03.13
Gregory (GB)
3yo 9-2 (8 of 14) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
3:01.33
Eldar Eldarov (GB)
3yo 9-2 (3 of 12) 5/2F
David Egan
Roger Varian (GB)
2021
3:04.02
Kemari (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 15/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
3:05.67
Santiago (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
3:07.86
Dashing Willoughby (GB)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 13) 6/1
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2018
3:00.89
Kew Gardens (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 100/30
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
3:01.47
Stradivarius (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 13) 11/2
Andrea Atzeni
John Gosden (GB)
2016
3:34.55
Sword Fighter (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (4 of 18) 33/1
Colm O'Donoghue
A P O'Brien (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queen's Vase have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 30 placings from 184 runners
  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 10 placings from 63 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

2025 Queen's Vase Replay


Queen's Vase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queen's Vase over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race eight times, with those eight winners coming from Mahler (2007), Mikhail Glinka (2010), Leading Light (2013), Aloft (2015), Sword Fighter (2016), Kew Gardens (2018), Santiago (2020) and Illinois (2024). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Queen's Vase is Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Queen's Vase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien35-8-16+27.16+11.33
Sir Michael Stoute7-2-3-0.50-1.00
Andrew Balding16-1-5-9.00-5.30
John Gosden10-1-4-3.50+1.24
Charlie Appleby9-1-4-0.50+0.50
John & Thady Gosden8-1-2-6.00-4.70
Roger Varian4-1-2-0.50-0.10
P Twomey1-1-1+4.50+2.70
Joseph Patrick O'Brien8-0-0-8.00-8.00
Ralph Beckett5-0-0-5.00-5.00

Queen's Vase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queen's Vase over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Patkai (2008), Estimate (2012), Aloft (2015), Kew Gardens (2018), Santiago (2020) and Illinois (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Queen's Vase is Joe Fanning (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Queen's Vase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore19-6-10+2.41+1.93
Joe Fanning8-2-3+4.50+1.40
William Buick13-1-5-4.50-1.96
Frankie Dettori11-1-3-9.00-6.50
Oisin Murphy8-1-5-1.00+2.70
Silvestre De Sousa8-1-2-3.50-3.50
Andrea Atzeni4-1-2+2.50+2.40
David Egan4-1-1-0.50-1.50
W J Lee1-1-1+4.50+2.70
Jim Crowley9-0-0-9.00-9.00

Queen's Vase Trend Analysis

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £3k when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-35.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 4 (2,10) [13 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 5 (2,7) [11 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 8 (4,7) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (6,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (5,12) [13 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Queen's Vase are Chester, Epsom, Lingfield and Haydock; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 228 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 22 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queen's Vase:

  • Galileo (6 Wins)
  • Authorized (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queen's Vase despite multiple attempts:

  • Frankel (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • New Approach (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sword Fighter in 2016, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Queen's Vase, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Queen's Vase

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Queen's Vase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Carmers
Navan - 1st of 7 (6/4)
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Yeats Stakes
2024 - Illinois
Lingfield - 2nd of 9 (6/4)
William Hill Lingfield Derby Trial Stakes
2023 - Gregory
Goodwood - 1st of 6 (4/7)
British EBF 40th Anniversary Cocked Hat Stakes
2022 - Eldar Eldarov
Newcastle (AW) - 1st of 14 (6/4)
Gainford Group Novice Stakes
2021 - Kemari
Yarmouth - 1st of 11 (5/4)
QuinnBet Maiden Stakes
2020 - Santiago
Listowel - 1st of 14 (1/2)
Tote Ireland Irish EBF Median Auction Maiden
2019 - Dashing Willoughby
Chester - 3rd of 7 (11/2)
Chester Vase
2018 - Kew Gardens
Epsom - 9th of 12 (16/1)
Epsom Derby
2017 - Stradivarius
Chester - 2nd of 8 (1/1)
Sporting Index Handicap
2016 - Sword Fighter
Naas - 3rd of 4 (5/2)
Tipper Road Race

Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Anne Stakes
Docklands (GB)
5yo - 14/1
Harry Eustace
Mark Zahra
15:05 Royal Ascot
Coventry Stakes
Gstaad (GB)
2yo - 7/2
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:40 Royal Ascot
King Charles III Stakes
American Affair (GB)
5yo - 11/1
Jim Goldie
Paul Mulrennan
16:20 Royal Ascot
St James's Palace Stakes
Field Of Gold (IRE)
3yo - 8/11
John & Thady Gosden
Colin Keane
17:00 Royal Ascot
Ascot Stakes
Ascending (IRE)
6yo - 20/1
Henry De Bromhead
W J Lee
17:35 Royal Ascot
Wolferton Stakes
Haatem (IRE)
4yo - 8/1
Richard Hannon
James Doyle
18:10 Royal Ascot
Copper Horse Stakes
French Master (IRE)
4yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
James Doyle

Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Mary Stakes
True Love (IRE)
2yo - 9/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Queen's Vase
Carmers (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
P Twomey
W J Lee
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Crimson Advocate (USA)
4yo - 13/2
John & Thady Gosden
James McDonald
16:20 Royal Ascot
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Ombudsman (IRE)
4yo - 7/1
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
17:00 Royal Ascot
Royal Hunt Cup
My Cloud (IRE)
4yo - 3/1
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa
17:35 Royal Ascot
Kensington Palace Stakes
Miss Information (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
18:10 Royal Ascot
Windsor Castle Stakes
Havana Hurricane (GB)
2yo - 7/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop

Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Norfolk Stakes
Charles Darwin (IRE)
2yo - 8/13
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
King George V Stakes
Merchant (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
15:40 Royal Ascot
Ribblesdale Stakes
Garden Of Eden (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Ascot Gold Cup
Trawlerman (IRE)
7yo - 85/40
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
17:00 Royal Ascot
Britannia Stakes
Arabian Story (IRE)
3yo - 15/2
Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy
17:35 Royal Ascot
Hampton Court Stakes
Trinity College (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
18:10 Royal Ascot
Buckingham Palace Stakes
Never So Brave (IRE)
4yo - 4/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy

Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Albany Stakes
Venetian Sun (IRE)
2yo - 7/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
15:05 Royal Ascot
Commonwealth Cup
Time For Sandals (IRE)
3yo - 25/1
Harry Eustace
Richard Kingscote
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Ethical Diamond (IRE)
5yo - 3/1
W P Mullins
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Coronation Stakes
Cercene (IRE)
3yo - 33/1
Joseph G Murphy
Gary Carroll
17:00 Royal Ascot
Sandringham Stakes
Never Let Go (GB)
3yo - 22/1
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
17:35 Royal Ascot
King Edward VII Stakes
Amiloc (GB)
3yo - 11/8
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
18:10 Royal Ascot
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Adrestia (GB)
3yo - 10/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy

Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Chesham Stakes
Humidity (GB)
2yo - 4/1
Andrew Balding
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes
Rebels Romance (IRE)
7yo - 6/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:40 Royal Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Lazzat (FR)
4yo - 9/2
J Reynier
James Doyle
16:20 Royal Ascot
Jersey Stakes
Noble Champion (IRE)
3yo - 25/1
Ed Walker
Kieran Shoemark
17:00 Royal Ascot
Wokingham Stakes
Get It (GB)
7yo - 28/1
George Baker
Seamie Heffernan
17:35 Royal Ascot
Golden Gates Stakes
Quai De Bethune (FR)
3yo - 12/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
18:10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Sober (FR)
6yo - 4/5
W P Mullins
Ryan Moore

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Queen's Vase Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster Competition Assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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