2022 Irish Champion Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Sep 9, 4:39pm Last Updated: Sep 13, 2:38pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 416 Views

2022 Irish Champion Stakes Preview

The Irish Champion Stakes is a Group 1 race open to runners who are aged three or older, the race takes place in September of each year and is run over one mile and two furlongs at Leopardstown racecourse. Established in 1976, the race was originally named in honour of Joe McGrath, a former racehorse owner and a man honoured for his work with hospital charities. In 2009, the race become part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge series where the winner earns an automatic spot in the Breeders Cup Turf that same year.

We also have a dedicated Leopardstown Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Ed Dunlop trained Snow Fairy ridden by Frankie Dettori who has set the fastest winning time in the Irish Champion Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:00.92 that was set when winning the race in 2012. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ryan Moore with St Marks Basilica who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:11.19 in the 2021 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2012 - Snow Fairy (2:00.92)
  • 2004 - Azamour (2:01.90)
  • 2007 - Dylan Thomas (2:02.27)

How competitive is the Irish Champion Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Champion Stakes, the over-round has been 116% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Champion Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.25. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Irish Champion Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Irish Champion Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Irish Champion Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Irish Champion Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
2:11.19
St Marks Basilica
3yo 9-3 (4 of 4) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2020
2:05.08
Magical
5yo 9-6 (5 of 6) 9/2
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien
2019
2:06.49
Magical
4yo 9-4 (3 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien
2018
2:07.21
Roaring Lion
3yo 9-1 (8 of 7) 8/11F
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden
2017
2:08.36
Decorated Knight
5yo 9-7 (10 of 10) 25/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Charlton
2016
2:08.93
Almanzor
3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 7/1
Christophe Soumillon
J-C Rouget
2015
2:05.41
Golden Horn
3yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 5/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden
2014
2:03.18
The Grey Gatsby
3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 7/1
Ryan Moore
Kevin Ryan
2013
2:05.22
The Fugue
4yo 9-4 (8 of 6) 4/1
William Buick
John Gosden
2012
2:00.92
Snow Fairy
5yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 15/8
Frankie Dettori
Ed Dunlop

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Champion Stakes have been based:

  • IRE: 12 winners with an additional 15 placings from 98 runners
  • GB: 7 winners with an additional 11 placings from 41 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Irish Champion Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 9 times. Those 9 winners came from High Chaparral (2003), Oratorio (2005), Dylan Thomas (2006), Dylan Thomas (2007), Cape Blanco (2010), So You Think (2011), Magical (2019), Magical (2020) & St Marks Basilica (2021). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Champion Stakes is John Gosden (3 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Irish Champion Stakes, D K Weld has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Irish Champion Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 52-9-22 -17.16 -12.81
John Gosden 4-3-4 +4.98 +3.44
J S Bolger 14-1-2 -12.38 -10.23
Saeed bin Suroor 5-1-1 -1.50 -2.44
Roger Charlton 4-1-2 +22.00 +12.61
Ed Dunlop 3-1-3 -0.12 +1.27
Kevin Ryan 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.38
J-C Rouget 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
D K Weld 12-0-0 -12.00 -11.00
Sir Michael Stoute 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.50

Irish Champion Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of Seamie Heffernan, Frankie Dettori & Ryan Moore having all won the race 3 times. Seamie Heffernan winners have been with Cape Blanco (2010), So You Think (2011) & Magical (2020). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Grandera (2002), Snow Fairy (2012) & Golden Horn (2015). Ryan Moore winners have been with The Grey Gatsby (2014), Magical (2019) & St Marks Basilica (2021).

Here are some of the top Irish Champion Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Seamie Heffernan 14-3-7 -0.25 +2.01
Frankie Dettori 8-3-6 +0.63 +1.77
Ryan Moore 7-3-5 +4.93 +2.57
Kevin Manning 13-1-2 -11.38 -9.23
William Buick 4-1-3 +1.00 +0.78
Christophe Soumillon 3-1-1 +5.00 +2.20
Oisin Murphy 2-1-1 -0.27 -0.54
Andrea Atzeni 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.00
Declan McDonogh 7-0-1 -7.00 -4.70
Jamie Spencer 4-0-2 -4.00 -1.56

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,4,7,5,1,1,1,1,2,1,2,2,2,1,8,7,1,1,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (63%) - A previous Group 1 winner
  • 20 / 20 (66%) - Last win was in at least a G2
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in at least a G2 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - 3+ Career wins
  • 19 / 20 (46%) - No bigger than 8/1
  • 19 / 20 (57%) - Within first four of market
  • 19 / 20 (73%) - Last win was over 10f+
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - 3+ Starts in G1 races
  • 18 / 20 (54%) - Previously won over further
  • 18 / 20 (55%) - Previously won over 10.5f+

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Champion Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Irish Champion Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Irish Champion Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +14.49 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-55.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (5,2) [8 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 8 (2) [7 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 10 (9,1) [10 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Champion Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Sandown and Ascot, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 119 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 26 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Champion Stakes:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Danehill (3 Wins)
  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Champion Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Decorated Knight in 2017 when winning for Roger Charlton at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Irish Champion Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Comments

There are no comments here. Be the first to comment...

Please Register / Login to reply to this blog

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!

We detected you are connecting from United States. We have a different section in our site for users from your country.