Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Summer Handicap Preview
The Summer Handicap is run on the final day of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August, the race is a Class 2 handicap currently sponsored by Qatar which is run over one mile and six furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three or older.
Summer Handicap Information:
We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Summer Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Handicap, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.
Summer Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Summer Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.00. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Summer Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Sir Chauvelin, trained by Jim Goldie and ridden by Robert Winston who set the fastest winning time in the Summer Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 2:58.34 when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John & Thady Gosden and jockey Robert Havlin with Sweet William who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:17.60 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Sir Chauvelin (2:58.34) in 2018
- Lord Van Percy (2:58.50) in 2014
- Elidor (2:59.33) in 2016
Summer Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Summer Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Summer Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 3:04.57 | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (10 of 13) 100/30F | Joe Fanning Charlie Johnston (GB) |
| 2023 3:17.60 | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (2 of 11) 9/4F | Robert Havlin John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 3:00.85 | Trawlerman (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (13 of 13) 6/1 | Benoit De La Sayette (5lbs) John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 3:13.74 | Prince Alex (GB) 4yo 8-9 (7 of 12) 13/2 | Rossa Ryan Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2020 3:01.62 | Hochfeld (IRE) 6yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 15/2 | Harry Bentley Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2019 2:59.58 | Kings Advice (GB) 5yo 9-10 (14 of 13) 7/2F | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2018 2:58.34 | Sir Chauvelin (GB) 6yo 9-2 (7 of 13) 12/1 | Robert Winston Jim Goldie (GB) |
| 2017 3:10.25 | Soldier In Action (FR) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 13) 11/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 2:59.33 | Elidor (GB) 6yo 9-10 (8 of 14) 16/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon (GB) |
| 2015 3:00.87 | Blue Wave (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 20/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 40 placings from 256 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Summer Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is John & Thady Gosden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Trawlerman (2022) and Sweet William (2023). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Amanda Perrett has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Summer Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-2-2 | +7.25 | +4.10 |
| Andrew Balding | 8-1-4 | +1.00 | +4.45 |
| Alan King | 8-1-1 | -2.00 | -3.87 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.62 |
| Jim Goldie | 5-1-3 | +8.00 | +8.00 |
| Michael Bell | 5-1-3 | +2.50 | +3.46 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 5-1-1 | +1.50 | -0.56 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Charlie Johnston | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.08 |
| Amanda Perrett | 15-0-1 | -15.00 | -13.75 |
Summer Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Joe Fanning who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Golden Quest (2005), Kings Advice (2019) and Align The Stars (2024). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Summer Handicap are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Silvestre De Sousa (2 wins) and Kerrin McEvoy (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Summer Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Fanning | 15-3-5 | +3.83 | +0.15 |
| Ryan Moore | 17-2-4 | -3.50 | -5.25 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-2-5 | +22.00 | +18.31 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2-2-2 | +10.33 | +6.46 |
| Jim Crowley | 13-1-2 | +0.00 | -2.00 |
| William Buick | 5-1-2 | +16.00 | +10.00 |
| David Probert | 5-1-1 | +4.00 | +1.00 |
| Luke Morris | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.44 |
| Harry Bentley | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.50 |
| Robert Havlin | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.65 |
2025 Summer Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 2, 6, 1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 2, (3, 7), 11, 3, 2, 1, 6, 2, (2, 4, 9), 1, (1, 2)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Not in a G2/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Held an OR of 81+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - In a field of 7 - 16 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Placed is not G1/G3/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 43+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 67+ (Class)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 81+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Beaten no more -13½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on SFT/FM/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 4 - 18 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Course)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m½f (LTO)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Summer Handicap. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Summer Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Summer Handicap Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.33 is when runners had a furthest trip placed of 1m6f. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 4 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-54.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 10 (9,8) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 2 (4,3) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 13 (2,10) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (4,3) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (6,3) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 251 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Handicap:
- Cape Cross (4 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Dansili (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blue Wave in 2015, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Summer Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Summer Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
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