Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Summer Handicap Preview
The Summer Handicap is run on the final day of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is run in late July or early August, the race is a Class 2 handicap currently sponsored by Qatar which is run over one mile and six furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three or older.
Summer Handicap Information:
If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Summer Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Summer Handicap, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.
Summer Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Summer Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +0.00. Ahead of the 2024 Summer Handicap why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Sir Chauvelin, trained by Jim Goldie and ridden by Robert Winston who set the fastest winning time in the Summer Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 2:58.34 when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John & Thady Gosden and jockey Robert Havlin with Sweet William who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:17.60 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Sir Chauvelin (2:58.34) in 2018
- Lord Van Percy (2:58.50) in 2014
- Elidor (2:59.33) in 2016
Summer Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Summer Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Summer Handicap and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 3:17.60 | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo 9-6 (2 of 11) 9/4F | Robert Havlin John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 3:00.85 | Trawlerman (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (13 of 13) 6/1 | Benoit De La Sayette (5lbs) John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2021 3:13.74 | Prince Alex (GB) 4yo 8-9 (7 of 12) 13/2 | Rossa Ryan Michael Bell (GB) |
| 2020 3:01.62 | Hochfeld (IRE) 6yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 15/2 | Harry Bentley Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2019 2:59.58 | Kings Advice (GB) 5yo 9-10 (14 of 13) 7/2F | Joe Fanning Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2018 2:58.34 | Sir Chauvelin (GB) 6yo 9-2 (7 of 13) 12/1 | Robert Winston Jim Goldie (GB) |
| 2017 3:10.25 | Soldier In Action (FR) 4yo 9-10 (2 of 13) 11/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2016 2:59.33 | Elidor (GB) 6yo 9-10 (8 of 14) 16/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon (GB) |
| 2015 3:00.87 | Blue Wave (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 14) 20/1 | William Buick Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2014 2:58.50 | Lord Van Percy (GB) 4yo 9-2 (14 of 14) 8/1 | David Probert Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Summer Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 40 placings from 259 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Summer Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals is John & Thady Gosden who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Trawlerman (2022) and Sweet William (2023). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Amanda Perrett has sent a total of 16 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Summer Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-2-2 | +8.25 | +5.10 |
| Andrew Balding | 8-1-3 | +1.00 | +3.53 |
| Alan King | 8-1-1 | -2.00 | -3.87 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 7-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.62 |
| Michael Bell | 5-1-3 | +2.50 | +3.46 |
| Jim Goldie | 4-1-3 | +9.00 | +9.00 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.44 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Amanda Perrett | 16-0-1 | -16.00 | -14.75 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-0-2 | -9.00 | -6.44 |
Summer Handicap Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Summer Handicap over the last 20 renewals with Ryan Moore, Joe Fanning, Silvestre De Sousa and Kerrin McEvoy having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Sanbuch (2008) and Manyriverstocross (2009). Joe Fanning winners have been with Golden Quest (2005) and Kings Advice (2019). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Elidor (2016) and Soldier In Action (2017). Kerrin McEvoy winners have been with Soulacroix (2006) and Scriptwriter (2007). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Summer Handicap, Frankie Dettori has ridden 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Summer Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-2-4 | -4.50 | -6.25 |
| Joe Fanning | 15-2-4 | -0.50 | -2.93 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-2-5 | +22.00 | +18.31 |
| Kerrin McEvoy | 2-2-2 | +10.33 | +6.46 |
| Jim Crowley | 13-1-2 | +0.00 | -2.00 |
| William Buick | 5-1-2 | +16.00 | +10.00 |
| David Probert | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.00 |
| Harry Bentley | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.50 |
| Luke Morris | 3-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.44 |
| Robert Havlin | 3-1-1 | +0.25 | -0.65 |
2024 Summer Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, 1, 2, 6, 1, 5, 6, 1, 6, 2, (3, 7), 11, 3, 2, 1, 6, 2, (2, 4, 9), 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Achieved an RPR of 96+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Not in a G2/Cl4/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Class)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Held an OR of 81+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 43+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Sex is not Colt/Filly/Mare
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more -13½l (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on SFT/FM/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 82+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 4 - 18 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m½f (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - In a field of 7 - 18 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 2 placings (Course)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Summer Handicap. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Summer Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Summer Handicap Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +3.75 is when runners ran in a Class 2 when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 4 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-55.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 2 (4,3) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 13 (2,10) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (4,3) [12 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (6,3) [9 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 14 (12,4) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Summer Handicap is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 253 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Summer Handicap, that stallion Cape Cross has produced 4 winners (2020,2016,2010,2009).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Summer Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Dansili (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Montjeu (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Galileo (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Rock Of Gibraltar (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Halling (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Blue Wave in 2015, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of William Buick. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Summer Handicap head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Summer Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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