Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)

The Princess of Wales's Stakes, held annually at Newmarket during the July Festival over a distance of 1m4f, is a race rich with history. In this preview, we uncover winning formulas by highlighting notable records and the key trends formed across past renewals.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (July Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Princess of Wales's Preview

Established in 1894, the Princess of Wales's is scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse. This is a Group 2 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old or older, with the race being run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Princess of Wales's Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2026, when the race had an over-round of 105%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Princess of Wales's Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Princess of Wales's Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Israr (2:27.33) in 2023
  2. Rebels Romance (2:27.83) in 2026
  3. Universal (2:28.45) in 2013

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +16.65. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Princess of Wales's Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.33 was set by Israr in 2023, trained by John & Thady Gosden and ridden by Jim Crowley, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2014 when Cavalryman won in a time of 2:37.04 for trainer Saeed bin Suroor, who booked Silvestre De Sousa in the saddle.

What the expert says...
The Hardwicke has been responsible for six of the last eighteen winners of this race; the last to do so was Sir Ron Priestley in 2021, who finished seventh in the Hardwicke before coming to win this race.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Princess of Wales's Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
2:27.83
Rebels Romance (IRE)
8yo 9-11 (1 of 4) 8/11F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2025
2:32.36
El Cordobes (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (3 of 4) 7/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2024
2:31.20
Giavellotto (IRE)
5yo 9-11 (5 of 6) 100/30
Oisin Murphy
Marco Botti (GB)
2023
2:27.33
Israr (GB)
4yo 9-8 (3 of 4) 7/2
Jim Crowley
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
2:28.91
Yibir (GB)
4yo 9-8 (6 of 6) 11/8F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2021
2:29.15
Sir Ron Priestley (GB)
5yo 9-9 (4 of 5) 100/30
Franny Norton
Mark Johnston (GB)
2020
2:34.40
Dame Malliot (GB)
4yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 8/1
Hollie Doyle
Ed Vaughan (GB)
2019
2:28.63
Communique (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (1 of 6) 11/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
2:31.40
Best Solution (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (8 of 7) 6/1
Pat Cosgrave
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2017
2:31.00
Hawkbill (USA)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Princess of Wales's Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 22 placings from 131 runners
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

2026 Princess of Wales's Stakes Replay


Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Sir Michael Stoute and Charlie Appleby, who have both won the race four times. Sir Michael Stoute's winners have been with Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). Charlie Appleby's winners have been with Hawkbill (2017), Yibir (2022), El Cordobes (2025) and Rebels Romance (2026). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes are Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins) and Michael Bell (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Sir Michael Stoute14-4-9+18.50+11.43
Charlie Appleby13-4-5+0.11-1.29
Saeed bin Suroor13-2-5+4.00+4.39
Michael Bell3-2-2+32.00+19.00
John Gosden13-1-4-6.00-3.85
John & Thady Gosden4-1-2+0.50-0.94
Marco Botti3-1-2+1.33+3.08
Ed Vaughan1-1-1+8.00+5.00
Andrew Balding6-0-0-6.00-5.00
Roger Varian4-0-0-4.00-4.00

Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes are William Buick (3 wins) and Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore17-4-9+15.50+12.24
William Buick7-3-4+1.61-1.48
Silvestre De Sousa6-2-2+16.00+8.51
James Doyle10-1-1-5.50-3.81
Jim Crowley8-1-2-3.50-6.44
Joe Fanning4-1-2+0.00+0.07
Jamie Spencer3-1-2+23.00+13.84
Oisin Murphy3-1-1+1.33+1.08
Tom Queally2-1-1+13.00+7.40
Hollie Doyle2-1-1+7.00+4.00

2027 Princess of Wales's Stakes Runners & Shortlist

The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Princess of Wales's Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.

Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +61.38, is when runners were aged 4.

❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins on the going; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-24.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (3) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is York; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 125 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 7 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes:

  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Duke Of Marmalade (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes; that stallion is Dansili, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Orange in 2015, winning for Michael Bell at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Route to the Princess of Wales's Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Princess of Wales's Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Rebels Romance
Meydan - 1st of 8 (2/9)
Dubai City Of Gold Sponsored By emirates.com
2025 - El Cordobes
York - 3rd of 4 (5/1)
Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes
2024 - Giavellotto
York - 1st of 6 (7/2)
Yorkshire Cup
2023 - Israr
York - 2nd of 6 (11/8)
Sky Bet Race To The Ebor Grand Cup Stakes
2022 - Yibir
Belmont Park - 3rd of 5 (31/20)
Man oWar Stakes
2021 - Sir Ron Priestley
Ascot - 7th of 10 (14/1)
Hardwicke Stakes
2020 - Dame Malliot
Doncaster - 6th of 8 (9/4)
Park Hill Stakes
2019 - Communique
Ascot - 8th of 8 (14/1)
Hardwicke Stakes
2018 - Best Solution
Meydan - 5th of 10 (41/1)
Dubai Sheema Classic
2017 - Hawkbill
Saint-Cloud - 6th of 10 (9/2)
Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud

Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Princess of Waless Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the July Festival

The highlight on Thursday, known as Ladies Day, is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a Group 2 contest over one mile and four furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Bahrain Trophy StakesPoint Of Law (GB)
3yo - 5/2
John & Thady Gosden
James Doyle
July StakesInner City Blues (IRE)
2yo - 5/6
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July Festival Sprint HandicapJazl (IRE)
3yo - 12/1
Simon & Ed Crisford
Jack Mitchell
Princess of Wales's StakesRebels Romance (IRE)
8yo - 8/11
Charlie Appleby
William Buick

Friday at the July Festival

Festival Friday, as it is known, features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes, which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
July Festival HandicapHeraldry (GB)
3yo - 5/1
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Duchess of Cambridge StakesSenorita Bonita (IRE)
2yo - 9/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
Oisin Murphy
Betway TrophyValedictory (GB)
4yo - 7/2
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Falmouth StakesBlue Bolt (IRE)
4yo - 85/40
Andrew Balding
Colin Keane

Saturday at the July Festival

As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series; this race is contested over six furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Newmarket Handicap StakesSt Anton (IRE)
3yo - 10/1
Richard Hannon
Pat Dobbs
Bunbury CupAalto (FR)
6yo - 4/1
Ian Williams
William Buick
Superlative StakesAl Hudaiba (GB)
2yo - 5/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
July CupComanche Brave (IRE)
4yo - 11/1
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Billy Loughnane

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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