Sussex Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 1324 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Sussex Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood with the race being run over a distance of 1m, see which trends the past winners of the Sussex Stakes have set for this year.

Sussex Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Sussex Stakes Preview

Established in 1841, the Sussex Stakes is a Group 1 race over one mile which is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August.

There have been some top-class winners of this race with the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Canford Cliffs and Frankle (Twice), in more recent years we have seen both Lightning Spear and Too Darn Hot successful in the race.

Three-year-old runners get an 8lb allowance for their older opponents carrying 9-0 vs 9-8 with both fillies and mares getting a 3lb allowance.

Sussex Stakes Information:

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Sussex Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sussex Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.

Sussex Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sussex Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.71. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Ed Dunlop trained Court Masterpiece ridden by Jimmy Fortune who set the fastest winning time in the Sussex Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:36.10 was set when winning the race in 2006. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ryan Moore with Paddington who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:47.16 in the 2023 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Court Masterpiece (1:36.10)
  • 2013 - Toronado (1:36.29)
  • 2004 - Soviet Song (1:36.98)

Sussex Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Sussex Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Sussex Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:47.16
Paddington (GB)
3yo 9-3 (4 of 5) 4/9F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
1:37.74
Baaeed (GB)
4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 1/6F
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2021
1:42.83
Alcohol Free (IRE)
3yo 8-11 (9 of 9) 7/2
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
1:38.75
Mohaather (GB)
4yo 9-8 (4 of 7) 3/1
Jim Crowley
Marcus Tregoning (GB)
2019
1:38.57
Too Darn Hot (GB)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 1/1F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2018
1:39.89
Lightning Spear (GB)
7yo 9-8 (4 of 8) 9/1
Oisin Murphy
David Simcock (GB)
2017
1:46.11
Here Comes When (IRE)
7yo 9-8 (5 of 7) 20/1
Jim Crowley
Andrew Balding (GB)
2016
1:37.35
The Gurkha (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/8F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
1:39.18
Solow (GB)
5yo 9-8 (5 of 8) 2/5F
Maxime Guyon
F Head (FR)
2014
1:41.75
Kingman (GB)
3yo 9-0 (4 of 4) 2/5F
James Doyle
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sussex Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 15 winners with an additional 17 placings from 104 runners
  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 35 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Sussex Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Rip Van Winkle (2009), The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Andrew Balding (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 29-4-10 -21.32 -14.49
Andrew Balding 10-2-2 +15.50 +6.60
John Gosden 7-2-3 -3.60 -3.40
Saeed bin Suroor 5-1-1 +0.50 +0.70
David Simcock 4-1-1 +6.00 +2.40
James Fanshawe 3-1-3 +1.00 +1.69
Ed Dunlop 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
William Haggas 2-1-1 -0.83 -0.89
Marcus Tregoning 1-1-1 +3.00 +1.88
Richard Fahey 7-0-3 -7.00 +1.38

Sussex Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jim Crowley who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Here Comes When (2017), Mohaather (2020) and Baaeed (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Frankie Dettori (2 wins), Oisin Murphy (2 wins) and Tom Queally (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jim Crowley 8-3-3 +18.17 +9.49
Ryan Moore 14-2-6 -10.18 -7.06
Frankie Dettori 13-2-3 -5.50 -4.98
Oisin Murphy 5-2-2 +9.50 +4.50
Tom Queally 2-2-2 +0.67 +0.00
James Doyle 6-1-3 -4.60 -2.80
Maxime Guyon 2-1-2 -0.60 +1.12
William Buick 6-0-2 -6.00 -2.42
Andrea Atzeni 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.90
Jamie Spencer 5-0-2 -5.00 -3.21

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (63%) - Beaten no more -2½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (64%) - Carried 125 - 130lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (65%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 18 - 76 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Made 2 - 4 starts (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Made 2 - 5 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (90 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 110+ (Season)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sussex Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sussex Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.99 is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 9 (2,5) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (6,5) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Sussex Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Sandown, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 137 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sussex Stakes, that stallion Galileo has produced 4 winners (2016,2012,2011,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sussex Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Here Comes When in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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