Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 764 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Superlative Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the July Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Superlative Stakes have set for this year.

Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Superlative Stakes Preview

The Superlative Stakes is a Group 2 race that takes place during the July Festival at Newmarket Racecourse, the race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a distance of a straight seven furlongs, previous G1 & G2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

The race has been known as the Superlative Stakes since 1991, named after the horse Superlative, previously the race was known as the Bernard van Cutsem Stakes in honour of the trainer who passed away in 1975.

Superlative Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Superlative Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Superlative Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Superlative Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Superlative Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.61. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Superlative Stakes.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Birchwood, trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by James Doyle who set the fastest winning time in the Superlative Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:23.33 when winning the race in 2015. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Richard Hannon Snr and jockey Richard Hughes with Olympic Glory who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:32.19 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Birchwood (1:23.33) in 2015
  2. Mystery Power (1:23.59) in 2019
  3. Master Of The Seas (1:23.95) in 2020

Superlative Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Superlative Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Superlative Stakes and the jockey is also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:25.28
Ancient Truth (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 6) 4/6F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2023
1:26.03
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 9) 4/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:25.13
Isaac Shelby (GB)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 3/1
Sean Levey
Brian Meehan (GB)
2021
1:25.37
Native Trail (GB)
2yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 11/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:23.95
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 4/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2019
1:23.59
Mystery Power (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 7/1
Oisin Murphy
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:25.48
Quorto (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 5/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:25.39
Gustav Klimt (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 10) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:24.86
Boynton (USA)
2yo 9-1 (10 of 9) 7/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
1:23.33
Birchwood (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 7/1
James Doyle
Richard Fahey (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Superlative Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 30 placings from 154 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Superlative Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Boynton (2016), Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020), Native Trail (2021) and Ancient Truth (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes are A P O'Brien (3 wins), Richard Hannon (2 wins) and Richard Fahey (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Charlie Appleby11-5-6+9.67+4.11
A P O'Brien12-3-6-5.25-4.13
Richard Hannon12-2-5-1.12+0.48
Richard Fahey6-2-3+6.50+4.00
Tom Dascombe5-1-2+4.00+2.00
Brian Meehan4-1-1+0.00-1.12
John Ryan3-1-1+3.00+1.00
John Quinn1-1-1+10.00+6.00
John Gosden7-0-2-7.00-4.60
Andrew Balding6-0-1-6.00-4.30

Superlative Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is William Buick who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020), Native Trail (2021) and Ancient Truth (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes is Ryan Moore (3 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Superlative Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
William Buick9-4-7+3.67+2.91
Ryan Moore10-3-5-2.00-2.15
James Doyle8-1-1+0.00-2.80
Sean Levey5-1-2-1.00-0.77
Richard Kingscote3-1-2+6.00+4.00
Oisin Murphy3-1-2+5.00+3.90
Adam Kirby2-1-1+6.00+3.20
Hugh Bowman2-1-1+3.00+1.40
Frankie Dettori11-0-3-11.00-7.97
Jim Crowley5-0-1-5.00-3.50

Superlative Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.17 is when runners ran over 7f when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 2 (9) [6 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 2 (10,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (2,4) [10 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Superlative Stakes are Newmarket (July), Ascot and Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 167 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Superlative Stakes:

  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Halicarnassus in 2006, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Superlative Stakes.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Superlative Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Ancient Wisdom (FR)
3yo - 6/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Whistlejacket (IRE)
2yo - 11/10
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Sergeant Wilko (IRE)
3yo - 6/1
Kevin Ryan
Oisin Murphy
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Giavellotto (IRE)
5yo - 100/30
Marco Botti
Oisin Murphy

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Involvement (GB)
3yo - 100/30
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Arabian Dusk (GB)
2yo - 12/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Harry Davies
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Porta Fortuna (IRE)
3yo - 10/11
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Ryan Moore

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
First Conquest (GB)
3yo - 12/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
Ancient Truth (IRE)
2yo - 4/6
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Aalto (FR)
4yo - 15/2
Ian Williams
Rossa Ryan
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Mill Stream (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Jane Chapple-Hyam
William Buick

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Superlative Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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