Nunthorpe Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Updated: 1335 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Nunthorpe Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Nunthorpe Stakes, a race run over 5f at York during the Ebor Festival.

Nunthorpe Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Nunthorpe Stakes Preview

The feature race on day three of the York Ebor Festival in August is the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes, the race is one of very few that is open to runners aged two or older and it is run over five furlongs. Established in 1922 and named after an area of York, the race acts as part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge where the winner of the race gets an automatic spot in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint.

Nunthorpe Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated York tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Nunthorpe Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Nunthorpe Stakes, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Nunthorpe Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Charles Hills trained Battaash ridden by Jim Crowley who set the fastest winning time in the Nunthorpe Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 55.90 was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Eric Alston and jockey Kevin Darley with Reverence who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:00.68 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Battaash (55.90)
  • 2008 - Borderlescott (56.09)
  • 2016 - Meccas Angel (56.24)

Nunthorpe Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Nunthorpe Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Nunthorpe Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
56.87
Live In The Dream (IRE)
4yo 9-13 (4 of 16) 28/1
Sean Kirrane
Adam West (GB)
2022
57.18
Highfield Princess (FR)
5yo 9-12 (14 of 13) 5/1
Jason Hart
John Quinn (GB)
2021
56.72
Winter Power (IRE)
3yo 9-6 (6 of 14) 9/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Tim Easterby (GB)
2020
57.38
Battaash (IRE)
6yo 9-11 (3 of 8) 1/2F
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2019
55.90
Battaash (IRE)
5yo 9-11 (1 of 11) 7/4
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills (GB)
2018
57.18
Alpha Delphini (GB)
7yo 9-11 (7 of 15) 40/1
Graham Lee
Bryan Smart (GB)
2017
57.97
Marsha (IRE)
4yo 9-8 (8 of 11) 8/1
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB)
2016
56.24
Meccas Angel (IRE)
5yo 9-8 (7 of 19) 9/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2015
57.24
Meccas Angel (IRE)
4yo 9-10 (10 of 19) 15/2
Paul Mulrennan
Michael Dods (GB)
2014
57.92
Sole Power (GB)
7yo 9-11 (10 of 13) 11/4F
Richard Hughes
Edward Lynam (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Nunthorpe Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 30 placings from 240 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 6 placings from 30 runners
  • AUS: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 4 runners

Nunthorpe Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Charles Hills, Michael Dods and Edward Lynam having all won the race two times. Charles Hills winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). Michael Dods winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Edward Lynam winners have been with Sole Power (2010 & 2014). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 23 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst A P O'Brien has sent out 14 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Charles Hills 13-2-3 -8.75 -4.15
Michael Dods 8-2-4 +6.00 +4.60
Edward Lynam 7-2-3 +97.75 +57.15
Robert Cowell 13-1-3 +28.00 +10.20
Tim Easterby 13-1-4 -3.00 -2.30
Bryan Smart 11-1-1 +30.00 +14.00
John Best 4-1-2 +9.00 +3.90
John Quinn 4-1-2 +2.00 +0.50
Michael Bell 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
Eric Alston 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00

Nunthorpe Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Nunthorpe Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Mulrennan and Jim Crowley who have both won the race two times. Paul Mulrennan winners have been with Meccas Angel (2015 & 2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Battaash (2019 & 2020). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Nunthorpe Stakes, Ryan Moore (0-14), Jamie Spencer (0-11), Frankie Dettori (0-10) and David Allan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Nunthorpe Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Mulrennan 8-2-3 +6.00 +2.70
Jim Crowley 6-2-3 -1.75 -0.95
William Buick 11-1-2 -6.50 -7.40
Wayne Lordan 7-1-2 +94.00 +57.00
Neil Callan 7-1-2 +3.00 -0.50
Graham Lee 6-1-1 +35.00 +19.00
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-2 +4.00 +5.90
Jason Hart 4-1-2 +2.00 +0.50
Hayley Turner 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.00
Jimmy Quinn 3-1-1 +10.00 +4.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 9, 12, 3, 4, 6, 2, 6, (1, 6), 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 4, 6, 1, 4, 6, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Won within last 5 starts
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Break of 12 - 139 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 75+ (Going)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 2 - 8 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ Going)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 5 placings (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 96+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Within the first 13 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in FRA/GRC/ITA/SCO/ZAF/ESP/USA (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 40/1
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/FM/STD/STD-FS/FS (Debut)
  • 18 / 20 (58%) - Achieved a TS of 104+ (Non-Hcps)
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Nunthorpe Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Nunthorpe Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +171.00 is when runners had 0 career wins over further. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career wins over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 4 (6,9) [16 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 14 (13,11) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 6 (9,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (6,7) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 1 (4,6) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 225 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 9 winners from a total of 65 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes:

  • Dark Angel (4 Wins)
  • Compton Place (2 Wins)
  • Kyllachy (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 13 runners)
  • Mozart (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Bertolini (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • No Nay Never (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Sole Power in 2010, winning for Edward Lynam at odds of 100/1 under the guidance of Wayne Lordan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Nunthorpe Stakes.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 21st August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 22nd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Friday 23rd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 24th August 2024

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