Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Sussex Stakes Preview
Established in 1841, the Sussex Stakes is a Group 1 race over one mile which is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August.
There have been some top-class winners of this race with the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Canford Cliffs and Frankle (Twice), in more recent years we have seen both Lightning Spear and Too Darn Hot successful in the race.
Three-year-old runners get an 8lb allowance for their older opponents carrying 9-0 vs 9-8 with both fillies and mares getting a 3lb allowance.
Sussex Stakes Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Sussex Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sussex Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
Sussex Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Sussex Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -4.71. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Court Masterpiece, trained by Ed Dunlop and ridden by Jimmy Fortune who set the fastest winning time in the Sussex Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:36.10 when winning the race in 2006. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ryan Moore with Paddington who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:47.16 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Court Masterpiece (1:36.10) in 2006
- Toronado (1:36.29) in 2013
- Soviet Song (1:36.98) in 2004
What the expert says...
A run at Royal Ascot before coming here seems good, the Queen Anne Stakes has been responsible for six winners whilst the St James's Palace Stakes has produced five winners so watch out for runners coming from either of those races.Sussex Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sussex Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Sussex Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:47.16 | Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 5) 4/9F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:37.74 | Baaeed (GB) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 1/6F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 1:42.83 | Alcohol Free (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2020 1:38.75 | Mohaather (GB) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 7) 3/1 | Jim Crowley Marcus Tregoning (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.57 | Too Darn Hot (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 1:39.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 8) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2017 1:46.11 | Here Comes When (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (5 of 7) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:37.35 | The Gurkha (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:39.18 | Solow (GB) 5yo 9-8 (5 of 8) 2/5F | Maxime Guyon F Head (FR) |
| 2014 1:41.75 | Kingman (GB) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 4) 2/5F | James Doyle John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sussex Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 17 placings from 104 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 35 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 6 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Sussex Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Rip Van Winkle (2009), The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Andrew Balding (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 29-4-10 | -21.32 | -14.49 |
| Andrew Balding | 10-2-2 | +15.50 | +6.60 |
| John Gosden | 7-2-3 | -3.60 | -3.40 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | +0.70 |
| David Simcock | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.40 |
| James Fanshawe | 3-1-3 | +1.00 | +1.69 |
| Ed Dunlop | 2-1-1 | +6.50 | +3.69 |
| William Haggas | 2-1-1 | -0.83 | -0.89 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.88 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | +1.38 |
Sussex Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jim Crowley who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Here Comes When (2017), Mohaather (2020) and Baaeed (2022). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Sussex Stakes are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Frankie Dettori (2 wins), Oisin Murphy (2 wins) and Tom Queally (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Sussex Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Crowley | 8-3-3 | +18.17 | +9.49 |
| Ryan Moore | 14-2-6 | -10.18 | -7.06 |
| Frankie Dettori | 13-2-3 | -5.50 | -4.98 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-2-2 | +9.50 | +4.50 |
| Tom Queally | 2-2-2 | +0.67 | +0.00 |
| James Doyle | 6-1-3 | -4.60 | -2.80 |
| Maxime Guyon | 2-1-2 | -0.60 | +1.12 |
| William Buick | 6-0-2 | -6.00 | -2.42 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.90 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-0-2 | -5.00 | -3.21 |
2024 Sussex Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 11, 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (63%) - Beaten no more -2½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Carried 125 - 130lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Achieved an RPR of 112+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Break of 18 - 76 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Ran in 2 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Ran in 2 - 5 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 110+ (Season)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Sussex Stakes. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sussex Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.99 is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (2,5) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 3 (6,5) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Sussex Stakes is Ascot, there has been a total number of 12 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Sandown, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 137 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sussex Stakes, that stallion Galileo has produced 4 winners (2016,2012,2011,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sussex Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Here Comes When in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Sussex Stakes.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Sussex Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
No Comments
There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...
Keep Reading
English Top Flight Goals
After a record breaking season of goals scored throughout the 2023/24 Premier League season, we look at the trends of attack and defence over the past 100 years and more.
Continue Reading🎤 Push Gaming Slots Q&A with Amit Samji
OLBG discusses all things Push Gaming with Head of Studio, Amit Samji, including how they create slot games, what are their most popular titles and what to expect in the future.
Continue Reading🎤 Sweet Bonanza 1000 Q&A with Pragmatic Play
OLBG discuss the Sweet Bonanza slot with Anastasios Ioannidis from Pragmatic Play, where it all began and what to expect from the 1000 series in future.
Continue Reading