Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview
The feature race on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August is the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, the race is one of very few that is open to runners aged two or older and it is run over five furlongs.
Established in 1922 and named after an area of York, the race acts as part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge where the winner of the race gets an automatic spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.
Nunthorpe Stakes Information:
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Nunthorpe Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Nunthorpe Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nunthorpe Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Nunthorpe Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Ahead of the 2025 Nunthorpe Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Reverence from Eric Alston under the guidance of Kevin Darley, won in a time of 1:00.68, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Battaash, trained by Charles Hills and ridden by Jim Crowley set the quickest time of 55.90 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Battaash (55.90) in 2019
- Borderlescott (56.09) in 2008
- Meccas Angel (56.24) in 2016
What the expert says...
The King George Stakes has produced six winners of this race with those all coming from the twelve races between 2009 and 2020, however, a word of caution the winner in 2020 (Battaash) was the last time we had a winner come from that race.Nunthorpe Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Nunthorpe Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Nunthorpe Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 57.34 | Bradsell (GB) 4yo 9-13 (3 of 12) 3/1 | Hollie Doyle Archie Watson (GB) |
| 2023 56.87 | Live In The Dream (IRE) 4yo 9-13 (4 of 16) 28/1 | Sean Kirrane Adam West (GB) |
| 2022 57.18 | Highfield Princess (FR) 5yo 9-12 (14 of 13) 5/1 | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2021 56.72 | Winter Power (IRE) 3yo 9-6 (6 of 14) 9/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2020 57.38 | Battaash (IRE) 6yo 9-11 (3 of 8) 1/2F | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 55.90 | Battaash (IRE) 5yo 9-11 (1 of 11) 7/4 | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2018 57.18 | Alpha Delphini (GB) 7yo 9-11 (7 of 15) 40/1 | Graham Lee Bryan Smart (GB) |
| 2017 57.97 | Marsha (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (8 of 11) 8/1 | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2016 56.24 | Meccas Angel (IRE) 5yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 9/2 | Paul Mulrennan Michael Dods (GB) |
| 2015 57.24 | Meccas Angel (IRE) 4yo 9-10 (10 of 19) 15/2 | Paul Mulrennan Michael Dods (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nunthorpe Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 31 placings from 238 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 5 placings from 30 runners
- AUS: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Nunthorpe Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with Charles Hills, Michael Dods and Edward Lynam having all won the race two times. Charles Hills winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Michael Dods winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2010 & 2014). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 24 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst A P O'Brien has sent out 13 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Hills | 13-2-3 | -8.75 | -4.15 |
| Michael Dods | 9-2-4 | +5.00 | +3.60 |
| Edward Lynam | 7-2-3 | +97.75 | +57.15 |
| Robert Cowell | 14-1-3 | +27.00 | +9.20 |
| Tim Easterby | 12-1-4 | -2.00 | -1.30 |
| Bryan Smart | 11-1-1 | +30.00 | +14.00 |
| John Best | 4-1-2 | +9.00 | +3.90 |
| John Quinn | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Archie Watson | 4-1-4 | +0.00 | +2.70 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.00 |
Nunthorpe Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Mulrennan and Jim Crowley who have both won the race two times. Paul Mulrennan winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Multiple jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Ryan Moore (0-14), Frankie Dettori (0-10), David Allan (0-10) and Jamie Spencer (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.
Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Mulrennan | 9-2-3 | +5.00 | +1.70 |
| Jim Crowley | 7-2-3 | -2.75 | -1.95 |
| William Buick | 11-1-2 | -6.50 | -7.40 |
| Wayne Lordan | 7-1-2 | +94.00 | +57.00 |
| Neil Callan | 7-1-2 | +3.00 | -0.50 |
| Graham Lee | 6-1-1 | +35.00 | +19.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-2 | +4.00 | +5.90 |
| Jason Hart | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +0.50 |
| Hollie Doyle | 4-1-3 | +0.00 | +0.25 |
| Hayley Turner | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.00 |
2025 Nunthorpe Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 9, 12, 3, 4, 6, 2, 6, (1, 6), 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4, 6, 1, 4, 6, 2, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Break of 12 - 139 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Season)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 96+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in CZE/FRA/GRC/ITA/SCO/ZAF/ESP/USA (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (57%) - Achieved a TS of 104+ (Non-Hcps)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nunthorpe Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +170.00 is when runners had 0 career wins over further. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (13,7) [12 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,9) [16 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 14 (13,11) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 6 (9,2) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 3 (6,7) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Deauville and York, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 220 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 9 winners from a total of 70 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes:
- Dark Angel (4 Wins)
- Compton Place (2 Wins)
- Kyllachy (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 13 runners)
- Mozart (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Bertolini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- No Nay Never (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sole Power in 2010, winning for Edward Lynam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters support in the Nunthorpe Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Ebor Festival with links to each race blog and information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the opening day of the Ebor Festival is the Juddmonte International, a Group 1 race with a purse of £1.25m which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Symphony Group Handicap | Jm Jungle (IRE) 4yo - 10/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:25 York Acomb Stakes | The Lion In Winter (IRE) 2yo - 2/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:00 York Great Voltigeur Stakes | Los Angeles (IRE) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 York Juddmonte International Stakes | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 5/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap | Extensio (IRE) 7yo - 14/1 | P F O'Donnell J M Sheridan |
Thursday at the Ebor Festival
The fillies and mares take centre stage on Thursday at the festival in the Yorkshire Oaks, another Group 1 which is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Lowther Stakes | Celandine (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Ed Walker Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 York Premier Yearling Stakes | Diligently (GB) 2yo - 22/1 | Clive Cox Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York Clipper Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | K R Burke David Egan |
| 15:35 York Yorkshire Oaks | Content (IRE) 3yo - 3/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 16:10 York Galtres Stakes | Scenic (FR) 4yo - 8/1 | Ed Walker Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Ebor Festival
The British Champion Series race for Friday at the Ebor Festival is the 500k Nunthrope over the sprint distance of five furlongs. The Lonsdale Cup is also part of the British Champion Series on Friday.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap | Shadow Dance (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Roger Varian James Doyle |
| 14:25 York Lonsdale Cup | Vauban (FR) 6yo - 11/2 | W P Mullins William Buick |
| 15:00 York Gimcrack Stakes | Cool Hoof Luke (GB) 2yo - 8/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 York Nunthorpe Stakes | Bradsell (GB) 4yo - 3/1 | Archie Watson Hollie Doyle |
Saturday at the Ebor Festival
The highlight on the final day of the Ebor Festival is the Ebor Handicap itself, a stamina testing class two handicap which carries a purse of 500k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 York Strensall Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 14:25 York Melrose Heritage Handicap | Tabletalk (IRE) 3yo - 12/1 | Tom Clover Rossa Ryan |
| 15:00 York City of York Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 33/1 | John & Sean Quinn Colin Keane |
| 15:35 York Ebor Handicap | Magical Zoe (IRE) 6yo - 11/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 16:45 York Roses Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 2yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Nunthorpe Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (Dante Festival)
- Churchill Tyres Handicap
- Duke of York Stakes
- Jorvik Stakes
- Musidora Stakes
- Dante Stakes
- Hambleton Stakes
- Lindum York Handicap
- Middleton Stakes
- Knights Solicitors Handicap
- Yorkshire Cup
Races in July
Races in October
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