Strensall Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Group 3 Strensall Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m1f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Strensall Stakes.

Strensall Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Strensall Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Strensall Stakes Preview

Added to the York Ebor Festival in 2008, a festival which was actually abandoned, it first featured at the festival in 2009 with the race taking place on the final day of the festival. The Group 3 Strensall Stakes is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over one mile and one hundred and seventy-seven yards.

Strensall Stakes Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Red Bloom from Sir Michael Stoute who under the guidance of Kevin Darley, won in a time of 1:54.74, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Scottish, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:46.61 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Scottish (1:46.61)
  • 2007 - Echo Of Light (1:46.76)
  • 2021 - Real World (1:47.66)

How competitive is the Strensall Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Strensall Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Strensall Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.56. Ahead of the 2023 Strensall Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Strensall Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Strensall Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Strensall Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
1:48.02
Alflaila (GB)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 3/1
Jim Crowley
Owen Burrows (GB)
2021
1:47.66
Real World (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (7 of 7) 1/1F
Marco Ghiani
Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2020
1:52.39
Certain Lad (GB)
4yo 9-5 (3 of 9) 10/1
Hollie Doyle
Mick Channon (GB)
2019
1:48.68
Zaaki (GB)
4yo 9-8 (5 of 6) 7/2
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2018
1:48.03
Lord Glitters (FR)
5yo 9-5 (3 of 8) 2/1F
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2017
1:47.85
Mustashry (GB)
4yo 9-5 (1 of 7) 5/2F
Jim Crowley
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2016
1:46.61
Scottish (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (10 of 10) 5/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015
1:50.33
Mondialiste (IRE)
5yo 9-5 (5 of 9) 4/1F
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2014
1:50.83
Custom Cut (IRE)
5yo 9-9 (3 of 7) 11/2
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2013
1:51.75
City Style (USA)
7yo 9-5 (2 of 7) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Charlie Appleby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Strensall Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 142 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Strensall Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Naheef (2003), Echo Of Light (2006), Echo Of Light (2007), Rio De La Plata (2010) & Real World (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Strensall Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins), David O'Meara (3 wins) & Charlie Appleby (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Strensall Stakes, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Strensall Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Saeed bin Suroor 11-5-7 +8.25 +4.97
Sir Michael Stoute 16-3-7 -6.00 -5.60
David O'Meara 8-3-6 +6.50 +5.72
Charlie Appleby 2-2-2 +14.00 +8.63
William Haggas 11-1-4 -7.25 -3.65
John Gosden 7-1-1 -0.50 -2.56
Mick Channon 4-1-2 +7.00 +5.63
Owen Burrows 1-1-1 +3.00 +1.88
A P O'Brien 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.56
Richard Fahey 12-0-2 -12.00 -8.19

Strensall Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race 5 times. Those 5 winners came from Naheef (2003), Echo Of Light (2006), Echo Of Light (2007), Rio De La Plata (2010) & Dubai Prince (2012). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Strensall Stakes are Daniel Tudhope (3 wins) & Jim Crowley (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Strensall Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Frankie Dettori 16-5-6 +6.25 +1.54
Daniel Tudhope 9-3-6 +5.50 +4.72
Jim Crowley 3-2-3 +4.50 +3.39
William Buick 8-1-1 -2.00 -4.00
Ryan Moore 6-1-1 -1.50 -2.81
Silvestre De Sousa 5-1-2 +5.00 +5.26
Hollie Doyle 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
Marco Ghiani 1-1-1 +1.00 +0.63
Paul Hanagan 8-0-1 -8.00 -5.50
Andrea Atzeni 5-0-1 -5.00 -3.50

2023 Strensall Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,3,1,3,1,1,5,2,(1,3),6,4,4,1,8,1,1,4,3,1,5

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 10/1
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Within first 5 of market
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 2-9 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Fewer than 3 starts (Course)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 2-14 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Not 4th or 5th (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - A TS no less than 15 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Previously won at least a Cl2
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Placed within last 3 starts
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a RPR of 107+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 4-34 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 2-8 starts (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1-6 wins (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Off a break of 9-75 days
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Achieved a RPR of 98+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Season)
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Had 2-6 wins (Turf)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - No older than a 5yo
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 105+
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not at York (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - In a field of 5-13 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Strensall Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Strensall Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Strensall Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.50 is when runners had a IRE bred dam. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 4th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (1,8) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (6) [6 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 3 (9,1) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Strensall Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Haydock, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 138 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Strensall Stakes:

  • Dark Angel (2 Wins)
  • Dubai Millennium (2 Wins)
  • Marju (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Strensall Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Certain Lad in 2020 when winning for Mick Channon at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Hollie Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2023 Strensall Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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