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2022 Breeders Cup Turf Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Oct 23, 2:16pm Last Updated: Nov 8, 2:35pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 1894 Views

2022 Breeders Cup Turf Preview

The Breeders Cup Turf was first run back in 1984 and being on the turf, you get lots of European interest in this race. The race is open to 3yo+ is and is run over 12f (1m4f) on the turf with a purse of $4m. The 'Win and You're In' race in Europe this year were the Prince of Wales's Stakes and King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot. As well as the Irish Champion Stakes at Leopardstown and the Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp.

Our dedicated Keeneland Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Breeders Cup Turf but will also have predictions for each meeting at Keeneland throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

When looking over the past 10 renewals, a time of 2:22.83 was set by Little Mike in 2012, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Dale Romans and ridden by R A Dominguez. The slowest winning time was set in 2018 when Enable won in a time of 2:32.65, booked to ride was Frankie Dettori on this John Gosden trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Breeders Cup Turf over the last 10 renewals:

  • 2012 - Little Mike (2:22.83)
  • 2016 - Highland Reel (2:23.00)
  • 2013 - Magician (2:23.23)

How competitive is the Breeders Cup Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2016 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Breeders Cup Turf, the over-round has been 119% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £119 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Breeders Cup Turf next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.13. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Breeders Cup Turf see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Breeders Cup Turf Past Winners

Here are the Breeders Cup Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Breeders Cup Turf as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
2:25.90
Yibir (GB)
3yo 8-10 (8 of 14) 17/2
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
2:28.02
Tarnawa (IRE)
4yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 3/1
Colin Keane
D K Weld (IRE)
2019
2:24.73
Bricks And Mortar (USA)
5yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/8F
Irad Ortiz Jr
Chad C Brown (USA)
2018
2:32.65
Enable (GB)
4yo 8-11 (2 of 13) 8/13F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)
2017
2:26.19
Talismanic (GB)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 14/1
Mickael Barzalona
A Fabre (FR)
2016
2:23.00
Highland Reel (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 7/2
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2015
2:32.06
Found (IRE)
3yo 8-7 (9 of 12) 4/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2014
2:24.91
Main Sequence (USA)
5yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 7/1
John R Velazquez
H Graham Motion (USA)
2013
2:23.23
Magician (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (11 of 12) 7/1
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2012
2:22.83
Little Mike (USA)
5yo 9-0 (7 of 12) 25/1
R A Dominguez
Dale Romans (USA)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders Cup Turf have been based:

  • IRE: 4 winners with an additional 7 placings from 21 runners
  • USA: 3 winners with an additional 9 placings from 76 runners
  • GB: 2 winners with an additional 3 placings from 14 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Breeders Cup Turf Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Breeders Cup Turf over the last 10 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Magician (2013), Found (2015) & Highland Reel (2016).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Turf trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 19-3-10 -1.50 -1.08
Chad C Brown 13-1-4 -10.62 -7.77
John Gosden 5-1-3 -3.38 -2.46
A Fabre 4-1-2 +11.00 +6.17
Dale Romans 3-1-1 +23.00 +13.00
Charlie Appleby 3-1-1 +6.50 +3.10
D K Weld 2-1-1 +2.00 +0.80
H Graham Motion 1-1-1 +7.00 +4.20
Thomas Albertrani 6-0-2 -6.00 +5.50
Philip DAmato 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

Breeders Cup Turf Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Breeders Cup Turf over the last 10 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Magician (2013) & Found (2015).

Here are some of the top Breeders Cup Turf jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 9-2-7 +4.00 +3.62
Frankie Dettori 7-1-2 -5.38 -5.06
John R Velazquez 5-1-2 +3.00 +1.10
Irad Ortiz Jr 5-1-2 -2.62 -1.72
William Buick 3-1-2 +6.50 +3.70
Mickael Barzalona 2-1-1 +13.00 +7.40
Seamie Heffernan 2-1-1 +2.50 +1.10
Colin Keane 2-1-1 +2.00 +0.80
R A Dominguez 1-1-1 +25.00 +15.00
Javier Castellano 8-0-3 -8.00 +4.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,2,4,2,2,3,1,1,2,11

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

  • 10 / 10 (69%) - No bigger than 33/1
  • 10 / 10 (79%) - No older than a 5yo
  • 10 / 10 (80%) - Made 7-24 starts (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (80%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
  • 10 / 10 (80%) - Had 3+ wins (Career)
  • 10 / 10 (85%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 10 / 10 (93%) - Previously won over 1m2f+
  • 9 / 10 (50%) - Within first 6 of market
  • 9 / 10 (74%) - Wearing no equipment
  • 9 / 10 (78%) - Carried 123-131lbs (LTO)
  • 9 / 10 (80%) - Made 8+ starts (Turf)
  • 8 / 10 (62%) - Previously won a G1 race

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Keeneland racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders Cup Turf. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Breeders Cup Turf by adding a tip on the race here.

Breeders Cup Turf Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.38 is when runners carried 126lbs when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners wore blinkers, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-28.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 8 (6,10) [14 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 3 (2,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 9 (3,5) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 2 (5,11) [13 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 1 (11,3) [13 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Breeders Cup Turf is Belmont Park, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Belmont Park last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 7 winners from a total of 108 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 14 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders Cup Turf, that stallion is Galileo who has produced 3 winners (2016,2015,2013).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders Cup Turf despite multiple attempts:

  • English Channel (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Kittens Joy (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Little Mike in 2012 when winning for Dale Romans at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of R A Dominguez. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2022 Breeders Cup Turf remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

2022 Breeders' Cup Schedule

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