Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Irish St Leger Preview
Established in 1915, the Irish St Leger is the Irish equivalent to the Doncaster St Leger, it's a Group 1 race which is open to thoroughbreds who are three or older where three-year-old runners receive an 8lb age allowance, it's run at the Curragh racecourse in September of each year during Irish Champions Weekend over a trip of one mile and six furlongs.
Irish St Leger Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Curragh tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered during the Irish Champions Weekend section for links to these.
How competitive is the Irish St Leger market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish St Leger, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.
Irish St Leger Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish St Leger next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -9.01. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Irish St Leger see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Brown Panther, trained by Tom Dascombe and ridden by Richard Kingscote who set the fastest winning time in the Irish St Leger, the runner won the race in a time of 2:57.15 when winning the race in 2014. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John M Oxx and jockey Mick Kinane with Alandi who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 3:14.82 in the 2009 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals:
- Brown Panther (2:57.15) in 2014
- Voleuse De Coeurs (3:00.08) in 2013
- Kastoria (3:01.00) in 2006
Irish St Leger Past Winners
Here are the Irish St Leger past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Irish St Leger are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 3:01.72 | Eldar Eldarov (GB) 4yo 9-11 (2 of 4) 16/5 | David Egan Roger Varian (GB) |
2022 3:04.67 | Kyprios (IRE) 4yo 9-11 (6 of 11) 8/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2021 3:02.05 | Sonnyboyliston (IRE) 4yo 9-11 (12 of 13) 4/1 | Ben Coen J P Murtagh (IRE) |
2020 3:06.50 | Search For A Song (IRE) 4yo 9-8 (7 of 8) 7/1 | Oisin Orr D K Weld (IRE) |
2019 3:03.24 | Search For A Song (IRE) 3yo 8-11 (8 of 10) 10/1 | Chris Hayes D K Weld (IRE) |
2018 3:05.72 | Flag Of Honour (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 2/1F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2017 3:07.82 | Order Of St George (IRE) 5yo 9-10 (5 of 10) 2/5F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2016 3:05.95 | Wicklow Brave (GB) 7yo 9-11 (2 of 4) 11/1 | Frankie Dettori W P Mullins (IRE) |
2015 3:03.19 | Order Of St George (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 11) 5/4F | Joseph O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
2014 2:57.15 | Brown Panther (GB) 6yo 9-11 (5 of 11) 14/1 | Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish St Leger have been based:
- IRE: 15 winners with an additional 21 placings from 126 runners
- GB: 6 winners with an additional 12 placings from 51 runners
Irish St Leger Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race six times with those six winners coming from Yeats (2007), Septimus (2008), Order Of St George (2015 & 2017), Flag Of Honour (2018) and Kyprios (2022).
Here are the Irish St Leger trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals for trainers who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
A P O'Brien | 39-6-14 | -27.72 | -17.01 |
W P Mullins | 5-1-2 | +7.00 | -1.50 |
K R Burke | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
Irish St Leger Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Order Of St George (2017), Flag Of Honour (2018) and Kyprios (2022).
Here are the Irish St Leger jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals for jockeys who have entries in the 2024 renewal, those not listed have not had a runner. (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Ryan Moore | 8-3-4 | -1.87 | -0.22 |
Seamie Heffernan | 12-1-3 | -10.67 | -8.55 |
David Egan | 1-1-1 | +3.20 | +0.00 |
Wayne Lordan | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | +0.75 |
William Buick | 1-0-0 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
2024 Irish St Leger Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2), (3, 4), 2, 1, 1, 3, 1, 4, 6, 2, 2, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 6, 6, 1, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (62%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (63%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 21 / 21 (70%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 21 / 21 (71%) - Beaten no more -6¼l (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (76%) - Off a break of 20 - 86 days
- 21 / 21 (80%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 21 / 21 (83%) - Ran in 1 - 5 races (Season)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 99+ (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Achieved a TS of 85+ (Career)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Ran over 1m4f - 2m4f (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (86%) - Held an OR of 99+ (Season)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Furthest Won 1m4f - 2m4f
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Had 2 - 11 wins (Career)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - No bigger than 66/1 (Career)
- 20 / 21 (85%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish St Leger. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish St Leger by adding a tip on the race here.
Irish St Leger Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.96 is when runners finished in 1st on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (8,10) [11 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 12 (13,14) [13 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (4,6) [8 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 8 (9,5) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish St Leger is Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 154 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 23 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish St Leger:
- Galileo (8 Wins)
- Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Royal Diamond in 2012, winning for Thomas Carmody at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of N G McCullagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 8 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Irish St Leger head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.
Irish St Leger Trend Shortlist
Curragh will host the 2024 renewal of the Irish St Leger which will be run at 4:45 pm on Sunday 15th September 2024 and these are the runners who perform best based on the trends along with the trainer and jockey and their record in the race (Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP):
- 15/15 Vauban (6/1)
- W P Mullins (5-1-2 +7.00 / -1.50)
- William Buick (1-0-0 -1.00 / -1.00)
Others: Giavellotto (14/15), Kyprios (14/15), Al Qareem (13/15), The Euphrates (11/15), Nastaria (10/15), Waldadler (9/15) and Crypto Force (8/15).
*Trainer & Jockey numbers are Runs-Wins-Places Win LSP / EW LSP, Runners, Odds and Trends Passed/Failed correct at the time of posting (7:02 pm Friday 13th September 2024), if no odds were available at the time of posting then forecasted odds are used.
Giavellotto won the Princess of Waless Stakes last time out and a total of 7 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +11.65.
Kyprios won the Goodwood Cup last time out and a total of 6 previous winners of that race from a total of 19 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of -6.67.
Vauban won the Lonsdale Cup last time out and a total of 8 previous winners of that race from a total of 18 runners went on to win next time out, backing them all would have returned an LSP of +3.82.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Irish St Leger Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Races Covered during the Irish Champions Weekend
Here is the schedule for the two-day Irish Champions Weekend which is run at Leopardstown on Saturday and then the Curragh on Sunday for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Saturday at the Irish Champions Weekend
Leopardstown hosts the opening day of the Irish Champions Weekend, the highlight of the day being the Irish Champions Stakes, a race dominated by Aidan O'Brien in recent years with him winning all of the last five renewals and has won the race a total of twelve times.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:40 Leopardstown Champions Juvenile Stakes | Diego Velazquez (IRE) 2yo - 8/15 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
14:15 Leopardstown Solonaway Stakes | Flight Plan (GB) 3yo - 15/2 | K R Burke Daniel Tudhope |
14:50 Leopardstown Matron Stakes | Tahiyra (IRE) 3yo - 5/6 | D K Weld Chris Hayes |
15:25 Leopardstown Irish Champion Stakes | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
16:35 Leopardstown Petingo Handicap | Satin (GB) 3yo - 14/1 | Mrs John Harrington Shane Foley |
17:10 Leopardstown Sovereign Path Handicap | Massive Sovereign (IRE) 3yo - 5/1 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Sunday at the Irish Champions Weekend
Sunday of the Irish Champions Weekend is hosted at the Curragh with four Group 1 races, the highlight being the Irish St Leger, Aidan has not been as dominant in this with just six wins, three behind both Vincent O'Brien and Dermot Weld.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 Curragh Bold Lad Sprint Handicap | Big Gossey (IRE) 6yo - 16/1 | Charles O'Brien Robert Whearty |
14:25 Curragh Blandford Stakes | Lumiere Rock (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
15:00 Curragh Moyglare Stud Stakes | Fallen Angel (GB) 2yo - 9/2 | K R Burke Daniel Tudhope |
15:35 Curragh Flying Five Stakes | Moss Tucker (IRE) 5yo - 16/1 | K J Condon W J Lee |
16:10 Curragh National Stakes | Henry Longfellow (IRE) 2yo - 10/11 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
16:45 Curragh Irish St Leger | Eldar Eldarov (GB) 4yo - 16/5 | Roger Varian David Egan |
17:55 Curragh Northfields Handicap | Crystal Black (IRE) 5yo - 5/1 | Gerard Keane Colin Keane |
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