King Charles III Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Investigate the King Charles III Stakes, focusing on dominant trainers and jockeys. Review past winners and discern patterns that define this premier sprint event.
King Charles III Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 King Charles III Stakes Preview

Established in 1860, the King Charles III Stakes was created due to the Royal Stand Plate being unable to run due to heavy rain.

This five-furlong race replaced the two-mile race as it was the only part of the racecourse which was raceable.

The Group 1 race takes place on the opening day of Royal Ascot and is the top five-furlong race at the festival.

The race is open to runners aged three years or older, with three-year-old runners running off 8-12 and the older runners off 9-4. Fillies and mares also get a 3lb allowance.

King Charles III Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot, then head over to the Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. We cover every race at Royal Ascot, and below you can find links to all of the races for each of Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, Friday & Saturday. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at Ascot during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
ALSO READ

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025

How competitive is the King Charles III Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 115%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the King Charles III Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 King Charles III Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the King Charles III Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the King Charles III Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.

These are the top three quickest-run King Charles III Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Miss Andretti (57.44) in 2007
  2. Lady Aurelia (57.45) in 2017
  3. Chineur (57.55) in 2005

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the King Charles III Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.06. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 King Charles III Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Miss Andretti, trained by Lee Freedman and ridden by Craig Newitt, who set the fastest winning time in the King Charles III Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 57.44 in 2007. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Clive Cox and jockey Adam Kirby with Profitable who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:02.69 in the 2016 renewal.

What the expert says...
Last year's winner, Asfoora, came after finishing 4th in the Temple Stakes, which was the fifth runner to win this race after running in the Temple Stakes since 2010.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

King Charles III Stakes Past Winners

Here are the King Charles III Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the King Charles III Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
58.60
Asfoora (AUS)
5yo 9-4 (17 of 17) 5/1
Oisin Murphy
Henry Dwyer (AUS)
2023
1:00.91
Bradsell (GB)
3yo 9-1 (7 of 17) 14/1
Hollie Doyle
Archie Watson (GB)
2022
58.25
Nature Strip (AUS)
7yo 9-7 (10 of 16) 9/4
James McDonald
Chris Waller (AUS)
2021
59.03
Oxted (GB)
5yo 9-5 (14 of 16) 4/1
Cieren Fallon
Roger Teal (GB)
2020
58.64
Battaash (IRE)
6yo 9-4 (10 of 11) 5/6F
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2019
58.53
Blue Point (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (1 of 12) 5/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
58.14
Blue Point (IRE)
4yo 9-4 (10 of 14) 6/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
57.45
Lady Aurelia (USA)
3yo 8-9 (18 of 17) 7/2
John R Velazquez
Wesley A Ward (USA)
2016
1:02.69
Profitable (IRE)
4yo 9-4 (8 of 17) 4/1
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2015
59.11
Goldream (GB)
6yo 9-4 (3 of 18) 20/1
Martin Harley
Robert Cowell (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the King Charles III Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 9 winners with an additional 30 placings from 241 runners
  • AUS: 4 winners with an additional 5 placings from 28 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 26 runners
  • USA: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 14 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
  • HK: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • SPA: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SIN: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • NZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • HUN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 King Charles III Stakes Replay


King Charles III Stakes Trainer Statistics

There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the King Charles III Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are the King Charles III Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Clive Cox10-1-2-5.00-6.50
Archie Watson3-1-2+12.00+7.10
M Delcher Sanchez2-1-1+21.00+12.20
Henry Dwyer1-1-1+5.00+2.50
Kevin Ryan11-0-2-11.00-10.00
Andrew Balding6-0-0-6.00-6.00
Jim Goldie5-0-0-5.00-5.00
Ed Walker2-0-0-2.00-2.00
K R Burke2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Edward Bethell1-0-1-1.00-0.50
John Ryan1-0-0-1.00-1.00
George Boughey1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Jane Chapple-Hyam1-0-0-1.00-1.00
George Scott1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Adrian Murray1-0-0-1.00-1.00

King Charles III Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the King Charles III Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jim Crowley, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Prohibit (2011) and Battaash (2020). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the King Charles III Stakes. Ryan Moore has ridden 15 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Jamie Spencer has ridden 10 without a winner.

Here are the King Charles III Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Jim Crowley
(Jasour)
10-2-4-0.17-2.58
James Doyle
(Night Raider)
10-1-4-6.50-5.10
William Buick
(Mgheera)
9-1-1-2.00-4.40
Oisin Murphy
(Asfoora)
8-1-1-2.00-4.50
James McDonald
(Aesterius)
4-1-1-0.75-1.87
Cieren Fallon
(Manaccan)
1-1-1+4.00+2.00
Ryan Moore
(Believing)
15-0-3-15.00-12.96
Jamie Spencer
(Twilight Calls)
10-0-6-10.00-7.00
Tom Eaves
(Washington Heights)
6-0-0-6.00-6.00
Paul Mulrennan
(American Affair)
5-0-1-5.00-2.50
Rossa Ryan
(Starlust)
3-0-1-3.00-2.50
David Egan
(Bucanero Fuerte)
3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Tom Marquand
(Balmoral Lady)
2-0-1-2.00-1.50
Christophe Soumillon
(Kerdos)
2-0-1-2.00-1.50
Colin Keane
(Tropical Storm)
2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Callum Rodriguez
(Regional)
1-0-1-1.00-0.50
Callum Shepherd
(West Acre)
1-0-0-1.00-1.00

King Charles III Stakes Trend Shortlist

Ascot will host the 2025 renewal of the King Charles III Stakes, which will be run at 3:40 pm on Tuesday, 17th June 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Asfoora (4/1)
    • Henry Dwyer (1-1-1 +5.00 / +2.50)
    • Oisin Murphy (8-1-1 -2.00 / -4.50)
  • 15/15 West Acre (16/1)
    • George Scott (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
    • Callum Shepherd (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)

Others: Believing (14/15), Mgheera (14/15), Night Raider (14/15), Bucanero Fuerte (13/15), No Half Measures (13/15), Starlust (12/15), Regional (12/15), Rumstar (12/15), Frost At Dawn (12/15), American Affair (11/15), Tropical Storm (11/15), Estepona (11/15), Washington Heights (10/15), Monteille (10/15), Aesterius (10/15), Kerdos (9/15), Prime Art (9/15), Manaccan (9/15), Balmoral Lady (8/15), Jasour (8/15) and Twilight Calls (5/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:36 pm Sunday 15th June 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.

Believing won the Al Quoz Sprint last time out, and a total of 3 previous winners of that race from a total of 17 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +1.07.

Mgheera won the Temple Stakes last time out, and a total of 1 previous winner of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -14.00.

Tropical Storm won the Westow Stakes last time out, and a total of 2 previous winners of that race from a total of 15 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -10.67.

King Charles III Stakes Trend Analysis

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a race worth £4k on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-72.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 17 (15,6) [17 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 7 (10,17) [17 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 10 (6,11) [16 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 14 (15,5) [16 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 10 (5,9) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the King Charles III Stakes is Haydock; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 272 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 63 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the King Charles III Stakes:

  • Acclamation (2 Wins)
  • Kyllachy (2 Wins)
  • Oasis Dream (2 Wins)
  • Shamardal (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the King Charles III Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Equiano (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Medicean (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Equiano in 2008, winning for M Delcher Sanchez at odds of 22/1 under the guidance of Olivier Peslier. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 King Charles III Stakes.

Route to the King Charles III Stakes

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the King Charles III Stakes, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Asfoora
Haydock - 4th of 9 (4/1)
Temple Stakes
2023 - Bradsell
Haydock - 3rd of 7 (5/1)
Sandy Lane Stakes
2022 - Nature Strip
Randwick - 1st of 11 (23/10)
Furphy T J Smith Stakes
2021 - Oxted
York - 3rd of 12 (10/3)
Duke of York Stakes
2020 - Battaash
Longchamp - 14th of 16 (19/10)
Prix de lAbbaye de Longchamp
2019 - Blue Point
Meydan - 1st of 13 (4/6)
Al Quoz Sprint
2018 - Blue Point
Sha Tin - 9th of 9 (24/1)
Chairmans Sprint Prize
2017 - Lady Aurelia
Keeneland - 1st of 11 (1/1)
Giants Causeway Stakes
2016 - Profitable
Haydock - 1st of 11 (8/1)
Temple Stakes
2015 - Goldream
Haydock - 7th of 11 (13/2)
Temple Stakes

Schedule for Tuesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The five-day Royal Ascot meeting kicks off on Tuesday with three Group 1 events on the seven-race card, with the Queen Anne Stakes, King Charles II Stakes and St James's Palace Stakes all part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Anne Stakes
Charyn (IRE)
4yo - 100/30
Roger Varian
Silvestre De Sousa
15:05 Royal Ascot
Coventry Stakes
Rashabar (IRE)
2yo - 80/1
Brian Meehan
Billy Loughnane
15:40 Royal Ascot
King Charles III Stakes
Asfoora (AUS)
5yo - 5/1
Henry Dwyer
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
St James's Palace Stakes
Rosallion (IRE)
3yo - 5/2
Richard Hannon
Sean Levey
17:00 Royal Ascot
Ascot Stakes
Pledgeofallegiance (IRE)
4yo - 20/1
Sir Mark Prescott Bt
Luke Morris
17:35 Royal Ascot
Wolferton Stakes
Israr (GB)
5yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley
18:10 Royal Ascot
Copper Horse Stakes
Belloccio (FR)
6yo - 4/1
W P Mullins
William Buick

Schedule for Wednesday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The feature race on the second day of Royal Ascot is the Prince of Wales's Stakes, a race which carries a prize fund of £1m and is part of the British Champions Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Queen Mary Stakes
Leovanni (IRE)
2yo - 22/1
K R Burke
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
Queen's Vase
Illinois (IRE)
3yo - 7/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Cambridge Stakes
Running Lion (GB)
4yo - 6/1
John & Thady Gosden
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
Prince of Wales's Stakes
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
4yo - 13/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Royal Hunt Cup
Wild Tiger (GB)
5yo - 11/2
Saeed bin Suroor
Oisin Murphy
17:35 Royal Ascot
Kensington Palace Stakes
Doha (GB)
4yo - 10/1
Ralph Beckett
Hector Crouch
18:10 Royal Ascot
Windsor Castle Stakes
Aint Nobody (IRE)
2yo - 5/1
Kevin Ryan
Jamie Spencer

Schedule for Thursday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

There are a couple of decent handicaps on the third day of Royal Ascot, the highlight of the day, though, is the Ascot Gold Cup, a Group 1 marathon for the flat runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Norfolk Stakes
Shareholder (USA)
2yo - 12/1
K R Burke
James Doyle
15:05 Royal Ascot
King George V Stakes
Going The Distance (IRE)
3yo - 9/1
Ralph Beckett
Rossa Ryan
15:40 Royal Ascot
Ribblesdale Stakes
Port Fairy (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:20 Royal Ascot
Ascot Gold Cup
Kyprios (IRE)
6yo - 11/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
17:00 Royal Ascot
Britannia Stakes
Mickley (IRE)
3yo - 15/2
Edward Bethell
Callum Rodriguez
17:35 Royal Ascot
Hampton Court Stakes
Jayarebe (FR)
3yo - 7/1
Brian Meehan
Sean Levey
18:10 Royal Ascot
Buckingham Palace Stakes
English Oak (GB)
4yo - 100/30
Ed Walker
James Doyle

Schedule for Friday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

A couple of British Champions Series races on the Friday at Royal Ascot, the Commonwealth Cup over six furlongs and then the Coronation Stakes over just shy of a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Albany Stakes
Fairy Godmother (IRE)
2yo - 15/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Commonwealth Cup
Inisherin (GB)
3yo - 9/4
Kevin Ryan
Tom Eaves
15:40 Royal Ascot
Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
Crystal Black (IRE)
6yo - 11/1
Gerard Keane
Colin Keane
16:20 Royal Ascot
Coronation Stakes
Porta Fortuna (IRE)
3yo - 7/2
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Tom Marquand
17:00 Royal Ascot
Sandringham Stakes
Soprano (IRE)
3yo - 14/1
George Boughey
Billy Loughnane
17:35 Royal Ascot
King Edward VII Stakes
Calandagan (IRE)
3yo - 11/2
F-H Graffard
Stephane Pasquier
18:10 Royal Ascot
Palace of Holyroodhouse Stakes
Pilgrim (GB)
3yo - 18/1
David & Nicola Barron
Joe Fanning

Schedule for Saturday at the Royal Ascot Meeting

The final day of Royal Ascot is all about the Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes, a Group 1 race run over six furlongs which is part of the British Champions Series and carries a prize fund of £1m.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:30 Royal Ascot
Chesham Stakes
Bedtime Story (IRE)
2yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:05 Royal Ascot
Hardwicke Stakes
Isle Of Jura (GB)
4yo - 16/1
George Scott
Callum Shepherd
15:40 Royal Ascot
Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
Khaadem (IRE)
8yo - 14/1
Charles Hills
Oisin Murphy
16:20 Royal Ascot
Jersey Stakes
Haatem (IRE)
3yo - 7/2
Richard Hannon
James Doyle
17:00 Royal Ascot
Wokingham Stakes
Unequal Love (GB)
4yo - 12/1
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
17:35 Royal Ascot
Golden Gates Stakes
Hand Of God (GB)
3yo - 9/4
Harry Charlton
William Buick
18:10 Royal Ascot
Queen Alexandra Stakes
Uxmal (IRE)
5yo - 2/1
Joseph Patrick O'Brien
Dylan Browne McMonagle

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this King Charles III Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster Competition Assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content Editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please login or register to reply to this news article
KEEP READING
πŸ‡ Royal Ascot Fashion Q&A with Ella McNeill 🎀

πŸ‡ Royal Ascot Fashion Q&A with Ella McNeill 🎀

OLBG Racing teams up with fashion insider Ella McNeill to share essential Royal Ascot style tips
Continue Reading
Temple Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Temple Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Uncover key stats and winning profiles in the Temple Stakes at Haydock. Review top-performing trainers, jockeys, and notable past winners. Identify consistent patterns in this fast-paced Group 2 sprint to guide your betting decisions.
Continue Reading
Sandy Lane Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Sandy Lane Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Examine the Sandy Lane Stakes with a detailed look at past winners, trainer dominance, and jockey performance. Discover key trends that define this Group 2 sprint and improve your race-day predictions with historical data and betting angles.
Continue Reading