2022 Vintage Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jul 12, 2:48pm Last Updated: Jul 28, 12:02pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 580 Views

2022 Vintage Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood in late July or early August, the Vintage Stakes is a Group 2 which is open to two-year-old runners and run over seven furlongs. These two-year-old runners are assigned a weight of 9-1, any fillies get a 3lb allowance and any which have already won either a Group 1 or Group 2 have to carry a 3lb penalty.

If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:25.75 was set by War Decree in 2016, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore. The slowest winning time was set in 2021 when Angel Bleu won in a time of 1:32.85, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori on this Ralph Beckett trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - War Decree (1:25.75)
  • 2006 - Strategic Prince (1:26.02)
  • 2007 - Rio De La Plata (1:26.05)

How competitive is the Vintage Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Vintage Stakes, the over-round has been 114% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Vintage Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.83. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Vintage Stakes.

Vintage Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Vintage Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Vintage Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:32.85
Angel Bleu
2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 100/30
Frankie Dettori
Ralph Beckett
2020
1:28.80
Battleground
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 13/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2019
1:27.03
Pinatubo
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 6/4F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby
2018
1:28.23
Dark Vision
2yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 100/30F
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
2017
1:26.97
Expert Eye
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 7/4F
Andrea Atzeni
Sir Michael Stoute
2016
1:25.75
War Decree
2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 6/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2015
1:28.06
Galileo Gold
2yo 9-1 (9 of 8) 9/2
Frankie Dettori
Hugo Palmer
2014
1:26.81
Highland Reel
2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 10/11F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien
2013
1:27.57
Toormore
2yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 5/4F
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
1:27.70
Olympic Glory
2yo 9-3 (9 of 10) 11/4
Richard Hughes
Richard Hannon Snr

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Vintage Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 29 placings from 155 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 16 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Vintage Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Mark Johnston & A P O'Brien who have both won the race 3 times. Mark Johnston winners have been with Lucky Story (2003), Shamardal (2004) & Dark Vision (2018). A P O'Brien winners have been with Highland Reel (2014), War Decree (2016) & Battleground (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Vintage Stakes, Richard Hannon has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 21-3-7 -12.85 -9.96
A P O'Brien 15-3-7 -7.96 +3.98
Mick Channon 10-1-2 -6.25 +1.15
Saeed bin Suroor 7-1-2 -5.38 -4.46
Marcus Tregoning 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.50
Clive Cox 4-1-2 +0.50 +1.10
Charlie Appleby 4-1-4 -1.50 +1.07
Hugo Palmer 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.70
Ralph Beckett 3-1-1 +1.33 +0.08
Sir Michael Stoute 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.05

Vintage Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Rio De La Plata (2007), Orizaba (2008), Galileo Gold (2015) & Angel Bleu (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Vintage Stakes is Ryan Moore (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 15-4-6 +0.20 -1.48
Ryan Moore 12-2-3 -6.87 -6.99
Jamie Spencer 8-1-2 +4.00 +10.10
Joe Fanning 7-1-2 -5.38 -4.13
Martin Dwyer 6-1-2 -1.00 -0.60
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-1 -1.67 -3.00
James Doyle 5-1-3 -2.50 -1.51
Adam Kirby 4-1-2 +0.50 +1.10
Andrea Atzeni 2-1-1 +0.75 +0.05
Pat Dobbs 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,4,1,1,4,2,1,1,1,6,1,5,1,1,5,1,1,1,1,1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (60%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Side with Colts
  • 19 / 20 (47%) - Within first 4 of market
  • 19 / 20 (65%) - Finished in first 2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more than 3l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - 1-3 Career starts
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Carried at least 8-12 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (74%) - Debut was over 6f+
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Never sent off 22/1+
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Finished first 3 on debut
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Field of 6-13 on debut

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Vintage Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races which are you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Vintage Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.06 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (6,8) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (4) [7 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (6,10) [12 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 7 (1,5) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Vintage Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 173 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Vintage Stakes:

  • Choisir (2 Wins)
  • War Front (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Vintage Stakes, that stallion is Cape Cross who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Dublin in 2002 when winning for David Loder at odds of 11/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 13 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Vintage Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 26th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 27th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 28th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 29th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 30th July 2022

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