Strensall Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Strensall Stakes Preview

Added to the York Ebor Festival in 2008, a festival which was actually abandoned, it first featured at the festival in 2009 with the race taking place on the final day of the festival. The Group 3 Strensall Stakes is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over one mile and one hundred and seventy-seven yards.

We also have a dedicated York tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Strensall Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Strensall Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Strensall Stakes Trends:

2024 Strensall Stakes Trends
Strensall Stakes Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Strensall Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +8.06. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Strensall Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Red Bloom from Sir Michael Stoute under the guidance of Kevin Darley, won in a time of 1:54.74, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Scottish, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:46.61 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2016 - Scottish (1:46.61)
2007 - Echo Of Light (1:46.76)
2021 - Real World (1:47.66)

Strensall Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Strensall Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Strensall Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2023 1:49.31	Spirit Dancer (GB) 6yo 9-7 (2 of 6) 6/1	Oisin Orr Richard Fahey (GB)
2022 1:48.02	Alflaila (GB) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 3/1	Jim Crowley Owen Burrows (GB)
2021 1:47.66	Real World (IRE) 4yo 9-5 (7 of 7) 1/1F	Marco Ghiani Saeed bin Suroor (GB)
2020 1:52.39	Certain Lad (GB) 4yo 9-5 (3 of 9) 10/1	Hollie Doyle Mick Channon (GB)
2019 1:48.68	Zaaki (GB) 4yo 9-8 (5 of 6) 7/2	Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2018 1:48.03	Lord Glitters (FR) 5yo 9-5 (3 of 8) 2/1F	Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB)
2017 1:47.85	Mustashry (GB) 4yo 9-5 (1 of 7) 5/2F	Jim Crowley Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2016 1:46.61	Scottish (IRE) 4yo 9-5 (10 of 10) 5/1	William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB)
2015 1:50.33	Mondialiste (IRE) 5yo 9-5 (5 of 9) 4/1F	Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB)
2014 1:50.83	Custom Cut (IRE) 5yo 9-9 (3 of 7) 11/2	Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Strensall Stakes have been based:

GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 141 runners
IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

Strensall Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Saeed bin Suroor who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Naheef (2003), Echo Of Light (2006 & 2007), Rio De La Plata (2010) and Real World (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Strensall Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins), David O'Meara (3 wins) and Charlie Appleby (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Strensall Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
Saeed bin Suroor	10-5-7	+9.25	+5.97
Sir Michael Stoute	17-3-7	-7.00	-6.60
David O'Meara	8-3-6	+6.50	+5.72
Charlie Appleby	2-2-2	+14.00	+8.63
Richard Fahey	13-1-3	-6.00	-4.44
William Haggas	11-1-4	-7.25	-3.65
Owen Burrows	1-1-1	+3.00	+1.88
A P O'Brien	1-1-1	+2.50	+1.56
Andrew Balding	6-0-2	-6.00	-3.49
John Gosden	6-0-0	-6.00	-6.00

Strensall Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Strensall Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Naheef (2003), Echo Of Light (2006 & 2007), Rio De La Plata (2010) and Dubai Prince (2012). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Strensall Stakes are Daniel Tudhope (3 wins) and Jim Crowley (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Strensall Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Frankie Dettori	15-5-6	+7.25	+2.54
Daniel Tudhope	10-3-6	+4.50	+3.72
Jim Crowley	3-2-3	+4.50	+3.39
William Buick	8-1-1	-2.00	-4.00
Ryan Moore	7-1-1	-2.50	-3.81
Silvestre De Sousa	5-1-2	+5.00	+5.26
Hollie Doyle	1-1-1	+10.00	+6.00
Oisin Orr	1-1-1	+6.00	+3.75
Marco Ghiani	1-1-1	+1.00	+0.63
Paul Hanagan	8-0-1	-8.00	-5.50

2024 Strensall Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 3, 1, 1, 5, 2, (1, 3), 6, 4, 4, 1, 8, 1, 1, 4, 3, 1, 5, 6

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

20 / 20 (71%) - No bigger than 10/1
20 / 20 (71%) - Within the first 5 of the market
20 / 20 (76%) - Had 4 - 14 placings (Career)
20 / 20 (78%) - Made 3 - 9 starts (1 Year)
20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Career)
20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 106+ (Last Win)
20 / 20 (84%) - Made 5 - 34 starts (Career)
20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
20 / 20 (86%) - No more than -9lbs (Vs Max Weight)
20 / 20 (86%) - Furthest Won 1mf - 1m3½f
20 / 20 (86%) - Ran over 1mf - 1m2½f (Last Win)
20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (180 Days)
20 / 20 (86%) - Placed within last 3 starts
20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Won is not Cl3-5
20 / 20 (88%) - Held an OR of 101+ (Season)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Strensall Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Strensall Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Strensall Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.75 is when runners had 4 season starts. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were 4th in the betting market, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-21.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2023: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
2022: Winner in 2 (3) [7 Runners]
2021: Winner in 7 (1) [7 Runners]
2020: Winner in 3 (1,8) [9 Runners]
2019: Winner in 5 (6) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Strensall Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Haydock, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 137 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Strensall Stakes:

Dark Angel (2 Wins)
Dubai Millennium (2 Wins)
Marju (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Strensall Stakes, that stallion is Dubawi who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Certain Lad in 2020, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Hollie Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.