You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview
The feature race on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August is the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, the race is one of the very few that is open to runners aged two or older, and it is run over five furlongs.
Established in 1922 and named after an area of York, the race acts as part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge, where the winner of the race gets an automatic spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.
Nunthorpe Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Nunthorpe Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nunthorpe Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Nunthorpe Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Battaash (55.90) in 2019
- Borderlescott (56.09) in 2008
- Meccas Angel (56.24) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -10.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Nunthorpe Stakes.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Battaash, trained by Charles Hills and ridden by Jim Crowley, who set the fastest winning time in the Nunthorpe Stakes. That runner won the race in a time of 55.90 in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Eric Alston and jockey Kevin Darley with Reverence who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 1:00.68 in the 2006 renewal.
Nunthorpe Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nunthorpe Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nunthorpe Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 57.38 | Asfoora (AUS) 7yo 9-12 (5 of 17) 11/1 | Oisin Murphy Henry Dwyer (AUS) |
| 2024 57.34 | Bradsell (GB) 4yo 9-13 (3 of 12) 3/1 | Hollie Doyle Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2023 56.87 | Live In The Dream (IRE) 4yo 9-13 (4 of 16) 28/1 | Sean Kirrane Adam West (GB) |
| 2022 57.18 | Highfield Princess (FR) 5yo 9-12 (14 of 13) 5/1 | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2021 56.72 | Winter Power (IRE) 3yo 9-6 (6 of 14) 9/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2020 57.38 | Battaash (IRE) 6yo 9-11 (3 of 8) 1/2F | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 55.90 | Battaash (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (1 of 11) 7/4 | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2018 57.18 | Alpha Delphini (GB) 7yo 9-11 (7 of 15) 40/1 | Graham Lee Bryan Smart (GB) |
| 2017 57.97 | Marsha (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 11) 8/1 | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2016 56.24 | Meccas Angel (IRE) 5yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 9/2 | Paul Mulrennan Michael Dods (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nunthorpe Stakes have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 31 placings from 238 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 33 runners
- AUS: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Replay
Nunthorpe Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Charles Hills, Michael Dods, and Edward Lynam having all won the race two times. Charles Hills winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Michael Dods' winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2010 & 2014). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 26 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst A P O'Brien has sent out 13 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hills | 13-2-3 | -8.75 | -4.15 |
| Michael Dods | 9-2-4 | +5.00 | +3.60 |
| Edward Lynam | 7-2-3 | +97.75 | +57.15 |
| Robert Cowell | 14-1-3 | +27.00 | +9.20 |
| Bryan Smart | 11-1-1 | +30.00 | +14.00 |
| Tim Easterby | 11-1-4 | -1.00 | -0.30 |
| Archie Watson | 5-1-4 | -1.00 | +1.70 |
| Michael Bell | 4-1-1 | +17.00 | +9.00 |
| John Best | 4-1-2 | +9.00 | +3.90 |
| John Quinn | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
Nunthorpe Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Paul Mulrennan and Jim Crowley, who have both won the race two times. Paul Mulrennan's winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Ryan Moore (0-14), Frankie Dettori (0-10) and David Allan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides in the race.
Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mulrennan | 9-2-3 | +5.00 | +1.70 |
| Jim Crowley | 7-2-3 | -2.75 | -1.95 |
| William Buick | 12-1-2 | -7.50 | -8.40 |
| Oisin Murphy | 8-1-2 | +4.00 | -0.60 |
| Wayne Lordan | 7-1-2 | +94.00 | +57.00 |
| Neil Callan | 7-1-2 | +3.00 | -0.50 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-2 | +4.00 | +5.90 |
| Jason Hart | 5-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Hollie Doyle | 5-1-3 | -1.00 | -0.75 |
| Hayley Turner | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.00 |
2026 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 12, 3, 4, 6, 2, 6, (1, 6), 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4, 6, 1, 4, 6, 2, 4, 11
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Break of 12 - 139 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 96+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran in 1 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 2 - 42 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in 1 - 7 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in CZE/FRA/GRC/ITA/SCO/ZAF/ESP/USA (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 40/1
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nunthorpe Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +170.00, is when runners had 0 career wins over further.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran over 6f when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-59.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 5 (3,6) [17 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 3 (13,7) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,9) [16 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 14 (13,11) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (9,2) [14 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes is Goodwood; there have been a total of 9 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Deauville; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Deauville last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 215 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 9 winners from a total of 76 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes:
- Dark Angel (4 Wins)
- Compton Place (2 Wins)
- Kyllachy (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 13 runners)
- Mozart (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Bertolini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sole Power in 2010, winning for Edward Lynam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Nunthorpe Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Nunthorpe Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Nunthorpe Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Asfoora Goodwood - 7th of 12 (4/1) | King George Stakes |
| 2024 - Bradsell Deauville - 1st of 12 (31/10) | Prix du Cercle - Prix Hipodromo de la Gavea |
| 2023 - Live In The Dream Deauville - 4th of 11 (7/5) | Prix du Cercle - Prix Dr Ignacio Pavlovsky Padre |
| 2022 - Highfield Princess Deauville - 1st of 14 (173/10) | Prix Maurice de Gheest |
| 2021 - Winter Power York - 1st of 10 (9/4) | John Smiths City Walls Stakes |
| 2020 - Battaash Goodwood - 1st of 7 (2/7) | King George Stakes |
| 2019 - Battaash Goodwood - 1st of 9 (1/4) | King George Stakes |
| 2018 - Alpha Delphini York - 2nd of 8 (5/1) | John Smiths City Walls Stakes |
| 2017 - Marsha Goodwood - 3rd of 11 (9/2) | King George Stakes |
| 2016 - Meccas Angel Curragh - 1st of 6 (5/4) | Kilfrush Stud Sapphire Stakes |
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival, with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight of the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25 million, which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap | Trefor (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Charles Hills Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | Gewan (GB) 2yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding P J McDonald |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Pride Of Arras (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | Ombudsman (IRE) 4yo - 7/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 16:10 York Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap | Santorini Star (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Royal Fixation (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Ed Walker William Buick |
| 14:25 York Harrys Half Million By Goffs | Song Of The Clyde (GB) 2yo - 15/2 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Bullet Point (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Minnie Hauk (IRE) 3yo - 8/15 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Charlottes Web (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | Simon & Ed Crisford Daniel Tudhope |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap | Royal Velvet (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | William Knight William Buick |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap | Asgards Captain (IRE) 5yo - 16/1 | Dylan Cunha J F Egan |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Trawlerman (IRE) 7yo - 5/6 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Lifeplan (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Declan Carroll Zak Wheatley |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Asfoora (AUS) 7yo - 11/1 | Henry Dwyer Oisin Murphy |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap | Fifth Column (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina-testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | King Of Cities (IRE) 3yo - 11/1 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tarriance (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Never So Brave (IRE) 4yo - 7/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Revival Power (IRE) 2yo - 13/2 | Tim Easterby David Allan |
| 17:20 York Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap | Dain Ma Nut In (IRE) 4yo - 11/1 | Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Daniel Tudhope |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nunthorpe Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
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Andy Powell
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