Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 643 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Superlative Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the July Festival with the race being run over a distance of 7f, see which trends the past winners of the Superlative Stakes have set for this year.

Superlative Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Superlative Stakes Preview

The Superlative Stakes is a Group 2 race that takes place during the July Festival at Newmarket Racecourse, the race is restricted to two-year-old runners and is run over a distance of a straight seven furlongs, previous G1 & G2 winners have to carry a 3lb penalty whilst fillies receive a 3lb allowance.

The race has been known as the Superlative Stakes since 1991, named after the horse Superlative, previously the race was known as the Bernard van Cutsem Stakes in honour of the trainer who passed away in 1975.

Superlative Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Superlative Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Superlative Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Superlative Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Superlative Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Superlative Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.70. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Superlative Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Olympic Glory from Richard Hannon Snr under the guidance of Richard Hughes, won in a time of 1:32.19, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Birchwood, trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by James Doyle set the quickest time of 1:23.33 in the 2015 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2015 - Birchwood (1:23.33)
  • 2019 - Mystery Power (1:23.59)
  • 2020 - Master Of The Seas (1:23.95)

Superlative Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Superlative Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Superlative Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:26.03
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 9) 4/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:25.13
Isaac Shelby (GB)
2yo 9-3 (2 of 5) 3/1
Sean Levey
Brian Meehan (GB)
2021
1:25.37
Native Trail (GB)
2yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 11/4
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
1:23.95
Master Of The Seas (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (8 of 10) 4/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2019
1:23.59
Mystery Power (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 7/1
Oisin Murphy
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
1:25.48
Quorto (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (5 of 7) 5/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
1:25.39
Gustav Klimt (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 10) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
1:24.86
Boynton (USA)
2yo 9-1 (10 of 9) 7/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
1:23.33
Birchwood (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 8) 7/1
James Doyle
Richard Fahey (GB)
2014
1:26.73
Estidhkaar (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 8) 15/8F
Paul Hanagan
Richard Hannon (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Superlative Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 31 placings from 159 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 14 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner

Superlative Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Boynton (2016), Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020) and Native Trail (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Superlative Stakes are A P O'Brien (3 wins), Mick Channon (2 wins), Richard Hannon (2 wins) and Richard Fahey (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Superlative Stakes, Mark Johnston has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Charlie Appleby 10-4-5 +9.00 +3.69
A P O'Brien 13-3-6 -6.25 -5.13
Mick Channon 12-2-4 +27.00 +16.23
Richard Hannon 12-2-5 -1.12 +0.48
Richard Fahey 5-2-3 +7.50 +5.00
Tom Dascombe 5-1-2 +4.00 +2.00
Brian Meehan 5-1-1 -1.00 -2.12
John Ryan 3-1-1 +3.00 +1.00
Saeed bin Suroor 2-1-1 +0.88 +0.13
John Quinn 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00

Superlative Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Superlative Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and William Buick who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Good Old Boy Lukey (2013), Gustav Klimt (2017) and City Of Troy (2023). William Buick winners have been with Quorto (2018), Master Of The Seas (2020) and Native Trail (2021).

Here are some of the top Superlative Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 10-3-5 -2.00 -2.15
William Buick 8-3-6 +3.00 +2.49
Frankie Dettori 12-1-4 -9.12 -6.84
James Doyle 7-1-1 +1.00 -1.80
Sean Levey 5-1-2 -1.00 -0.77
Richard Kingscote 3-1-2 +6.00 +4.00
Oisin Murphy 3-1-2 +5.00 +3.90
Paul Hanagan 3-1-2 -0.12 +0.83
Adam Kirby 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Hugh Bowman 2-1-1 +3.00 +1.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 1, 7, 6, 4, 6, 6, 5, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 8, 8, 3, 2, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Career Win)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Beaten no more -4¾l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not in a G2/LST/Cl3 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 7 - 56 days (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in ITA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 32+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 4 - 14 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -5¼l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - In a field of 4 - 13 (Debut)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Superlative Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Superlative Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Superlative Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.50 is when runners ran over 7f when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in Flat (Turf) races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (10,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3,9) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (2,4) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (1,2) [8 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Superlative Stakes are Curragh and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 173 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Superlative Stakes:

  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Halicarnassus in 2006, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tony Culhane. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

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