You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Rockfel Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in either late September or early October of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Rockfel Stakes is a Group 2 race that is open to two-year-old fillies only and is run over a straight seven-furlong trip, where a 3lb penalty is carried by previous Group 1 or Group 2 winners.
The race is currently featured on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting, and some leading contenders will go on to run in the 1,000 Guineas the following season. Finsceal Bao (06-07) was the fourth and last filly to win both races.
Rockfel Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Newmarket tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Rockfel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Rockfel Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Rockfel Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Rockfel Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Rockfel Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Isabella Giles (1:22.55) in 2020
- Lucida (1:22.82) in 2014
- Carlas Way (1:23.01) in 2023
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Rockfel Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +8.87. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Rockfel Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2017 renewal when Juliet Capulet from John Gosden under the guidance of Frankie Dettori, won in a time of 1:27.23, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Isabella Giles, trained by Clive Cox and ridden by Adam Kirby set the quickest time of 1:22.55 in the 2020 renewal.
Rockfel Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Rockfel Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Rockfel Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:27.20 | Bubbling (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 5) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 1:23.01 | Carlas Way (IRE) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 6) 7/2 | James Doyle Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2022 1:24.40 | Commissioning (GB) 2yo 9-2 (1 of 14) 7/2 | Robert Havlin John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 1:23.12 | Hello You (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (9 of 9) 7/1 | Rossa Ryan David Loughnane (GB) |
| 2020 1:22.55 | Isabella Giles (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (2 of 5) 11/5 | Adam Kirby Clive Cox (GB) |
| 2019 1:24.14 | Daahyeh (GB) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 8) 11/8F | William Buick Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2018 1:25.30 | Just Wonderful (USA) 2yo 9-0 (1 of 9) 7/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2017 1:27.23 | Juliet Capulet (IRE) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 9/1 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 1:24.92 | Spain Burg (FR) 2yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 14/1 | Frankie Dettori X Thomas-Demeaulte (FR) |
| 2015 1:23.55 | Promising Run (USA) 2yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 5/1 | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Rockfel Stakes have been based:
- GB: 13 winners with an additional 33 placings from 161 runners
- IRE: 6 winners with an additional 2 placings from 26 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Rockfel Stakes Replay
Rockfel Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Kitty Matcham (2007), Wading (2011), Just Wonderful (2018) and Bubbling (2024). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes is J S Bolger (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 11-4-4 | +10.63 | +3.61 |
| J S Bolger | 8-2-4 | -2.75 | -0.65 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-1-3 | -4.50 | -3.95 |
| Roger Varian | 9-1-3 | -6.62 | -3.52 |
| Charles Hills | 5-1-2 | +2.00 | +2.10 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.13 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.10 |
| Clive Cox | 3-1-1 | +0.20 | -0.62 |
| John Gosden | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.40 |
| David Loughnane | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
Rockfel Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Rockfel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Cape Dollar (2010), Wading (2011), Just Wonderful (2018) and Bubbling (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Rockfel Stakes are Frankie Dettori (2 wins) and James Doyle (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Rockfel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-4-5 | -2.87 | -5.91 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-2-6 | +13.00 | +8.34 |
| James Doyle | 6-2-4 | +4.50 | +3.42 |
| William Buick | 9-1-2 | -6.62 | -6.27 |
| Rossa Ryan | 3-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.20 |
| Martin Harley | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Adam Kirby | 2-1-1 | +1.20 | +0.38 |
| Robert Havlin | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -3.35 |
| Jim Crowley | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -4.00 |
2025 Rockfel Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 1, 7, 10, 3, 3, 2, 8, 4, 1, 3, 2, 2, 3, 1, 4, 6, 9, 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 119 - 128lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Within the first 8 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 82+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a head (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in a Cl2 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in DEU/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 74+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 6 - 123 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 86+ (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (68%) - Beaten no more -1¾l (LTO)
- 16 / 20 (72%) - Beaten no more -3¼l (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Rockfel Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Rockfel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Rockfel Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.58, is when runners were IRE bred.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-31.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (3) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (6) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (6,12) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (3,10) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (4) [5 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Rockfel Stakes are Goodwood and Curragh; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Music Show in 2009, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Kieren Fallon. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Rockfel Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Rockfel Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Bubbling Leopardstown - 3rd of 9 (9/4) | Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes |
| 2023 - Carlas Way Goodwood - 2nd of 6 (11/4) | William Hill Prestige Fillies Stakes |
| 2022 - Commissioning Newmarket (July) - 1st of 10 (13/2) | Turners British EBF Fillies Novice Stakes |
| 2021 - Hello You Goodwood - 4th of 9 (6/1) | tote Prestige Stakes |
| 2020 - Isabella Giles Goodwood - 1st of 5 (11/4) | Ladbrokes Prestige Stakes |
| 2019 - Daahyeh Curragh - 2nd of 9 (13/8) | Moyglare Stud Stakes |
| 2018 - Just Wonderful Curragh - 7th of 10 (9/2) | Moyglare Stud Stakes |
| 2017 - Juliet Capulet Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 9 (20/1) | german-thoroughbred.com Sweet Solera Stakes |
| 2016 - Spain Burg La Teste De Buch - 1st of 9 (53/5) | Criterium du Bequet - Ventes Osarus |
| 2015 - Promising Run Newmarket (July) - 1st of 11 (1/1) | Stride By TRM EBF Stallions Maiden Fillies Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Rockfel Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattersall Stakes | The Waco Kid (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Al Nayyir (GB) 6yo - 11/8 | Tom Clover Luke Morris |
Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day with five class one races, the highlight being the £125k Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile. We also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes, which carries a purse of £100k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Stakes | Sirona (GER) 4yo - 6/4 | David Menuisier Ryan Moore |
| Princess Royal Stakes | Time Lock (GB) 5yo - 13/8 | Harry Charlton Ryan Moore |
| Rockfel Stakes | Bubbling (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Joel Stakes | Prague (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Dylan Cunha Daniel Tudhope |
| Godolphin Stakes | Burdett Road (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | James Owen Harry Davies |
Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day, carrying a purse of £175k; it's a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1s on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes, which both carry a purse of £275k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Lodge Stakes | Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB) 2yo - 4/1 | James Owen James Doyle |
| Cheveley Park Stakes | Lake Victoria (IRE) 2yo - 6/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Middle Park Stakes | Shadow Of Light (GB) 2yo - 11/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Cambridgeshire Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 8/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Naina (GB) 2yo - 6/1 | John Ryan Christian Howarth |
| Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap | Spanish Blaze (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | Marcus Tregoning Trevor Whelan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Rockfel Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
