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2022 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jul 20, 2:10pm Last Updated: Aug 22, 3:02pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 562 Views

2022 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview

The feature race on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August is the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, the race is one of very few which is open to runners aged two or older and it is run over five furlongs. Established in 1922 and named after an area of York, the race acts as part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge where the winner of the race gets an automatic spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the York Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 55.90 was set by Battaash in 2019, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Charles Hills and ridden by Jim Crowley. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Reverence won in a time of 1:00.68, booked to ride was Kevin Darley on this Eric Alston trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Battaash (55.90)
  • 2008 - Borderlescott (56.09)
  • 2003 - Oasis Dream (56.20)

How competitive is the Nunthorpe Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 117%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nunthorpe Stakes, the over-round has been 122% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.25. Ahead of the 2022 Nunthorpe Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Nunthorpe Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Nunthorpe Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The 2008 Ebor Festival was abandoned after wet weather left the course waterlogged and unfit for racing, that renewal was held at the July course at Newmarket.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
56.72
Winter Power
3yo 9-6 (6 of 14) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Tim Easterby
2020
57.38
Battaash
6yo 9-11 (3 of 8) 1/2F
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills
2019
55.90
Battaash
5yo 9-11 (1 of 11) 7/4
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills
2018
57.18
Alpha Delphini
7yo 9-11 (7 of 15) 40/1
Graham Lee
Bryan Smart
2017
57.97
Marsha
4yo 9-8 (8 of 11) 8/1
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt
2016
56.24
Meccas Angel
5yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 9/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods
2015
57.24
Meccas Angel
4yo 9-10 (10 of 19) 15/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods
2014
57.92
Sole Power
7yo 9-11 (10 of 13) 11/4F
Richard Hughes
Edward Lynam
2013
57.34
Jwala
4yo 9-8 (8 of 17) 40/1
Steve Drowne
Robert Cowell
2012
57.62
Ortensia
7yo 9-8 (8 of 19) 7/2F
William Buick
Paul Messara

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nunthorpe Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 30 placings from 238 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 27 runners
  • AUS: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners

Nunthorpe Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Charles Hills, Michael Dods & Edward Lynam having all won the race 2 times. Charles Hills winners have been with Battaash (2019) & Battaash (2020). Michael Dods winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015) & Meccas Angel (2016). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2010) & Sole Power (2014). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 21 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst A P O'Brien has sent out 12 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Charles Hills 10-2-3 -5.75 -1.15
Michael Dods 8-2-4 +6.00 +4.60
Edward Lynam 7-2-3 +97.75 +57.15
Robert Cowell 12-1-3 +29.00 +11.20
Tim Easterby 12-1-4 -2.00 -1.30
Bryan Smart 11-1-1 +30.00 +14.00
Henry Candy 8-1-2 -4.00 -5.00
John Best 4-1-2 +9.00 +3.90
Michael Bell 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
John Gosden 3-1-2 -1.56 -1.24

Nunthorpe Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Mulrennan & Jim Crowley who have both won the race 2 times. Paul Mulrennan winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015) & Meccas Angel (2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Battaash (2019) & Battaash (2020). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Ryan Moore has had a total of 12 rides to the race without recording any wins whilst Frankie Dettori has had 10 rides without a winner.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Mulrennan 8-2-3 +6.00 +2.70
Jim Crowley 6-2-3 -1.75 -0.95
Jamie Spencer 11-1-2 -7.00 -7.70
William Buick 10-1-2 -5.50 -6.40
Wayne Lordan 6-1-2 +95.00 +58.00
Graham Lee 6-1-1 +35.00 +19.00
Jimmy Quinn 5-1-1 +8.00 +2.00
Silvestre De Sousa 5-1-2 +5.00 +6.90
Hayley Turner 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
Pat Cosgrave 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,1,3,9,12,3,4,6,2,6,(1,6),2,1,2,2,2,4,6,1,4

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (92%) - Previously ran on the ground
  • 19 / 20 (67%) - Top 2 finish with last 3 runs
  • 19 / 20 (71%) - Beaten no more 4.25l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - Wearing no TT or Headgear
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - 5+ Non-Handicap placings
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Finished first 6 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (90%) - 5+ Career placings
  • 18 / 20 (67%) - Finished top 5 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (88%) - Recorded 3+ wins on turf

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Nunthorpe Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +149.00 is when runners had 0 career wins over further. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career places on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-50.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 6 (9,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (6,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (4,6) [11 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (10,16) [15 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 8 (3,4) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 12 winners from a total of 226 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 8 winners from a total of 60 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes:

  • Dark Angel (4 Wins)
  • Compton Place (2 Wins)
  • Kyllachy (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Mozart (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Bertolini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Inchinor (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Perugino (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Stravinsky (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Sole Power in 2010 when winning for Edward Lynam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Nunthorpe Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 17th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 18th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Friday 19th August 2022

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 20th August 2022

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