Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

Updated: 405 Horse Racing

We look at the Princess of Wales's Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m4f at Newmarket during the July Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Princess of Wales's Preview

Established in 1894, the Princess of Wales's is scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse, this is a Group 2 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old or older, the race is run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Princess of Wales's Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Princess of Wales's Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +11.65. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Princess of Wales's Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2014 renewal when Cavalryman from Saeed bin Suroor under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa, won in a time of 2:37.04, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Israr, trained by John & Thady Gosden and ridden by Jim Crowley set the quickest time of 2:27.33 in the 2023 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2023 - Israr (2:27.33)
  • 2013 - Universal (2:28.45)
  • 2019 - Communique (2:28.63)

Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Princess of Wales's Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:27.33
Israr (GB)
4yo 9-8 (3 of 4) 7/2
Jim Crowley
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
2:28.91
Yibir (GB)
4yo 9-8 (6 of 6) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:29.15
Sir Ron Priestley (GB)
5yo 9-9 (4 of 5) 100/30
Franny Norton
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
2:34.40
Dame Malliot (GB)
4yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 8/1
Hollie Doyle
Ed Vaughan (GB)
2019
2:28.63
Communique (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (1 of 6) 11/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
2:31.40
Best Solution (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (8 of 7) 6/1
Pat Cosgrave
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2017
2:31.00
Hawkbill (USA)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016
2:29.93
Big Orange (GB)
5yo 9-2 (5 of 7) 8/1
James McDonald
Michael Bell (GB)
2015
2:29.00
Big Orange (GB)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 8) 25/1
Jamie Spencer
Michael Bell (GB)
2014
2:37.04
Cavalryman (GB)
8yo 9-2 (4 of 6) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)

Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Sir Michael Stoute and Mark Johnston who have both won the race five times. Sir Michael Stoute winners have been Gamut (2005), Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). Mark Johnston's winners have been Bandari (2004), Soapy Danger (2006), Universal (2013), Communique (2019) and Sir Ron Priestley (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes are Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins), Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Michael Bell (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 16-5-10 +19.50 +12.68
Mark Johnston 12-5-6 +27.33 +13.23
Saeed bin Suroor 15-2-6 +2.00 +3.03
Charlie Appleby 9-2-3 -2.12 -1.29
Michael Bell 3-2-2 +32.00 +19.00
John Gosden 15-1-5 -8.00 -5.20
John & Thady Gosden 2-1-1 +2.50 -1.00
Ed Vaughan 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00
Andrew Balding 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
David Simcock 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Princess of Wales's Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-4-9 +16.50 +13.24
Silvestre De Sousa 6-2-2 +16.00 +8.51
James Doyle 8-1-1 -3.50 -3.81
Jim Crowley 8-1-2 -3.50 -6.44
William Buick 5-1-2 -2.62 -1.48
Joe Fanning 4-1-2 +0.00 +0.07
Jamie Spencer 3-1-2 +23.00 +13.84
Tom Queally 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.40
Franny Norton 2-1-1 +2.33 +1.08
Hollie Doyle 1-1-1 +8.00 +5.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 2, 10, 2, 9, 4, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 2, 2, 2, 6, 4, 2, (1, 6), 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not had 2 career wins
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in CAN/DEU/IRL/ITA/QAT/SCO (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Won within last 6 starts
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 8 starts (Going)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 6 of market
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 24+ (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last 5)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Highest Won is not Cl2-3
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Ran over 1m3f+ (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Holds an OR of 108+
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - Had contested at least a G2
  • 18 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Princess of Wales's Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +56.88 is when runners were aged 4yo. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 13 on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-18.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (3) [5 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (3) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 129 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 6 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes:

  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Duke Of Marmalade (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Frankel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Orange in 2015, winning for Michael Bell at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Princess of Wales's Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

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