Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Vintage Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place on the opening day of Glorious Goodwood in late July or early August, the Vintage Stakes is a Group 2 which is open to two-year-old runners and run over seven furlongs.
These two-year-old runners are assigned a weight of 9-1, any fillies get a 3lb allowance and any which have already won either a Group 1 or Group 2 have to carry a 3lb penalty.
Vintage Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Vintage Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 120%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Vintage Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Vintage Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Vintage Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.33. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Vintage Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2021 renewal when Angel Bleu from Ralph Beckett under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 1:32.85, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, War Decree, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 1:25.75 in the 2016 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- War Decree (1:25.75) in 2016
- Strategic Prince (1:26.02) in 2006
- Rio De La Plata (1:26.05) in 2007
Vintage Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Vintage Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Vintage Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:30.15 | Haatem (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Sean Levey Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2022 1:26.46 | Marbaan (GB) 2yo 9-3 (9 of 9) 14/1 | Jamie Spencer Charlie Fellowes (GB) |
| 2021 1:32.85 | Angel Bleu (FR) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 6) 100/30 | Frankie Dettori Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2020 1:28.80 | Battleground (USA) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 13/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 1:27.03 | Pinatubo (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 6/4F | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2018 1:28.23 | Dark Vision (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 12) 100/30F | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2017 1:26.97 | Expert Eye (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 7/4F | Andrea Atzeni Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2016 1:25.75 | War Decree (USA) 2yo 9-1 (1 of 9) 6/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:28.06 | Galileo Gold (GB) 2yo 9-1 (9 of 8) 9/2 | Frankie Dettori Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2014 1:26.81 | Highland Reel (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 10/11F | Joseph O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Vintage Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 30 placings from 156 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 3 placings from 14 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
Vintage Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Highland Reel (2014), War Decree (2016) and Battleground (2020).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 13-3-6 | -5.96 | -3.82 |
| Richard Hannon | 13-1-3 | -9.75 | -7.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-2 | -5.38 | -4.46 |
| Charlie Appleby | 5-1-5 | -2.50 | +1.02 |
| Hugo Palmer | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.30 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 4-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Clive Cox | 4-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.10 |
| Ralph Beckett | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.08 |
| Charlie Fellowes | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.40 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 1-1-1 | +1.75 | +1.05 |
Vintage Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Vintage Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Rio De La Plata (2007), Orizaba (2008), Galileo Gold (2015) and Angel Bleu (2021). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Vintage Stakes is Ryan Moore (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Vintage Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 14-4-6 | +1.20 | -0.48 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-4 | -8.87 | -7.39 |
| Jamie Spencer | 7-1-1 | +8.00 | +2.40 |
| Joe Fanning | 7-1-2 | -5.38 | -4.13 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-1 | -1.67 | -3.00 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-3 | -2.50 | -1.51 |
| Adam Kirby | 4-1-2 | +0.50 | +1.10 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 2-1-1 | +0.75 | +0.05 |
| Sean Levey | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
| William Buick | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | -3.92 |
2024 Vintage Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, 2, 1, 1, 1, 6, 1, 5, 1, 1, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 89+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Break of 16 - 76 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in a G3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -5l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 51+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 6 - 19 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Sex is Colt
- 19 / 20 (71%) - Placed within last 1 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Vintage Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Vintage Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Vintage Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +17.11 is when runners were 1st in the betting market. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 5, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-24.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 4 (9,7) [9 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 9 (4,7) [9 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (5) [6 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (6,8) [10 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 5 (4) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Vintage Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 172 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Vintage Stakes:
- Choisir (2 Wins)
- War Front (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Marbaan in 2022, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 13 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Vintage Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Vintage Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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