Summer Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 1137 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Summer Handicap. This is a race that is hosted at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood with the race being run over a distance of 1m6f, see which trends the past winners of the Summer Handicap have set for this year.

Summer Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Summer Handicap Preview

The Summer Handicap is run on the final day of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August, the race is a Class 2 handicap currently sponsored by Qatar which is run over one mile and six furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three or older.

Summer Handicap Information:

Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Summer Handicap but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Summer Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Handicap, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.

Summer Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Summer Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +1.00. Ahead of the 2024 Summer Handicap why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:58.34 was set by Sir Chauvelin in 2018, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Jim Goldie and ridden by Robert Winston. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Sweet William won in a time of 3:17.60, booked to ride was Robert Havlin on this John & Thady Gosden trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Sir Chauvelin (2:58.34)
  • 2014 - Lord Van Percy (2:58.50)
  • 2016 - Elidor (2:59.33)

Summer Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Summer Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Summer Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
3:17.60
Sweet William (IRE)
4yo 9-6 (2 of 11) 9/4F
Robert Havlin
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
3:00.85
Trawlerman (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (13 of 13) 6/1
Benoit De La Sayette (5lbs)
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2021
3:13.74
Prince Alex (GB)
4yo 8-9 (7 of 12) 13/2
Rossa Ryan
Michael Bell (GB)
2020
3:01.62
Hochfeld (IRE)
6yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 15/2
Harry Bentley
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
2:59.58
Kings Advice (GB)
5yo 9-10 (14 of 13) 7/2F
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
2:58.34
Sir Chauvelin (GB)
6yo 9-2 (7 of 13) 12/1
Robert Winston
Jim Goldie (GB)
2017
3:10.25
Soldier In Action (FR)
4yo 9-10 (2 of 13) 11/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2016
2:59.33
Elidor (GB)
6yo 9-10 (8 of 14) 16/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mick Channon (GB)
2015
3:00.87
Blue Wave (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 20/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston (GB)
2014
2:58.50
Lord Van Percy (GB)
4yo 9-2 (14 of 14) 8/1
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 40 placings from 259 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Summer Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from Golden Quest (2005), Blue Wave (2015), Soldier In Action (2017), Kings Advice (2019) and Hochfeld (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Summer Handicap is John & Thady Gosden (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Amanda Perrett has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Summer Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 31-5-8 +25.00 +11.08
John & Thady Gosden 2-2-2 +8.25 +5.10
Andrew Balding 8-1-3 +1.00 +3.53
Alan King 8-1-1 -2.00 -3.87
Saeed bin Suroor 7-1-1 +1.00 -1.62
Mick Channon 5-1-1 +12.00 +6.00
Michael Bell 5-1-3 +2.50 +3.46
Jim Goldie 4-1-3 +9.00 +9.00
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 4-1-1 +2.50 +0.44
William Haggas 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.75

Summer Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals with all of Ryan Moore, Joe Fanning, Silvestre De Sousa and Kerrin McEvoy having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Sanbuch (2008) and Manyriverstocross (2009). Joe Fanning winners have been with Golden Quest (2005) and Kings Advice (2019). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Elidor (2016) and Soldier In Action (2017). Kerrin McEvoy winners have been with Soulacroix (2006) and Scriptwriter (2007). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Frankie Dettori has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Summer Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 18-2-4 -4.50 -6.25
Joe Fanning 15-2-4 -0.50 -2.93
Silvestre De Sousa 7-2-5 +22.00 +18.31
Kerrin McEvoy 2-2-2 +10.33 +6.46
Jim Crowley 13-1-2 +0.00 -2.00
William Buick 5-1-2 +16.00 +10.00
David Probert 4-1-1 +5.00 +2.00
Harry Bentley 3-1-1 +5.50 +2.50
Luke Morris 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.44
Robert Havlin 3-1-1 +0.25 -0.65

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 1, 2, 6, 1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 2, (3, 7), 11, 3, 2, 1, 6, 2, (2, 4, 9), 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Not in a G2/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 10 of market
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Held an OR of 81+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 43+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Sex is not Colt/Filly/Mare
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -13½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on SFT/FM/FS (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 4 - 18 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m½f (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 7 - 18 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Course)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Summer Handicap. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Summer Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Summer Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.75 is when runners ran in a Class 2 when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 4 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-55.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (4,3) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 13 (2,10) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (4,3) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (6,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 14 (12,4) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 253 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Handicap, that stallion Cape Cross has produced 4 winners (2020,2016,2010,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Dansili (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blue Wave in 2015, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Summer Handicap head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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