Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Sussex Stakes Preview
Established in 1841, the Sussex Stakes is a Group 1 race over one mile which is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August.
There have been some top-class winners of this race with the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Canford Cliffs and Frankle (Twice), in more recent years we have seen both Lightning Spear and Too Darn Hot successful in the race.
Three-year-old runners get an 8lb allowance for their older opponents carrying 9-0 vs 9-8 with both fillies and mares getting a 3lb allowance.
Sussex Stakes Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Sussex Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sussex Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Sussex Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sussex Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 16 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.33. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Notable Speech, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick who set the fastest winning time in the Sussex Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.97 when winning the race in 2024. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ryan Moore with Paddington who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:47.16 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Notable Speech (1:35.97) in 2024
- Court Masterpiece (1:36.10) in 2006
- Toronado (1:36.29) in 2013
What the expert says...
Sussex Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sussex Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sussex Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.97 | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 5) 3/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:47.16 | Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 5) 4/9F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:37.74 | Baaeed (GB) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 1/6F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 1:42.83 | Alcohol Free (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2020 1:38.75 | Mohaather (GB) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 7) 3/1 | Jim Crowley Marcus Tregoning (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.57 | Too Darn Hot (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 1:39.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 8) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2017 1:46.11 | Here Comes When (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (5 of 7) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:37.35 | The Gurkha (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:39.18 | Solow (GB) 5yo 9-8 (5 of 8) 2/5F | Maxime Guyon F Head (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sussex Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 16 placings from 97 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 35 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Sussex Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Rip Van Winkle (2009), The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Andrew Balding (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 29-4-10 | -21.32 | -14.49 |
| Andrew Balding | 9-2-2 | +16.50 | +7.60 |
| John Gosden | 7-2-3 | -3.60 | -3.40 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 4-1-1 | +1.50 | +1.70 |
| Charlie Appleby | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +2.88 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-2 | -1.83 | -0.70 |
| Ed Dunlop | 2-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.69 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | +1.38 |
Sussex Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jim Crowley who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Here Comes When (2017), Mohaather (2020) and Baaeed (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Frankie Dettori (2 wins), Oisin Murphy (2 wins) and Tom Queally (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Crowley | 8-3-3 | +18.17 | +9.49 |
| Ryan Moore | 15-2-6 | -11.18 | -8.06 |
| Frankie Dettori | 12-2-3 | -4.50 | -3.98 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-2-2 | +9.50 | +4.50 |
| Tom Queally | 2-2-2 | +0.67 | +0.00 |
| William Buick | 7-1-3 | -3.00 | -0.54 |
| James Doyle | 6-1-3 | -4.60 | -2.80 |
| Maxime Guyon | 3-1-2 | -1.60 | +0.12 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.90 |
| Jamie Spencer | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -2.21 |
2025 Sussex Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Carried 125 - 130lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Break of 18 - 88 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 2 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 2 - 5 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Beaten no more -6l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Held an OR of 110+ (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sussex Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sussex Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.99 is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 2 (1) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (2,5) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Sussex Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 13 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Sandown, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 132 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sussex Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sussex Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Here Comes When in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Sussex Stakes.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Sussex Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
