Ascot Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Updated: 6324 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 2m4f is the Ascot Stakes which is scheduled to take place at Ascot during the Royal Ascot. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Ascot Stakes.

Ascot Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Ascot Stakes Preview

The Ascot Stakes is one of the longest flat horse races of the season at just shy of two miles four furlongs and about two furlongs less than the longest flat race staged, the Queen Alexandra Stakes which is the final race of Royal Ascot on the Saturday over just short of two miles six furlongs.

A valuable Royal Ascot handicap with a £100,000 purse and run over twenty furlongs unsurprisingly attracts the attention of national hunt trainers, the last ten renewals have been won by a 'recognised' jumps trainer.

Ascot Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the Ascot Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 125%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ascot Stakes, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.

Ascot Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ascot Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.75. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Ascot Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the W P Mullins trained Thomas Hobson ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Ascot Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 4:17.62 was set when winning the race in 2017. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Jarlath P Fahey and jockey Ronan Whelan with Jennies Jewel who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 4:34.70 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2017 - Thomas Hobson (4:17.62)
  • 2007 - Full House (4:18.29)
  • 2014 - Domination (4:20.30)

Ascot Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Ascot Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ascot Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
4:32.05
Ahorsewithnoname (GB)
8yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 7/1
William Buick
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2022
4:26.25
Coltrane (IRE)
5yo 9-5 (6 of 19) 14/1
Callum Hutchinson (5lbs)
Andrew Balding (GB)
2021
4:23.41
Reshoun (FR)
7yo 9-7 (3 of 19) 66/1
William Buick
Ian Williams (GB)
2020
4:27.51
Coeur De Lion (GB)
7yo 8-10 (9 of 19) 16/1
Thore Hammer Hansen (5lbs)
Alan King (GB)
2019
4:28.34
The Grand Visir (GB)
5yo 9-10 (18 of 19) 12/1
Richard Kingscote
Ian Williams (GB)
2018
4:31.75
Lagostovegas (IRE)
6yo 9-3 (1 of 19) 10/1
Andrea Atzeni
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
4:17.62
Thomas Hobson (GB)
7yo 9-10 (11 of 18) 4/1F
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
4:34.70
Jennies Jewel (IRE)
9yo 9-3 (2 of 20) 6/1
Ronan Whelan
Jarlath P Fahey (IRE)
2015
4:20.52
Clondaw Warrior (IRE)
8yo 9-0 (19 of 19) 5/1F
Ryan Moore
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
4:20.30
Domination (GB)
7yo 9-7 (17 of 19) 12/1
Fran Berry
C Byrnes (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ascot Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 48 placings from 340 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 13 placings from 63 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ascot Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015), Thomas Hobson (2017) and Lagostovegas (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes are Nicky Henderson (2 wins) and Ian Williams (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Ascot Stakes, Hughie Morrison has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 20-4-10 +11.00 +8.95
Nicky Henderson 21-2-5 -6.50 -7.74
Ian Williams 16-2-4 +64.00 +38.75
Mark Johnston 20-1-3 +6.00 -0.18
David Pipe 13-1-3 -3.50 -2.19
Alan King 10-1-4 +7.00 +7.13
Andrew Balding 10-1-1 +5.00 -0.25
Mick Channon 6-1-2 +28.00 +17.07
Jane Chapple-Hyam 6-1-1 +1.50 -0.94
Paul Webber 4-1-2 +17.00 +12.00

Ascot Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ascot Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Simenon (2012), Clondaw Warrior (2015) and Thomas Hobson (2017). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ascot Stakes is William Buick (2 wins). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ascot Stakes, Jamie Spencer (0-19), Frankie Dettori (0-14) and Jim Crowley (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Ascot Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 19-3-9 +1.00 +1.70
William Buick 9-2-3 +66.00 +39.57
Richard Kingscote 6-1-1 +7.00 +2.50
Andrea Atzeni 5-1-2 +6.00 +4.25
J F Egan 3-1-1 +23.00 +13.63
Thore Hammer Hansen 3-1-1 +14.00 +8.00
Ronan Whelan 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.75
Sam Hitchcott 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.50
Callum Hutchinson 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.75
Jamie Spencer 19-0-2 -19.00 -16.44

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 5, 2, 14, 3, 9, 4, 4, 14, 2, 5, 1, 16, 1, (4, 5), 7, 2, 5, 2, 13

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 72+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 10 - 46 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Won is not G2/G3/LST/Cl5-6
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Furthest Placed 1m4f - 2m2½f
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Made 3 - 11 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 62+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 9 starts
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on AW or NHF (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 123 - 164lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 1 - 6 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Beaten no more -19l (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ascot Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ascot Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Ascot Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.00 is when runners ran in a Flat (Turf) race when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Flat (AW) race when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-51.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 7 (13,11,17) [19 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (3,5,7) [19 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (10,4,11) [19 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 9 (5,14,3) [19 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 18 (19,14,8) [19 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Ascot Stakes are Chester, Haydock, Leopardstown, Ascot and Punchestown, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 367 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 37 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ascot Stakes, that stallion Sadlers Wells has produced 2 winners (2011,2004).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ascot Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Galileo (0 Wins from 23 runners)
  • Authorized (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dalakhani (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Reshoun in 2021, winning for Ian Williams at odds of 66/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Ascot Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

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