Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Vintage Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood in late July or early August, the Vintage Stakes is a Group 2 which is open to two-year-old runners and run over seven furlongs.
These two-year-old runners are assigned a weight of 9-1, any fillies get a 3lb allowance and any which have already won either a Group 1 or Group 2 have to carry a 3lb penalty.
Vintage Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Vintage Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Vintage Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Vintage Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Vintage Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.17. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:25.13 was set by Aomori City in 2024, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Angel Bleu won in a time of 1:32.85, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori by the trainer Ralph Beckett.
These are the top three quickest-run Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Aomori City (1:25.13) in 2024
- War Decree (1:25.75) in 2016
- Strategic Prince (1:26.02) in 2006
Vintage Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Vintage Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Vintage Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:25.13 | Aomori City (FR) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 2/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:30.15 | Haatem (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:26.46 | Marbaan (GB) 2yo 9-3 (9 of 9) 14/1 | Jamie Spencer Charlie Fellowes (GB) |
| 2021 1:32.85 | Angel Bleu (FR) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2020 1:28.80 | Battleground (USA) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:27.03 | Pinatubo (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:28.23 | Dark Vision (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 100/30F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:26.97 | Expert Eye (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 7/4F | Andrea Atzeni Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2016 1:25.75 | War Decree (USA) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:28.06 | Galileo Gold (GB) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 8) 9/2 | Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Vintage Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 29 placings from 154 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Vintage Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Highland Reel (2014), War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Vintage Stakes is Charlie Appleby (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 12-3-6 | -4.96 | -2.82 |
| Charlie Appleby | 6-2-6 | -0.50 | +2.27 |
| Richard Hannon | 14-1-3 | -10.75 | -8.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-2 | -5.38 | -4.46 |
| Hugo Palmer | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.95 |
| Clive Cox | 5-1-2 | -0.50 | +0.10 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Ralph Beckett | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.08 |
| Charlie Fellowes | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.40 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 1-1-1 | +1.75 | +1.05 |
Vintage Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Rio De La Plata (2007), Orizaba (2008), Galileo Gold (2015) and Angel Bleu (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Vintage Stakes is Ryan Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 13-4-6 | +2.20 | +0.52 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-4 | -8.87 | -7.39 |
| William Buick | 8-1-4 | -5.00 | -2.67 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-1-2 | +8.00 | +4.65 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-1 | -1.67 | -3.00 |
| James Doyle | 6-1-3 | -3.50 | -2.51 |
| Adam Kirby | 4-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.10 |
| Sean Levey | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2-1-1 | +0.75 | +0.05 |
| Oisin Murphy | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -5.15 |
2025 Vintage Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 1, 5, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Break of 17 - 76 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -5l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Sex is Colt
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Vintage Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Vintage Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.49 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (9,7) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (4,7) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (6,8) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Vintage Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 169 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Vintage Stakes:
- Choisir (2 Wins)
- Oasis Dream (2 Wins)
- War Front (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marbaan in 2022, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Vintage Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Vintage Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
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