You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Ascot Stakes Preview
The Ascot Stakes is one of the longest flat horse races of the season at just shy of two miles four furlongs and about two furlongs less than the longest flat race staged, the Queen Alexandra Stakes, which is the final race of Royal Ascot on the Saturday over just short of two miles six furlongs.
A valuable Royal Ascot handicap with a £110,000 purse and run over twenty furlongs, unsurprisingly attracts the attention of national hunt trainers; the last ten renewals have been won by a 'recognised' jumps trainer.
Ascot Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Royal Ascot tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Ascot Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Royal Ascot throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Ascot Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008, when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2026 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Stakes, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Ascot Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Thomas Hobson (4:17.62) in 2017
- Full House (4:18.29) in 2007
- Domination (4:20.30) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.75. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Ascot Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Thomas Hobson, trained by W P Mullins and ridden by Ryan Moore, who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 4:17.62 in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Jarlath P Fahey and jockey Ronan Whelan with Jennies Jewel who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 4:34.70 in the 2016 renewal.
Ascot Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Ascot Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ascot Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 4:20.94 | Kizlyar (IRE) 4yo 9-3 (6 of 20) 25/1 | J M Sheridan Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2025 4:24.63 | Ascending (IRE) 6yo 9-7 (6 of 20) 20/1 | W J Lee Henry De Bromhead (IRE) |
| 2024 4:21.99 | Pledgeofallegiance (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (1 of 20) 20/1 | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2023 4:32.05 | Ahorsewithnoname (GB) 8yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 7/1 | William Buick Nicky Henderson (GB) |
| 2022 4:26.25 | Coltrane (IRE) 5yo 9-5 (6 of 19) 14/1 | Callum Hutchinson (5lbs) Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2021 4:23.41 | Reshoun (FR) 7yo 9-7 (3 of 19) 66/1 | William Buick Ian Williams (GB) |
| 2020 4:27.51 | Coeur De Lion (GB) 7yo 8-10 (9 of 19) 16/1 | Thore Hammer Hansen (5lbs) Alan King (GB) |
| 2019 4:28.34 | The Grand Visir (GB) 5yo 9-10 (18 of 19) 12/1 | Richard Kingscote Ian Williams (GB) |
| 2018 4:31.75 | Lagostovegas (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (1 of 19) 10/1 | Andrea Atzeni W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2017 4:17.62 | Thomas Hobson (GB) 7yo 9-10 (11 of 18) 4/1F | Ryan Moore W P Mullins (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Stakes have been based:
- GB: 12 winners with an additional 45 placings from 296 runners
- IRE: 8 winners with an additional 16 placings from 86 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Ascot Stakes Replay
Ascot Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015), Thomas Hobson (2017) and Lagostovegas (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes are Ian Williams (2 wins) and Nicky Henderson (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Ascot Stakes; Hughie Morrison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| W P Mullins | 25-4-10 | +6.00 | +3.95 |
| Ian Williams | 19-2-4 | +61.00 | +35.75 |
| Nicky Henderson | 19-2-5 | -4.50 | -5.74 |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 13-1-5 | +13.00 | +18.02 |
| David Pipe | 13-1-3 | -3.50 | -2.19 |
| Alan King | 11-1-5 | +6.00 | +11.63 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-1-1 | +6.00 | +0.75 |
| Jane Chapple-Hyam | 6-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.94 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 5-1-2 | +16.00 | +11.25 |
| Henry De Bromhead | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +12.00 |
Ascot Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015) and Thomas Hobson (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ascot Stakes; Jamie Spencer (0-19), Jim Crowley (0-11) and Oisin Murphy (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.
Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 20-3-9 | +0.00 | +0.70 |
| William Buick | 11-2-3 | +64.00 | +37.57 |
| Luke Morris | 7-1-3 | +14.00 | +11.75 |
| Richard Kingscote | 7-1-1 | +6.00 | +1.50 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 5-1-2 | +6.00 | +4.25 |
| Ronan Whelan | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| W J Lee | 3-1-2 | +18.00 | +14.13 |
| Thore Hammer Hansen | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.00 |
| Sam Hitchcott | 2-1-1 | +19.00 | +11.50 |
| Callum Hutchinson | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.75 |
2027 Ascot Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 14, 3, 9, 4, 4, 14, 2, 5, 1, 16, 1, (4, 5), 7, 2, 5, 2, 13, 6, 9, 20
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Break of 17 - 332 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Held an OR of 72+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Furthest Placed 1m4f - 2m2½f
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 15 of the market
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Won is not G2-3/LST/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 124 - 164lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran in 1 - 23 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 9 starts
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 3 - 11 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Off a break of 10 - 93 days
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl4
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Ascot Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Ascot Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +64.50, is when runners finished in 1st last time out.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Flat (AW) race when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-54.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 6 (7,19,3) [20 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 6 (20,16,17) [20 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (5,11,15) [20 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 7 (13,11,17) [19 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3,5,7) [19 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Ascot Stakes are Killarney, Chester, Goodwood, Cork and Punchestown; there have been a total of 2 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 350 runners, while female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 36 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 27 runners)
- Golden Horn (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Sir Percy (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Authorized (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dalakhani (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Reshoun in 2021, winning for Ian Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Ascot Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Ascot Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Kizlyar Killarney - 1st of 6 (11/1) | Killarney Racegoers Club Race |
| 2025 - Ascending Cork - 1st of 9 (10/3) | Cork Derby |
| 2024 - Pledgeofallegiance Goodwood - 1st of 7 (11/2) | William Hill Extra Place Races Handicap |
| 2023 - Ahorsewithnoname Cheltenham - 1st of 8 (7/2) | Catesby Estates Mares Novices Hurdle |
| 2022 - Coltrane Chester - 2nd of 14 (9/2) | Chester Cup |
| 2021 - Reshoun Chester - 11th of 16 (25/1) | Chester Cup |
| 2020 - Coeur De Lion Kempton - 8th of 20 (20/1) | Paddy Power Silver Plate Handicap Hurdle |
| 2019 - The Grand Visir Newmarket (July) - 7th of 15 (33/1) | Bernard Sunley Memorial Handicap |
| 2018 - Lagostovegas Killarney - 3rd of 8 (11/8) | Killarney Oils Mares Hurdle |
| 2017 - Thomas Hobson Punchestown - 7th of 24 (16/1) | Punchestown Listed Handicap Hurdle |
Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles III Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Anne Stakes | Ten Bob Tony (IRE) 5yo - 50/1 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Coventry Stakes | Great Barrier Reef (IRE) 2yo - 6/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot King Charles III Stakes | Mission Central (IRE) 3yo - 14/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot St James's Palace Stakes | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 5/6 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Ascot Stakes | Kizlyar (IRE) 4yo - 25/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien J M Sheridan |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Wolferton Stakes | Map Of Stars (GB) 5yo - 13/2 | F-H Graffard James McDonald |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Copper Horse Stakes | Daiquiri Bay (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Alan King Rossa Ryan |
Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Queen Mary Stakes | Victorious (IRE) 2yo - 100/30 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Queen's Vase | Limestone (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Cambridge Stakes | Blue Bolt (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Prince of Wales's Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 5yo - 11/10 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Royal Hunt Cup | Rogue Diplomat (IRE) 4yo - 28/1 | James Owen Harry Davies |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Kensington Palace Stakes | Alobayyah (GB) 4yo - 11/4 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Windsor Castle Stakes | King Of Cloughan (IRE) 2yo - 33/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Billy Loughnane |
Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Chesham Stakes | Nola Soul (USA) 2yo - 11/2 | J A Stack Seamie Heffernan |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot King George V Stakes | Enceladus (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Ribblesdale Stakes | Earth Shot (IRE) 3yo - 4/1 | William Haggas James Doyle |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Ascot Gold Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 4yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Britannia Stakes | Moonfall (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | George Boughey Zac Lloyd |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Hampton Court Stakes | Generic (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Buckingham Palace Stakes | Mezcala (GB) 4yo - 9/2 | Jack Channon Tom Marquand |
Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Albany Stakes | Libertango (IRE) 2yo - 6/1 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Commonwealth Cup | Venetian Sun (IRE) 3yo - 11/8 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Duke of Edinburgh Stakes | Opportunity (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | William Haggas James McDonald |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Coronation Stakes | Precise (IRE) 3yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Sandringham Stakes | Green Carrera (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Mickael Barzalona |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot King Edward VII Stakes | Causeway (IRE) 3yo - 1/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes | Bacio (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | Wesley A Ward Juan J Hernandez |
Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting
The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs, which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1 million.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:30 Royal Ascot Norfolk Stakes | Orthodox (GB) 2yo - 9/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:05 Royal Ascot Hardwicke Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 7yo - 9/1 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
| 15:40 Royal Ascot Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes | Almeraq (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 16:20 Royal Ascot Jersey Stakes | Thesecretadversary (IRE) 3yo - 20/1 | J A Stack Seamie Heffernan |
| 17:00 Royal Ascot Wokingham Stakes | Double Rush (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Shane Foley |
| 17:35 Royal Ascot Golden Gates Stakes | Lost Boys (IRE) 3yo - 2/1 | David Menuisier James McDonald |
| 18:10 Royal Ascot Queen Alexandra Stakes | Illinois (IRE) 5yo - 7/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Ascot Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Ascot racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in January
Races in February
Races in May
Races in July
- Ascot Heritage Handicap Sprint
- International Stakes Heritage Handicap
- King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes
- Summer Mile Stakes
Races in August (Shergar Cup)
- Shergar Cup Challenge
- Shergar Cup Classic
- Shergar Cup Dash
- Shergar Cup Mile
- Shergar Cup Sprint
- Shergar Cup Stayers
Races in September
Races in October (Champions Day)
- Balmoral Handicap
- British Champion Stakes
- British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes
- British Champions Long Distance Cup
- British Champions Sprint Stakes
- Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
