St James's Palace Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Royal Ascot)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 St James's Palace Stakes Preview

The race features on the opening day of Royal Ascot is the St James's Palace Stakes. This race is open to three-year-old colts and is run over just shy of a mile (7f 213yds). The inaugural running of the race took place in 1834 although that race was eventually a walkover. Originally a Group 2 race, it was upgraded to a Group 1 in 1988.

St James's Palace Stakes Information:

St James's Palace Stakes Past Winners
St James's Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics
St James's Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Royal Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule at Royal Ascot section for links to these.

How competitive is the St James's Palace Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the St James's Palace Stakes, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the St James's Palace Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -0.65. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Galileo Gold from Hugo Palmer under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 1:44.01, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Shamardal, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Kerrin McEvoy set the quickest time of 1:37.18 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2005 - Shamardal (1:37.18)
2017 - Barney Roy (1:37.22)
2021 - Poetic Flare (1:37.40)

St James's Palace Stakes Past Winners

Here are the St James's Palace Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the St James's Palace Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2023 1:40.74	Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-2 (8 of 9) 11/5	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022 1:39.42	Coroebus (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 10/11F	William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021 1:37.40	Poetic Flare (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 7/2F	Kevin Manning J S Bolger (IRE)
2020 1:42.38	Palace Pier (GB) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 7) 4/1	Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB)
2019 1:39.90	Circus Maximus (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 10/1	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018 1:38.64	Without Parole (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 9/4F	Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB)
2017 1:37.22	Barney Roy (GB) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 8) 5/2	James Doyle Richard Hannon (GB)
2016 1:44.01	Galileo Gold (GB) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 6/1	Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer (GB)
2015 1:38.86	Gleneagles (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 5) 8/15F	Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014 1:39.06	Kingman (GB) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 8/11F	James Doyle John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the St James's Palace Stakes have been based:

GB: 11 winners with an additional 19 placings from 112 runners
IRE: 9 winners with an additional 13 placings from 61 runners
FR: 0 winners with an additional 4 placings from 12 runners
JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

St James's Palace Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Excellent Art (2007), Henrythenavigator (2008), Mastercraftsman (2009), Gleneagles (2015), Circus Maximus (2019) and Paddington (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the St James's Palace Stakes are John Gosden (3 wins) and J S Bolger (2 wins).

Here are some of the top St James's Palace Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
A P O'Brien	44-6-18	-15.87	-7.21
John Gosden	12-3-7	-2.02	-1.39
J S Bolger	6-2-2	+0.75	-1.15
Richard Hannon	7-1-3	-3.50	-0.33
Charlie Appleby	7-1-3	-5.09	-1.15
Brian Meehan	6-1-2	+4.00	+0.40
Saeed bin Suroor	6-1-2	-3.25	-2.85
Hugo Palmer	2-1-1	+5.00	+2.75
William Haggas	6-0-1	-6.00	-5.10
M Delzangles	4-0-1	-4.00	-3.50

St James's Palace Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the St James's Palace Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Gleneagles (2015), Circus Maximus (2019) and Paddington (2023). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Galileo Gold (2016), Without Parole (2018) and Palace Pier (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the St James's Palace Stakes is James Doyle (2 wins).

Here are some of the top St James's Palace Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	16-3-9	-0.27	+2.35
Frankie Dettori	16-3-5	-0.75	-4.04
James Doyle	8-2-2	-2.77	-4.04
William Buick	9-1-3	-7.09	-3.15
Jamie Spencer	7-1-2	+2.00	+0.00
Kerrin McEvoy	3-1-1	-0.25	-0.95
Tom Queally	2-1-1	-0.70	-0.82
Seamie Heffernan	8-0-0	-8.00	-8.00
Jim Crowley	5-0-1	-5.00	-2.50
Olivier Peslier	5-0-1	-5.00	-4.15

2024 St James's Palace Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, (1, 7), 1, 12, 1, 1, 1, 2, 4, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (44%) - No bigger than 10/1
20 / 20 (56%) - Within the first 5 of market
20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)
20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
20 / 20 (79%) - Carried 126 - 131lbs (Last Win)
20 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 2 starts
20 / 20 (84%) - Had 3 - 7 placings (Career)
20 / 20 (86%) - In a field of 6 - 17 (Last Win)
20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a G2-3/Cl3-5 (LTO)
20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Run is not G2-3/Cl3-4
20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
20 / 20 (89%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m4f (LTO)
19 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 3)
19 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -4¾l (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the St James's Palace Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the St James's Palace Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

St James's Palace Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.37 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 4 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-27.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2023: Winner in 8 (1,7) [9 Runners]
2022: Winner in 2 (4,7) [11 Runners]
2021: Winner in 7 (11,2) [13 Runners]
2020: Winner in 6 (2) [7 Runners]
2019: Winner in 1 (5,2) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the St James's Palace Stakes is Curragh, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the St James's Palace Stakes, that stallion Galileo has produced 3 winners (2019,2015,2011).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the St James's Palace Stakes despite multiple attempts:

Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Danehill (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Iffraaj (0 Wins from 5 runners)
War Front (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Circus Maximus in 2019, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Ryan Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 12 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 18th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 19th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 20th June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Friday 21st June 2024

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 22nd June 2024

14:30: Chesham Stakes
15:05: Jersey Stakes
15:40: Queen Elizabeth II Jubilee Stakes
16:20: Hardwicke Stakes
17:00: Wokingham Stakes
17:35: Golden Gates Stakes
18:10: Queen Alexandra Stakes

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...