2022 Irish St Leger Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 9, 4:50pm Last Updated: Sep 13, 2:36pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 404 Views

2022 Irish St Leger Preview

Established in 1915, the Irish St Leger is the Irish equivalent to the Doncaster St Leger, its a Group 1 race which is open to thoroughbreds who are three or older where three-year-old runners receive an 8lb age allowance, it's run at the Curragh racecourse in September of each year over a trip of one mile and six furlongs.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Curragh Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:57.15 was set by Brown Panther in 2014, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Tom Dascombe and ridden by Richard Kingscote. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Alandi won in a time of 3:14.82, booked to ride was Mick Kinane on this John M Oxx trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Brown Panther (2:57.15)
  • 2003 - Vinnie Roe (2:58.90)
  • 2002 - Vinnie Roe (2:59.00)

How competitive is the Irish St Leger market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 128%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish St Leger, the over-round has been 117% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish St Leger next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.71. Ahead of the 2022 Irish St Leger why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today.

Irish St Leger Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Irish St Leger. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Irish St Leger as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The 2011 renewal resulted in a dead-heat between Duncan and Jukebox Jury.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
3:02.05
Sonnyboyliston
4yo 9-11 (12 of 13) 4/1
Ben Coen
J P Murtagh
2020
3:06.50
Search For A Song
4yo 9-8 (7 of 8) 7/1
Oisin Orr
D K Weld
2019
3:03.24
Search For A Song
3yo 8-11 (8 of 10) 10/1
Chris Hayes
D K Weld
2018
3:05.72
Flag Of Honour
3yo 9-1 (5 of 6) 2/1F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2017
3:07.82
Order Of St George
5yo 9-10 (5 of 10) 2/5F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2016
3:05.95
Wicklow Brave
7yo 9-11 (2 of 4) 11/1
Frankie Dettori
W P Mullins
2015
3:03.19
Order Of St George
3yo 9-0 (9 of 11) 5/4F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien
2014
2:57.15
Brown Panther
6yo 9-11 (5 of 11) 14/1
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe
2013
3:00.08
Voleuse De Coeurs
4yo 9-8 (6 of 10) 9/1
Chris Hayes
D K Weld
2012
3:08.47
Royal Diamond
6yo 9-11 (9 of 9) 16/1
N G McCullagh
Thomas Carmody

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish St Leger have been based:

  • IRE: 16 winners with an additional 22 placings from 123 runners
  • GB: 5 winners with an additional 12 placings from 53 runners

Irish St Leger Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals is D K Weld who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Vinnie Roe (2002), Vinnie Roe (2003), Vinnie Roe (2004), Voleuse De Coeurs (2013), Search For A Song (2019) & Search For A Song (2020). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Irish St Leger is A P O'Brien (5 wins).

Here are some of the top Irish St Leger trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
D K Weld 16-6-8 +22.07 +10.76
A P O'Brien 39-5-14 -29.45 -18.15
W P Mullins 6-1-2 +6.00 -2.50
John Gosden 4-1-1 +2.00 +0.13
Tom Dascombe 3-1-2 +12.00 +7.23
J P Murtagh 3-1-1 +2.00 +0.40
Mark Johnston 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.50
Joseph Patrick O'Brien 8-0-4 -8.00 -4.16
Luke Comer 8-0-0 -8.00 -8.00
Sir Michael Stoute 5-0-2 -5.00 -2.50

Irish St Leger Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Irish St Leger over the last 20 renewals with both Chris Hayes & Ryan Moore who have both won the race 2 times. Chris Hayes winners have been with Voleuse De Coeurs (2013) & Search For A Song (2019). Ryan Moore winners have been with Order Of St George (2017) & Flag Of Honour (2018).

Here are some of the top Irish St Leger jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Chris Hayes 6-2-3 +15.00 +10.40
Ryan Moore 6-2-3 -1.60 -0.66
Seamie Heffernan 13-1-4 -11.67 -8.25
N G McCullagh 3-1-1 +14.00 +7.60
Richard Kingscote 3-1-2 +12.00 +7.23
Frankie Dettori 2-1-1 +10.00 -1.00
Oisin Orr 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Olivier Peslier 2-1-2 +0.63 +0.68
Ben Coen 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40
Kevin Manning 9-0-1 -9.00 -6.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,4,(1,2),(3,4),2,1,1,3,1,4,6,2,2,1,2,1,1,4,6,6

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (64%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 21 / 21 (65%) - Finished in the first 3 (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (66%) - Beaten no more than 5l (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (72%) - Within first six of market
  • 20 / 21 (74%) - Previously won over 13f+
  • 20 / 21 (79%) - 3+ Career wins
  • 19 / 21 (77%) - Ran in a 3yo+ race (LTO)
  • 19 / 21 (79%) - Top 2 finish within last 3
  • 18 / 21 (60%) - No bigger than 6/1 (LTO)
  • 18 / 21 (76%) - No bigger than 5/1 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Curragh racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish St Leger. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Irish St Leger by adding a tip on the race here.

Irish St Leger Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.60 is when runners finished in 1st on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-36.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 12 (13,14) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (4,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 8 (9,5) [10 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 5 (3,2) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish St Leger is Curragh, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Curragh last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 153 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 23 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish St Leger:

  • Galileo (7 Wins)
  • Definite Article (3 Wins)
  • Sadlers Wells (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Royal Diamond in 2012 when winning for Thomas Carmody at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of N G McCullagh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 8 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Irish St Leger.

Other Principal races at Curragh racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Curragh racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in March

Races in May

Races in June

Races in July

Races in August

Races in October

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