You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Vintage Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood in late July or early August, the Vintage Stakes is a Group 2 race which is open to two-year-old runners and run over seven furlongs.
These two-year-old runners are assigned a weight of 9-1, any fillies get a 3lb allowance, and any which have already won either a Group 1 or Group 2 have to carry a 3lb penalty.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Vintage Stakes will hold the title of 'Coral Vintage Stakes'.
Vintage Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Vintage Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Vintage Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Vintage Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Vintage Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Vintage Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Aomori City (1:25.13) in 2024
- War Decree (1:25.75) in 2016
- Strategic Prince (1:26.02) in 2006
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Vintage Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -2.17. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Vintage Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Aomori City, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick, who set the fastest winning time in the Vintage Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 1:25.13 in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Ralph Beckett and jockey Frankie Dettori with Angel Bleu who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:32.85 in the 2021 renewal.
Vintage Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Vintage Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Vintage Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:25.13 | Aomori City (FR) 2yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 2/1F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:30.15 | Haatem (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:26.46 | Marbaan (GB) 2yo 9-3 (9 of 9) 14/1 | Jamie Spencer Charlie Fellowes (GB) |
| 2021 1:32.85 | Angel Bleu (FR) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2020 1:28.80 | Battleground (USA) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:27.03 | Pinatubo (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:28.23 | Dark Vision (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 100/30F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:26.97 | Expert Eye (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 7/4F | Andrea Atzeni Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2016 1:25.75 | War Decree (USA) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:28.06 | Galileo Gold (GB) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 8) 9/2 | Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Vintage Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 29 placings from 154 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
2024 Vintage Stakes Replay
Vintage Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Highland Reel (2014), War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020).
Here are the Vintage Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 12-3-6 | -4.96 | -2.82 |
| Richard Hannon | 14-1-3 | -10.75 | -8.40 |
| Hugo Palmer | 5-1-2 | +0.50 | +0.95 |
| Andrew Balding | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.15 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +1.50 |
Vintage Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020).
Here are the Vintage Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Dorset) | 14-2-4 | -8.87 | -7.39 |
| William Buick (Morris Dancer) | 8-1-4 | -5.00 | -2.67 |
| Jamie Spencer (Laureate Crown) | 7-1-2 | +8.00 | +4.65 |
| James Doyle (Humidity) | 6-1-3 | -3.50 | -2.51 |
| Sean Levey (Gharma Sutra) | 2-1-1 | +1.25 | +0.35 |
| Oisin Murphy (Goodwood Galaxy) | 7-0-2 | -7.00 | -5.15 |
| Tom Marquand (Do Or Do Not) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| David Egan (Vincenzo Peruggia) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Vintage Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 1, 5, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Break of 17 - 76 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -5l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (70%) - Placed within last 1 start
- 18 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Career Win)
- 16 / 20 (54%) - Achieved a TS of 80+ (Last 3)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Vintage Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Vintage Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Vintage Stakes Trend Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Vintage Stakes, which will be run at 1:55 pm on Tuesday, 29th July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Humidity (3/1)
- Andrew Balding (8-0-2 -8.00 / -6.15)
- James Doyle (6-1-3 -3.50 / -2.51)
Others: Dorset (14/15), Zavateri (14/15), Andab (12/15), Laureate Crown (11/15), Vincenzo Peruggia (10/15), Do Or Do Not (10/15), Goodwood Galaxy (9/15), Morris Dancer (9/15) and Gharma Sutra (7/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (2:50 pm Sunday 27th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Zavateri won the July Stakes last time out, and a total of 8 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +10.63.
Humidity won the Chesham Stakes last time out, and a total of 8 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -4.11.
Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.49, is when runners were 1st in the betting market.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 5th in the betting market, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-22.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (9,7) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (4,7) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (6,8) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Vintage Stakes is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 169 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Vintage Stakes:
- Choisir (2 Wins)
- Oasis Dream (2 Wins)
- War Front (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marbaan in 2022, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Vintage Stakes.
Route to the Vintage Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Vintage Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Aomori City Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 6 (7/1) | July Stakes |
| 2023 - Haatem Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 9 (19/2) | Superlative Stakes |
| 2022 - Marbaan Salisbury - 1st of 12 (10/11) | Byerley Stud British EBF Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Angel Bleu Ascot - 2nd of 6 (4/1) | Pat Eddery Stakes |
| 2020 - Battleground Ascot - 1st of 8 (11/4) | Chesham Stakes |
| 2019 - Pinatubo Ascot - 1st of 14 (3/1) | Chesham Stakes |
| 2018 - Dark Vision York - 1st of 10 (9/2) | John Smiths Novice Median Auction Stakes |
| 2017 - Expert Eye Newbury - 1st of 9 (6/1) | Be Wiser Insurance Novice Stakes |
| 2016 - War Decree Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 9 (1/1) | Superlative Stakes |
| 2015 - Galileo Gold Haydock - 1st of 6 (13/8) | TuffX Glass EBF Stallions Novice Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Vintage Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
