Ebor Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Class 2 Ebor Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m6f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Ebor Handicap.

Ebor Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis
Ebor Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Ebor Handicap Preview

Ran on the Saturday of the York Ebor Festival, The Ebor Handicap, one of Europe's richest flat handicaps has a prize fund of £500,000 and has been won by an array of top stayers over the years. The great Sea Pigeon won the Ebor in 1978 to go with his two Chester Cups and two Champion Hurdles, other notable winners include Further Flight, Sergeant Cecil and Purple Moon. It's a Class 2 handicap that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over one mile and five furlongs.

Ebor Handicap Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when MephistoI from Luca Cumani who under the guidance of Darryll Holland, won in a time of 3:06.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, All The Good, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Dane O'Neill set the quickest time of 2:52.05 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - All The Good (2:52.05)
  • 2019 - Mustajeer (2:52.97)
  • 2018 - Muntahaa (2:53.48)

How competitive is the Ebor Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 123%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ebor Handicap, the over-round has been 129%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £129 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ebor Handicap next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +27.00. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Ebor Handicap see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Ebor Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Ebor Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ebor Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
2:58.03
Trawlerman (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (20 of 20) 9/1
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
2:56.10
Sonnyboyliston (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (14 of 20) 10/1
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh (IRE)
2020
3:04.22
Fujaira Prince (IRE)
6yo 9-8 (12 of 21) 11/2F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2019
2:52.97
Mustajeer (GB)
6yo 9-5 (2 of 22) 16/1
Colin Keane
G M Lyons (IRE)
2018
2:53.48
Muntahaa (IRE)
5yo 9-9 (21 of 20) 11/1
Jim Crowley
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:56.54
Nakeeta (GB)
6yo 9-0 (18 of 19) 12/1
Callum Rodriguez (5lbs)
Iain Jardine (GB)
2016
2:56.13
Heartbreak City (FR)
6yo 9-1 (15 of 20) 15/2
Adam McNamara (5lbs)
A J Martin (IRE)
2015
3:00.16
Litigant (GB)
7yo 9-1 (6 of 19) 33/1
Oisin Murphy
Joseph Tuite (GB)
2014
2:56.48
Mutual Regard (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (16 of 19) 20/1
Louis Steward (5lbs)
J P Murtagh (IRE)
2013
3:03.36
Tiger Cliff (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (18 of 14) 5/1
Tom Queally
Lady Cecil (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ebor Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 14 winners with an additional 46 placings from 338 runners
  • IRE: 6 winners with an additional 12 placings from 50 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Ebor Handicap Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals with both Saeed bin Suroor & J P Murtagh who have both won the race 2 times. Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with All The Good (2008) & Willing Foe (2012). J P Murtagh winners have been with Mutual Regard (2014) & Sonnyboyliston (2021). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ebor Handicap, Mark Johnston (0-18), Andrew Balding (0-13), William Haggas (0-13), Sir Michael Stoute (0-12), Alan King (0-11), Hughie Morrison (0-11) & Jim Goldie (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 14-2-5 +25.00 +18.20
J P Murtagh 3-2-2 +29.00 +17.75
W P Mullins 13-1-2 +13.00 +5.26
Brian Ellison 9-1-2 +17.00 +10.63
A J Martin 9-1-3 -0.50 +2.07
John Gosden 8-1-3 +4.00 +4.95
David Elsworth 5-1-3 +16.00 +13.19
Roger Varian 5-1-2 +1.50 +1.94
Jane Chapple-Hyam 4-1-2 +97.00 +61.75
G M Lyons 3-1-2 +14.00 +12.63

Ebor Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Ebor Handicap over the last twenty renewals with both Jamie Spencer & Frankie Dettori who have both won the race 2 times. Jamie Spencer winners have been with Purple Moon (2007) & Dirar (2010). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Willing Foe (2012) & Trawlerman (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ebor Handicap, Daniel Tudhope has had a total of 11 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jamie Spencer 14-2-6 +5.50 +8.01
Frankie Dettori 11-2-4 +12.00 +7.07
Jim Crowley 12-1-1 +0.00 -4.12
Andrea Atzeni 5-1-2 +1.50 +1.94
Tom Queally 5-1-1 +1.00 -0.87
J F Egan 4-1-3 +97.00 +62.81
Gary Carroll 4-1-2 +22.00 +17.26
Oisin Murphy 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63
Dane O'Neill 2-1-1 +24.00 +14.63
Callum Rodriguez 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50

2023 Ebor Handicap Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,8,4,19,1,5,2,10,7,4,4,4,(12,13),14,2,12,9,1,(17,18),20

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Won in a 8+ field (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - 1-4 Career wins (Turf)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Placed within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Made 1-12 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Ran over 7f - 1m4f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - A RPR no less than 36 (Hcp)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more 11½l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not a colt or filly
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not highest class ran of G2
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Field of 7-19 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 123-137lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 6-32 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Course)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Within 9lb of lowest OR
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more than 13l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (91%) - Ran over 1m4f+ (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (62%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ebor Handicap. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Ebor Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Ebor Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +125.00 is when runners had a highest class run of Class 2. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-63.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 20 (9,8,13) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 14 (3,10,9) [20 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (14,13,21) [21 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 2 (12,15,21) [22 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 21 (13,17,20) [20 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ebor Handicap is Ascot, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 371 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 20 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ebor Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 8 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Mudawin in 2006 when winning for Jane Chapple-Hyam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Ebor Handicap.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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