2022 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jun 15, 3:07pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:12pm Horse Racing 4 Comments 2561 Views

2022 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Preview

Established in 1914, the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes was originally known as the Bessborough Stakes and is run at the Royal Ascot racing festival. The race is a Class 2 handicap that is open to runners aged three and older and is run over just shy of one mile and four furlongs (1m3f211yds). This is a handicap that can produce future Group winners, 2011 winner Fox Hunt went on to win the German St Leger.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Royal Ascot Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.76 was set by Dash Of Spice in 2018, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by David Elsworth and ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Quickthorn won in a time of 2:41.80, booked to ride was Oisin Murphy on this Hughie Morrison trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Duke of Edinburgh Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Dash Of Spice (2:27.76)
  • 2005 - Notable Guest (2:28.01)
  • 2015 - Arab Dawn (2:28.12)

How competitive is the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 136%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, the over-round has been 128% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
2:41.80
Quickthorn
4yo 9-3 (19 of 14) 7/2F
Oisin Murphy
Hughie Morrison
2020
2:35.40
Scarlet Dragon
7yo 9-2 (12 of 14) 33/1
Hollie Doyle
Alan King
2019
2:30.57
Baghdad
4yo 9-8 (12 of 19) 7/2F
Ryan Moore
Mark Johnston
2018
2:27.76
Dash Of Spice
4yo 9-3 (14 of 17) 7/2F
Silvestre De Sousa
David Elsworth
2017
2:31.15
Rare Rhythm
5yo 9-2 (19 of 19) 20/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby
2016
2:32.59
Kinema
5yo 9-4 (19 of 19) 8/1
Fran Berry
Ralph Beckett
2015
2:28.12
Arab Dawn
4yo 9-2 (21 of 17) 6/1F
Richard Hughes
Hughie Morrison
2014
2:28.85
Arab Spring
4yo 9-10 (12 of 18) 11/4F
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2013
2:31.30
Opinion
4yo 9-0 (10 of 16) 8/1
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute
2012
2:31.47
Camborne
4yo 9-4 (12 of 18) 11/2F
William Buick
John Gosden

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 51 placings from 320 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 17 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • UAE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Sir Michael Stoute & Hughie Morrison who have both won the race 4 times. Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Notable Guest (2005), Sugar Ray (2008), Opinion (2013) & Arab Spring (2014). Hughie Morrison winners have been with Waverley (2003), Cill Rialaig (2010), Arab Dawn (2015) & Quickthorn (2021). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes is Mark Johnston (3 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, Amanda Perrett has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Andrew Balding has sent out 12 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Duke of Edinburgh Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 15-4-8 +11.75 +8.07
Hughie Morrison 8-4-5 +35.50 +22.07
Mark Johnston 25-3-7 +7.50 +4.88
Charlie Appleby 9-1-2 +12.00 +5.88
Alan King 8-1-3 +26.00 +18.76
John Gosden 7-1-2 -0.50 -1.18
John Quinn 6-1-2 +3.00 +1.25
David Elsworth 5-1-1 -0.50 -1.81
George Margarson 4-1-3 +25.00 +19.00
Ralph Beckett 4-1-1 +5.00 +2.00

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Sugar Ray (2008), Opinion (2013), Arab Spring (2014) & Baghdad (2019). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes are William Buick (2 wins) & Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes, Frankie Dettori (0-13), Jamie Spencer (0-12) & Jim Crowley (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Duke of Edinburgh Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 15-4-6 +11.25 +4.94
William Buick 11-2-4 +16.50 +9.32
Silvestre De Sousa 9-2-4 +8.50 +7.07
Joe Fanning 6-1-1 +9.00 +3.75
Oisin Murphy 5-1-1 -0.50 -1.81
Hollie Doyle 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63
Frankie Dettori 13-0-3 -13.00 -9.43
Jamie Spencer 12-0-1 -12.00 -10.81
Jim Crowley 11-0-2 -11.00 -5.99
Adam Kirby 8-0-3 -8.00 -2.62

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,7,2,3,10,2,6,2,9,2,13,1,2,1,(1,9),2,16,1,1,3,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest class win of Cl2-4
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Did not run in a Cl1 LTO
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - Aged between 4yo - 5yo
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - 2-6 Career wins
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Last win as in a Cl2-4
  • 18 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Best in 3 of 1st-4th
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Ran no further than 12f LTO
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - No more than 25 career starts
  • 17 / 20 (70%) - Last win in a 7-15 field

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Duke of Edinburgh Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +55.75 is when runners had a furthest trip placed of 1m4f. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-56.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 19 (1,13) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (2,3) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (14,11,9) [19 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 14 (8,9,19) [17 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 19 (18,5,17) [19 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Epsom, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 330 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 12 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes:

  • Danehill (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Duke of Edinburgh Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Cape Cross (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • High Chaparral (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • In The Wings (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Scarlet Dragon in 2020 when winning for Alan King at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Hollie Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Duke of Edinburgh Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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