Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Rockfel Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in either late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Rockfel Stakes is a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a straight seven-furlong trip where a 3lb penalty is carried by previous Group 1 or Group 2 winners.
The race is currently featured on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting, some leading contenders will go on to run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season, Finsceal Bao (06-07) was the fourth and last filly to win both races.
Rockfel Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
How competitive is the Rockfel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Rockfel Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Rockfel Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Rockfel Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +9.87. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Isabella Giles, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Adam Kirby who set the fastest winning time in the Rockfel Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:22.55 when winning the race in 2020. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori with Juliet Capulet who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:27.23 in the 2017 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Isabella Giles (1:22.55) in 2020
- Lucida (1:22.82) in 2014
- Carlas Way (1:23.01) in 2023
Rockfel Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Rockfel Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Rockfel Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:27.20 | Bubbling (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:23.01 | Carlas Way (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2 | James Doyle Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2022 1:24.40 | Commissioning (GB) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 7/2 | Robert Havlin John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 1:23.12 | Hello You (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 7/1 | Rossa Ryan David Loughnane (GB) |
| 2020 1:22.55 | Isabella Giles (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 11/5 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:24.14 | Daahyeh (GB) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/8F | William Buick Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.30 | Just Wonderful (USA) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 7/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:27.23 | Juliet Capulet (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 9/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 1:24.92 | Spain Burg (FR) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 14/1 | Frankie Dettori X Thomas-Demeaulte (FR) |
| 2015 1:23.55 | Promising Run (USA) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 5/1 | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Rockfel Stakes have been based:
- GB: 13 winners with an additional 33 placings from 161 runners
- IRE: 6 winners with an additional 2 placings from 26 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Rockfel Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Kitty Matcham (2007), Wading (2011), Just Wonderful (2018) and Bubbling (2024). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes is J S Bolger (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 11-4-4 | +10.63 | +3.61 |
| J S Bolger | 8-2-4 | -2.75 | -0.65 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-1-3 | -4.50 | -3.95 |
| Roger Varian | 9-1-3 | -6.62 | -3.52 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +2.10 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.13 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Clive Cox | 3-1-1 | +0.20 | -0.62 |
| John Gosden | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| David Loughnane | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
Rockfel Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Cape Dollar (2010), Wading (2011), Just Wonderful (2018) and Bubbling (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and James Doyle (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-4-5 | -2.87 | -5.91 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-2-6 | +13.00 | +8.34 |
| James Doyle | 6-2-4 | +4.50 | +3.42 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -6.62 | -6.27 |
| Rossa Ryan | 3-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.20 |
| Martin Harley | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 2-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.38 |
| Robert Havlin | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.35 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -4.00 |
2025 Rockfel Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 1, 7, 10, 3, 3, 2, 8, 4, 1, 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 4, 6, 9, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 119 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in DEU/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 74+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 6 - 123 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career)
- 17 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Rockfel Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Rockfel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Rockfel Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.58 is when runners were IRE bred. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-31.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (6) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (6,12) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (3,10) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Rockfel Stakes are Goodwood and Curragh, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Music Show in 2009, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Kieren Fallon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Rockfel Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Rockfel Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattersall Stakes | The Waco Kid (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Al Nayyir (GB) 6yo - 11/8 | Tom Clover Luke Morris |
Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day with five class one races, the highlight being the £125k Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile, we also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes which carries a purse of £100k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Stakes | Sirona (GER) 4yo - 6/4 | David Menuisier Ryan Moore |
| Princess Royal Stakes | Time Lock (GB) 5yo - 13/8 | Harry Charlton Ryan Moore |
| Rockfel Stakes | Bubbling (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Joel Stakes | Prague (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Dylan Cunha Daniel Tudhope |
| Godolphin Stakes | Burdett Road (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | James Owen Harry Davies |
Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day, carrying a purse of £175k its a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1's on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes which both carry a purse of £275k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Lodge Stakes | Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB) 2yo - 4/1 | James Owen James Doyle |
| Cheveley Park Stakes | Lake Victoria (IRE) 2yo - 6/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Middle Park Stakes | Shadow Of Light (GB) 2yo - 11/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Cambridgeshire Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 8/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Naina (GB) 2yo - 6/1 | John Ryan Christian Howarth |
| Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap | Spanish Blaze (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | Marcus Tregoning Trevor Whelan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Rockfel Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newmarket racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in April (Craven Meeting)
Races in May (Guineas Festival)
- Jockey Club Stakes
- King Charles II Stakes
- Newmarket Stakes
- Palace House Stakes
- Qipco 2000 Guineas
- Rowley Handicap Stakes
- Suffolk Stakes
- Dahlia Stakes
- Pretty Polly Stakes
- Qipco 1000 Guineas
Races in July (July Festival)
- Bahrain Trophy Stakes
- bet365 Sprint Handicap
- July Stakes
- Princess of Wales's Stakes
- bet365 Handicap
- Duchess of Cambridge Stakes
- Falmouth Stakes
- bet365 Mile Handicap
- Bunbury Cup
- July Cup
- Superlative Stakes
Races in October (Future Champions Festival)
Races in October
No Comments
There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...
Keep Reading
Horse Racing Attendance Report
What are the most popular racecourses? We've analyzed nationwide attendance and Google search data for tickets over the past decade to reveal the top racecourses!
Continue ReadingCost of Empty Seats: How much revenue are the world’s most valuable football teams losing?
Football is an expensive business, and according to the University of Liverpool's football finance expert Kieran Maguire, current Premier League club debt levels are approximately £3.6 billion1.
Continue Reading🎤 Ed Bailey Exclusive Interview
Speaking exclusively to OLBG, Bloodstock Agent Ed Bailey has commented on the influence of French breeding, what the British Bloodstock Industry can do in order to continue to compete and how the mares programme is so important to British Breeding.
Continue Reading