Rockfel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

Updated: 939 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Rockfel Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Rockfel Stakes, a race run over 7f at Newmarket during the Cambridgeshire Meeting.

Rockfel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Rockfel Stakes Preview

Scheduled to take place in either late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Rockfel Stakes is a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only and run over a straight seven-furlong trip where a 3lb penalty is carried by previous Group 1 or Group 2 winners.

The race is currently featured on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting, some leading contenders will go on to run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season, Finsceal Bao (06-07) was the fourth and last filly to win both races.

Rockfel Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.

How competitive is the Rockfel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Rockfel Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Rockfel Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Rockfel Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.87. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Maids Causeway from B W Hills under the guidance of Michael Hills, won in a time of 1:28.93, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Isabella Giles, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Adam Kirby set the quickest time of 1:22.55 in the 2020 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2020 - Isabella Giles (1:22.55)
  • 2014 - Lucida (1:22.82)
  • 2023 - Carlas Way (1:23.01)

Rockfel Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Rockfel Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Rockfel Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:23.01
Carlas Way (IRE)
2yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2
James Doyle
Simon & Ed Crisford (GB)
2022
1:24.40
Commissioning (GB)
2yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 7/2
Robert Havlin
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
1:23.12
Hello You (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 7/1
Rossa Ryan
David Loughnane (GB)
2020
1:22.55
Isabella Giles (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 11/5
Adam Kirby
Clive Cox (GB)
2019
1:24.14
Daahyeh (GB)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/8F
William Buick
Roger Varian (GB)
2018
1:25.30
Just Wonderful (USA)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 7/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2017
1:27.23
Juliet Capulet (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 9/1
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2016
1:24.92
Spain Burg (FR)
2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 14/1
Frankie Dettori
X Thomas-Demeaulte (FR)
2015
1:23.55
Promising Run (USA)
2yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 5/1
James Doyle
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2014
1:22.82
Lucida (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 9) 1/1F
Kevin Manning
J S Bolger (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Rockfel Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 14 winners with an additional 34 placings from 164 runners
  • IRE: 5 winners with an additional 2 placings from 26 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Rockfel Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Kitty Matcham (2007), Wading (2011) and Just Wonderful (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes is J S Bolger (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 11-3-3 +8.25 +1.75
J S Bolger 8-2-4 -2.75 -0.65
Roger Varian 9-1-3 -6.62 -3.52
Sir Michael Stoute 8-1-3 -3.50 -2.95
Charles Hills 5-1-2 +2.00 +2.10
Saeed bin Suroor 4-1-1 +2.00 +0.13
John & Thady Gosden 3-1-1 +1.50 +0.10
John Gosden 2-1-1 +8.00 +4.40
David Loughnane 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Clive Cox 2-1-1 +1.20 +0.38

Rockfel Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Cape Dollar (2010), Wading (2011) and Just Wonderful (2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and James Doyle (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 17-3-4 -4.25 -6.77
Frankie Dettori 13-2-6 +12.00 +7.34
James Doyle 6-2-4 +4.50 +3.42
William Buick 8-1-2 -5.62 -5.27
Rossa Ryan 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Martin Harley 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
Adam Kirby 2-1-1 +1.20 +0.38
Robert Havlin 1-1-1 +3.50 +2.10
Andrea Atzeni 6-0-2 -6.00 -3.35
Jim Crowley 6-0-2 -6.00 -4.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, 1, 7, 10, 3, 3, 2, 8, 4, 1, 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 4, 6, 9, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not Cl2/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 8 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 119 - 128lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a Cl2 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 74+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in DEU/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 6 - 123 days (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Rockfel Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Rockfel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Rockfel Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.20 is when runners were IRE bred. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-33.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (6) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (6,12) [14 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 9 (3,10) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 7 (8,2) [8 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Rockfel Stakes are Goodwood and Curragh, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Music Show in 2009, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Kieren Fallon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Thursday 26th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Tattersall Stakes Alyanaabi (IRE)
2yo - 4/1
Owen Burrows
Jim Crowley
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Trawlerman (IRE)
5yo - 1/5
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap Divina Grace (IRE)
3yo - 18/1
Rae Guest
Callum Shepherd

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Friday 27th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Rosemary Stakes Coppice (GB)
3yo - 11/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Princess Royal Stakes Time Lock (GB)
4yo - 9/2
Harry & Roger Charlton
Ryan Moore
Rockfel Stakes Carlas Way (IRE)
2yo - 7/2
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Joel Stakes Mutasaabeq (GB)
5yo - 11/4
Charles Hills
Jim Crowley
Godolphin Stakes Tregony (GB)
5yo - 10/1
Clive Cox
Saffie Osborne

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Saturday 28th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Royal Lodge Stakes Ghostwriter (IRE)
2yo - 100/30
Clive Cox
Richard Kingscote
Cheveley Park Stakes Porta Fortuna (IRE)
2yo - 9/2
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Oisin Murphy
Middle Park Stakes Vandeek (GB)
2yo - 5/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Cambridgeshire Handicap Astro King (IRE)
6yo - 20/1
Daniel & Claire Kubler
Richard Kingscote
Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery Wild Goddess (GB)
2yo - 11/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap Catch The Paddy (IRE)
3yo - 16/1
Kevin Ryan
Ronan Whelan

No Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Keep Reading

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!