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2022 Ascot Stakes Handicap Trends & Analysis

Published: May 22, 4:03pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 11:58am Horse Racing 1 Comment 5010 Views

2022 Ascot Stakes Preview

The Ascot Stakes is one of the longest flat horse races of the season at just shy of two miles four furlongs and about two furlongs less than the longest flat race staged, the Queen Alexandra Stakes which is the final race of Royal Ascot on the Saturday over just short of two miles six furlongs.

A valuable Royal Ascot handicap with a £65,000 purse and run over twenty furlongs unsurprisingly attracts the attention of national hunt trainers, the last ten renewals have been won by a 'recognised' jumps trainer.

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the W P Mullins trained Thomas Hobson ridden by Ryan Moore who has set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 4:17.62 that was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Jarlath P Fahey and jockey Ronan Whelan with Jennies Jewel who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:34.70 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - Thomas Hobson (4:17.62)
  • 2007 - Full House (4:18.29)
  • 2014 - Domination (4:20.30)

How competitive is the Ascot Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2002 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Stakes, the over-round has been 130% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.75. Ahead of the 2022 Ascot Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Ascot Stakes Handicap Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Ascot Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
4:23.41
Reshoun
7yo 9-7 (3 of 19) 66/1
William Buick
Ian Williams
2020
4:27.51
Coeur De Lion
7yo 8-10 (9 of 19) 16/1
Thore Hammer Hansen (5lbs)
Alan King
2019
4:28.34
The Grand Visir
5yo 9-10 (18 of 19) 12/1
Richard Kingscote
Ian Williams
2018
4:31.75
Lagostovegas
6yo 9-3 (1 of 19) 10/1
Andrea Atzeni
W P Mullins
2017
4:17.62
Thomas Hobson
7yo 9-10 (11 of 18) 4/1F
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins
2016
4:34.70
Jennies Jewel
9yo 9-3 (2 of 20) 6/1
Ronan Whelan
Jarlath P Fahey
2015
4:20.52
Clondaw Warrior
8yo 9-0 (19 of 19) 5/1F
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins
2014
4:20.30
Domination
7yo 9-7 (17 of 19) 12/1
Fran Berry
C Byrnes
2013
4:28.41
Well Sharp
5yo 9-10 (16 of 19) 9/1
Fran Berry
Jonjo O'Neill
2012
4:30.50
Simenon
5yo 9-10 (7 of 20) 8/1
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 50 placings from 359 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 11 placings from 59 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ascot Stakes Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015), Thomas Hobson (2017) & Lagostovegas (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes is Ian Williams (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ascot Stakes, Hughie Morrison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 18-4-9 +13.00 +10.08
Ian Williams 12-2-3 +68.00 +41.25
Mark Johnston 24-1-4 +2.00 -1.18
Nicky Henderson 23-1-5 -16.50 -13.74
David Pipe 13-1-3 -3.50 -2.19
Alan King 9-1-3 +8.00 +5.13
Mick Channon 6-1-2 +28.00 +17.07
Paul Webber 6-1-2 +15.00 +10.00
Jane Chapple-Hyam 6-1-1 +1.50 -0.94
A J Martin 5-1-4 +5.00 +7.52

Ascot Stakes Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015) & Thomas Hobson (2017). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ascot Stakes, Jamie Spencer (0-19), Frankie Dettori (0-15) & Paul Hanagan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 18-3-8 +2.00 +1.83
William Buick 8-1-2 +59.00 +35.19
Martin Dwyer 8-1-1 +5.00 +0.50
J F Egan 4-1-1 +22.00 +12.63
Richard Kingscote 4-1-1 +9.00 +4.50
Andrea Atzeni 4-1-2 +7.00 +5.25
Thore Hammer Hansen 3-1-1 +14.00 +8.00
Ronan Whelan 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75
Jamie Spencer 19-0-3 -19.00 -11.81
Frankie Dettori 15-0-5 -15.00 -3.24

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,6,5,5,2,14,3,9,4,4,14,2,5,1,16,1,(4,5),7,2,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest class won is Cl2-4
  • 19 / 20 (69%) - 1-4 Wins in the past year
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - 5-12 Starts in the past year
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Last win was over at least 14f
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Ran over 14f+ LTO
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - No more than 3 season starts
  • 18 / 20 (72%) - Highest class ran is G3-Cl2
  • 18 / 20 (74%) - Held an OR of 85+
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Won with last 7 Starts
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - GB or IRE Bred
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Ran in a Cl2-4 LTO
  • 14 / 20 (53%) - Best in 3 of 1st or 2nd

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ascot Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +77.00 is when runners had 3 career wins in Flat (Turf) races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-78.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 3 (10,4,11) [19 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 9 (5,14,3) [19 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 18 (19,14,8) [19 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 1 (8,11,15) [19 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 11 (17,10,7) [18 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Ascot Stakes are Chester, Punchestown, Haydock, Ascot and Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 379 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 40 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Stakes, that stallion is Sadlers Wells who has produced 2 winners (2011,2004).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Galileo (0 Wins from 21 runners)
  • Dalakhani (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Rainbow Quest (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Sir Percy (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Reshoun in 2021 when winning for Ian Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Ascot Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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