Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Ascot Stakes Preview
The Ascot Stakes is one of the longest flat horse races of the season at just shy of two miles four furlongs and about two furlongs less than the longest flat race staged, the Queen Alexandra Stakes, which is the final race of Royal Ascot on the Saturday over just short of two miles six furlongs.
A valuable Royal Ascot handicap with a £100,000 purse and run over twenty furlongs, unsurprisingly attracts the attention of national hunt trainers; the last ten renewals have been won by a 'recognised' jumps trainer.
Ascot Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Ascot Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Stakes, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Ascot Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Thomas Hobson (4:17.62) in 2017
- Full House (4:18.29) in 2007
- Domination (4:20.30) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +1.75. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Jennies Jewel from Jarlath P Fahey under the guidance of Ronan Whelan, won in a time of 4:34.70, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Thomas Hobson, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 4:17.62 in the 2017 renewal.
Ascot Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 (110k) 4:21.99 | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (1 of 20) 20/1 | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2023 (100k) 4:32.05 | Ahorsewithnoname (GB) 8yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 7/1 | William Buick Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 (100k) 4:26.25 | Coltrane (IRE) 5yo 9-5 (6 of 19) 14/1 | Callum Hutchinson (5lbs) Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 (65k) 4:23.41 | Reshoun (FR) 7yo 9-7 (3 of 19) 66/1 | William Buick Ian Williams (GB) |
| 2020 (35k) 4:27.51 | Coeur De Lion (GB) 7yo 8-10 (9 of 19) 16/1 | Thore Hammer Hansen (5lbs) Alan King (GB) |
| 2019 (90k) 4:28.34 | The Grand Visir (GB) 5yo 9-10 (18 of 19) 12/1 | Richard Kingscote Ian Williams (GB) |
| 2018 (90k) 4:31.75 | Lagostovegas (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 19) 10/1 | Andrea Atzeni W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 (80k) 4:17.62 | Thomas Hobson (GB) 7yo 9-10 (11 of 18) 4/1F | Ryan Moore W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2016 (80k) 4:34.70 | Jennies Jewel (IRE) 9yo 9-3 (2 of 20) 6/1 | Ronan Whelan Jarlath P Fahey (IRE) |
| 2015 (60k) 4:20.52 | Clondaw Warrior (IRE) 8yo 9-0 (19 of 19) 5/1F | Ryan Moore W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Stakes have been based:
- GB: 13 winners with an additional 48 placings from 326 runners
- IRE: 7 winners with an additional 13 placings from 69 runners
Ascot Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015), Thomas Hobson (2017) and Lagostovegas (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes are Nicky Henderson (2 wins) and Ian Williams (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ascot Stakes; Hughie Morrison has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 21-4-10 | +10.00 | +7.95 |
| Nicky Henderson | 20-2-5 | -5.50 | -6.74 |
| Ian Williams | 18-2-4 | +62.00 | +36.75 |
| David Pipe | 13-1-3 | -3.50 | -2.19 |
| Alan King | 11-1-4 | +6.00 | +6.13 |
| Andrew Balding | 11-1-1 | +4.00 | -1.25 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 6-1-2 | +15.00 | +10.25 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 6-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.94 |
| Paul Webber | 4-1-2 | +17.00 | +12.00 |
| A J Martin | 4-1-4 | +6.00 | +8.52 |
Ascot Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015) and Thomas Hobson (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ascot Stakes, Jamie Spencer (0-19), Frankie Dettori (0-13) and Jim Crowley (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 19-3-9 | +1.00 | +1.70 |
| William Buick | 10-2-3 | +65.00 | +38.57 |
| Luke Morris | 7-1-3 | +14.00 | +11.75 |
| Richard Kingscote | 7-1-1 | +6.00 | +1.50 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 5-1-2 | +6.00 | +4.25 |
| Ronan Whelan | 4-1-1 | +3.00 | +0.75 |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.00 |
| Sam Hitchcott | 2-1-1 | +19.00 | +11.50 |
| Callum Hutchinson | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
| Jamie Spencer | 19-0-2 | -19.00 | -16.44 |
2025 Ascot Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 2, 14, 3, 9, 4, 4, 14, 2, 5, 1, 16, 1, (4, 5), 7, 2, 5, 2, 13, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Ran over 1m6f - 2m7f (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 72+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Won is not G2-3/LST/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran in 10 - 46 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Furthest Placed 1m4f - 2m2½f
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 1 - 13 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 3 - 11 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 55+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 62+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 9 starts
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 123 - 164lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 10 - 93 days
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +28.00, is when runners ran in a Flat (Turf) race when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Flat (AW) race when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-53.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (5,11,15) [20 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (13,11,17) [19 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,5,7) [19 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (10,4,11) [19 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 9 (5,14,3) [19 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Ascot Stakes are Goodwood, Chester, Punchestown, Leopardstown and Ascot; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 360 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 35 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 23 runners)
- Sir Percy (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Authorized (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dalakhani (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Reshoun in 2021, winning for Ian Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Ascot Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Ascot Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Ascot Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Pledgeofallegiance Goodwood - 1st of 7 (11/2) | William Hill Extra Place Races Handicap |
| 2023 - Ahorsewithnoname Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (7/2) | Catesby Estates Mares Novices Hurdle |
| 2022 - Coltrane Chester - 2nd of 14 (9/2) | Chester Cup |
| 2021 - Reshoun Chester - 11th of 16 (25/1) | Chester Cup |
| 2020 - Coeur De Lion Kempton - 8th of 20 (20/1) | Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle |
| 2019 - The Grand Visir Newmarket (July) - 7th of 15 (33/1) | Bernard Sunley Memorial Handicap |
| 2018 - Lagostovegas Killarney - 3rd of 8 (11/8) | Killarney Oils Mares Hurdle |
| 2017 - Thomas Hobson Punchestown - 7th of 24 (16/1) | Punchestown Listed Handicap Hurdle |
| 2016 - Jennies Jewel Curragh - 1st of 11 (7/4) | Irish Tatler Handicap |
| 2015 - Clondaw Warrior Punchestown - 3rd of 22 (16/1) | Punchestown Listed Handicap Hurdle |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Charyn (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Roger Varian Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Rashabar (IRE) 2yo - 80/1 | Brian Meehan Billy Loughnane |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 5yo - 5/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Rosallion (IRE) 3yo - 5/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo - 20/1 | Sir Mark Prescott Bt Luke Morris |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Israr (GB) 5yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden Jim Crowley |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Belloccio (FR) 6yo - 4/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Leovanni (IRE) 2yo - 22/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Illinois (IRE) 3yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Running Lion (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 4yo - 13/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Wild Tiger (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Saeed bin Suroor Oisin Murphy |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Doha (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Ralph Beckett Hector Crouch |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | Aint Nobody (IRE) 2yo - 5/1 | Kevin Ryan Jamie Spencer |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Shareholder (USA) 2yo - 12/1 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Going The Distance (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Port Fairy (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Mickley (IRE) 3yo - 15/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Jayarebe (FR) 3yo - 7/1 | Brian Meehan Sean Levey |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | English Oak (GB) 4yo - 100/30 | Ed Walker James Doyle |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Fairy Godmother (IRE) 2yo - 15/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Inisherin (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Kevin Ryan Tom Eaves |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Crystal Black (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | Gerard Keane Colin Keane |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Tom Marquand |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Soprano (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Calandagan (IRE) 3yo - 11/2 | F-H Graffard Stephane Pasquier |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Pilgrim (GB) 3yo - 18/1 | David & Nicola Barron Joe Fanning |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Bedtime Story (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Isle Of Jura (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | George Scott Callum Shepherd |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Khaadem (IRE) 8yo - 14/1 | Charles Hills Oisin Murphy |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Richard Hannon James Doyle |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Unequal Love (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Hand Of God (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Harry Charlton William Buick |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Uxmal (IRE) 5yo - 2/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ascot Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
