Ebor Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Updated: 9282 Horse Racing

We look at the Ebor Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m6f at York during the Ebor Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Ebor Handicap.

Ebor Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Ebor Handicap Preview

Ran on the Saturday of the York Ebor Festival, The Ebor Handicap, one of Europe's richest flat handicaps has a prize fund of £500,000 and has been won by an array of top stayers over the years.

The great Sea Pigeon won the Ebor in 1978 to go with his two Chester Cups and two Champion Hurdles, other notable winners include Further Flight, Sergeant Cecil and Purple Moon. It's a Class 2 handicap that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over one mile and five furlongs.

Ebor Handicap Information:

We also have a dedicated York tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Ebor Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 123%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ebor Handicap, the over-round has been 129%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £129 which is bet.

Ebor Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ebor Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +27.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Ebor Handicap.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Saeed bin Suroor trained All The Good ridden by Dane O'Neill who set the fastest winning time in the Ebor Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 2:52.05 was set when winning the race in 2008. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Luca Cumani and jockey Darryll Holland with MephistoI who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:06.10 in the 2004 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - All The Good (2:52.05)
  • 2019 - Mustajeer (2:52.97)
  • 2018 - Muntahaa (2:53.48)

Ebor Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Ebor Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ebor Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:56.41
Absurde (FR)
5yo 9-7 (24 of 22) 7/1
Frankie Dettori
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022
2:58.03
Trawlerman (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (20 of 20) 9/1
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
2:56.10
Sonnyboyliston (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (14 of 20) 10/1
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh (IRE)
2020
3:04.22
Fujaira Prince (IRE)
6yo 9-8 (12 of 21) 11/2F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2019
2:52.97
Mustajeer (GB)
6yo 9-5 (2 of 22) 16/1
Colin Keane
G M Lyons (IRE)
2018
2:53.48
Muntahaa (IRE)
5yo 9-9 (21 of 20) 11/1
Jim Crowley
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:56.54
Nakeeta (GB)
6yo 9-0 (18 of 19) 12/1
Callum Rodriguez (5lbs)
Iain Jardine (GB)
2016
2:56.13
Heartbreak City (FR)
6yo 9-1 (15 of 20) 15/2
Adam McNamara (5lbs)
A J Martin (IRE)
2015
3:00.16
Litigant (GB)
7yo 9-1 (6 of 19) 33/1
Oisin Murphy
Joseph Tuite (GB)
2014
2:56.48
Mutual Regard (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (16 of 19) 20/1
Louis Steward (5lbs)
J P Murtagh (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ebor Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 46 placings from 336 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 12 placings from 52 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ebor Handicap Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals with all of Saeed bin Suroor, W P Mullins and J P Murtagh having all won the race two times. Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with All The Good (2008) and Willing Foe (2012). W P Mullins winners have been with Sesenta (2009) and Absurde (2023). J P Murtagh winners have been with Mutual Regard (2014) and Sonnyboyliston (2021). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ebor Handicap, Andrew Balding (0-15), William Haggas (0-13), Jim Goldie (0-12), Sir Michael Stoute (0-11), Hughie Morrison (0-11) and Alan King (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 15-2-6 +24.00 +19.08
W P Mullins 13-2-3 +21.00 +10.64
J P Murtagh 3-2-2 +29.00 +17.75
Brian Ellison 9-1-2 +17.00 +10.63
A J Martin 9-1-3 -0.50 +2.07
John Gosden 8-1-3 +4.00 +4.95
Roger Varian 5-1-2 +1.50 +1.94
Jane Chapple-Hyam 4-1-2 +97.00 +61.75
G M Lyons 3-1-2 +14.00 +12.63
Iain Jardine 3-1-2 +10.00 +7.50

Ebor Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Willing Foe (2012), Trawlerman (2022) and Absurde (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ebor Handicap is Jamie Spencer (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ebor Handicap, Daniel Tudhope has ridden a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 12-3-5 +19.00 +11.45
Jamie Spencer 13-2-6 +6.50 +9.01
Jim Crowley 12-1-1 +0.00 -4.12
Andrea Atzeni 5-1-2 +1.50 +1.94
Tom Queally 5-1-1 +1.00 -0.87
J F Egan 4-1-3 +97.00 +62.81
Gary Carroll 4-1-2 +22.00 +17.26
Oisin Murphy 3-1-2 +31.00 +20.51
Dane O'Neill 2-1-1 +24.00 +14.63
Callum Rodriguez 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 4, 19, 1, 5, 2, 10, 7, 4, 4, 4, (12, 13), 14, 2, 12, 9, 1, (17, 18), 20, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Placed within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - In a field of 7 - 20 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Made 1 - 12 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 7f - 1m4f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Sex is not Colt/Filly
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Run is not G2/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Fewer than 4 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -11½l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 79+ (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 7 - 19 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Jockey)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 123 - 137lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 6 - 32 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 98+ (Hcps)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ebor Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ebor Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Ebor Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +103.00 is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 2. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-64.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 24 (3,15,21) [22 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 20 (9,8,13) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 14 (3,10,9) [20 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (14,13,21) [21 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (12,15,21) [22 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ebor Handicap is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Galway and Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 369 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 22 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ebor Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Mudawin in 2006, winning for Jane Chapple-Hyam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Ebor Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 21st August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 22nd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Friday 23rd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 24th August 2024

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