Joel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

Updated: 797 Horse Racing

We look at the Joel Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m at Newmarket during the Cambridgeshire Meeting to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Joel Stakes.

Joel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Joel Stakes Preview

Run on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting in September of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Joel Stakes is a Group 2 race open to runners aged three or older.

The race is run over a straight one mile where three-year-old runners receive a 4lb allowance from their older opponents (9-0 vs 9-4) and any fillies and mares receive a 3lb sex allowance too whilst any previous Group 1 winner has to carry a 5lbs penalty and Group 2 winner a 3lb penalty.

Joel Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Newmarket tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Joel Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newmarket throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.

How competitive is the Joel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Joel Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Joel Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Joel Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Joel Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2024 renewal when Prague from Dylan Cunha under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope, won in a time of 1:40.53, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Eagle Mountain, trained by M F De Kock and ridden by K Shea set the quickest time of 1:34.07 in the 2008 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Eagle Mountain (1:34.07) in 2008
  2. Kameko (1:34.41) in 2020
  3. Benbatl (1:34.56) in 2021

Joel Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Joel Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Joel Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
1:40.53
Prague (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (1 of 4) 100/30
Daniel Tudhope
Dylan Cunha (GB)
2023
1:34.71
Mutasaabeq (GB)
5yo 9-9 (2 of 6) 11/4F
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2022
1:38.43
Mutasaabeq (GB)
4yo 9-6 (2 of 6) 5/2
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2021
1:34.56
Benbatl (GB)
7yo 9-4 (3 of 7) 13/8
Oisin Murphy
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2020
1:34.41
Kameko (USA)
3yo 9-5 (5 of 6) 85/40
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2019
1:35.60
Benbatl (GB)
5yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 4/1
Oisin Murphy
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2018
1:36.89
Mustashry (GB)
5yo 9-7 (2 of 5) 15/8F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:38.67
Beat The Bank (GB)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/8F
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2016
1:36.85
Cougar Mountain (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 6) 15/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:35.84
Time Test (GB)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
Roger Charlton (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Joel Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 26 placings from 146 runners
  • SAF: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Joel Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Satchem (2006), Creachadoir (2007) and Benbatl (2019 & 2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins), Charles Hills (3 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Andrew Balding (2 wins) and Roger Charlton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Joel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Saeed bin Suroor16-4-7-0.29-1.88
Sir Michael Stoute15-3-6+0.13+0.44
Charles Hills7-3-5+5.25+6.53
David O'Meara7-2-2+12.50+6.50
Andrew Balding6-2-3-0.49-0.74
Roger Charlton3-2-3+3.91+2.20
A P O'Brien3-1-2+5.50+3.49
Dylan Cunha1-1-1+3.33+0.00
Roger Varian6-0-2-6.00-2.58
Richard Hannon6-0-0-6.00-5.00

Joel Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Oisin Murphy who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Beat The Bank (2017), Benbatl (2019 & 2021) and Kameko (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Ryan Moore (3 wins), Daniel Tudhope (3 wins), Jim Crowley (3 wins) and Kerrin McEvoy (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Joel Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Joel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Oisin Murphy5-4-4+8.14+4.68
Ryan Moore17-3-8-3.84-0.40
Daniel Tudhope7-3-3+16.83+7.50
Jim Crowley5-3-3+5.13+2.46
Kerrin McEvoy3-2-2+5.08+2.65
Frankie Dettori10-0-3-10.00-7.40
Jamie Spencer6-0-3-6.00-0.65
Andrea Atzeni6-0-1-6.00-3.50
William Buick6-0-1-6.00-4.75
James Doyle5-0-1-5.00-3.20

Joel Stakes Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Handicap when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-20.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 1 [4 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Joel Stakes are York and Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 145 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Joel Stakes:

  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Joel Stakes, that stallion is Dark Angel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Penitent in 2012, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Joel Stakes.

Other Principal races during the Cambridgeshire Meeting

Remember to head to the Newmarket predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Joel Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Cambridgeshire Meeting with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Thursday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

The highlight on the opening day of the three-day Cambridgeshire meeting is the Group 3 Tattersalls Stakes, a seven-furlong race for two-year-old runners.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Tattersall StakesThe Waco Kid (IRE)
2yo - 13/2
Hugo Palmer
Oisin Murphy
Jockey Club Rose BowlAl Nayyir (GB)
6yo - 11/8
Tom Clover
Luke Morris

Friday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

Day two of the Cambridgeshire is a step up from the opening day with five class one races, the highlight being the £125k Group 2 Joel Stakes contested over a mile, we also have the two-year-old race, the Rockfel Stakes which carries a purse of £100k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Rosemary StakesSirona (GER)
4yo - 6/4
David Menuisier
Ryan Moore
Princess Royal StakesTime Lock (GB)
5yo - 13/8
Harry Charlton
Ryan Moore
Rockfel StakesBubbling (IRE)
2yo - 11/8
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
Joel StakesPrague (IRE)
4yo - 100/30
Dylan Cunha
Daniel Tudhope
Godolphin StakesBurdett Road (GB)
4yo - 10/1
James Owen
Harry Davies

Saturday at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

The Cambridgeshire Handicap is the highlight on the third and final day, carrying a purse of £175k its a race which spans two counties! It starts in Cambridgeshire and ends in Suffolk! There are also a couple of valuable Group 1's on the final day with the Cheverley Park Stakes and the Middle Park Stakes which both carry a purse of £275k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Royal Lodge StakesWimbledon Hawkeye (GB)
2yo - 4/1
James Owen
James Doyle
Cheveley Park StakesLake Victoria (IRE)
2yo - 6/4
A P O'Brien
Ryan Moore
Middle Park StakesShadow Of Light (GB)
2yo - 11/4
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Cambridgeshire HandicapLiberty Lane (IRE)
4yo - 8/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
Jersey Lily Fillies NurseryNaina (GB)
2yo - 6/1
John Ryan
Christian Howarth
Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f HandicapSpanish Blaze (IRE)
3yo - 13/2
Marcus Tregoning
Trevor Whelan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Joel Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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