Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 20 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Princess of Wales's Preview
Established in 1894, the Princess of Wales's is scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse. This is a Group 2 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old or older. The race is run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Information:
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Princess of Wales's Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Princess of Wales's Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Princess of Wales's Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Israr (2:27.33) in 2023
- Universal (2:28.45) in 2013
- Communique (2:28.63) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +10.65. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Israr, trained by John & Thady Gosden and ridden by Jim Crowley, who set the fastest winning time in the Princess of Wales's Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 2:27.33 in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Saeed bin Suroor and jockey Silvestre De Sousa with Cavalryman who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:37.04 in the 2014 renewal.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Princess of Wales's Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:31.20 | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (5 of 6) 100/30 | Oisin Murphy Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2023 2:27.33 | Israr (GB) 4yo 9-8 (3 of 4) 7/2 | Jim Crowley John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 2:28.91 | Yibir (GB) 4yo 9-8 (6 of 6) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:29.15 | Sir Ron Priestley (GB) 5yo 9-9 (4 of 5) 100/30 | Franny Norton Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.40 | Dame Malliot (GB) 4yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 8/1 | Hollie Doyle Ed Vaughan (GB) |
| 2019 2:28.63 | Communique (IRE) 4yo 9-9 (1 of 6) 11/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2018 2:31.40 | Best Solution (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (8 of 7) 6/1 | Pat Cosgrave Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2017 2:31.00 | Hawkbill (USA) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2 | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2016 2:29.93 | Big Orange (GB) 5yo 9-2 (5 of 7) 8/1 | James McDonald Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2015 2:29.00 | Big Orange (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 8) 25/1 | Jamie Spencer Michael Bell (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Princess of Wales's Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 23 placings from 132 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Princess of Wales's Stakes Replay
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Charlie Appleby, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Hawkbill (2017) and Yibir (2022).
Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Appleby | 9-2-3 | -2.12 | -1.29 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | -0.94 |
Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012).
Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Palladium) | 17-4-9 | +15.50 | +12.24 |
| James Doyle (Arabian Crown) | 8-1-1 | -3.50 | -3.81 |
| William Buick (El Cordobes) | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -1.48 |
| David Egan (Ghostwriter) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 10, 2, 9, 4, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 2, 2, 2, 6, 4, 2, (1, 6), 2, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 8 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in CAN/DEU/IRL/ITA/QAT/SCO (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 11/1
- 18 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 18 / 20 (81%) - No more than -3lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)
- 17 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 4/1 (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (68%) - Held an OR of 111+ (Career)
- 17 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (78%) - No older than a 5yo
- 17 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Win)
- 16 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Princess of Wales's Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Shortlist
Newmarket will host the 2025 renewal of the Princess of Wales's Stakes, which will be run at 3:35 pm on Thursday, 10th July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Arabian Crown (6/1)
- Charlie Appleby (9-2-3 -2.12 / -1.29)
- James Doyle (8-1-1 -3.50 / -3.81)
Others: Ghostwriter (13/15), El Cordobes (13/15), Palladium (12/15) and Wimbledon Hawkeye (10/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (4:19 pm Tuesday 8th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +58.88, is when runners were aged 4.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-16.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 4 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is York; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 126 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Duke Of Marmalade (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Orange in 2015, winning for Michael Bell at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Princess of Wales's Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Princess of Wales's Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Giavellotto York - 1st of 6 (7/2) | Yorkshire Cup |
| 2023 - Israr York - 2nd of 6 (11/8) | Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes |
| 2022 - Yibir Belmont Park - 3rd of 5 (31/20) | Man oWar Stakes |
| 2021 - Sir Ron Priestley Ascot - 7th of 10 (14/1) | Hardwicke Stakes |
| 2020 - Dame Malliot Doncaster - 6th of 8 (9/4) | Park Hill Stakes |
| 2019 - Communique Ascot - 8th of 8 (14/1) | Hardwicke Stakes |
| 2018 - Best Solution Meydan - 5th of 10 (41/1) | Dubai Sheema Classic |
| 2017 - Hawkbill Saint-Cloud - 6th of 10 (9/2) | Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud |
| 2016 - Big Orange Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 6 (7/1) | Jockey Club Stakes |
| 2015 - Big Orange York - 7th of 10 (8/1) | Stowe Family Law LLP Grand Cup |
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Princess of Waless Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the July Festival
The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:25 Newmarket July Stakes | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Sprint Handicap | Sergeant Wilko (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Princess of Wales's Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the July Festival
Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket bet365 Handicap | Involvement (GB) 3yo - 100/30 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Newmarket Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Arabian Dusk (GB) 2yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Trophy Heritage Handicap | Fairbanks (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Falmouth Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Saturday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:50 Newmarket Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 4yo - 15/2 | Ian Williams Rossa Ryan |
| 15:25 Newmarket bet365 Mile Handicap | First Conquest (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:00 Newmarket Superlative Stakes | Ancient Truth (IRE) 2yo - 4/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:35 Newmarket July Cup | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
