Irish Champion Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Updated: 1083 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Irish Champion Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Irish Champion Stakes, a race run over 1m2f at Leopardstown.

Irish Champion Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Irish Champion Stakes Preview

The Irish Champion Stakes is a Group 1 race open to runners who are aged three or older, the race takes place in September of each year and is run over one mile and two furlongs at Leopardstown racecourse. Established in 1976, the race was originally named in honour of Joe McGrath, a former racehorse owner and a man honoured for his work with hospital charities. In 2009, the race became part of the Breeders' Cup Challenge series where the winner earns an automatic spot in the Breeders Cup Turf that same year.

Irish Champion Stakes Information:

Our dedicated Leopardstown tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Irish Champion Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Leopardstown throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Leopardstown Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Irish Champion Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Irish Champion Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Irish Champion Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Irish Champion Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.25. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Irish Champion Stakes.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2022 renewal when Luxembourg from A P O'Brien under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 2:12.10, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Snow Fairy, trained by Ed Dunlop and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 2:00.92 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2012 - Snow Fairy (2:00.92)
  • 2004 - Azamour (2:01.90)
  • 2007 - Dylan Thomas (2:02.27)

Irish Champion Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Irish Champion Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Irish Champion Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:02.68
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 11/4F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
2:12.10
Luxembourg (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (6 of 7) 7/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2021
2:11.19
St Marks Basilica (FR)
3yo 9-3 (4 of 4) 5/6F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2020
2:05.08
Magical (IRE)
5yo 9-6 (5 of 6) 9/2
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:06.49
Magical (IRE)
4yo 9-4 (3 of 8) 11/10F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
2:07.21
Roaring Lion (USA)
3yo 9-1 (8 of 7) 8/11F
Oisin Murphy
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:08.36
Decorated Knight (GB)
5yo 9-7 (10 of 10) 25/1
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Charlton (GB)
2016
2:08.93
Almanzor (FR)
3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 7/1
Christophe Soumillon
J-C Rouget (FR)
2015
2:05.41
Golden Horn (GB)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 7) 5/4F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2014
2:03.18
The Grey Gatsby (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 7/1
Ryan Moore
Kevin Ryan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Irish Champion Stakes have been based:

  • IRE: 13 winners with an additional 15 placings from 98 runners
  • GB: 6 winners with an additional 11 placings from 39 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Irish Champion Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race ten times with those ten winners coming from Oratorio (2005), Dylan Thomas (2006 & 2007), Cape Blanco (2010), So You Think (2011), Magical (2019 & 2020), St Marks Basilica (2021), Luxembourg (2022) and Auguste Rodin (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Champion Stakes is John Gosden (3 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Irish Champion Stakes, D K Weld has sent a total of 12 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Irish Champion Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 54-10-23 -15.91 -12.16
John Gosden 4-3-4 +4.98 +3.44
J S Bolger 13-1-2 -11.38 -9.23
Roger Charlton 4-1-2 +22.00 +12.61
J-C Rouget 3-1-1 +5.00 +2.20
Ed Dunlop 3-1-3 -0.12 +1.27
Kevin Ryan 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.38
D K Weld 12-0-0 -12.00 -11.00
Kevin Prendergast 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.70
David Elsworth 2-0-1 -2.00 +0.50

Irish Champion Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Irish Champion Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race five times with those five winners coming from The Grey Gatsby (2014), Magical (2019), St Marks Basilica (2021), Luxembourg (2022) and Auguste Rodin (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Irish Champion Stakes are Seamie Heffernan (3 wins) and Frankie Dettori (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Irish Champion Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 9-5-7 +11.18 +6.41
Seamie Heffernan 15-3-8 -1.25 +1.91
Frankie Dettori 7-2-5 -1.87 +0.21
Christophe Soumillon 4-1-1 +4.00 +1.20
William Buick 4-1-3 +1.00 +0.78
Oisin Murphy 2-1-1 -0.27 -0.54
Andrea Atzeni 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.00
Declan McDonogh 7-0-1 -7.00 -4.70
Wayne Lordan 4-0-1 -4.00 -2.30
Shane Foley 4-0-0 -4.00 -4.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 5, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 2, 2, 1, 8, 7, 1, 1, 2, 1, 3, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (58%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (61%) - Highest Won is G1
  • 20 / 20 (61%) - Had 1 - 7 wins (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (64%) - Achieved a TS of 100+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Beaten no more -2¼l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Had 5 - 17 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Achieved a TS of 101+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Highest Placed is G1
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Had 3 - 11 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 6 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 2 - 17 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in a LST/Cl2-4 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Leopardstown racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Irish Champion Stakes. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Irish Champion Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Irish Champion Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +16.74 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G1) when last winning. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career wins in the class, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-57.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (4,6) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (4) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 [4 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 3 (5,2) [8 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Irish Champion Stakes is York, there has been a total number of 10 winners of this race who ran at York last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Sandown, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 122 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 24 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Irish Champion Stakes:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Danehill (3 Wins)
  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Irish Champion Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Decorated Knight in 2017, winning for Roger Charlton at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Andrea Atzeni. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Irish Champion Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Other Principal races at Leopardstown racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Leopardstown racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (the Dublin Racing Festival)

Races in February (the Dublin Racing Festival)

Races in December (the Christmas Festival)

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