bet365 Handicap Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 754 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the bet365 Handicap Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Newmarket during the July Festival with the race being run over a distance of 1m2f, see which trends the past winners of the bet365 Handicap Stakes have set for this year.

bet365 Handicap Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 bet365 Handicap Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in July of each year at the Newmarket racecourse during the July Festival is this Class 2 Heritage Handicap, the race is restricted to three-year-old runners only and is run over a distance of one mile and two furlongs for horses rated up to an OR of 105.

bet365 Handicap Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the bet365 Handicap Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 135%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the bet365 Handicap Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

bet365 Handicap Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the bet365 Handicap Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.35. Before placing your bet on the 2024 bet365 Handicap Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Stature from Andrew Balding under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 2:09.11, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Walkinthesand, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 2:00.61 in the 2019 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run bet365 Handicap Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Walkinthesand (2:00.61)
  • 2013 - Maputo (2:00.91)
  • 2022 - New London (2:01.81)

bet365 Handicap Stakes Past Winners

Here are the bet365 Handicap Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the bet365 Handicap Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:06.61
Killybegs Warrior (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (6 of 12) 20/1
Kevin Stott
Charlie Johnston (GB)
2022
2:01.81
New London (IRE)
3yo 9-6 (1 of 12) 6/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:02.86
Dubai Honour (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (5 of 10) 11/2
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2020
2:04.84
Zabeel Champion (GB)
3yo 8-5 (2 of 11) 8/1
P J McDonald
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
2:00.61
Walkinthesand (IRE)
3yo 9-7 (6 of 14) 9/1
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon (GB)
2018
2:04.65
Communique (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (4 of 9) 8/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2017
2:02.34
Marzouq (USA)
3yo 8-8 (1 of 11) 6/1
J F Egan
Jeremy Noseda (GB)
2016
2:01.97
Ode To Evening (GB)
3yo 9-5 (13 of 13) 25/1
James McDonald
Mark Johnston (GB)
2015
2:01.93
Resonant (IRE)
3yo 8-8 (2 of 10) 12/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston (GB)
2014
2:04.04
Torchlighter (IRE)
3yo 8-12 (6 of 7) 13/2
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

bet365 Handicap Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the bet365 Handicap Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Hearthstead Maison (2007), Maputo (2013), Torchlighter (2014), Resonant (2015), Ode To Evening (2016), Communique (2018) and Zabeel Champion (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the bet365 Handicap Stakes is Andrew Balding (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the bet365 Handicap Stakes, Sir Michael Stoute has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst John Gosden has sent out 12 without a winner.

Here are some of the top bet365 Handicap Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 39-7-12 +60.50 +37.07
Andrew Balding 15-2-7 +10.00 +10.18
William Haggas 12-1-2 -5.50 -5.45
Richard Fahey 7-1-2 +1.00 +0.88
Charlie Appleby 7-1-2 -4.50 -3.56
Michael Bell 5-1-1 +6.00 +2.00
Richard Hannon 5-1-4 +5.00 +10.53
Charlie Johnston 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.50
Sir Michael Stoute 13-0-6 -13.00 -5.82
John Gosden 12-0-1 -12.00 -10.75

bet365 Handicap Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the bet365 Handicap Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and William Buick who have both won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Stature (2012) and Walkinthesand (2019). William Buick winners have been with Resonant (2015) and New London (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the bet365 Handicap Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top bet365 Handicap Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-2-9 +7.00 +7.94
William Buick 9-2-2 +6.50 +1.14
Joe Fanning 12-1-3 -4.50 -1.43
Jamie Spencer 10-1-3 -6.00 -1.24
James Doyle 8-1-1 -1.50 -3.70
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-4 +3.00 +4.34
Paul Hanagan 6-1-1 +2.00 -0.62
J F Egan 6-1-2 +1.00 +1.60
P J McDonald 4-1-3 +5.00 +6.05
Tom Queally 3-1-1 +38.00 +23.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 2, 1, 11, 7, 3, 7, 2, 10, (3, 5), 3, 9, 5, 8, 8, 5, 4, 5, 1, 4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (85%) - A RPR of no less than 55 (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Debut not at Ling (AW) or Newbury
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - A RPR of no less than 45 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Furthest Placed 1mf - 1m3½f
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 41+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 6f - 1m2f
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more -9¾l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1 (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Carried no more than 131lbs (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (73%) - Not 1 start on the ground
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 87+

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the bet365 Handicap Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the bet365 Handicap Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

bet365 Handicap Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +73.50 is when runners had 0 career places with the jockey. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career starts with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 6 (5,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (8,7) [12 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (1,2) [10 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (1,8) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (4,13) [14 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the bet365 Handicap Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 251 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 13 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the bet365 Handicap Stakes:

  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)
  • Poets Voice (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the bet365 Handicap Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • New Approach (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kings Best (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Circumvent in 2010, winning for Paul Cole at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Tom Queally. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 bet365 Handicap Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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