Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Irish 2000 Guineas Preview
First established a year before the Irish 1000 Guineas in 1921, the Irish 2000 Guineas is a Group 1 open to 3yo colts and fillies. The Irish 2000 Guineas is run over one mile at the Curragh Racecourse in early May of each year.
Watch out for runners who compete in the Qipco 2000 Guineas and then come here, Churchill did the double in 2017. Gleneagles in 2015 won this race before going on to success in the St James's Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot.
Irish 2000 Guineas Information:
- Irish 2000 Guineas Past Winners
- Irish 2000 Guineas Trainer Statistics
- Irish 2000 Guineas Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Curragh then head over to the Curragh tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish 2000 Guineas market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish 2000 Guineas, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.
Irish 2000 Guineas Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish 2000 Guineas next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.39. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Irish 2000 Guineas remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Rosallion, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Sean Levey who set the fastest winning time in the Irish 2000 Guineas, the runner won the race in a time of 1:29.20 when winning the race in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Jeremy Noseda and jockey Alan Munro with Araafa who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:49.80 in the 2006 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals:
- Rosallion (1:29.20) in 2024
- Cockney Rebel (1:36.10) in 2007
- Phoenix Of Spain (1:36.52) in 2019
What the expert says...
The Qipco 2000 Guineas at Newmarket is the obvious race to watch for when it comes to runners in this, that race has produced thirteen of the last twenty winners including the 2024 winner, Rosallion who went one better here having been runner-up at Newmarket.Irish 2000 Guineas Past Winners
Here are the Irish 2000 Guineas past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Irish 2000 Guineas as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:29.20 | Rosallion (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (6 of 8) 10/11F | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2023 1:40.80 | Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 11) 3/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:39.28 | Native Trail (GB) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 9) 2/5F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 1:41.32 | Mac Swiney (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 11) 8/1 | Rory Cleary J S Bolger (IRE) |
| 2020 1:38.49 | Siskin (USA) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 11) 2/1F | Colin Keane G M Lyons (IRE) |
| 2019 1:36.52 | Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 14) 16/1 | Jamie Spencer Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2018 1:38.93 | Romanised (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 11) 25/1 | Shane Foley K J Condon (IRE) |
| 2017 1:40.46 | Churchill (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 6) 4/9F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 1:45.26 | Awtaad (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 9/2 | Chris Hayes Kevin Prendergast (IRE) |
| 2015 1:39.30 | Gleneagles (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 11) 2/5F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish 2000 Guineas have been based:
- IRE: 12 winners with an additional 27 placings from 153 runners
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 11 placings from 42 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Irish 2000 Guineas Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Irish 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Mastercraftsman (2009), Roderic OConnor (2011), Power (2012), Magician (2013), Gleneagles (2015), Churchill (2017) and Paddington (2023).
Here are some of the top Irish 2000 Guineas trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 70-8-21 | -43.58 | -31.69 |
| J S Bolger | 14-1-7 | -5.00 | -0.11 |
| G M Lyons | 7-1-2 | -4.00 | -3.40 |
| Kevin Prendergast | 6-1-2 | -0.50 | -1.40 |
| Richard Hannon | 5-1-4 | -3.09 | -0.10 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-1 | -1.60 | -1.76 |
| Charles Hills | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 2-1-2 | +0.75 | +1.18 |
| John Gosden | 2-1-2 | -0.20 | +0.13 |
| K J Condon | 1-1-1 | +25.00 | +15.00 |
Irish 2000 Guineas Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish 2000 Guineas over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Gleneagles (2015), Churchill (2017) and Paddington (2023). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Irish 2000 Guineas, Seamie Heffernan has ridden a total of 18 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Irish 2000 Guineas jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 9-3-5 | -2.16 | -2.05 |
| Chris Hayes | 8-1-1 | -2.50 | -4.30 |
| Colin Keane | 8-1-2 | -5.00 | -4.60 |
| Shane Foley | 6-1-1 | +20.00 | +10.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-1-2 | +11.00 | +5.70 |
| Frankie Dettori | 3-1-3 | -0.25 | +0.32 |
| Sean Levey | 3-1-1 | -1.09 | -1.45 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | -1.20 | -1.52 |
| William Buick | 3-1-1 | -1.60 | -1.76 |
| Rory Cleary | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.80 |
2025 Irish 2000 Guineas Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2), 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 10, 8, 1, 1, 2, 1, 6, (2, 5), 1, 4, 1, 9, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Ran in 4 - 7 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (69%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not in a G2/Cl2-4 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl2-3
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Ran over 6f - 7f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not on HY/GS/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/FM/STD/FS (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 2 - 7 races (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 3 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 124 - 131lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 3 races (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish 2000 Guineas. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish 2000 Guineas by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish 2000 Guineas Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.18 is when runners ran on Good ground on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 starts in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 6 (7,5) [8 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (4,2) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7,9) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (6,2) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (5,9) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish 2000 Guineas is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 13 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish 2000 Guineas:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Oasis Dream (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish 2000 Guineas despite multiple attempts:
- War Front (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Danehill (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Teofilo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Romanised in 2018, winning for K J Condon at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Shane Foley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Irish 2000 Guineas why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Other Principal races at Curragh racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Curragh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in March
Races in May (Irish Guineas Festival)
Races in June
Races in July
Races in August
Races in September
Races in October
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish 2000 Guineas Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
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