
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Preview
The Breeders' Cup Turf was first run back in 1984, and being on the turf, you get lots of European interest in this race. The race is open to 3yo+ and is run over 12f (1m4f) on the turf with a purse of $4m.
Breeders' Cup Turf Information:
- Breeders' Cup Turf Past Winners
- Breeders' Cup Turf Trainer Statistics
- Breeders' Cup Turf Jockey Statistics
We also have a dedicated Keeneland tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Breeders' Cup Schedule section for links to these.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Breeders' Cup Turf market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2009 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2013 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Breeders' Cup Turf, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Breeders' Cup Turf Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Breeders' Cup Turf races over the last 20 renewals:
- Little Mike (2:22.83) in 2012
- Highland Reel (2:23.00) in 2016
- Magician (2:23.23) in 2013
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -11.13. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Little Mike, trained by Dale Romans and ridden by R A Dominguez, who set the fastest winning time in the Breeders' Cup Turf. That runner won the race in a time of 2:22.83 in 2012. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Todd Pletcher and jockey John R Velazquez with English Channel who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:36.96 in the 2007 renewal.
Breeders' Cup Turf Challenge Series
Here are the races that are included in the Breeders' Cup Challenge Series for the Breeders' Cup Turf:
- Gran Premio Internacional Carlos Pellegrini (San Isidro)
- Prince of Wales's Stakes (Royal Ascot)
- Gran Premio Brasil (Gavea)
- Takarazuka Kinen (Hanshin)
- King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (Ascot)
- Sword Dancer Stakes (Saratoga)
- Del Mar Handicap (Del Mar)
- Irish Champion Stakes (Leopardstown)
- Kentucky Turf Cup (Kentucky Downs)
- Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe (Longchamp)
- Champion Stakes (Ascot)
Breeders' Cup Turf Past Winners
Here are the Breeders' Cup Turf past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Breeders' Cup Turf are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:25.45 | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (14 of 14) 28/1 | Dylan Browne McMonagle W P Mullins (IRE) |
| 2024 2:26.07 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 6yo 9-0 (11 of 13) 19/10F | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:24.30 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 8-10 (4 of 11) 5/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:26.35 | Rebels Romance (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (5 of 13) 596/100 | James Doyle Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2021 2:25.90 | Yibir (GB) 3yo 8-10 (8 of 14) 17/2 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:28.02 | Tarnawa (IRE) 4yo 8-11 (3 of 10) 3/1 | Colin Keane D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2019 2:24.73 | Bricks And Mortar (USA) 5yo 9-0 (9 of 12) 11/8F | Irad Ortiz Jr Chad C Brown (USA) |
| 2018 2:32.65 | Enable (GB) 4yo 8-11 (2 of 13) 8/13F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 2:26.19 | Talismanic (GB) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 13) 14/1 | Mickael Barzalona A Fabre (FR) |
| 2016 2:23.00 | Highland Reel (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (12 of 12) 7/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Breeders' Cup Turf have been based:
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 7 placings from 39 runners
- IRE: 7 winners with an additional 8 placings from 36 runners
- USA: 4 winners with an additional 18 placings from 131 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 4 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
- CAN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ARG: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Breeders' Cup Turf Replay
Breeders' Cup Turf Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Breeders' Cup Turf over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from St Nicholas Abbey (2011), Magician (2013), Found (2015), Highland Reel (2016) and Auguste Rodin (2023). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Turf are Charlie Appleby (3 wins), Brian Meehan (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Breeders' Cup Turf; Philip D'Amato has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Turf trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 32-5-13 | -5.00 | -5.87 |
| Charlie Appleby | 8-3-5 | +11.36 | +7.82 |
| Brian Meehan | 6-2-3 | +9.00 | +4.83 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 6-2-3 | +0.41 | -0.48 |
| Chad C Brown | 16-1-4 | -13.62 | -10.77 |
| Todd Pletcher | 11-1-3 | -6.00 | -5.86 |
| John Gosden | 7-1-3 | -5.38 | -4.46 |
| H Graham Motion | 6-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.30 |
| A Fabre | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +5.17 |
| Dale Romans | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.00 |
Breeders' Cup Turf Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Breeders' Cup Turf over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race five times, with those five winners coming from Conduit (2008 & 2009), Magician (2013), Found (2015) and Auguste Rodin (2023). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Breeders' Cup Turf are Frankie Dettori (3 wins), John R Velazquez (2 wins) and William Buick (2 wins). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Breeders' Cup Turf. Javier Castellano has ridden 12 runners in the race without recording any wins, whilst Joel Rosario has ridden 11 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Breeders' Cup Turf jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-5-12 | +7.91 | +7.35 |
| Frankie Dettori | 16-3-5 | +0.62 | -3.23 |
| John R Velazquez | 11-2-5 | +2.00 | +3.20 |
| William Buick | 7-2-4 | +5.40 | +2.56 |
| Irad Ortiz Jr | 8-1-3 | -5.62 | -3.88 |
| R A Dominguez | 5-1-2 | +21.00 | +13.10 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +12.00 | +6.40 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | +3.96 | +1.58 |
| Dylan Browne McMonagle | 2-1-1 | +27.00 | +15.80 |
| Joseph O'Brien | 2-1-2 | +4.00 | +2.75 |
2026 Breeders' Cup Turf Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 5, 4, 1, 3, 4, 3, 2, 4, 2, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 11, 5, 1, 1, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the Racing Post in terms of previous runs, etc.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (67%) - No bigger than 28/1
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 116+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 113+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (70%) - Carried 122 - 134lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not in a G1-3/LST/Cl6 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - Break of 27 - 161 days (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Ran in 7 - 22 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Had 1 - 4 wins (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (Season)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 122 - 134lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 118 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (Season)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (1 Year)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Keeneland racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Breeders' Cup Turf by adding a tip on the race here.

101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Breeders' Cup Turf Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.27, is when runners were IRE bred.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners wore blinkers, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-52.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 14 (1,10) [14 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 11 (1,3) [13 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 4 (6,1) [11 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (3,2) [13 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 8 (6,10) [14 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Breeders' Cup Turf are Longchamp and Belmont Park; there have been a total of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 204 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 22 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Breeders' Cup Turf:
- Galileo (4 Wins)
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Dalakhani (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Breeders' Cup Turf despite multiple attempts:
- English Channel (0 Wins from 13 runners)
- Kittens Joy (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Frankel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Ethical Diamond in 2025, winning for W P Mullins at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Dylan Browne McMonagle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Breeders' Cup Turf, head over to see which runners the best racing tipsters are tipping today. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs, are based on the information that is available on the Racing Post.
Route to the Breeders' Cup Turf
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Breeders' Cup Turf. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Ethical Diamond York - 1st of 22 (5/1) | Ebor Handicap |
| 2024 - Rebels Romance Cologne - 1st of 6 (8/5) | Mehl-Mulhens-Stiftung - 62nd Preis von Europa |
| 2023 - Auguste Rodin Leopardstown - 1st of 8 (11/4) | Irish Champion Stakes |
| 2022 - Rebels Romance Cologne - 1st of 7 (23/10) | 60th Preis von Europa - prasentiert von DZ Privatbank |
| 2021 - Yibir Belmont Park - 1st of 7 (73/20) | Jockey Club Derby Invitational Stakes |
| 2020 - Tarnawa Longchamp - 1st of 12 (23/5) | Prix de l'Opéra |
| 2019 - Bricks And Mortar Arlington Park - 1st of 9 (1/2) | Arlington Million XXXVII Stakes |
| 2018 - Enable Longchamp - 1st of 19 (1/1) | Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe |
| 2017 - Talismanic Chantilly - 3rd of 6 (203/10) | Qatar Prix Foy |
| 2016 - Highland Reel Chantilly - 2nd of 16 (20/1) | Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Breeders' Cup Turf Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team, looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Breeders' Cup Schedule
Breeders' Cup Juvenile races on Friday
Friday at the Breeders' Cup is all about the Juveniles; we have five Grade 1 races dedicated to the 2-year-old runners.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf Sprint | Cy Fair (USA) 2yo - 5/1 | George Weaver Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies | Super Corredora (USA) 2yo - 44/5 | John W Sadler Hector I Berrios |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf | Balantina (IRE) 2yo - 14/1 | Donnacha Aidan O'Brien Oisin Murphy |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile | Ted Noffey (USA) 2yo - 4/5 | Todd Pletcher John R Velazquez |
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint | Splendora (USA) 4yo - 29/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
Breeders' Cup Championship races on Saturday
The Championship races on Saturday at the Breeders' Cup sees a total of nine Grade 1 races, with the highlight of the American season, the Breeders' Cup Classic.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint | Shisospicy (USA) 3yo - 53/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Sprint | Bentornato (USA) 4yo - 17/10 | Jose Francisco D'Angelo Irad Ortiz Jr |
| Breeders' Cup Distaff | Scylla (USA) 5yo - 76/10 | William Mott Junior Alvarado |
| Breeders' Cup Turf | Ethical Diamond (IRE) 5yo - 28/1 | W P Mullins Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Breeders' Cup Classic | Forever Young (JPN) 4yo - 7/2 | Yoshito Yahagi Ryusei Sakai |
| Breeders' Cup Mile | Notable Speech (GB) 4yo - 13/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile | Nysos (USA) 4yo - 7/10 | Bob Baffert Flavien Prat |
| Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf | Gstaad (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Christophe Soumillon |
| Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf | Gezora (FR) 3yo - 91/10 | F-H Graffard Mickael Barzalona |




