2022 St James's Palace Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jun 16, 11:34am Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:46pm Horse Racing 3 Comments 3199 Views

2022 St James's Palace Stakes Preview

The race features on the opening day of Royal Ascot is the St James's Palace Stakes. This race is open to three-year-old colts and is run over just shy of a mile (7f 213yds). The inaugural running of the race took place in 1834 although that race was eventually a walkover. Originally a Group 2 race, it was upgraded to a Group 1 in 1988.

We also have a dedicated Royal Ascot Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:37.18 was set by Shamardal in 2005, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Kerrin McEvoy. The slowest winning time was set in 2016 when Galileo Gold won in a time of 1:44.01, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori on this Hugo Palmer trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Shamardal (1:37.18)
  • 2017 - Barney Roy (1:37.22)
  • 2021 - Poetic Flare (1:37.40)

How competitive is the St James's Palace Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the St James's Palace Stakes, the over-round has been 117% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the St James's Palace Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.97. Whilst we wait for the 2022 St James's Palace Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

St James's Palace Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the St James's Palace Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the St James's Palace Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:37.40
Poetic Flare
3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 7/2F
Kevin Manning
J S Bolger
2020
1:42.38
Palace Pier
3yo 9-0 (6 of 7) 4/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2019
1:39.90
Circus Maximus
3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 10/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2018
1:38.64
Without Parole
3yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 9/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2017
1:37.22
Barney Roy
3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 5/2
James Doyle
Richard Hannon
2016
1:44.01
Galileo Gold
3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
Hugo Palmer
2015
1:38.86
Gleneagles
3yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 8/15F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2014
1:39.06
Kingman
3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 8/11F
James Doyle
John Gosden
2013
1:39.23
Dawn Approach
3yo 9-0 (5 of 9) 5/4F
Kevin Manning
J S Bolger
2012
1:40.14
Most Improved
3yo 9-0 (15 of 16) 9/1
Kieren Fallon
Brian Meehan

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the St James's Palace Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 11 winners with an additional 17 placings from 107 runners
  • IRE: 9 winners with an additional 14 placings from 63 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 14 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

St James's Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Rock Of Gibraltar (2002), Excellent Art (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Mastercraftsman (2009), Gleneagles (2015) & Circus Maximus (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the St James's Palace Stakes are John Gosden (3 wins) & J S Bolger (2 wins).

Here are some of the top St James's Palace Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 48-6-19 -21.27 -10.90
John Gosden 12-3-7 -2.02 -1.39
J S Bolger 5-2-2 +1.75 -0.15
Mick Channon 6-1-2 +3.00 +2.30
Richard Hannon 6-1-2 -2.50 -2.63
Saeed bin Suroor 6-1-2 -3.25 -2.85
Brian Meehan 5-1-2 +5.00 +1.40
Hugo Palmer 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75
Charlie Appleby 6-0-2 -6.00 -1.70
Sir Michael Stoute 6-0-1 -6.00 -5.25

St James's Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Galileo Gold (2016), Without Parole (2018) & Palace Pier (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the St James's Palace Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), James Doyle (2 wins) & Kevin Manning (2 wins).

Here are some of the top St James's Palace Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 15-3-4 +0.25 -3.70
Ryan Moore 14-2-8 -1.47 +2.03
James Doyle 7-2-2 -1.77 -3.04
Kevin Manning 4-2-2 +2.75 +0.85
Jamie Spencer 7-1-2 +2.00 +0.00
Tom Queally 2-1-1 -0.70 -0.82
Seamie Heffernan 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00
William Buick 7-0-2 -7.00 -2.70
Jim Crowley 4-0-1 -4.00 -1.50
Adam Kirby 3-0-2 -3.00 -0.60

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,2,4,1,1,5,1,1,(1,7),1,12,1,1,1,2,4,1,3,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (45%) - No bigger than 10/1
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - Within first six of betting
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 12/1 LTO
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - 3+ Career placings
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Best in 3 of 1st
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 9/1 on debut
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - 2+ wins on the turf
  • 18 / 20 (67%) - First two on debut
  • 18 / 20 (69%) - Ran in a Group 1 LTO
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Won at least a Listed race
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Contested a Group 1
  • 16 / 20 (60%) - Same jockey as LTO

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the St James's Palace Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the St James's Palace Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

St James's Palace Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.26 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 4 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 7 (11,2) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 6 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (5,2) [11 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (3,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 4 (1,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the St James's Palace Stakes is Curragh, there has been a total number of 11 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the St James's Palace Stakes, that stallion is Galileo who has produced 3 winners (2019,2015,2011).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the St James's Palace Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Circus Maximus in 2019 when winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 St James's Palace Stakes.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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