Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Explore the Superlative Stakes with a breakdown of leading trainers, past winners, and jockey records. This Group 2 contest for two-year-olds often uncovers stars of the future, with trends to guide your picks.
Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2026 Superlative Stakes Preview

The Superlative Stakes is a Group 2 race that takes place during the July Festival at Newmarket Racecourse. The race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a distance of a straight seven furlongs. Previous G1 & G2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty, whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

The race has been known as the Superlative Stakes since 1991, named after the horse Superlative. Previously, the race was known as the Bernard van Cutsem Stakes in honour of the trainer who passed away in 1975.

Superlative Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Superlative Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Superlative Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Superlative Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2026 Superlative Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Superlative Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Superlative Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Birchwood (1:23.33) in 2015
  2. Mystery Power (1:23.59) in 2019
  3. Master Of The Seas (1:23.95) in 2020

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Superlative Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +2.32. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Superlative Stakes.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:23.33 was set by Birchwood in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by James Doyle. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Olympic Glory won in a time of 1:32.19, booked to ride was Richard Hughes by trainer Richard Hannon Snr.

What the expert says...
Of late, the Dewhurst Stakes has been the target for the winner of this race; all three winners between 2022-24 have gone directly to that race, with City Of Troy (2023) doing the double. Native Trail (2021) also went on to win the Dewhurst but ran in the National Stakes (Curragh) in between the two races.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Superlative Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Superlative Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Superlative Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2025
1:26.30
Saba Desert (GB)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 6/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2024
1:25.28
Ancient Truth (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 6) 4/6F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2023
1:26.03
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 9) 4/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:25.13
Isaac Shelby (GB)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 3/1
Sean Levey
Brian Meehan (GB)
2021
1:25.37
Native Trail (GB)
2yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 11/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:23.95
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 4/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2019
1:23.59
Mystery Power (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 7/1
Oisin Murphy
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:25.48
Quorto (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 5/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:25.39
Gustav Klimt (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 10) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:24.86
Boynton (USA)
2yo 9-1 (10 of 9) 7/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Superlative Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 28 placings from 150 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

2025 Superlative Stakes Replay


Superlative Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race six times, with those six winners coming from Boynton (2016), Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020), Native Trail (2021), Ancient Truth (2024) and Saba Desert (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes are Richard Hannon (2 wins), A P O'Brien (2 wins) and Richard Fahey (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby13-6-7+14.67+6.86
Richard Hannon13-2-5-2.12-0.52
A P O'Brien12-2-6-8.50-5.90
Richard Fahey6-2-3+6.50+4.00
Tom Dascombe5-1-2+4.00+2.00
Brian Meehan5-1-1-1.00-2.12
John Ryan3-1-1+3.00+1.00
John Quinn1-1-1+10.00+6.00
Andrew Balding6-0-1-6.00-4.30
John Gosden6-0-1-6.00-4.90

Superlative Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020), Native Trail (2021), Ancient Truth (2024) and Saba Desert (2025). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes is Ryan Moore (3 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Superlative Stakes; Frankie Dettori has ridden 11 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick10-5-8+9.67+6.66
Ryan Moore11-3-6-3.00-2.57
James Doyle9-1-1-1.00-3.80
Sean Levey5-1-2-1.00-0.77
Oisin Murphy4-1-2+4.00+2.90
Richard Kingscote3-1-2+6.00+4.00
Adam Kirby2-1-1+6.00+3.20
Hugh Bowman2-1-1+3.00+1.40
Frankie Dettori11-0-3-11.00-7.97
Jim Crowley5-0-1-5.00-3.50

Superlative Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.92, is when runners had a furthest trip won of 7f.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2025: Winner in 2 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 2 (9) [6 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 2 (10,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Superlative Stakes are Newmarket (July) and Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 162 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Superlative Stakes:

  • Dubawi (4 Wins)
  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Halicarnassus in 2006, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Superlative Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.

Route to the Superlative Stakes

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Superlative Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2025 - Saba Desert
Sandown - 1st of 6 (4/7)
British Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes
2024 - Ancient Truth
Newmarket (July) - 1st of 8 (4/5)
Yutree Insurance Supports Racing Welfare British EBF Novice Stakes
2023 - City Of Troy
Curragh - 1st of 13 (6/4)
Barronstown Stud Irish EBF
2022 - Isaac Shelby
Newbury - 1st of 11 (10/3)
Get A Run For Your Money At BetVictor Maiden Stakes
2021 - Native Trail
Sandown - 1st of 10 (8/11)
Chasemore Farm EBF Maiden Stakes
2020 - Master Of The Seas
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 4 (10/3)
Betway British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes
2019 - Mystery Power
Haydock - 1st of 8 (4/1)
Watch Racing TV Now Maiden Stakes
2018 - Quorto
Newmarket (July) - 1st of 9 (9/4)
Fly London Southend Airport To Lyon Novice Stakes
2017 - Gustav Klimt
Curragh - 1st of 11 (11/8)
Barronstown Stud Irish EBF
2016 - Boynton
Goodwood - 1st of 9 (9/2)
Breeders Backing Racing EBF Novice Stakes

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Superlative Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the July Festival

The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Bahrain Trophy StakesScandinavia (USA)
3yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
July StakesZavateri (IRE)
2yo - 18/1
Eve Johnson Houghton
Charles Bishop
bet365 Sprint HandicapPrince Of India (IRE)
3yo - 7/1
Marco Botti
Marco Ghiani
Princess of Wales's StakesEl Cordobes (IRE)
4yo - 7/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Friday at the July Festival

Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
bet365 HandicapKings Charter (IRE)
3yo - 9/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Duchess of Cambridge StakesVenetian Sun (IRE)
2yo - 2/5
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
bet365 Trophy Heritage HandicapOneforthegutter (GB)
6yo - 12/1
Ian Williams
Silvestre De Sousa
Falmouth StakesCinderellas Dream (GB)
4yo - 5/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Saturday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Bunbury CupMore Thunder (IRE)
4yo - 6/5
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
bet365 Mile HandicapFifth Column (IRE)
3yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Ryan Moore
Superlative StakesSaba Desert (GB)
2yo - 6/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July CupNo Half Measures (GB)
4yo - 66/1
Richard Hughes
Neil Callan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Superlative Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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