2022 Summer Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Jul 13, 2:53pm Last Updated: Aug 1, 12:05pm Horse Racing 2 Comments 574 Views

2022 Summer Handicap Preview

The Summer Handicap is run on the final day of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August, the race is a Class 2 handicap currently sponsored by Qatar which is run over one mile and six furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three or older. If you can find the right runner then this race can be rewarding, six of the last ten winners have gone off at double-figure prices and all bar two of the last ten have gone off 7/1 or bigger.

We also have a dedicated Goodwood Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Jim Goldie trained Sir Chauvelin ridden by Robert Winston who has set the fastest winning time in the Summer Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 2:58.34 that was set when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Michael Bell and jockey Rossa Ryan with Prince Alex who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:13.74 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Sir Chauvelin (2:58.34)
  • 2014 - Lord Van Percy (2:58.50)
  • 2016 - Elidor (2:59.33)

How competitive is the Summer Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 100%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Handicap, the over-round has been 119% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Summer Handicap next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.80. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Summer Handicap Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Summer Handicap. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Summer Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
3:13.74
Prince Alex
4yo 8-9 (7 of 12) 13/2
Rossa Ryan
Michael Bell
2020
3:01.62
Hochfeld
6yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 15/2
Harry Bentley
Mark Johnston
2019
2:59.58
Kings Advice
5yo 9-10 (14 of 13) 7/2F
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston
2018
2:58.34
Sir Chauvelin
6yo 9-2 (7 of 13) 12/1
Robert Winston
Jim Goldie
2017
3:10.25
Soldier In Action
4yo 9-10 (2 of 13) 11/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston
2016
2:59.33
Elidor
6yo 9-10 (8 of 14) 16/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mick Channon
2015
3:00.87
Blue Wave
5yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 20/1
William Buick
Mark Johnston
2014
2:58.50
Lord Van Percy
4yo 9-2 (14 of 14) 8/1
David Probert
Andrew Balding
2013
3:02.69
Harris Tweed
6yo 9-7 (12 of 12) 14/1
George Baker
William Haggas
2012
3:04.39
Motivado
4yo 9-2 (13 of 14) 11/2F
Luke Morris
Sir Mark Prescott Bt

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 40 placings from 262 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Summer Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Scotts View (2002), Darasim (2003), Golden Quest (2005), Blue Wave (2015), Soldier In Action (2017), Kings Advice (2019) & Hochfeld (2020). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Amanda Perrett has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Summer Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 35-7-11 +38.50 +20.52
Alan King 8-1-1 -2.00 -3.87
Andrew Balding 7-1-3 +2.00 +4.53
Saeed bin Suroor 7-1-1 +1.00 -1.62
Michael Bell 6-1-3 +1.50 +2.81
Mick Channon 5-1-1 +12.00 +6.00
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 3-1-1 +3.50 +1.44
William Haggas 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.75
Jim Goldie 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50
Amanda Perrett 17-0-1 -17.00 -15.75

Summer Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Joe Fanning who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Darasim (2003), Golden Quest (2005) & Kings Advice (2019). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Summer Handicap are Ryan Moore (2 wins) & Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Summer Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Joe Fanning 15-3-5 +11.50 +4.95
Ryan Moore 18-2-4 -4.50 -6.25
Silvestre De Sousa 7-2-5 +22.00 +18.31
Jim Crowley 12-1-2 +1.00 -1.00
William Buick 5-1-2 +16.00 +10.00
David Probert 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00
Luke Morris 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.44
Jimmy Quinn 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.81
Rossa Ryan 1-1-1 +6.50 +4.06
Frankie Dettori 9-0-0 -9.00 -9.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,8,1,2,1,2,6,1,5,6,1,6,2,(3,7),11,3,2,1,6,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Within first 10 of market
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Sex is either Gelding or Horse
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more than 14l (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 14/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No more than -4lbs vs ave OR
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - 3-13 Career placings
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - 8+ Starts on turf
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - No more than 1 course placing
  • 18 / 20 (85%) - 10+ Career starts
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Aged between 4yo & 6yo
  • 17 / 20 (85%) - Not 2 placings in Class 2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Summer Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Summer Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Summer Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +6.50 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were Colts, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 7 (4,3) [12 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 4 (6,3) [9 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 14 (12,4) [13 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 7 (9,6) [13 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 2 (11,8) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 254 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Handicap, that stallion is Cape Cross who has produced 4 winners (2020,2016,2010,2009).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Dansili (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Blue Wave in 2015 when winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Summer Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 26th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 27th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 28th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 29th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 30th July 2022

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