Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Irish Oaks Preview
The Irish Oaks is a Group 1 race open to three-year-old fillies that is run at the Curragh racecourse in July of each year. Established in 1895, the race is run over one mile and four furlongs around the right-handed course and is Ireland's equivalent to the Epsom Oaks. Watch out for runners who perform well in this race and then head to York to run in the Yorkshire Oaks the following month, Snowfall (2021) was the last to do the double.
Irish Oaks Information:
Our dedicated Curragh tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Irish Oaks but will also have predictions for each meeting at Curragh throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Curragh Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish Oaks market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 127%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Oaks, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.
Irish Oaks Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Oaks next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.59. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:27.10 was set by Shawanda in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A De Royer-Dupre and ridden by Christophe Soumillon. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Sariska won in a time of 2:45.84, booked to ride was Jamie Spencer by the trainer Michael Bell.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish Oaks over the last 20 renewals:
- Shawanda (2:27.10) in 2005
- Alexandrova (2:29.60) in 2006
- Covert Love (2:30.38) in 2015
What the expert says...
Irish Oaks Past Winners
Here are the Irish Oaks past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Irish Oaks and the jockey are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:32.61 | You Got To Me (GB) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 14) 15/2 | Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2023 2:43.11 | Savethelastdance (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 8) 10/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:34.02 | Magical Lagoon (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (8 of 7) 5/4F | Shane Foley Mrs John Harrington (IRE) |
| 2021 2:34.36 | Snowfall (JPN) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 8) 2/7F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2020 2:39.54 | Even So (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 8) 10/1 | Colin Keane G M Lyons (IRE) |
| 2019 2:34.49 | Star Catcher (GB) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 7/2 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2018 2:32.54 | Sea Of Class (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 7) 11/4 | James Doyle William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 2:32.13 | Enable (GB) 3yo 9-0 (6 of 10) 2/5F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 2:34.53 | Seventh Heaven (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 11) 14/1 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:30.38 | Covert Love (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 9) 7/1 | Pat Smullen Hugo Palmer (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Oaks have been based:
- IRE: 9 winners with an additional 24 placings from 146 runners
- GB: 9 winners with an additional 10 placings from 43 runners
- FR: 2 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
Irish Oaks Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Irish Oaks over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race seven times with those seven winners coming from Alexandrova (2006), Peeping Fawn (2007), Moonstone (2008), Bracelet (2014), Seventh Heaven (2016), Snowfall (2021) and Savethelastdance (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Oaks are John Gosden (3 wins) and A De Royer-Dupre (2 wins). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Irish Oaks, J S Bolger has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst D K Weld has sent out 12 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Irish Oaks trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 65-7-23 | -27.27 | -2.86 |
| John Gosden | 6-3-4 | +2.15 | +1.12 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 2-2-2 | +9.00 | +5.51 |
| Mrs John Harrington | 6-1-3 | -3.75 | -2.47 |
| G M Lyons | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.00 |
| Ralph Beckett | 5-1-2 | +3.50 | +1.40 |
| Hugo Palmer | 3-1-2 | +5.00 | +3.30 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -0.28 |
| Ed Dunlop | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
| Michael Bell | 1-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.60 |
Irish Oaks Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Irish Oaks over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Snow Fairy (2010), Snowfall (2021) and Savethelastdance (2023). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Blue Bunting (2011), Enable (2017) and Star Catcher (2019).
Here are some of the top Irish Oaks jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 10-3-7 | -2.30 | -0.88 |
| Frankie Dettori | 5-3-4 | +4.40 | +2.94 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 16-1-5 | -1.00 | -2.25 |
| Colin Keane | 6-1-2 | +5.00 | +1.90 |
| Shane Foley | 3-1-2 | -0.75 | -0.52 |
| James Doyle | 2-1-1 | +1.75 | +0.72 |
| William Buick | 2-1-2 | +0.25 | +3.58 |
| Hector Crouch | 1-1-1 | +7.50 | +4.50 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 1-1-1 | +4.50 | +2.70 |
| Jamie Spencer | 1-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.60 |
2025 Irish Oaks Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 2, 1, 1, 15, 3, 1, 5, 5, 3, 7, 1, 5, 3, 2, 1, 1, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (56%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 20 / 20 (60%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (71%) - Achieved a TS of 44+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Season)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Break of 14 - 77 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Placed is not Cl2-5
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Won within last 3 starts
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Off a break of 14 - 50 days
- 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 8 - 18 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 3 - 9 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 65+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 7 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 2 races (30 Days)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Oaks. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Oaks by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish Oaks Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.38 is when runners ran in England when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 win in the past year, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-77.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 2 (6,4) [14 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 5 (7,4) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 8 (6) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (6,3) [8 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 2 (5,3) [8 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Oaks is Epsom, there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Epsom last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Ascot, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Oaks:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
- Nathaniel (2 Wins)
- Sea The Stars (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Irish Oaks, that stallion is Fastnet Rock who has failed to produce a winner from 7 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Seventh Heaven in 2016, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Seamie Heffernan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Irish Oaks remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish Oaks Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Other Principal races at Curragh racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Curragh racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
