Ebor Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

One of the richest handicaps in Europe, the Ebor Handicap preview uncovers past winner patterns, trainer records, jockey success and key trends that consistently shape the result at York’s summer showpiece.
Ebor Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2025 Ebor Handicap Preview

Ran on the Saturday of the York Ebor Festival, The Ebor Handicap, one of Europe's richest flat handicaps, has a prize fund of £500,000 and has been won by an array of top stayers over the years.

The great Sea Pigeon won the Ebor in 1978 to go with his two Chester Cups and two Champion Hurdles; other notable winners include Further Flight, Sergeant Cecil and Purple Moon.

It's a Class 2 handicap that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over one mile and five furlongs.

Ebor Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Ebor Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 123%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 139%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ebor Handicap, the over-round has been 130%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £130 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2025 Ebor Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Ebor Handicap Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Ebor Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. All The Good (2:52.05) in 2008
  2. Mustajeer (2:52.97) in 2019
  3. Muntahaa (2:53.48) in 2018

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Ebor Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +27.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Ebor Handicap, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Fujaira Prince from Roger Varian under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni, won in a time of 3:04.22, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, All The Good, trained by Saeed bin Suroor and ridden by Dane O'Neill set the quickest time of 2:52.05 in the 2008 renewal.

What the expert says...
Not many of the winners go on to win next time out; from the nineteen who ran again between 2005 & 2024, only two of those won. Five of the winners headed down under to the Melbourne Cup, Heartbreak City (2nd) in 2016, doing the best of those.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Ebor Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Ebor Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Ebor Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
2:58.21
Magical Zoe (IRE)
6yo 9-6 (1 of 20) 11/2F
W J Lee
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2023
2:56.41
Absurde (FR)
5yo 9-7 (24 of 22) 7/1
Frankie Dettori
W P Mullins (IRE)
2022
2:58.03
Trawlerman (IRE)
4yo 9-3 (20 of 20) 9/1
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
2:56.10
Sonnyboyliston (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (14 of 20) 10/1
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh (IRE)
2020
3:04.22
Fujaira Prince (IRE)
6yo 9-8 (12 of 21) 11/2F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2019
2:52.97
Mustajeer (GB)
6yo 9-5 (2 of 22) 16/1
Colin Keane
G M Lyons (IRE)
2018
2:53.48
Muntahaa (IRE)
5yo 9-9 (21 of 20) 11/1
Jim Crowley
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:56.54
Nakeeta (GB)
6yo 9-0 (18 of 19) 12/1
Callum Rodriguez (5lbs)
Iain Jardine (GB)
2016
2:56.13
Heartbreak City (FR)
6yo 9-1 (15 of 20) 15/2
Adam McNamara (5lbs)
A J Martin (IRE)
2015
3:00.16
Litigant (GB)
7yo 9-1 (6 of 19) 33/1
Oisin Murphy
Joseph Tuite (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ebor Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 12 winners with an additional 47 placings from 333 runners
  • IRE: 8 winners with an additional 11 placings from 56 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 2 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2024 Ebor Handicap Replay


Ebor Handicap Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals, with Saeed bin Suroor, W P Mullins, and J P Murtagh having all won the race two times. Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with All The Good (2008) and Willing Foe (2012). W P Mullins winners have been with Sesenta (2009) and Absurde (2023). J P Murtagh winners have been with Mutual Regard (2014) and Sonnyboyliston (2021). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ebor Handicap. Andrew Balding (0-17), William Haggas (0-14), Jim Goldie (0-12), Sir Michael Stoute (0-11), Hughie Morrison (0-11) and Alan King (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Saeed bin Suroor14-2-6+25.00+20.08
W P Mullins14-2-3+20.00+9.64
J P Murtagh3-2-2+29.00+17.75
Brian Ellison10-1-2+16.00+9.63
A J Martin9-1-3-0.50+2.07
John Gosden8-1-3+4.00+4.95
Roger Varian5-1-2+1.50+1.94
Jane Chapple-Hyam4-1-2+97.00+61.75
G M Lyons3-1-2+14.00+12.63
Iain Jardine3-1-2+10.00+7.50

Ebor Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ebor Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Willing Foe (2012), Trawlerman (2022) and Absurde (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Ebor Handicap is Jamie Spencer (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ebor Handicap; Daniel Tudhope has ridden 13 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ebor Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Frankie Dettori11-3-5+20.00+12.45
Jamie Spencer12-2-5+7.50+8.38
Jim Crowley13-1-1-1.00-5.12
Gary Carroll5-1-2+21.00+16.26
Andrea Atzeni5-1-2+1.50+1.94
Tom Queally5-1-1+1.00-0.87
J F Egan4-1-3+97.00+62.81
Oisin Murphy4-1-2+30.00+19.51
Callum Rodriguez3-1-1+10.00+5.50
Dane O'Neill2-1-1+24.00+14.63

Ebor Handicap Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +103.50, is when runners had 0 career starts at the track.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place over further, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-70.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 1 (8,10,16) [20 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 24 (3,15,21) [22 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 20 (9,8,13) [20 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 14 (3,10,9) [20 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (14,13,21) [21 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ebor Handicap is Ascot; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Galway; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Galway last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 369 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 23 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ebor Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Mudawin in 2006, winning for Jane Chapple-Hyam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of J F Egan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Ebor Handicap, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Route to the Ebor Handicap

Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Ebor Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2024 - Magical Zoe
Fairyhouse - 3rd of 10 (10/3)
Darley Irish EBF Stanerra Stakes
2023 - Absurde
Galway - 6th of 9 (4/6)
COLM QUINN BMW Novice Hurdle
2022 - Trawlerman
Goodwood - 1st of 13 (6/1)
Summer Handicap
2021 - Sonnyboyliston
York - 6th of 10 (11/2)
John Smiths Silver Cup Stakes
2020 - Fujaira Prince
Ascot - 1st of 16 (3/1)
Copper Horse Stakes
2019 - Mustajeer
Curragh - 5th of 10 (14/1)
Comer Group International Curragh Cup
2018 - Muntahaa
Newmarket (July) - 4th of 7 (12/1)
Princess of Wales's Stakes
2017 - Nakeeta
Newmarket (July) - 4th of 14 (8/1)
John Sunley Memorial Handicap
2016 - Heartbreak City
Galway - 1st of 12 (3/1)
Guinness Handicap Hurdle
2015 - Litigant
Lingfield (AW) - 1st of 14 (2/1)
All-Weather Marathon Championships

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Ebor Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.

Wednesday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Symphony Group Handicap
Jm Jungle (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
John & Sean Quinn
Jason Hart
14:25 York
Acomb Stakes
The Lion In Winter (IRE)
2yo - 2/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:00 York
Great Voltigeur Stakes
Los Angeles (IRE)
3yo - 5/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
15:35 York
Juddmonte International Stakes
City Of Troy (USA)
3yo - 5/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:10 York
Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap
Extensio (IRE)
7yo - 14/1
P F O'Donnell
J M Sheridan

Thursday at the Ebor Festival

The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Lowther Stakes
Celandine (GB)
2yo - 13/2
Ed Walker
Tom Marquand
14:25 York
Premier Yearling Stakes
Diligently (GB)
2yo - 22/1
Clive Cox
Rossa Ryan
15:00 York
Clipper Handicap
Thunder Run (IRE)
3yo - 6/1
K R Burke
David Egan
15:35 York
Yorkshire Oaks
Content (IRE)
3yo - 3/1
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
16:10 York
Galtres Stakes
Scenic (FR)
4yo - 8/1
Ed Walker
Oisin Murphy
17:20 York
Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap
Alfa Kellenic (GB)
3yo - 17/2
Craig Lidster
Tom Eaves

Friday at the Ebor Festival

The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap
Shadow Dance (GB)
4yo - 6/1
Roger Varian
James Doyle
14:25 York
Lonsdale Cup
Vauban (FR)
6yo - 11/2
W P Mullins
William Buick
15:00 York
Gimcrack Stakes
Cool Hoof Luke (GB)
2yo - 8/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
15:35 York
Nunthorpe Stakes
Bradsell (GB)
4yo - 3/1
Archie Watson
Hollie Doyle
17:20 York
Ebor Festival 3yo Heritage Handicap
Treasure Time (GB)
3yo - 13/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand

Saturday at the Ebor Festival

The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:50 York
Strensall Stakes
See The Fire (GB)
3yo - 3/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
14:25 York
Melrose Heritage Handicap
Tabletalk (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
Tom Clover
Rossa Ryan
15:00 York
City of York Stakes
Breege (GB)
4yo - 33/1
John & Sean Quinn
Colin Keane
15:35 York
Ebor Handicap
Magical Zoe (IRE)
6yo - 11/2
Henry De Bromhead
W J Lee
16:45 York
Roses Stakes
Tropical Storm (GB)
2yo - 5/2
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
17:20 York
Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap
Sir Busker (IRE)
8yo - 14/1
William Knight
Brandon Wilkie

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Ebor Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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