Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Princess of Wales's Preview
Established in 1894, the Princess of Wales's is scheduled to take place during the July Festival each year at the Newmarket Racecourse, this is a Group 2 race that is open to runners who are aged three years old or older, the race is run over a distance of one mile and four furlongs.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Information:
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Princess of Wales's Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Princess of Wales's Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +11.65. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Israr, trained by John & Thady Gosden and ridden by Jim Crowley who set the fastest winning time in the Princess of Wales's Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:27.33 when winning the race in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Saeed bin Suroor and jockey Silvestre De Sousa with Cavalryman who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:37.04 in the 2014 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Israr (2:27.33) in 2023
- Universal (2:28.45) in 2013
- Communique (2:28.63) in 2019
What the expert says...
The Hardwicke has been responsible for seven of the last twenty winners of this race, the last to do so was Sir Ron Priestley in 2021 who finished seventh in the Hardwicke before coming to win this race.Princess of Wales's Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Princess of Wales's Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Princess of Wales's Stakes and the jockey is also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:31.20 | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (5 of 6) 100/30 | Oisin Murphy Marco Botti (GB) |
| 2023 2:27.33 | Israr (GB) 4yo 9-8 (3 of 4) 7/2 | Jim Crowley John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 2:28.91 | Yibir (GB) 4yo 9-8 (6 of 6) 11/8F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:29.15 | Sir Ron Priestley (GB) 5yo 9-9 (4 of 5) 100/30 | Franny Norton Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.40 | Dame Malliot (GB) 4yo 9-3 (2 of 7) 8/1 | Hollie Doyle Ed Vaughan (GB) |
| 2019 2:28.63 | Communique (IRE) 4yo 9-9 (1 of 6) 11/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2018 2:31.40 | Best Solution (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (8 of 7) 6/1 | Pat Cosgrave Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2017 2:31.00 | Hawkbill (USA) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2 | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2016 2:29.93 | Big Orange (GB) 5yo 9-2 (5 of 7) 8/1 | James McDonald Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2015 2:29.00 | Big Orange (GB) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 8) 25/1 | Jamie Spencer Michael Bell (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Princess of Wales's Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 23 placings from 132 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Gamut (2005), Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes are Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins), Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Michael Bell (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 16-5-10 | +19.50 | +12.68 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 13-2-5 | +4.00 | +4.39 |
| Charlie Appleby | 9-2-3 | -2.12 | -1.29 |
| Michael Bell | 3-2-2 | +32.00 | +19.00 |
| John Gosden | 14-1-5 | -7.00 | -4.20 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | -0.94 |
| Marco Botti | 3-1-2 | +1.33 | +3.08 |
| Ed Vaughan | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| David Simcock | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -4.00 |
Princess of Wales's Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Princess of Wales's Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Papal Bull (2007), Doctor Fremantle (2009), Crystal Capella (2011) and Fiorente (2012). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Princess of Wales's Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Princess of Wales's Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 17-4-9 | +15.50 | +12.24 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-2-2 | +16.00 | +8.51 |
| James Doyle | 8-1-1 | -3.50 | -3.81 |
| Jim Crowley | 8-1-2 | -3.50 | -6.44 |
| William Buick | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -1.48 |
| Joe Fanning | 4-1-2 | +0.00 | +0.07 |
| Jamie Spencer | 3-1-2 | +23.00 | +13.84 |
| Tom Queally | 2-1-1 | +13.00 | +7.40 |
| Hollie Doyle | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Franny Norton | 2-1-1 | +2.33 | +1.08 |
2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 2, 10, 2, 9, 4, 2, 4, 1, 4, 6, 2, 2, 2, 6, 4, 2, (1, 6), 2, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 8 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in CAN/DEU/IRL/ITA/QAT/SCO (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 11/1
- 18 / 20 (75%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 18 / 20 (81%) - No more than -3lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Last 3)
- 17 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 4/1 (Last Win)
- 17 / 20 (68%) - Held an OR of 111+ (Career)
- 17 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (78%) - No older than a 5yo
- 17 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Career Win)
- 16 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Princess of Wales's Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Princess of Wales's Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +58.88 is when runners were aged 4. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a field of 8 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-16.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 (4) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 [4 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 4 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (7) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 126 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Princess of Wales's Stakes:
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Duke Of Marmalade (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Princess of Wales's Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Frankel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Dansili (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Orange in 2015, winning for Michael Bell at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jamie Spencer. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Princess of Wales's Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Other Principal races during the Newmarket July Festival
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Princess of Wales's Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the July Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Friday at the July Festival
The highlight on the Friday, known as Ladies Day is the Princess of Wales's Stakes, a group 2 contested over one mile and four furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket Bahrain Trophy Stakes | Ancient Wisdom (FR) 3yo - 6/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:25 Newmarket July Stakes | Whistlejacket (IRE) 2yo - 11/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 Newmarket bet365 Sprint Handicap | Sergeant Wilko (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 Newmarket Princess of Wales's Stakes | Giavellotto (IRE) 5yo - 100/30 | Marco Botti Oisin Murphy |
Saturday at the July Festival
Festival Friday as it is known features the Group 1 Falmouth Stakes which is part of the British Champion Series and is run over a mile.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Newmarket bet365 Handicap | Involvement (GB) 3yo - 100/30 | Simon & Ed Crisford Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 Newmarket Duchess of Cambridge Stakes | Arabian Dusk (GB) 2yo - 12/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford Harry Davies |
| 15:35 Newmarket Falmouth Stakes | Porta Fortuna (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Sunday at the July Festival
As the name would indicate, 'July Cup Day', the main race on the final day of the July Festival is the July Cup, another race which is part of the British Champion Series, this race is contested over six furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:50 Newmarket bet365 Mile Handicap | First Conquest (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:25 Newmarket Superlative Stakes | Ancient Truth (IRE) 2yo - 4/6 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 16:00 Newmarket Bunbury Cup | Aalto (FR) 4yo - 15/2 | Ian Williams Rossa Ryan |
| 16:35 Newmarket July Cup | Mill Stream (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Jane Chapple-Hyam William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Princess of Wales's Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal races at Newmarket racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in September (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap
- Jockey Club Rose Bowl
- Tattersall Stakes
- Godolphin Stakes
- Joel Stakes
- Princess Royal Stakes
- Rockfel Stakes
- Rosemary Stakes
- Cambridgeshire Handicap
- Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap
- Cheveley Park Stakes
- Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery
- Middle Park Stakes
- Royal Lodge Stakes
Races in October
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
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