You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Sussex Stakes Preview
Established in 1841, the Sussex Stakes is a Group 1 race over one mile which is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival, which is run in late July or early August.
There have been some top-class winners of this race, with the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Canford Cliffs and Frankel (Twice). In more recent years, we have seen both Lightning Spear and Too Darn Hot be successful in the race.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2026 renewal of the Sussex Stakes will hold the title of 'Visit Qatar Sussex Stakes'.
Sussex Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Sussex Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012, when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sussex Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Sussex Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the 2026 Sussex Stakes Runners & Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Sussex Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Notable Speech (1:35.97) in 2024
- Court Masterpiece (1:36.10) in 2006
- Toronado (1:36.29) in 2013
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Sussex Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.33. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Sussex Stakes.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.97 was set by Notable Speech in 2024, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Paddington won in a time of 1:47.16 for trainer A P O'Brien, who booked Ryan Moore in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Sussex Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sussex Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sussex Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:37.92 | Qirat (GB) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 150/1 | Richard Kingscote Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2024 1:35.97 | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 5) 3/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:47.16 | Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 5) 4/9F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:37.74 | Baaeed (GB) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 1/6F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 1:42.83 | Alcohol Free (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2020 1:38.75 | Mohaather (GB) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 7) 3/1 | Jim Crowley Marcus Tregoning (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.57 | Too Darn Hot (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 1:39.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 8) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2017 1:46.11 | Here Comes When (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (5 of 7) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:37.35 | The Gurkha (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sussex Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 16 placings from 90 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 7 placings from 36 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Sussex Stakes Replay
Sussex Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Rip Van Winkle (2009), The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes is Andrew Balding (2 wins).
Here are the Sussex Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 30-4-9 | -22.32 | -17.19 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-2-2 | +16.50 | +7.60 |
| Ralph Beckett | 3-1-1 | +148.00 | +91.75 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +2.88 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-2 | -1.83 | -0.70 |
| Hugo Palmer | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | -0.28 |
| Eve Johnson Houghton | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Harry Eustace | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Sussex Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Ryan Moore and Oisin Murphy, who have both won the race twice. Ryan Moore's winners have been with The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023). Oisin Murphy's winners have been with Lightning Spear (2018) and Alcohol Free (2021).
Here are the Sussex Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2026 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Gstaad) | 15-2-6 | -11.18 | -8.06 |
| Oisin Murphy (Seagulls Eleven) | 5-2-2 | +9.50 | +4.50 |
| William Buick (Opera Ballo) | 8-1-3 | -4.00 | -1.54 |
| James Doyle (Docklands) | 6-1-3 | -4.60 | -2.80 |
| Charles Bishop (Zavateri) | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| Wayne Lordan (Dorset) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Colin Keane (Qirat) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Kieran Shoemark (Ten Bob Tony) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2026 Sussex Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 4, 4
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Carried 122 - 130lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 18 - 88 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in 2 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a G3/Cl3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved a TS of 83+ (Trip)
- 19 / 20 (60%) - Held an OR of 114+ (Class)
- 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
- 18 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
- 17 / 20 (32%) - Achieved an RPR of 121+ (Season)
- 16 / 20 (63%) - Beaten no more -1l (Debut)
- 16 / 20 (68%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Sussex Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sussex Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2026 Sussex Stakes Runners & Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2026 renewal of the Sussex Stakes, which will be run at 4:10 pm on Wednesday, 29th July 2026, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer, jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Gstaad (3/1)
- A P O'Brien (30-4-9 -22.32 / -17.19)
- Ryan Moore (15-2-6 -11.18 / -8.06)
Others: Bow Echo (14/15), Opera Ballo (13/15), Lake Forest (10/15), Ten Bob Tony (9/15), Never So Brave (9/15), Puerto Rico (9/15), Qirat (9/15), Docklands (8/15), Seagulls Eleven (7/15), Dorset (6/15) and Zavateri (6/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:59 pm Monday 27th July 2026); if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Ten Bob Tony won the Queen Anne Stakes last time out, and 8 previous winners of that race from 18 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -2.50.
Bow Echo won the St James's Palace Stakes last time out, and 6 previous winners of that race from 19 runners went on to win next time out; backing them all would have returned an LSP of -8.92.
Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +161.99, is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 2 (1) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (2,5) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Sussex Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 14 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Sandown; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 129 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 7 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sussex Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Showcasing (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sussex Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Qirat in 2025, winning for Ralph Beckett at odds of 150/1 under the guidance of Richard Kingscote. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Sussex Stakes, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today.
Route to the Sussex Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Sussex Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Qirat Ascot - 27th of 30 (10/1) | Royal Hunt Cup |
| 2024 - Notable Speech Ascot - 7th of 8 (6/4) | St James's Palace Stakes |
| 2023 - Paddington Sandown - 1st of 4 (8/11) | Coral-Eclipse |
| 2022 - Baaeed Ascot - 1st of 7 (117/100) | Queen Anne Stakes |
| 2021 - Alcohol Free Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 13 (5/2) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2020 - Mohaather Ascot - 1st of 11 (2/1) | Summer Mile Stakes |
| 2019 - Too Darn Hot Deauville - 1st of 12 (4/5) | Prix Jean Prat |
| 2018 - Lightning Spear Ascot - 3rd of 15 (10/1) | Queen Anne Stakes |
| 2017 - Here Comes When Windsor - 3rd of 5 (3/1) | sunbets.co.uk Midsummer Stakes |
| 2016 - The Gurkha Sandown - 2nd of 7 (4/6) | Coral-Eclipse |
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Westridge (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Billy Loughnane |
| Vintage Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 8/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| Lennox Stakes | Witness Stand (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Hollie Doyle |
| Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 4/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Oak Tree Stakes | Saqqara Sands (GB) 3yo - 16/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Molecomb Stakes | Lady Iman (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | G M Lyons Ryan Moore |
| Sussex Stakes | Qirat (GB) 4yo - 150/1 | Ralph Beckett Richard Kingscote |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Kincsem Handicap | Best Secret (FR) 3yo - 7/2 | S Wattel James Doyle |
| Richmond Stakes | Coppull (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Clive Cox David Probert |
| Gordon Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Nassau Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Goodwood Handicap | Kyle Of Lochalsh (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy |
| Thoroughbred Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Golden Mile Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 7yo - 11/2 | David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope |
| King George Stakes | Jm Jungle (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 8yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| Summer Handicap | Sam Hawkens (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Lillie Langtry Stakes | Waardah (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez |
| Stewards Cup | Two Tribes (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Richard Spencer David Egan |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Sussex Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Goodwood racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
