2022 Queens Vase Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jun 2, 2:34pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:39pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 782 Views

2022 Queens Vase Preview

Established in 1838, the Queen's Vase was initially run over two miles but was reduced to one mile and six furlongs in 2017. The Group 2 race is open to three-year-olds only in which any previous Group 1 winner receives a 3lb penalty whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance. This is a good race to follow the winner next time out with 7 of the last 10 winners have gone on to win again next time out.

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the A P O'Brien trained Kew Gardens ridden by Ryan Moore who has set the fastest winning time in the Queens Vase, the runner won the race in a time of 3:00.89 that was set when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Mark Johnston and jockey Silvestre De Sousa with Namibian who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:40.97 in the 2011 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Queens Vase over the last 20 renewals:

2018 - Kew Gardens (3:00.89)
2017 - Stradivarius (3:01.47)
2021 - Kemari (3:04.02)

How competitive is the Queens Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 102%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Queens Vase, the over-round has been 119% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Queens Vase next time out then you would have back a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +22.90. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Queens Vase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Queens Vase Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Queens Vase. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Queens Vase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2021 3:04.02	Kemari 3yo 9-0 (3 of 13) 15/2	William Buick Charlie Appleby
2020 3:05.67	Santiago 3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 100/30	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien
2019 3:07.86	Dashing Willoughby 3yo 9-0 (6 of 13) 6/1	Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding
2018 3:00.89	Kew Gardens 3yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 100/30	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien
2017 3:01.47	Stradivarius 3yo 9-0 (9 of 13) 11/2	Andrea Atzeni John Gosden
2016 3:34.55	Sword Fighter 3yo 9-3 (4 of 18) 33/1	Colm O'Donoghue A P O'Brien
2015 3:28.40	Aloft 3yo 9-3 (12 of 13) 5/2F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien
2014 3:24.73	Hartnell 3yo 9-3 (2 of 10) 7/2	Joe Fanning Mark Johnston
2013 3:25.26	Leading Light 3yo 9-4 (5 of 15) 5/4F	Joseph O'Brien A P O'Brien
2012 3:34.05	Estimate 3yo 8-12 (8 of 10) 3/1F	Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Queens Vase have been based:

GB: 13 winners with an additional 28 placings from 185 runners
IRE: 7 winners with an additional 12 placings from 58 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Queens Vase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Queens Vase over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Mahler (2007), Mikhail Glinka (2010), Leading Light (2013), Aloft (2015), Sword Fighter (2016), Kew Gardens (2018) & Santiago (2020). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Queens Vase are Mark Johnston (6 wins), Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins) & Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Queens Vase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	31-7-15	+28.41	+13.23
Mark Johnston	29-6-8	+2.50	-4.50
Saeed bin Suroor	7-2-4	+8.50	+6.00
Sir Michael Stoute	7-2-3	-0.50	-1.00
John Gosden	13-1-4	-6.50	-1.76
Andrew Balding	11-1-3	-4.00	-4.30
Charlie Appleby	7-1-3	+1.50	+1.10
David Elsworth	8-0-0	-8.00	-8.00
Brian Meehan	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00
D K Weld	5-0-1	-5.00	-3.95

Queens Vase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Queens Vase over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Patkai (2008), Estimate (2012), Aloft (2015), Kew Gardens (2018) & Santiago (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Queens Vase are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) & Joe Fanning (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Queens Vase, Jamie Spencer has had a total of 12 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Queens Vase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	15-5-9	+3.66	+3.88
Frankie Dettori	12-2-4	+3.50	+1.00
Joe Fanning	9-2-3	+3.50	+0.40
William Buick	9-1-5	-0.50	+2.04
Silvestre De Sousa	7-1-1	-2.50	-3.90
Oisin Murphy	5-1-3	+2.00	+1.70
Andrea Atzeni	3-1-2	+3.50	+3.40
Jamie Spencer	12-0-1	-12.00	-11.25
Jim Crowley	7-0-0	-7.00	-7.00
James Doyle	5-0-1	-5.00	-3.30

2022 Queens Vase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,1,2,9,2,4,1,12,1,1,1,1,3,1,4,4,7,9,4,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (85%) - Never over further than 12.5l
20 / 20 (89%) - Best in 3 of at least 2nd
19 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 11/1
19 / 20 (50%) - Within first 6 of the market
19 / 20 (73%) - Won at least a Class 4
19 / 20 (77%) - Were not geldings
19 / 20 (82%) - Previously won on turf
19 / 20 (83%) - Ran in at least a Cl4 (LTO)
17 / 20 (69%) - 6-12 runner field (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Queens Vase. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Queens Vase by adding a tip on the race here.

Queens Vase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.33 is when runners had 0 starts in the past 30 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race restricted to 3yo+ when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-38.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2021: Winner in 3 (5,12) [13 Runners]
2020: Winner in 5 (2,4) [8 Runners]
2019: Winner in 6 (12,8) [13 Runners]
2018: Winner in 7 (5,6) [12 Runners]
2017: Winner in 9 (3,11) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Queens Vase is Lingfield, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Lingfield last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 224 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 22 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Queens Vase:

Galileo (5 Wins)
Authorized (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Queens Vase despite multiple attempts:

Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 13 runners)
New Approach (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Singspiel (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Sword Fighter in 2016 when winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Queens Vase.

2022 Queens Vase Preview, Trends & Analysis