You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Sussex Stakes Preview
Established in 1841, the Sussex Stakes is a Group 1 race over one mile which is open to runners who are aged three or older. The race takes place on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival, which is run in late July or early August.
There have been some top-class winners of this race, with the likes of Rip Van Winkle, Canford Cliffs and Frankel (Twice). In more recent years, we have seen both Lightning Spear and Too Darn Hot successful in the race.
Three-year-old runners get an 8lb allowance for their older opponents carrying 9-0 vs 9-8 with both fillies and mares getting a 3lb allowance.
For sponsorship purposes, the 2025 renewal of the Sussex Stakes will hold the title of 'Visit Qatar Sussex Stakes'.
Sussex Stakes Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Sussex Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2012 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Sussex Stakes, the over-round has been 113%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £113 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Sussex Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis. With the field now finalised, we have the Sussex Stakes Trend Shortlist, which is created using the listed trends.
These are the top three quickest-run Sussex Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Notable Speech (1:35.97) in 2024
- Court Masterpiece (1:36.10) in 2006
- Toronado (1:36.29) in 2013
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Sussex Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.33. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Paddington from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 1:47.16, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Notable Speech, trained by Charlie Appleby and ridden by William Buick set the quickest time of 1:35.97 in the 2024 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Sussex Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Sussex Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Sussex Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.97 | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 5) 3/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:47.16 | Paddington (GB) 3yo 9-3 (4 of 5) 4/9F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 1:37.74 | Baaeed (GB) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 7) 1/6F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2021 1:42.83 | Alcohol Free (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (9 of 9) 7/2 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2020 1:38.75 | Mohaather (GB) 4yo 9-8 (4 of 7) 3/1 | Jim Crowley Marcus Tregoning (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.57 | Too Darn Hot (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 1:39.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 7yo 9-8 (4 of 8) 9/1 | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2017 1:46.11 | Here Comes When (IRE) 7yo 9-8 (5 of 7) 20/1 | Jim Crowley Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:37.35 | The Gurkha (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 10) 11/8F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 1:39.18 | Solow (GB) 5yo 9-8 (5 of 8) 2/5F | Maxime Guyon F Head (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Sussex Stakes have been based:
- GB: 15 winners with an additional 16 placings from 97 runners
- IRE: 4 winners with an additional 8 placings from 35 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Sussex Stakes Replay
Sussex Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Henrythenavigator (2008), Rip Van Winkle (2009), The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023).
Here are the Sussex Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 29-4-10 | -21.32 | -14.49 |
| Richard Hannon | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -3.90 |
| Ralph Beckett | 2-0-0 | -2.00 | -2.00 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Sussex Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Sussex Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from The Gurkha (2016) and Paddington (2023).
Here are the Sussex Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have rides in the 2025 renewal; those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore (Henri Matisse) | 15-2-6 | -11.18 | -8.06 |
| William Buick (Field Of Gold) | 7-1-3 | -3.00 | -0.54 |
| Tom Marquand (Docklands) | 1-0-1 | -1.00 | +0.19 |
| Sean Levey (Rosallion) | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2025 Sussex Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 5, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 7, 1, 3, 2, 1, 1, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Carried 125 - 130lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 10/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Break of 18 - 88 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 2 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 2 - 5 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2-4
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 88+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 4 placings (90 Days)
- 18 / 20 (62%) - Achieved a TS of 100+ (Last 5)
- 16 / 20 (70%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Sussex Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Sussex Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Sussex Stakes Trend Shortlist
Goodwood will host the 2025 renewal of the Sussex Stakes, which will be run at 3:05 pm on Wednesday, 30th July 2025, and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends, along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Field Of Gold (4/9)
- John & Thady Gosden (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
- William Buick (7-1-3 -3.00 / -0.54)
Others: Henri Matisse (14/15), Rosallion (13/15), Docklands (12/15), Qirat (8/15), Carl Spackler (7/15) and Serengeti (3/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (1:15 pm Monday 28th July 2025), if no odds were available at the time of posting, then forecasted odds are used.
Docklands won the Queen Anne Stakes last time out, and a total of 8 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -2.50.
Field Of Gold won the St Jamess Palace Stakes last time out, and a total of 6 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -8.92.
Sussex Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +12.99, is when runners had 2 starts in the past 90 days.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 places in the past 90 days, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 2 (1) [5 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (5) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 9 (2,5) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (5) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Sussex Stakes is Ascot; there have been a total of 13 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Sandown; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 132 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Sussex Stakes:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Sussex Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Dark Angel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Lope De Vega (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Here Comes When in 2017, winning for Andrew Balding at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Jim Crowley. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 11 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Sussex Stakes.
Route to the Sussex Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Sussex Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Notable Speech Ascot - 7th of 8 (6/4) | St James's Palace Stakes |
| 2023 - Paddington Sandown - 1st of 4 (8/11) | Coral-Eclipse |
| 2022 - Baaeed Ascot - 1st of 7 (117/100) | Queen Anne Stakes |
| 2021 - Alcohol Free Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 13 (5/2) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2020 - Mohaather Ascot - 1st of 11 (2/1) | Summer Mile Stakes |
| 2019 - Too Darn Hot Deauville - 1st of 12 (4/5) | Prix Jean Prat |
| 2018 - Lightning Spear Ascot - 3rd of 15 (10/1) | Queen Anne Stakes |
| 2017 - Here Comes When Windsor - 3rd of 5 (3/1) | sunbets.co.uk Midsummer Stakes |
| 2016 - The Gurkha Sandown - 2nd of 7 (4/6) | Coral-Eclipse |
| 2015 - Solow Ascot - 1st of 8 (11/8) | Queen Anne Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Sussex Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
