Joel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)

Updated: 739 Horse Racing

We look at the Joel Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m at Newmarket during the Cambridgeshire Meeting to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Joel Stakes.

Joel Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Cambridgeshire Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Joel Stakes Preview

Run, on the second day of the Cambridgeshire meeting in September of each year at the Newmarket racecourse, the Joel Stakes is a Group 2 race that is open to runners who are aged three or older.

The race is run over a straight one mile where three-year-old runners receive a 4lb allowance from their older opponents (9-0 vs 9-4) and any fillies and mares receive a 3lb sex allowance too whilst any previous Group 1 winner has to carry a 5lbs penalty and Group 2 winner a 3lb penalty.

Joel Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting section for links to these.

How competitive is the Joel Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Joel Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.

Joel Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Joel Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Joel Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the M F De Kock trained Eagle Mountain ridden by K Shea who set the fastest winning time in the Joel Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:34.07 was set when winning the race in 2008. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Saeed bin Suroor and jockey Kerrin McEvoy with Satchem who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:39.95 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2008 - Eagle Mountain (1:34.07)
  • 2020 - Kameko (1:34.41)
  • 2021 - Benbatl (1:34.56)

Joel Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Joel Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Joel Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:34.71
Mutasaabeq (GB)
5yo 9-9 (2 of 6) 11/4F
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2022
1:38.43
Mutasaabeq (GB)
4yo 9-6 (2 of 6) 5/2
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2021
1:34.56
Benbatl (GB)
7yo 9-4 (3 of 7) 13/8
Oisin Murphy
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2020
1:34.41
Kameko (USA)
3yo 9-5 (5 of 6) 85/40
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2019
1:35.60
Benbatl (GB)
5yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 4/1
Oisin Murphy
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2018
1:36.89
Mustashry (GB)
5yo 9-7 (2 of 5) 15/8F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:38.67
Beat The Bank (GB)
3yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 11/8F
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2016
1:36.85
Cougar Mountain (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (6 of 6) 15/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:35.84
Time Test (GB)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 4) 10/11F
Ryan Moore
Roger Charlton (GB)
2014
1:35.66
Custom Cut (IRE)
5yo 9-4 (11 of 12) 15/2
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Joel Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 28 placings from 153 runners
  • SAF: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Joel Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Satchem (2006), Creachadoir (2007) and Benbatl (2019 & 2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins), Charles Hills (3 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Andrew Balding (2 wins) and Roger Charlton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Joel Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 16-4-7 -0.29 -1.88
Sir Michael Stoute 16-3-6 -0.87 -0.56
Charles Hills 7-3-5 +5.25 +6.53
David O'Meara 7-2-2 +12.50 +6.50
Andrew Balding 7-2-3 -1.49 -1.74
Roger Charlton 3-2-3 +3.91 +2.20
A P O'Brien 4-1-2 +4.50 +2.49
James Fanshawe 3-1-3 +14.00 +9.50
Roger Varian 6-0-2 -6.00 -2.58
Richard Hannon 6-0-0 -6.00 -5.00

Joel Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Joel Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Oisin Murphy who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Beat The Bank (2017), Benbatl (2019 & 2021) and Kameko (2020). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Joel Stakes are Ryan Moore (3 wins), Jim Crowley (3 wins), Daniel Tudhope (2 wins) and Kerrin McEvoy (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Joel Stakes, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Joel Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Oisin Murphy 5-4-4 +8.14 +4.68
Ryan Moore 17-3-9 -3.84 +0.20
Jim Crowley 5-3-3 +5.13 +2.46
Daniel Tudhope 6-2-2 +13.50 +7.50
Kerrin McEvoy 3-2-2 +5.08 +2.65
Frankie Dettori 11-0-4 -11.00 -7.35
Jamie Spencer 7-0-3 -7.00 -1.65
Andrea Atzeni 6-0-1 -6.00 -3.50
William Buick 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.75
James Doyle 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 4, 5, (4, 1), 2, 1, 2, 4, 7, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1, 1, 2, 3, 3, 3, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (61%) - Achieved an RPR of 114+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2-5
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 96+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 106+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 12/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not on GS/FM (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a Cl2/Cl5 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not Cl2/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 4 - 27 starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 13 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 123 - 135lbs (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - No more than -4lbs (Vs Max Weight)
  • 18 / 20 (85%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Joel Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Joel Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Joel Stakes Trend Analysis

The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Soft ground when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-26.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (4) [6 Runners]

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Joel Stakes are York and Doncaster, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 151 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 13 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Joel Stakes:

  • Dubawi (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Polar Ben in 2004, winning for James Fanshawe at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Johnny Murtagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Joel Stakes.

Races Covered at the Cambridgeshire Meeting

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Thursday 26th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Tattersall Stakes Alyanaabi (IRE)
2yo - 4/1
Owen Burrows
Jim Crowley
Jockey Club Rose Bowl Trawlerman (IRE)
5yo - 1/5
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Cambridgeshire Meeting 1m4f Handicap Divina Grace (IRE)
3yo - 18/1
Rae Guest
Callum Shepherd

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Friday 27th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Rosemary Stakes Coppice (GB)
3yo - 11/2
John & Thady Gosden
Frankie Dettori
Princess Royal Stakes Time Lock (GB)
4yo - 9/2
Harry & Roger Charlton
Ryan Moore
Rockfel Stakes Carlas Way (IRE)
2yo - 7/2
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Joel Stakes Mutasaabeq (GB)
5yo - 11/4
Charles Hills
Jim Crowley
Godolphin Stakes Tregony (GB)
5yo - 10/1
Clive Cox
Saffie Osborne

Cambridgeshire Meeting races for Saturday 28th September 2024

Race 2023 Winner Info
Royal Lodge Stakes Ghostwriter (IRE)
2yo - 100/30
Clive Cox
Richard Kingscote
Cheveley Park Stakes Porta Fortuna (IRE)
2yo - 9/2
Donnacha Aidan O'Brien
Oisin Murphy
Middle Park Stakes Vandeek (GB)
2yo - 5/4
Simon & Ed Crisford
James Doyle
Cambridgeshire Handicap Astro King (IRE)
6yo - 20/1
Daniel & Claire Kubler
Richard Kingscote
Jersey Lily Fillies Nursery Wild Goddess (GB)
2yo - 11/2
Charlie Appleby
William Buick
Cambridgeshire Meeting 7f Handicap Catch The Paddy (IRE)
3yo - 16/1
Kevin Ryan
Ronan Whelan

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