Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Arc Day)

2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Preview

Established in 1920, the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is a Group 1 race that is run at Longchamp racecourse in October, more often than not on the first Sunday of October.

The race is open to runners who are aged three or older and is run over a trip of one mile and four furlongs and is considered by many the highlight of the racing season in France and in Europe but is only behind the Epsom Derby in terms of prestige.

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Information:

• Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Past Winners
• Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trainer Statistics
• Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Jockey Statistics

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Longchamp tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered on Arc Day section for links to these.

How competitive is the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 117%. The race in 2004 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trends:

• 2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trends
• Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trend Analysis

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 13 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.54. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 2:23.61 was set by Found in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Ryan Moore. The slowest winning time was set in 2020 when Sottsass won in a time of 2:39.30, booked to ride was Cristian Demuro on this J-C Rouget trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 20 renewals:

• 2016 - Found (2:23.61)
• 2011 - Danedream (2:24.49)
• 2004 - Bago (2:25.00)

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Past Winners

Here are the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe have been based:

• FR: 10 winners with an additional 21 placings from 150 runners
• GB: 5 winners with an additional 11 placings from 63 runners
• IRE: 3 winners with an additional 4 placings from 54 runners
• GER: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 17 runners
• JPN: 0 winners with an additional 3 placings from 29 runners
• CZE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
• ITY: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
• BRZ: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
• QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 20 renewals with both A Fabre and John Gosden who have both won the race three times. A Fabre winners have been with Hurricane Run (2005), Rail Link (2006) and Waldgeist (2019). John Gosden winners have been with Golden Horn (2015) and Enable (2017 & 2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe are A P O'Brien (2 wins), J-C Rouget (2 wins) and Mme Christiane Head (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, P Bary has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Golden Horn (2015) and Enable (2017 & 2018). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe are Ryan Moore (2 wins), Cristian Demuro (2 wins), Thierry Jarnet (2 wins) and Kieren Fallon (2 wins). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe, Christophe-Patrice Lemaire (0-12), Maxime Guyon (0-11) and Mickael Barzalona (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 5, DSQ, 10, 1, 1, 4, 7, 7, 2, 3, 4, 5, 1, 1, 2, 6, 3, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well. The trend information is based on the available information on the racing post in terms of previous runs etc.

• 20 / 20 (66%) - Not on HY/SFT/SLW/STD-SLW (Debut)
• 20 / 20 (68%) - Furthest Won 1m2f - 1m4f
• 20 / 20 (72%) - Furthest Placed 1m2½f - 1m4½f
• 20 / 20 (75%) - No more than +10lbs (Vs Min Weight)
• 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Career)
• 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 72/1
• 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Placed is G1
• 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 6/1 (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (80%) - Within the first 13 of the market
• 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last Win)
• 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Won is not G3/LST/Cl2-4
• 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 120 - 129lbs (Debut)
• 20 / 20 (86%) - Is not BRZ/JPN/NZ/USA bred
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Placed within last 2 starts
• 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 110+ (Class)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Longchamp racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe by adding a tip on the race here.

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +74.60 is when runners had the same jockey as on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Soft ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-75.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

• 2023: Winner in 8 (1,9) [15 Runners]
• 2022: Winner in 6 (2,18) [20 Runners]
• 2021: Winner in 12 (3,2) [14 Runners]
• 2020: Winner in 4 (1,7) [11 Runners]
• 2019: Winner in 3 (9,1) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe is Longchamp, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Longchamp last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 11 winners from a total of 251 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 9 winners from a total of 70 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe:

• Cape Cross (2 Wins)
• Galileo (2 Wins)
• Motivator (2 Wins)
• Nathaniel (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe despite multiple attempts:

• Monsun (0 Wins from 14 runners)
• Dubawi (0 Wins from 11 runners)
• Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 11 runners)
• Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 9 runners)
• Deep Impact (0 Wins from 8 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Torquator Tasso in 2021, winning for Marcel Weiss at odds of 72/1 under the guidance of Rene Piechulek. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. All figures and trends above, such as the horse's previous runs are based on the information that is available on the racing post.

Races Covered on Arc Day

Arc Day races for Sunday 6th October 2024

Here are the races at the Longchamp racecourse which take place on Arc Day, all of which we have blogs for.