Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 762 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Superlative Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the July Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Superlative Stakes have set for this year.

Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Superlative Stakes Preview

The Superlative Stakes is a Group 2 race that takes place during the July Festival at Newmarket Racecourse, the race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a distance of a straight seven furlongs, previous G1 & G2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

The race has been known as the Superlative Stakes since 1991, named after the horse Superlative, previously the race was known as the Bernard van Cutsem Stakes in honour of the trainer who passed away in 1975.

Superlative Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Superlative Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Superlative Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Superlative Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Superlative Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.23. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:23.33 was set by Birchwood in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by James Doyle. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Olympic Glory won in a time of 1:32.19, booked to ride was Richard Hughes by the trainer Richard Hannon Snr.

These are the top three quickest-run Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Birchwood (1:23.33) in 2015
  2. Mystery Power (1:23.59) in 2019
  3. Master Of The Seas (1:23.95) in 2020

Superlative Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Superlative Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Superlative Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 9) 4/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Isaac Shelby (GB)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 3/1
Sean Levey
Brian Meehan (GB)
Native Trail (GB)
2yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 11/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 4/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
Mystery Power (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 7/1
Oisin Murphy
Richard Hannon (GB)
Quorto (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 5/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
Gustav Klimt (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 10) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
Boynton (USA)
2yo 9-1 (10 of 9) 7/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby (GB)
Birchwood (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 7/1
James Doyle
Richard Fahey (GB)
Estidhkaar (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 15/8F
Paul Hanagan
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Superlative Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 31 placings from 159 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 14 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Superlative Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Boynton (2016), Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020) and Native Trail (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes are A P O'Brien (3 wins) and Richard Fahey (2 wins).

Here are the Superlative Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Charlie Appleby10-4-5+9.00+3.69
A P O'Brien13-3-6-6.25-5.13
Richard Fahey5-2-3+7.50+5.00
Hugo Palmer3-0-1-3.00-1.80
K R Burke2-0-0-2.00-2.00

Superlative Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and William Buick who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Good Old Boy Lukey (2013), Gustav Klimt (2017) and City Of Troy (2023). William Buick winners have been with Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020) and Native Trail (2021).

Here are the Superlative Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Ryan Moore10-3-5-2.00-2.15
William Buick8-3-6+3.00+2.49
James Doyle7-1-1+1.00-1.80
Neil Callan2-0-1-2.00+1.80
Silvestre De Sousa2-0-0-2.00-2.00
Rossa Ryan1-0-0-1.00-1.00

Superlative Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.50 is when runners ran over 7f when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (10,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (2,4) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (1,2) [8 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Superlative Stakes are Curragh and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 173 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Superlative Stakes:

  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Halicarnassus in 2006, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Superlative Stakes.

Superlative Stakes Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2024 renewal of the Superlative Stakes which will be run at 3:25 pm on Saturday 13th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Ancient Truth (7/4)
    • Charlie Appleby (10-4-5 +9.00 / +3.69)
    • William Buick (8-3-6 +3.00 / +2.49)

Others: Line Of Force (14/15), Seagulls Eleven (14/15), Pentle Bay (13/15), Columnist (13/15), The Parthenon (12/15), Assertively (10/15), Paps Turf (9/15) and Wimbledon Hawkeye (8/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:21 pm Thursday 11th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the Superlative Stakes trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the Superlative Stakes performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 Superlative Stakes based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (12:21 pm Thursday 11th July 2024):

  • 🥇 Ancient Truth (7/4)
    • Charlie Appleby (10-4-5 +9.00 / +3.69)
    • William Buick (8-3-6 +3.00 / +2.49)
  • 🥈 The Parthenon (11/2)
    • A P O'Brien (13-3-6 -6.25 / -5.13)
    • Ryan Moore (10-3-5 -2.00 / -2.15)
  • 🥉 Seagulls Eleven (8/1)
    • Hugo Palmer (3-0-1 -3.00 / -1.80)
    • Rossa Ryan (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)

Others: Pentle Bay, Wimbledon Hawkeye, Assertively, Line Of Force, Columnist and Paps Turf.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Superlative Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 9/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Jasour (GB)
2yo - 16/1
Clive Cox
Jim Crowley
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Quinault (GER)
3yo - 4/1
Stuart Williams
Connor Planas
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Israr (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
Charlie Johnston
Kevin Stott
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo - 5/1
Dominic Ffrench Davis
Kevin Stott
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Nashwa (GB)
4yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Hollie Doyle

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
Highbank (IRE)
3yo - 11/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo - 4/6
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Biggles (GB)
6yo - 5/1
Ralph Beckett
Ryan Moore
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Shaquille (GB)
3yo - 5/2
Julie Camacho
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Superlative Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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