Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Preview
Established in 1920, the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is a Group 1 race that is run at Longchamp racecourse in October, more often than not on the first Sunday of October.
The race is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over a trip of one mile and four furlongs and is considered by many the highlight of the racing season in France and in Europe but is only behind the Epsom Derby in terms of prestige.
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Information:
- Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Past Winners
- Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trainer Statistics
- Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Longchamp then head over to the Longchamp tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered on Arc Day section for links to these.
How competitive is the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 10 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 10 renewals of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, the over-round has been 121%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £121 which is bet.
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 10 if you had followed the winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 6 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.41. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 10 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Sottsass from J-C Rouget under the guidance of Cristian Demuro, won in a time of 2:39.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Found, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 2:23.61 in the 2016 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 10 renewals:
- Found (2:23.61) in 2016
- Ace Impact (2:25.50) in 2023
- Treve (2:26.05) in 2014
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Past Winners
Here are the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 2:25.50 | Ace Impact (IRE) 3yo 8-13 (8 of 15) 19/10F | Cristian Demuro J-C Rouget (FR) |
| 2022 2:35.71 | Alpinista (GB) 5yo 9-2 (6 of 20) 33/10F | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2021 2:37.62 | Torquator Tasso (GER) 4yo 9-5 (12 of 14) 72/1 | Rene Piechulek Marcel Weiss (GER) |
| 2020 2:39.30 | Sottsass (FR) 4yo 9-5 (4 of 11) 73/10 | Cristian Demuro J-C Rouget (FR) |
| 2019 2:31.97 | Waldgeist (GB) 5yo 9-5 (3 of 12) 131/10 | Pierre-Charles Boudot A Fabre (FR) |
| 2018 2:29.24 | Enable (GB) 4yo 9-2 (6 of 19) 1/1F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2017 2:28.69 | Enable (GB) 3yo 8-9 (2 of 18) 10/11F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 2:23.61 | Found (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (12 of 16) 6/1 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:27.23 | Golden Horn (GB) 3yo 8-11 (14 of 17) 9/2 | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
| 2014 2:26.05 | Treve (FR) 4yo 9-2 (3 of 20) 11/1 | Thierry Jarnet Mme Christiane Head (FR) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe have been based:
- FR: 4 winners with an additional 10 placings from 74 runners
- GB: 4 winners with an additional 6 placings from 30 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 28 runners
- GER: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 10 runners
- JPN: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 18 runners
- CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 10 renewals is John Gosden who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Golden Horn (2015) and Enable (2017 & 2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is J-C Rouget (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe trainer statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| John Gosden | 8-3-5 | +1.41 | -0.74 |
| J-C Rouget | 12-2-4 | -0.80 | -2.82 |
| A P O'Brien | 25-1-3 | -18.00 | -20.00 |
| A Fabre | 16-1-7 | -1.90 | -3.51 |
| Mme Christiane Head | 3-1-1 | +9.00 | +3.50 |
| Marcel Weiss | 2-1-2 | +71.00 | +42.70 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 1-1-1 | +3.30 | +1.65 |
| P Bary | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| A De Royer-Dupre | 6-0-0 | -6.00 | -6.00 |
| F Chappet | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | +3.00 |
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 10 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Golden Horn (2015) and Enable (2017 & 2018). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is Cristian Demuro (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe jockey statistics over the last 10 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 9-3-6 | +0.41 | -1.24 |
| Cristian Demuro | 8-2-3 | +3.20 | +0.68 |
| Ryan Moore | 9-1-1 | -2.00 | -5.00 |
| Pierre-Charles Boudot | 7-1-2 | +7.10 | +2.99 |
| Rene Piechulek | 3-1-1 | +70.00 | +41.20 |
| Thierry Jarnet | 2-1-1 | +10.00 | +4.50 |
| Luke Morris | 1-1-1 | +3.30 | +1.65 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 9-0-1 | -9.00 | -8.50 |
| Christophe Soumillon | 8-0-2 | -8.00 | -6.60 |
| Maxime Guyon | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | +0.00 |
2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 4, 5, 1, 1, 2, 6, 3, 1, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.
- 10 / 10 (53%) - Carried 126 - 128lbs (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (54%) - Had 2 - 8 wins (Jockey)
- 10 / 10 (55%) - Ran in 4 - 19 races (Jockey)
- 10 / 10 (55%) - Achieved an RPR of 118+ (Last Win)
- 10 / 10 (56%) - Had 3 - 12 placings (Jockey)
- 10 / 10 (56%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/SLW/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 10 / 10 (60%) - Furthest Won 1m2½f - 1m4f
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Had 4 - 9 wins (Non-Hcps)
- 10 / 10 (63%) - Beaten no more -2l (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (64%) - Had 1 - 5 wins (Class)
- 10 / 10 (65%) - Had 4 - 9 wins (Career)
- 10 / 10 (66%) - Highest Won is G1
- 10 / 10 (67%) - Achieved an RPR of 113+ (LTO)
- 10 / 10 (76%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
- 10 / 10 (77%) - Dam is not ARG/AUS/JPN/UAE/USA bred
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe by adding a tip on the race here.
Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +51.30 is when runners had the same jockey as on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a different jockey as when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-69.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 8 (1,9) [15 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (2,18) [20 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 12 (3,2) [14 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 4 (1,7) [11 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 3 (9,1) [12 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 5 winners from a total of 124 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 38 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe:
- Galileo (2 Wins)
- Nathaniel (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe despite multiple attempts:
- Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 11 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Deep Impact (0 Wins from 7 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 10 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Torquator Tasso in 2021, winning for Marcel Weiss at odds of 72/1 under the guidance of Rene Piechulek. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 10 renewals there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for International racing.
Races Covered on Arc Day
Arc Day races for Sunday 6th October 2024
Here are the races at the Longchamp racecourse which take place on Arc Day, all of which we have blogs for.
| Race | 2023 Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Prix Jean-Luc Lagardere | Rosallion (IRE) 2yo - 61/10 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| Prix Marcel Boussac | Opera Singer (USA) 2yo - 17/10 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe | Ace Impact (IRE) 3yo - 19/10 | J-C Rouget Cristian Demuro |
| Prix de l'Opera | Blue Rose Cen (IRE) 3yo - 17/10 | Christopher Head Aurelien Lemaitre |
| Prix de l'Abbaye de Longchamp | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 21/10 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| Prix de la Foret | Kelina (IRE) 3yo - 28/1 | C Laffon-Parias Maxime Guyon |
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