bet365 Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 986 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the bet365 Handicap will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the bet365 Handicap, a race run over 1m2f at Newmarket during the July Festival.

bet365 Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 bet365 Handicap Preview

Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket racecourse during the July Festival is this Class 2 Heritage Handicap, the race is restricted to three-year-old runners only and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs for horses rated up to an OR of 105.

bet365 Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the bet365 Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the bet365 Handicap, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

bet365 Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the bet365 Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +5.35. Before placing your bet on the 2024 bet365 Handicap see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Walkinthesand, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the bet365 Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 2:00.61 when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Andrew Balding and jockey Ryan Moore with Stature who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:09.11 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run bet365 Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Walkinthesand (2:00.61) in 2019
  2. Maputo (2:00.91) in 2013
  3. New London (2:01.81) in 2022

bet365 Handicap Past Winners

Here are the bet365 Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the bet365 Handicap and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (6 of 12) 20/1
Kevin Stott
Charlie Johnston (GB)
New London (IRE)
3yo 9-6 (1 of 12) 6/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
Dubai Honour (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (5 of 10) 11/2
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
Zabeel Champion (GB)
3yo 8-5 (2 of 11) 8/1
P J McDonald
Mark Johnston (GB)
Walkinthesand (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (6 of 14) 9/1
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon (GB)
Communique (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (4 of 9) 8/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
Marzouq (USA)
3yo 8-8 (1 of 11) 6/1
J F Egan
Jeremy Noseda (GB)
Ode To Evening (GB)
3yo 9-5 (13 of 13) 25/1
James McDonald
Mark Johnston (GB)
Resonant (IRE)
3yo 8-8 (2 of 10) 12/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston (GB)
Torchlighter (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (6 of 7) 13/2
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

bet365 Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the bet365 Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Andrew Balding who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Jedediah (2008) and Stature (2012).

Here are the bet365 Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Andrew Balding15-2-7+10.00+10.18
William Haggas12-1-2-5.50-5.45
Charlie Appleby7-1-2-4.50-3.56
Charlie Johnston2-1-1+19.00+11.50
Hughie Morrison4-0-2-4.00-1.15
Ralph Beckett3-0-0-3.00-3.00
Simon & Ed Crisford1-0-0-1.00-1.00

bet365 Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the bet365 Handicap over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and William Buick who have both won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Stature (2012) and Walkinthesand (2019). William Buick winners have been with Resonant (2015) and New London (2022).

Here are the bet365 Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Ryan Moore16-2-9+7.00+7.94
William Buick9-2-2+6.50+1.14
Joe Fanning12-1-3-4.50-1.43
James Doyle8-1-1-1.50-3.70
Oisin Murphy3-0-1-3.00-2.15
Hayley Turner2-0-1-2.00+0.25
Edward Greatrex1-0-0-1.00-1.00
Daniel Muscutt1-0-0-1.00-1.00

bet365 Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +73.50 is when runners had 0 career places with the jockey. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career starts with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (5,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (8,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (1,2) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (1,8) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (4,13) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the bet365 Handicap is Ascot, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 251 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 13 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the bet365 Handicap:

  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Poets Voice (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the bet365 Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • New Approach (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kings Best (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Circumvent in 2010, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 bet365 Handicap why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

bet365 Handicap Trend Shortlist

Newmarket will host the 2024 renewal of the bet365 Handicap which will be run at 1:50 pm on Friday 12th July 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):

  • 15/15 Chantilly (6/1)
    • A P O'Brien (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • Ryan Moore (16-2-9 +7.00 / +7.94)
  • 15/15 Involvement (8/1)
    • Simon & Ed Crisford (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
    • Oisin Murphy (3-0-1 -3.00 / -2.15)

Others: Travolta (14/15), Mr Monaco (14/15), Endless Victory (14/15), Royal Power (14/15), Candle Of Dubai (12/15), Rebaatt (12/15), Break The Bank (11/15) and Sun God (9/15).

*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (12:22 pm Wednesday 10th July 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.

If you are not a fan of the traditional trends above and you want a more in-depth way of using the bet365 Handicap trends from previous renewals then we have created the scoring trends, these are calculated by looking at over 100 factors including aspects of breeding, horse factors, things like runs, wins and places during their career, under certain circumstances like over the trip or on the ground and many more.

Using all of this information we can assign each horse a score based on how past runners in the bet365 Handicap performed when running under the same factors, we assign 80% of the score for the win statistics and 20% of the score for place statistics. Here are the top two scoring runners in the 2024 bet365 Handicap based on the information above, why not compare those to what the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping?

Here are the top 3 scorers at the time of posting (12:22 pm Wednesday 10th July 2024):

  • 🥇 Endless Victory (7/1)
    • Charlie Appleby (7-1-2 -4.50 / -3.56)
    • Dougie Costello (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
  • 🥈 Mr Monaco (10/1)
    • Ralph Beckett (3-0-0 -3.00 / -3.00)
    • Edward Greatrex (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
  • 🥉 Travolta (7/1)
    • James Ferguson (0-0-0 0.00 / 0.00)
    • Daniel Muscutt (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)

Others: Involvement, Rebaatt, Break The Bank, Sun God, Candle Of Dubai, Chantilly and Royal Power.

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the bet365 Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Friday at the July Festival

The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
Bahrain Trophy Stakes
Castle Way (GB)
3yo - 9/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
14:25 Newmarket
July Stakes
Jasour (GB)
2yo - 16/1
Clive Cox
Jim Crowley
15:00 Newmarket
bet365 Sprint Handicap
Quinault (GER)
3yo - 4/1
Stuart Williams
Connor Planas
15:35 Newmarket
Princess of Wales's Stakes
Israr (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
Jim Crowley

Saturday at the July Festival

Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 Newmarket
bet365 Handicap
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo - 20/1
Charlie Johnston
Kevin Stott
14:25 Newmarket
Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
Persian Dreamer (USA)
2yo - 5/1
Dominic Ffrench Davis
Kevin Stott
15:35 Newmarket
Falmouth Stakes
Nashwa (GB)
4yo - 4/1
John & Thady Gosden
Hollie Doyle

Sunday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:50 Newmarket
bet365 Mile Handicap
Highbank (IRE)
3yo - 11/1
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
15:25 Newmarket
Superlative Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
2yo - 4/6
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:00 Newmarket
Bunbury Cup
Biggles (GB)
6yo - 5/1
Ralph Beckett
Ryan Moore
16:35 Newmarket
July Cup
Shaquille (GB)
3yo - 5/2
Julie Camacho
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this bet365 Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Tipster competition assistant

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Club provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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