You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Joel Stakes Preview
Run on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting in September of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Joel Stakes is a Group 2 race open to runners aged three or older.
The race is run over a straight one mile, where three-year-old runners receive a 4lb allowance from their older opponents (9-0 vs 9-4) and any fillies and mares receive a 3lb sex allowance too, whilst any previous Group 1 winner has to carry a 5lbs penalty and Group 2 winner a 3lb penalty.
Joel Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Joel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Joel Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Joel Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Joel Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Joel Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Eagle Mountain (1:34.07) in 2008
- Kameko (1:34.41) in 2020
- Benbatl (1:34.56) in 2021
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Joel Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Joel Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:34.07 was set by Eagle Mountain in 2008, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by M F De Kock and ridden by K Shea. The slowest winning time was set in 2024 when Prague won in a time of 1:40.53, booked to ride was Daniel Tudhope by trainer Dylan Cunha.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Joel Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Joel Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Joel Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:40.53 | Prague (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (1 of 4) 100/30 | Daniel Tudhope Dylan Cunha (GB) |
| 2023 1:34.71 | Mutasaabeq (GB) 5yo 9-9 (2 of 6) 11/4F | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.43 | Mutasaabeq (GB) 4yo 9-6 (2 of 6) 5/2 | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2021 1:34.56 | Benbatl (GB) 7yo 9-4 (3 of 7) 13/8 | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2020 1:34.41 | Kameko (USA) 3yo 9-5 (5 of 6) 85/40 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.60 | Benbatl (GB) 5yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 4/1 | Oisin Murphy Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.89 | Mustashry (GB) 5yo 9-7 (2 of 5) 15/8F | Jim Crowley Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:38.67 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/8F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:36.85 | Cougar Mountain (IRE) 5yo 9-4 (6 of 6) 15/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:35.84 | Time Test (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 10/11F | Ryan Moore Roger Charlton (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Joel Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 26 placings from 146 runners
- SAF: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Joel Stakes Replay
Joel Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Satchem (2006), Creachadoir (2007) and Benbatl (2019 & 2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins), Charles Hills (3 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Andrew Balding (2 wins) and Roger Charlton (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Joel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saeed bin Suroor | 16-4-7 | -0.29 | -1.88 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 15-3-6 | +0.13 | +0.44 |
| Charles Hills | 7-3-5 | +5.25 | +6.53 |
| David O'Meara | 7-2-2 | +12.50 | +6.50 |
| Andrew Balding | 6-2-3 | -0.49 | -0.74 |
| Roger Charlton | 3-2-3 | +3.91 | +2.20 |
| A P O'Brien | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +3.49 |
| Dylan Cunha | 1-1-1 | +3.33 | +0.00 |
| Roger Varian | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -2.58 |
| Richard Hannon | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -5.00 |
Joel Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Oisin Murphy, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Beat The Bank (2017), Benbatl (2019 & 2021) and Kameko (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Ryan Moore (3 wins), Daniel Tudhope (3 wins), Jim Crowley (3 wins) and Kerrin McEvoy (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Joel Stakes; Frankie Dettori has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Joel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 5-4-4 | +8.14 | +4.68 |
| Ryan Moore | 17-3-8 | -3.84 | -0.40 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 7-3-3 | +16.83 | +7.50 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-3-3 | +5.13 | +2.46 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 3-2-2 | +5.08 | +2.65 |
| Frankie Dettori | 10-0-3 | -10.00 | -7.40 |
| Jamie Spencer | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | -0.65 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.50 |
| William Buick | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.75 |
| James Doyle | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.20 |
2025 Joel Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 5, (4, 1), 2, 1, 2, 4, 7, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 1, (2, 3)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Held an OR of 106+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 90+ (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 5 - 13 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 4 - 27 races (Non-Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 13 races (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 123 - 135lbs (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (78%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 18 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - No more than -4lbs (Vs Max Weight)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Newmarket racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Joel Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Joel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Joel Stakes Trend Analysis
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Handicap when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 3 (6) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Joel Stakes are York and Doncaster; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 145 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Joel Stakes:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Joel Stakes; that stallion is Dark Angel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Penitent in 2012, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Joel Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Joel Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Joel Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Prague Haydock - 2nd of 7 (10/3) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes |
| 2023 - Mutasaabeq York - 7th of 11 (7/1) | City of York Stakes |
| 2022 - Mutasaabeq Goodwood - 4th of 5 (1/1) | Celebration Mile |
| 2021 - Benbatl Goodwood - 2nd of 9 (9/4) | Celebration Mile |
| 2020 - Kameko York - 4th of 5 (11/2) | Juddmonte International Stakes |
| 2019 - Benbatl Moonee Valley - 2nd of 8 (9/1) | Ladbrokes Cox Plate |
| 2018 - Mustashry Doncaster - 1st of 9 (5/2) | Park Stakes |
| 2017 - Beat The Bank Goodwood - 1st of 6 (7/4) | Thoroughbred Stakes |
| 2016 - Cougar Mountain Doncaster - 6th of 8 (10/1) | Park Stakes |
| 2015 - Time Test York - 4th of 7 (4/1) | Juddmonte International Stakes |
Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Joel Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattersall Stakes | The Waco Kid (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Jockey Club Rose Bowl | Al Nayyir (GB) 6yo - 11/8 | Tom Clover Luke Morris |
Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day with five class one races, the highlight being the £125k Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile. We also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes, which carries a purse of £100k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Rosemary Stakes | Sirona (GER) 4yo - 6/4 | David Menuisier Ryan Moore |
| Princess Royal Stakes | Time Lock (GB) 5yo - 13/8 | Harry Charlton Ryan Moore |
| Rockfel Stakes | Bubbling (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Joel Stakes | Prague (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | Dylan Cunha Daniel Tudhope |
| Godolphin Stakes | Burdett Road (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | James Owen Harry Davies |
Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting
The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day, carrying a purse of £175k; it's a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1s on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes, which both carry a purse of £275k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Lodge Stakes | Wimbledon Hawkeye (GB) 2yo - 4/1 | James Owen James Doyle |
| Cheveley Park Stakes | Lake Victoria (IRE) 2yo - 6/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Middle Park Stakes | Shadow Of Light (GB) 2yo - 11/4 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Cambridgeshire Handicap | Liberty Lane (IRE) 4yo - 8/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery | Naina (GB) 2yo - 6/1 | John Ryan Christian Howarth |
| Cambridgeshire Meeting Sprint Handicap | Spanish Blaze (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | Marcus Tregoning Trevor Whelan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Joel Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
