Horse Racing Trainers to Follow

Horse racing trainer form by month, highlighting the yards who hit form around the same time each year for NH, Flat and all-weather horse racing.
Horse Racing Trainers to Follow
Nigel Skinner
Nigel Skinner Blog Content Manager

Football Manager Expert and Political Betting Specialist across Exchange and Spread Betting Sites

This monthly updated article will take you through a meticulous analysis of trainer form by month, based on historical performance data. You will discover which trainers consistently shine in specific months.

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Horse Racing Trainers to Follow this month [December 2024]

December

December 2024 Trainers to Follow 

The year has flown past and we go into December at around +£180 LSP which should ensure another winning year for the blog

We made a small profit last December and as a result we have 3 returning.  

As usual in December we struggle for trainers, we had 5 last year but just 4 this year. 

GB NH 

VENETIA WILLIAMS (ALL) 

Back from last month where she gave some nice figures with her Chase runners. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2018

9/53

17%

£16.83

2019

16/56

29%

£4.42

2020

7/55

13%

(£15.54)

2021

14/59

24%

(£7.72)

2022

9/54

17%

£5.25

2023

 18/65

  28%

£19.84  .

Our own figures using early prices were (£4.75) in 2020 and only (£1.38) in 2021, in 2022 we were +£15.50 and last year almost +£28.00, all using early prices.  She comes into the month in great form and no reason why that should change. 


SANDY THOMSON (ALL)

Another regular in the Yule tide blog, the star of the show in 2022 with a +£20.68 LSP and profit again last year.

     Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2017

3/12

25%

£11.75

2018

5/20

25%

£14.62

2019

5/25

20%

£11.50

2020

4/20

20%

£3.88

2021

3/32

9%

(£16.25)

2022

 7/23

 30%

£12.28

2023

 3/22

 14%

£1.25

Our own SP figures were just (£1.50) in 2021 using early prices and we almost doubled the LSP in 2022, we had four times the profit last year so you really need to get on early with this guy in, we doubled the SP profit in 2019 and had SIX TIMES the profit in 2020 using early prices, one was bet at 25’s and won at 17/2!  


EVAN WILLIAMS (NON BUMPERS)                                                    

Glamorgan trainer, back for a third year, usually finds a couple of nice winners.

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2018

11/67

16%

£46.60

2019

5/49

10%

(£2.50)

2020

10/39

26%

£17.46

2021

6/48

13%

£2.83

2022

5/37

14%

£1.50

2023

4/36

 11%

(£10.38)

Strike rate isn’t inspiring but our own early price figures were +£4.84 LSP last December (we bet a winner at 28’s that returned 14’s) and +£13.30 in 2022. Don't be surprised to see him find a winner at the Welsh National meeting at Chepstow at the back end of the year.  Remember to ignore his bumper runners, he’s 0/14 in the above period.

GARY & JOSH MOORE (NON BUMPERS) 

Finished 12th in last year's trainers championship and now trains in partnership with his son Josh.

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

10/60

17%

(£20.51)

2021

12/61

20%

£4.28

2022

10/49

20%

£74.94

2023

13/62

21%

£25.94

Nice figures, 0/8 with his bumper runners over the same period.


NEARLY MEN

A couple almost made the list this month. Joseph O’Brien has had nice figures in 23 and 22 with his Irish NH horses but prior to that his figures were poor.  On the AW Michael Appleby had good figures in 23 and 20 but again 2021-2022 were poor.  They wouldn’t appear in a normal month with those figures so no reason to put them in this month just because we are short on trainers.

It’s not going to be a busy betting month so far as the blog is concerned but hopefully a profitable one.

As always any comments or questions leave below, Good Luck and Happy Christmas!

Horse Racing Trainers to Follow this month [November 2024]

November 2024 

A fantastic October means we sit around +£175 LSP for the year, with just 2 months to go that “should” guarantee another winning year.  

We made a +£37 LSP last November, as a result we have 4 trainers returning.  In total we have 8 trainers this month 3 NH and 5 AW.

GB NH 

KIM BAILEY (CHASE)

Back from last month and last year where he made a lovely profit on both counts.

2019

5/18

28%

(£3.38)

2020

5/21

24%

£2.10

2021

3/11

27%

£6.00

2022

2/17

12%

£9.00

2023

7/17

41%

£17.05

Our own figures were +£32.80 last year so almost double the profit using early prices.  Remember just his chase runners in November.


VENETIA WILLIAMS (CHASE)

A trainer I don't really associate with early season gains but she has some lovely figures in November with her chase runners.

2019

6/28

21%

£2.75

2020

8/36

22%

(£1.73)

2021

6/24

25%

£34.75

2022

6/34

18%

(£15.50)

2023   

13/36

36%

£28.83

Solid stuff, just the 2022 blip, 8 winners in 2020 would definitely be a profit using Early Prices.


JAMIE SNOWDON (ALL)

Lambourn trainer and new to the blog, has some solid figures in November.

2019

7/29

24%

(£5.75)

2020

2/37

5%

(£29.67)

2021

4/28

14%

£0.08

2022

8/28

29%

£2.47

2023

11/35

31%

£0.15

Not the best figures we’ve ever shown but a nice progression year on year and only 1 year we wouldn’t want to replicate, plenty of Early Price gains possible in the last 2 years.


GB AW

WILLIE HAGGAS (3YO’S)

Back for a third year, won’t have many runners so little risk involved.

2016

2/3

67%

£3.67

2017

2/7

29%

£0.44

2018

3/9

33%

£2.00

2019

3/10

30%

£2.83

2020

4/9

44%

£4.54

2021

2/6

33%

(£2.55)

2022

2/3

67%

£4.50

2023

 2/9

22%

(£0.60)

We made a small profit last year so no reason not to include.


SIMON & ED CRISFORD (ALL)

Third year in the November blog, £24.40 profit last year

2018

7/25

28%

£8.08

2019

2/11

18%

£18.50

2020

5/18

28%

£6.50

2021

6/20

30%

£1.10

2022

4/13

31%

£10.93

2023

9/30

30%

£9.55

 Really good stats, hopefully more of the same.


DAVID SIMCOCK (ALL)  

Usually sneaks into the blog at some point over the winter.

2019

4/17

24%

£18.50

2020

2/24

8%

(£13.75)

2021

4/13

31%

£6.50

2022

4/24

17%

£24.50

2023

5/18

28%

£6.25

I have no idea what I did last year, I missed 5 of his runners and 3 were winners!!, we still made a profit.


ROGER VARIAN (2YOs)

Newmarket trainer who has taken a hit in recent years losing a couple of big owners.

2020

5/24

21%

(£13.40)

2021

5/16

31%

£5.35

2022

5/18

28%

£2.39

2023

7/18

39%

£9.90

Really solid figures and 36% with his 2yo’s in October so comes into the month in good form.


IAIN JARDINE (NON 3YO’s)

Scottish trainer and blog virgin, really solid figures with his non 3yo’s.

2020

3/17

18%

£28.00

2021

1/10

10%

£31.00

2022

5/13

38%

£28.00

2023

2/14

14%

£58.00

Would like a better strike rate but consistent in terms of strike rate, he’s 2/32 and (£9.00) over the same period so we’ll get rid of those.                                                                                                                    

As always any comments, questions or observations please leave in the comments,  Good Luck


Horse Racing Trainers to Follow October 2024

October 

After a really good September we go into the last quarter of the year at +£83 LSP.  A small profit last October but that was largely due to one trainer underperforming, as a result we have 4 trainers returning. Just 6 trainers in total but we have some big guns so plenty of runners. 

GB FLAT TURF

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Back for a third year, we’ve alternated between his 2yo’s and all his runners and it’s all his runners this year.

2020

8/22

36%

£9.36

2021

11/39

28%

£0.31

2022

13/45

29%

£13.44

2023

9/19

47%

£11.91

Our Early Price figures were +£15.08 last year.  He comes into the month with a profit in the last three months and he also provided a profit last month.

RALPH BECKETT (ALL)

Back from last year where he made a +£9.94 LSP using early prices.


Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2019

10/41

         24%

£44.75

2020

11/64

17%

£17.88

2021

7/59

12%

(£28.93)

2022

10/67

15%

£14.88

2023

14/55

25%

£0.48


Much better strike rate last year and over 9 points extra profit using early prices also gave us a nice profit in September with his 2 and 3 year olds.


GB NH

KIM BAILEY (ALL)

Back for a third year, only a small profit last year but a solid set of figures.


Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2018

9/22

41%

£9.16

2019

5/18

28%

£14.43

2020

13/45

29%

£9.14

2021

3/30

10%

(£20.95)

2022

6/22

27%

£8.29

     2023

            5/20

         25%

        £0.48


Just one blip in 2021 but bounced back with profit in each of the next two years. 

KERRY LEE (ALL)

Hertfordshire trainer who finished last year with a 24% strike rate for the whole season.


Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

3/14

21%

£6.00

2021

3/8

38%

£8.75

2022

0/7

0%

(£7.00)

2023

2/5

40%

£3.50


Solid figures apart from 2022, won’t have many runners so little risk involved.


GB AW

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

Not as prominent in the blog in recent years but has some stand out AW figures in October.  The stats below are John on his own up to and including 2020, after that it’s Thady in partnership with his dad.


Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2016

5/17

29%

£6.97

2017

7/24

29%

£4.94

2018

7/26

30%

£3.30

2019

13/42

31%

£2.67

2020

10/40

25%

£9.41

     2021

             5/23

        22%

      (£11.97)

     2022

             13/26

        50%

      £28.32

     2023

             8/24

        33%

      £17.24


2021 was the first year of Thady’s inclusion, whether they tried something different or just an anomaly I’m not sure but it has been back to normal in the last two years.. 


IRISH FLAT

A O’BRIEN (2YO’S)

Master Irish trainer who doesn’t appear too often in the blog, some great 2yo figures for October.


Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2018

15/61

25%

£28.84

2019

11/40

28%

£24.73

2020

10/26

38%

£2.71

2021

8/38

21%

£12.35

2022

11/41

27%

(£1.68)

    2023

            9/43

        21%

      £11.03


Fantastic results, the one year when he made a loss would almost certainly be a profit with 11 winners using early prices.

A couple to mention that nearly made the list were Julie Camacho on the flat turf and Nicky Richards national hunt runners.  

These two both had cracking figures in the last two years but prior to that not quite strong enough to make the blog. 

Another to mention is Jonjo O’Neil who was in the blog last year but performed poorly, prior to that his stats were good but with so many runners another bad year would be a disaster. 

As always any questions or comments please leave below, good luck!!!!!

Horse Racing Trainers to Follow September 2024

September 

At the time of writing we have a small profit in August which takes us to around +£50 LSP for the year.

Last September was a poor month, as a result we only have 3 trainers returning and just 8 trainers in total.

 

GB FLAT TURF

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Godolphin trainer who hasn’t quite hit the heights of recent years but has a level stakes profit in three of the last 4 months. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L


2020

7/29

24%

£2.07


2021

14/46

30%

£2.63


2022

14/54

26%

(£6.59)


2023

13/39

33%

£12.52


Solid stuff and 14 winners in 2022 would have given a great chance of breaking even using early prices instead of the SP.

CLIVE COX (2&3YO’S)

Made a loss last year but that is the only blot on his recent copybook.

Early Price figures were +£29.24 LSP in 2022, add that to +£46.50 in 2019, +£23.62 in 2020 and +£33.63 in 2021.

These are some of the best stats we’ll find so I think it would be foolish not to give him another chance. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2017

11/34

32%

£36.00

2018

8/31

26%

£23.04

2019

6/39

15%

£23.33

2020

7/40

18%

£14.78

2021

9/45

20%

£23.43

2022

11/41

27%

£17.23   

2023

6/43    

14%   

(£14.51)    

Remember to exclude the 4yo+ runners, he’s 5/69 and has a (£33) LSL with those runners over the same period.

JAMIE OSBORNE (ALL)

Lambourn trainer and I think this is his first appearance in the blog. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

 2/25 

8%

(£2.00)

2021

4/15

27%

£2.75

2022

2/12

17%

£18.00

2023

3/12

25%

£12.75

Nothing too exciting but reasonably progressive and can throw in the odd big priced winner.

GB AW

RALPH BECKETT (2&3YO’S)

The only winning trainer from last September, has solid figures dating back 10 years, I’ve just listed the last 4. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

4/18

22%

£1.48

2021

3/12

25%

£11.41

2022

4/15

27%

£3.80

2023

4/13

31%

£0.87

Our Early Price figures were +£12.25 last year, over 11 points bigger so get on early.

GB NH

MARTIN KEIGHLEY (ALL)

Gloucestershire trainer and another blog virgin. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2021

3/7

43%

£6.70

2022

3/10

30%

£1.79

2023

3/14

21%

£17.00

Won’t keep us too busy but pretty solid stuff, should prove a good addition.

JEDD O’KEEFFE (ALL)

Another newbie to the blog and another that won’t have many runners. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2021

1/1

100%

£4.50

2022

1/1

100%

£0.29

2023

2/6

33%

£3.91

Probably wouldn’t feature in a normal month but good figures were thin on the ground and with so few runners won’t give any risk.

IRISH FLAT 

P TWOMEY (ALL)

Third month on the trot for the Tipperary trainer, had a better August than July and has solid figures for September. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

2/8

25%

£1.00

2021

2/8

25%

(£1.43)

2022

1/14

7%

£3.00

2023

5/12

42%

£4.57

Comes into the month with a 29% strike rate in August, let’s hope we can turn the healthy strike rates into a profit.

IRISH NH

BARRY CONNELL (ALL)

I always like some interest in Ireland and this will give us a tiny interest in the NH (none of the usual protagonists have good enough figures).

This guy is top notch as he showed with Marine Nationale and Good Land. 

Year

Wins/Runs

Strike Rate

P/L

2020

2/7

29%

£4.00

2021

2/4

50%

£1.63

2022

2/2

100%

£10.50

2023

1/5

20%

(£0.67)

Connell owns all his own horses so there won’t be many runners but it’s nice to have a little interest in Ireland.  His form coming into the month is decent with a winner and 2 seconds from his last 4 runners.

You’ll have probably gathered it was a little tricky finding good stats this month but hopefully we can make a nice profit in what will be a quiet month.

As always, comments, questions and observations are all welcome.  Good Luck!


Horse Racing Trainers to Follow August 2024

August

After a good July, at the time of writing we sit at +£40 LSP for the year, August 2023 wasn’t too damaging, just (£10 LSP), as a result we have Eight trainers returning.  We had 14 trainers last August and despite 8 showing a profit we still made a loss so I’ve cut that down to 10 this year, the 8 winners and 2 newbies.

GB FLAT TURF

RALPH BECKETT (ALL)

Back from last month where he has made a small loss but he’s really hit form towards the end of the month which I’m hoping he can carry into August.

2019     13/73     18%     +£ 5.50

2020     16/77     21%      (£ 6.79)

2021      9/61      15%      (£23.21)

2022     16/59     27%     +£ 6.23

2023     30/101   30%     +£21.20

Only One bad year, I’d be confident on turning a profit on 16 winners in 2020 with the benefit of early prices and last year was fantastic.

OWEN BURROWS (ALL)

Back from last year where he gave us a small profit, comes into the month on a high having bagged the Group 2 at York on Saturday.

  • 2019     5/11     45%     +£ 3.92

  • 2020     5/18     28%     +£ 3.50

  • 2021     3/15     20%      (£ 8.02)

  • 2022     3/10     30%     +£ 2.08

  • 2023     5/15     33%      (£ 0.88)

Cracking strike rate and while the profit isn’t massive he should still prove a useful addition.

DANIEL AND CLAIRE KUBLER (3YO+)

Lambourn trainers who are back from last year where they gave a +£4.57 LSP

  • 2020     3/10     30%     +£23.50

  • 2021     3/11     27%     +£ 9.25

  • 2022     5/15     33%     +£26.21

  • 2023     4/18     22%      +£ 2.63

Only four years but hard to argue with these figures, they did have a 2yo winner last year that would have doubled the profits but that was their first over the period.

HEATHER MAIN (ALL)

Oxon trainer I really like, could be top class with the right ammunition, solid August figures.

  • 2019     2/16     13%     +£27.00

  • 2020     2/20     10%     +£23.50

  • 2021     2/9       22%     +£123.00

  • 2022     3/19     16%     +£ 8.50

  • 2023     4/22     18%     +£26.00

Hard to argue with the LSP despite an underwhelming strike rate, was our top flat performer last August.

HARRY CHARLTON (ALL)

Another back from last month, the Charlton family have had some nice August figures in recent years.

  • 2019     11/33   33%     +£16.15

  • 2020     9/35     26%     +£ 0.73

  • 2021     5/39     13%      (£29.40)

  • 2022     5/22     23%     +£ 2.50

  • 2023     9/30     30%     +£33.17

Above figures are Roger then Harry and Roger, now it’s just Harry.  Harry’s figures haven’t been great since he took over the licence (including last month), let's hope that changes fast.


GB National Hunt

NEIL MULHOLLAND (ALL)

The star of the show the last 2 years with +£39 and £53.08 LSP’s.

  • 2019     2/15     8%     +£13.00

  • 2020     7/42    17%    +£18.33

  • 2021     4/15    27%    +£17.38

  • 2022     6/25    24%    +£23.00

  • 2023     5/17    29%    +£41.00

Really good stats and getting better year on year which is what I like.

DONALD McCAIN (ALL)

Cheshire trainer who crops up in the blog a lot.

  • 2016     6/27     22%     +£21.88

  • 2017    13/29    45%     +£55.14

  • 2018      8/40    20%      (£ 6.93)

  • 2019      7/37    19%      (£ 7.88)

  • 2020      4/33    12%      (£19.57)

  • 2021      9/34    26%     +£19.95

  • 2022     13/30   43%     +£17.94

  • 2023      9/43    21%      (£ 6.02)

Plenty of evidence to call on and only 2020 that was really bad, back on track in 21 and 22 and our EP figures were +£2.98 last year so we’ll stick with him.

BEN PAULING (ALL)

Another back from last year where he gave a small profit.

  • 2020     3/12   25%     (£ 0.50)

  • 2021     3/9     33%    +£24.00

  • 2022     5/13   38%    +£ 6.46

  • 2023     3/14   21%    +£ 1.13

Solid enough stuff and our EP figures were +£3.50 LSP.


GB All Weather

ROGER VARIAN (ALL)

Regular in the turf blog, some solid AW figures.

  • 2019     7/21     33%     +£10.65

  • 2020     5/17     29%     +£  2.50

  • 2021     6/18     33%      (£ 1.55)

  • 2022     5/22     23%      (£ 3.29)

  • 2023     5/15     33%     +£ 5.87

Cracking strike rate and every chance we’d have eeked a profit in 21 and 22 using early prices and that was franked as our LSP last year was +£11.83, so 6 points better from just 5 winners.


IRISH FLAT TURF

P TWOMEY (ALL)

Back from last year where he did really well for us, not quite as good in July as last year but he’s had 4 seconds from his last 10 runners at the time of writing.

  • 2018     1/2      50%      +£ 0.50

  • 2019     4/7      57%      +£ 6.98

  • 2020     2/13    15%       (£ 5.17)

  • 2021     3/8      38%      +£ 3.00

  • 2022     5/15    33%      +£ 1.75

  • 2023     4/12    33%      +£ 1.75

It will pay to get on this guy early, our EP figures were +£7.00 last August.

As always, any questions, comments, observations, leave below, Good Luck!





Horse Racing Trainers to Follow July 2024

July

A solid June means we go into the second half of the year with around +£30 LSP.  We had a good July last year and as a result 6 returnees.  We have 8 trainers to go to war with Flat, AW, NH and even some Irish interest.

GB FLAT TURF

WILLIE HAGGAS (3YO’S)

We’ll start with the top performer from last year with almost +£60 LSP

201816/4040%+£15.55
201910/4224%(£ 7.47)
202022/7231%+£11.58
202115/5030%+£ 3.94
202216/4436%+£ 4.27
202316/4635%+£29.54

A really solid set of figures to start with, a fantastic strike rate and double figure winners gives plenty of room for early price gains, a good example of this was Mystic Pearl that we bet at 42 on the exchange it won at 22’s, doubling the SP profit.


ANDREW BALDING (2Y0’S)

Another returning from last year where he gave +£27.60 LSP.

  • 2014     2/6       33%     +£ 5.50

  • 2015     2/18     11%     +£13.00

  • 2016     6/28     21%     +£ 1.90

  • 2017     4/13     31%     +£ 8.75

  • 2018     3/15     20%      (£ 0.58)

  • 2019     4/15     27%     +£11.00

  • 2020     5/24     21%      (£ 8.08)

  • 2021     9/39     23%     +£21.20

  • 2022     6/31     19%     +£ 0.12

  • 2023     4/36     11%     +£ 2.00

Another trainer who massively out performed his SP figures, we had winners at 33’s 12’s 10’s and 5’s, they returned 16’s 11/2 17/2 and 4’s.

HARRY & ROGER CHARLTON (ALL)

Back again with some cracking figures from last year +£34.57 LSP

  • 2018     7/31     21%     +£13.50

  • 2019     3/29     10%     +£ 0.50

  • 2020     9/43     19%     +£ 0.35

  • 2021    12/47    26%     +£ 5.24

  • 2022     8/29     28%     +£ 0.27

  • 2023     5/23     22%     +£25.00

Small profits some years but those can be increased using early prices, giving +£2.41 in 2022 and almost 10 extra points last year but that was mostly due to a winner that was disqualified but we were still paid.

GEORGE SCOTT (ALL)

Big winner for us in 2022 +£25.08 LSP as we bagged one of his 12/1 winners at 30’s on the exchanges.

  • 2016     4/18     22%     +£21.13

  • 2017     3/12     25%      (£ 5.33)

  • 2018     7/16     44%     +£ 3.11

  • 2019     4/21     19%     +£ 0.88

  • 2020     1/24      4%       (£21.38)

  • 2021     4/22     18%     +£ 4.80

  • 2022     6/22     27%     +£ 7.04

  • 2023     7/27     26%     +£ 4.99

Not quite as good last year +£6.11 using EP but still a solid profit.

RALPH BECKETT (2&3yo’s)

Blog favourite who brings some nice figures into July with his younger horses.

  • 2020     6/66     9%     (£18.42)

  • 2021    13/71   18%   +£ 9.12

  • 2022    11/57   19%   +£12.65

  • 2023    18/59   30%   +£12.33

A strike rate that gets better year on year, a nice LSP in the last 3 years, double figure winners means plenty of EP potential, should prove a useful addition.


GB AW

MICHAEL APPLEBY (ALL)

Seems to excel with his All weather runners, was second on the money list last year and has some nice recent July figures.

  • 2021     3/11     27%     +£20.25

  • 2022     6/26     23%     +£43.50

  • 2023     3/15     20%     +£ 5.50

Don’t let the fact that he hasn’t had a winner on the AW in May or June put you off, he only had 2 in each of 21,22 and 23.


GB NH

PETER BOWEN (ALL)

Back from last month and last year and he made a profit in both.

  • 2017     7/29     24%     +£ 9.25

  • 2018    10/40    25%     +£56.53

  • 2019     5/32     16%      (£ 2.75)

  • 2020     0/39       0%      (£39.00)

  • 2021     4/25      16%     (£ 2.15)

  • 2022     4/13      31%    +£ 2.08

  • 2023     9/28      32%    +£ 5.09

We wrote off 2020 as Covid clearly had an effect on his performance, we were level in 2021 and made a profit with him in 2019 despite the SP figure, another profits in the last two years so we stick with him.


IRISH FLAT 

P TWOMEY (ALL)

Back again after a successful 2023, our own figures were +£18.22 LSP so get on early.

  • 2018     1/4     25%     +£ 3.50

  • 2019     0/2       0%      (£ 2.00)

  • 2020     6/23   26%     +£12.95

  • 2021     3/8     38%     +£ 0.32

  • 2022     3/15   20%      (£ 1.13)

  • 2023     6/16   38%     +£ 5.24

We made a small profit in 2023 so an obvious inclusion.

As always please leave any comments below, good luck.

Horse Racing Trainers To Follow June 2024

June 2024.

We move into the summer and one of the most exciting months of the year with the Derby  at Epsom and the 5 day Royal Ascot meeting. 

At the time of writing we have had a really good May which has put the blog back in profit for the year. 

We made a small loss last June, as a result we have just 5 returning, we have 9 trainers in total, 3 Flat and 6 NH with 2 of those being Irish.

GB FLAT TURF

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

Back from last year where he made a small loss, he’s been the star of the show in the May blog though so comes into the month in good form.

  • 2017     13/78     17%     +£ 3.21

  • 2018     16/74     22%      (£22.84)

  • 2019     12/60     20%      (£19.61)

  • 2020     32/116   28%     +£ 8.04

  • 2021     17/76     22%      +£53.59

  • 2022     18/71     25%      +£ 8.15

  • 2023     16/81     20%      (£18.59)

Massive early price gains in the last two years, our own figures last year were (£3.92) so 15 points difference and 37 points difference in 2022. 

EVE JOHNSON HOUGHTON (ALL)

Oxon trainer who crops up now and again on the blog.

  • 2020     6/37     16%     (£ 3.00)

  • 2021     8/55     15%    +£12.16

  • 2022    10/49    20%    +£19.75

  • 2023     8/48     17%    +£15.25

Decent set of stats although I would like a strike rate 20% and above.  2020 wouldn’t be the end of the world and looks to be hitting form at the right time with 4 winners from her last 9 runners at the time of writing.

ED DUNLOP (ALL)

Newmarket trainer who hasn’t appeared in the blog much (if at all).  Plenty to like about his recent June figures.

  • 2020     5/22     23%     +£15.50

  • 2021     2/30      7%       (£23.93)

  • 2022    12/45    27%     +£ 9.73

  • 2023    10/41    24%     +£14.29

Solid stuff, comes into the month on the back of a winning May and at the time of writing had 9/2 and 14/1 winners in the previous 4 days.

IRISH NH

HENRY DE BROMHEAD (ALL)

The star of the show last June with winners at 35’s and 22’s giving +£31.50 LSP

  • 2017     7/38      18%     +£19.38

  • 2018    11/55      20%     (£ 8.63)

  • 2019     7/35       20%    +£ 7.13

  • 2020     5/24       21%    +£ 1.38

  • 2021    12/51      24%    +£ 1.64

  • 2022      6/38      16%     (£ 1.00)

  • 2023      4/32      13%    +£ 7.74

Ideally we would like a better strike rate but while he keeps showing a profit we should stick with him.

WILLIE MULLINS (ALL)

No surprise to see Mullins in the blog again, some solid figures considering all his big guns will have been put away for the winter.

  • 2016     8/19     42%     +£ 6.07

  • 2017     7/28     25%      (£ 0.18)

  • 2018    10/34    29%      (£ 6.15)

  • 2019     6/15     40%      (£ 2.94)

  • 2020     3/6       50%     +£ 7.25

  • 2021     9/22     41%     +£ 9.35

  • 2022     9/22     41%      (£ 0.95)

  • 2023    17/31    55%     +£ 3.41

Unbelievable strike rate and you get a little more wiggle room than you might think in terms of early price gains, our own SP figures were +£11.46 last year so 8 points extra using SP BOG.

GB NH

GORDON ELLIOTT (ALL)

An interesting inclusion, I felt like he wasn’t as successful over here in recent years but his June figures are really good.

  • 2019     5/18     28%     (£ 8.04)

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     No Runners

  • 2022     8/18     44%     +£ 3.28

  • 2023     6/13     46%     +£14.86

No runners for 2 seasons because of Covid and his training ban but cracking stuff the last two years.

JOE/COLIN TIZZARD (ALL)

Dorset trainer who took over the licence from his father, probably most famous for training Cue Card and Native River.

  • 2018     4/18     22%     +£ 3.25

  • 2019     3/14     21%     +£12.00

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     2/9      22%      +£12.20

  • 2022     7/15    47%      +£18.67

  • 2023     1/11      9%      +£ 1.00

Above figures were Colin until 2022 and it’s solid stuff, even managing a profit from just 1 winner last year, at the time of writing has had 2 winners from his last 4 runners.

SEAMUS MULLINS (ALL)

Another back from last year and last month, has had a decent May with recent winners at Cartmel.

  • 2015     4/14     29%     +£38.00

  • 2016     3/15     20%     +£ 7.00

  • 2017     1/13      8%       (£10.63)

  • 2018     5/27     19%     +£ 9.00

  • 2019     3/19     16%      (£ 0.50)

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     2/12     17%      +£ 2.00

  • 2022     4/10     40%      +£15.20

  • 2023     4/12     33%      +£ 7.50

Five placed horses to go with his Four winners last year at prices like 40’s and 16’s, don’t let the price put you off with this guy.

PETER BOWEN (ALL)

Last up this month an old favourite, Peter Bowen got me into this back in the day with his Summer jumpers and he can still be relied upon even now when the sun shines.

  • 2016     7/28     25%      +£ 1.75

  • 2017     9/26     35%      +£21.95

  • 2018    13/39    33%      +£10.52

  • 2019     5/44     11%      +£11.10

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     9/33     27%      (£ 1.93)

  • 2022     6/20     30%     +£ 4.49

  • 2023     9/27     33%     +£ 0.24

Get on early with this guy, we made +£67.50 LSP in 2019 (6 times the SP!).  Last year our SP figures were +£3.77.

Busy month ahead, let's hope we can continue where May left off, as always any comments or questions leave below.    Good Luck!










Horse Racing Trainers to Follow May 2024

May

A winning April but not enough to get us in front for the year, we currently sit at around (25.00) LSL.

May brings the first classics and the Derby trials, the NH season starts again and the evening racing calendar kicks in.  Plenty to go at and 9 trainers, 3 return from last year.

GB TURF

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

The trainer who has appeared in this blog more than any other over the years, now training with his son but still firing out the winners.

  • 2018     21/78     27%     (£ 0.62)

  • 2019     22/90     24%    +£ 9.43

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     11/71     15%     (£33.50)

  • 2022     17/69     25%     (£ 2.75)

  • 2023     17/63     27%    +£25.63

These might not look the best on first glance but 2018 (21 winners) and 2022 (17 winners) means we can expect to add 10-20 extra profit with early prices compared to the SP figures.  2021 was when Thady first entered the partnership and this could have had some effect.  Last year was much more like it and at the time of writing his last 6 runners have won.

AIDEN O’BRIEN (ALL)

The Cashel maestro will send plenty over for Newmarket and will have loads of runners in the subsequent Derby trials; don't be surprised if he lands some with his second or third strings.

  • 2017     7/23     30%     +£ 1.50

  • 2018     6/34     18%      (£11.94)

  • 2019     5/28     18%     +£ 6.25

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     4/18     22%     +£12.83

  • 2022     6/15     40%     +£13.33

  • 2023     6/18     33%     +£  0.76

Solid stuff, our early price figures were +£3.57, remember just his GB runners.

CHARLIE HILLS (ALL)

Lambourn trainer who returns from last month where he made a small loss with his older horses.

  • 2018     11/57     19%     +£21.08

  • 2019     10/62     16%      (£ 0.62)

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     4/52         8%      (£39.55)

  • 2022     10/41     24%     +£27.82

  • 2023      9/53      17%     +£15.23

We just need to avoid a year like 2021, on the evidence of the last two years there is every possibility.

GARY MOORE (3YO+)

Back from last year where he gave a small profit with his non 2yo’s.

  • 2017     5/24     21%     +£44.00

  • 2018     5/28     18%     +£39.00

  • 2019     6/34     18%     +£16.50

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     4/22     18%     +£ 8.33

  • 2022     3/25     12%      (£ 9.42)

  • 2023     9/36     25%     +£20.65

I must have missed a good winner last year because I’ve only recorded 8 winners and our profit was 16 points lower than the SP figures which suggests it was 16’s+....ouch.

GRANT TUER (3yo+)

North Yorkshire blog virgin, trains a lot of the Nick Bradley racing horses, has some nice May figures.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     7/26     27%     +£11.16

  • 2022     3/39      8%      +£12.50

  • 2023     7/33     21%     +£21.10

Decent stuff and comes into the month with 3 winners from the last 5 runners, he’ll give some interest at the northern tracks.

GB NH

DAN SKELTON (ALL)

Fresh from his title tilt, usually gets off to a good start, hopefully more so this season with him just missing out this year.

  • 2018     30/99     30%     +£25.62

  • 2019     22/69     32%      (£10.47)

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     9/43       21%     +£ 5.61

  • 2022     17/48     35%     +£ 3.71

  • 2023     9/50       18%     +£46.60

Cracking stuff, I just hope going full tilt at the back end of the season doesn’t affect his early season figures.

FERGAL O’BRIEN (ALL)

Has had a fantastic season, usually gets off to a flyer.

  • 2017     5/22       23%       +£12.25

  • 2018     5/32       16%        (£16.00)

  • 2019     7/28       25%       +£12.36

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     16/55     29%       +£40.66

  • 2022     17/79     22%        (£12.55)

  • 2023     20/62     32%       +£45.16

Also had a positive LSP in 2015 and 2016, March and April were winning months for the Gloucestershire trainer, no reason why it should change.

SEAMUS MULLINS (NON CHASE)

Wiltshire trainer who has provided a profit in each of the last two seasons with his Hurdle and Bumper runners.

  • 2017     4/26     15%     +£14.33

  • 2018     8/28     28%     +£15.50

  • 2019     5/30     17%     +£ 2.83

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     5/20     24%     +£ 2.00

  • 2022     1/11       9%     +£15.00

  • 2023     2/19     11%     +£12.50

We had his 2 winners at 25’s and 14’s last year so our profit was +£21.00, he had loads that outran their odds at massive prices.

JONJO O’NEILL (ALL)

Cheltenham stalwart who frequents the blog now and again.

  • 2017     12/68     18%      (£ 3.22)

  • 2018      7/62      11%     +£14.00

  • 2019      7/37      19%     +£ 0.48

  • 2020      Covid

  • 2021      8/52      15%      (£27.65)

  • 2022      6/27      22%     +£15.58

  • 2023      8/30      27%     +£10.78

Decent figures and getting better in recent years, only one really bad year when you consider 2017 would have been profitable with early prices.

RESULTS


As always, any comments please leave below, good luck.




Horse Racing Trainers to Follow April 2024

April

GB NH

PAUL NICHOLLS (ALL)

Crack trainer who is in a 3 way battle for the trainers championship, he’ll be firing plenty of ammo at the big races this month and has finished the season on a high in recent years.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     25/90     28%     (£ 3.77)

  • 2022     18/68     26%    +£ 9.30

  • 2023     18/80     23%    +£48.93

The loss in 2021 would almost certainly be a profit using early prices with 25 winners and comes into the month on the back of a winning March.

MATT SHEPPARD (NON BUMPER)

Back from last year where he made a small profit.

  • 2014     1/3     33%     +£10.00

  • 2015     2/7     29%     +£15.50

  • 2016     4/15   27%     +£15.13

  • 2017     3/18   17%     +£  4.38

  • 2018     4/10   40%     +£  8.00

  • 2019     1/8     13%     +£  0.00

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     5/21   24%     +£39.00

  • 2022     1/2     50%     +£  1.00

  • 2023     1/3     33%     +£  0.50

I’ve gone back to 2014 to emphasise the consistency for such a small stable.  Just 5 bumper runners in the above period but he’s not had a bumper winner since September 2008!.


GB FLAT TURF

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Back from last year where he made a small loss but we halved the SP loss using early prices (£5.21).

  • 2018     8/19      42%     +£13.25

  • 2019     5/20      25%      (£  4.35)

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021    10/28     36%     +£  8.16

  • 2022    20/42     48%     +£26.95

  • 2023     5/22      23%      (£10.50)

Still a nice strike rate and I think the risk reward suggests we should give him another go this year.

CHARLIE HILLS (4yo+)

Lambourne stalwart who is a regular in the blog.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     3/10     30%     +£ 5.70

  • 2022     5/13     38%     +£16.00

  • 2023     2/4       50%     +£16.00

There was a case for going with his 3yo’s as well but the older horses look a little more solid.

HUGHIE MORRISON (3YO+)

Berkshire trainer back from last year where he made a small profit.

  • 2019     3/13     23%     +£ 5.41

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     3/12     25%     +£ 4.06

  • 2022     2/9       22%     +£17.00

  • 2023     1/10     10%     +£ 3.00

Nothing flash but while he keeps making a profit we should stick with him, he won’t have many (if any 2yo runners)and if he does his record is poor with them in April.

TOM CLOVER (ALL)

Newmarket based blog virgin, trains a lot of the “Rogue” horses, with Rogue Lightening the highest rated.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     12/10     20%     +£12.75

  • 2022       5/16     31%     +£10.38

  • 2023       1/5       20%      +£ 5.00

Pretty solid stuff, won’t keep us too busy in what will be a busy month.

HARRY EUSTACE (ALL)

Similar profile to Clover, based in Newmarket and a blog virgin.

  • 2021     2/6     33%     +£ 7.50

  • 2022     2/5     40%     +£ 4.00

  • 2023     3/10   30%     +£ 1.70

Again won’t have loads of runners but should keep us ticking over in terms of profit.

JAMES FERGUSON (ALL)

It’s just a conveyor belt of young Newmarket blog virgins this month.

  • 2021     1/7      14%     +£14.00

  • 2022     3/12    25%    +£  5.83

  • 2023     3/10    30%    +£  6.00

Again solid stuff that's hard to ignore.


GB AW 

CHARLIE JOHNSTON (ALL)

I took a little bit of a risk with him last year as he had just taken over from his dad but it paid dividends although not huge ones.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     12/46     26%     +£ 1.02

  • 2022      7/34      21%     +£ 4.94

  • 2023     11/47     23%     +£ 1.81

Our early price figures were a couple of points bigger at +£3.43.  His last two AW runners of March won at 3’s and 12’s which bodes well.

SIR MICHAEL STOUTE (4yo+)

Newmarket legend, surprised to find him in the blog so early in the season.

  • 2015     1/1     100%     +£ 0.30

  • 2016     3/3     100%     +£ 6.25

  • 2017     2/2     100%     +£ 1.83

  • 2018     0/1         0%      (£ 1.00)

  • 2019     2/4       50%     +£ 1.38

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     3/5       75%     +£ 5.63

  • 2022     2/7       29%     +£ 0.08

  • 2023     1/1      100%    +£ 2.75

I’m surprised I haven’t picked this up before but any older horses he runs on the AW in April have to be bet.


IRISH TURF

AIDEN O’BRIEN (Non 3yo’s)

No introduction needed for Ireland’s premier flat trainer.  Was in with his 2yo’s last year but I made a note to watch his older horses as well and we need to include them I think.

  • 2020     Covid

  • 2021     5/7     71%     +£ 5.17

  • 2022     6/8     75%     +£ 10.49

  • 2023     5/9     56%     +£ 1.81

Unbelievable strike rate and while we won’t be making our millions it will give us an interest over the water.  

As always any questions or comments leave below, let's hope we can get back on track this month.

DateRunnersWinnersLSPRunning P&L
1/4/2024302-13.03-13.03
2/4/202410-1-14.03
3/4/202410-1-15.03
4/4/202430-3-18.03
5/4/202410-1-19.03
6/4/202420-2-21.03
7/4/202410-1-22.03
8/4/202420-2-24.03
9/4/2024510.25-23.78
10/4/202430-3-26.78


Horse Racing Trainers to Follow March 2024 [Inc Cheltenham]

March

A decent February has put us back in front for the year at the tune of +£9.76 LSP.

March is an exciting time for racing fans with the highlight of the jumps calendar in Cheltenham, gone are the days when we could just bet Mullins blind and bag a profit.  The champion trainer will have plenty of winners but loads of runners and little in the way of value.  I’ll highlight the trainers to target at Cheltenham at the end of the blog.

March was a winning month last year and as a result we have 4 renturning, whilst they might not have too  many Cheltenham runners I expect another solid month.

GB NH

HARRY FRY (ALL)

Dorset trainer who is no stranger to the blog, has the most Cheltenham entries of our trainers and has two or three with reasonable chances.

  • 2016     9/36     25%     +£ 5.54

  • 2017    11/35    31%     +£20.50

  • 2018     8/29     28%     +£ 5.43

  • 2019     6/34     18%      (£13.29)

  • 2020     2/19     11%      (£14.75)

  • 2021     4/29     14%     +£ 3.50

  • 2022     9/30     30%     +£ 2.98

  • 2023     4/22     18%      (£ 6.75)

Solid stuff back in the day and a bit of a renaissance in recent years, our own figures were +£1.50 LSP last year so we’ll stick with him.

CHRIS GORDON (ALL)

Hampshire trainer who is in again after providing a nice profit in the January blog, just 2 Cheltenham entries.

  • 2016     5/22     23%     +£34.13

  • 2017    12/22    55%     +£31.93

  • 2018      1/19      5%      (£17.00)

  • 2019      3/25     12%     (£  9.09)

  • 2020      4/16     25%    +£ 7.50

  • 2021      7/44     16%     (£10.60)

  • 2022      8/29     28%    +£16.75

  • 2023      4/21     19%    +£ 4.91

Just a couple of poor years in 2018 and 19, I’m not too worried about the 2021 figures, 7 winners means plenty of scope for Early Price gains that would have likely put us close to level.  We gleaned an extra +£2.84 last year from 4 winners.

NICKY RICHARDS (ALL)

Greystoke trainer, the star of the show last year.

  • 2017     7/26     27%     +£  3.28

  • 2018     6/23     26%     +£  5.25

  • 2019     6/25     24%     +£18.25

  • 2020     7/17     41%     +£17.93

  • 2021     3/48       6%      (£41.73)

  • 2022     8/34     24%     +£10.78

  • 2023    12/33    36%     +£41.43

Fantastic set of figures apart from the blip in 2021, I’m really looking forward to his runners this month.

SAM THOMAS (ALL)

Possible blog virgin, has just 4 Cheltenham entries but comes into the month with a winner and second from Graded races at the weekend.

  • 2020     0/5      0%       (£ 5.00)

  • 2021     6/14   43%     +£ 9.57

  • 2022     2/12   17%     +£ 1.70

  • 2023     6/20   30%     +£ 1.58


KERRY LEE (ALL)

Based in Hertfordshire, a trainer I like, just One Cheltenham entry but comes into the month with 4 winners from her last 5 runners.

  • 2020     0/9      0%     (£ 9.00)

  • 2021     2/14   14%   +£17.50

  • 2022     3/13   23%   +£ 4.00

  • 2023     4/11   36%   +£ 2.73

Similar figures to Thomas and don’t forget for both 2020 was a Covid riddled month so the blip can be forgiven.

GB AW

DAVID & NICOLA BARRON (ALL)

The only winning AW trainer from last March, figures going back to 2016 show how reliable they have become.

  • 2016     5/15     33%     +£ 5.35

  • 2017     5/36     14%      (£14.25)

  • 2018     4/16     25%     +£ 2.71

  • 2019     2/8       25%     +£12.57

  • 2020     1/2       50%     +£ 5.00

  • 2021     2/14     14%     +£ 2.50

  • 2022     3/10     30%     +£ 7.50

  • 2023     2/11     18%     +£ 8.00

Another solid year in 2023, hopefully more of the same this time around.

ROGER VARIAN (ALL)

One of my favourite flat trainers, comes into the month with his last 6 runners all in the first 3.

  • 2020     1/2      50%     +£ 1.50

  • 2021     4/10    40%      (£ 0.53)

  • 2022     5/20    25%     +£ 5.20

  • 2023     3/10    30%     +£ 2.75

Solid stuff, won’t keep us too busy but should prove a solid addition.

GEORGE BOUGHEY (ALL)

Based in Newmarket, has shot onto the scene in recent years and boasts some nice March figures.

  • 2020     1/3        33%     +£ 4.00

  • 2021     11/30    37%     +£ 8.96

  • 2022     3/25      12%      (£ 2.25)

  • 2023     7/29      24%     +£12.94

Again, solid stuff, minimal losses in his one bad year.

CHELTENHAM TRAINER THOUGHTS

It’s hard to see past the usual suspects, Mullins, Elliott and De Bromhead could have half the winners between them.  Of the GB trainers Henderson looks the most likely with Skelton the man to be with in the Handicaps, especially the Coral Cup, County Hurdle and Martin Pipe.  GB trainers have also bagged the winner of the Ultima in the last 10 years!

As usual, any questions, comments, observations please leave below.  I’m off again for 10 days around Cheltenham so updates may be a bit thin on the ground, Good Luck!


















Horse Racing Trainers to Follow in February 2024

February

A small loss in January means we take (£2.51 LSP) into this month. 

February is traditionally a quiet month but we have 8 trainers to go to war with, 5 NH (1 Irish), 3 AW, 5 return after showing a profit last February. 

GB National Hunt

EMMA LAVELLE (NON CHASE)

Star of the show in the last 2 years, she gave a £23.41 LSP in 2022 and £23.25 LSP last year.

  • 2017     5/13     38%     +£ 8.00

  • 2018     3/15     20%      (£1.00)

  • 2019     3/11     27%      +£ 8.00

  • 2020     2/22      9%       +£ 0.50

  • 2021     3/12     25%      +£61.38

  • 2022     5/18     28%      +£17.41

  • 2023     4/19     21%      +£ 8.75

She’s just 3/33 for the 7 year period with her chase runners so we’ll give them a swerve.  Interesting that our own early price figures trebled the SP profit.

LJ MORGAN (NON HURDLES)

Back for a third year, she was +£18.00 LSP in 2022 and +£5.00 in 2023 using early prices.

  • 2018     4/7     57%     +£25.75

  • 2019     0/1       0%      (£  1.00)

  • 2020     1/4     25%      (£  0.50)

  • 2021     5/8     63%     +£10.80

  • 2022     7/18   39%     +£  6.73

  • 2023     3/11   27%     +£  0.25

Loads of early price gains in the past two years, another where it will pay to get on early.

HENRY DALY (ALL)

Shropshire trainer who turns up now and again, new to the February blog though.

  • 2020     3/12     25%     (£ 3.31)

  • 2021     0/12      0%      (£12.00)

  • 2022     5/18     28%    +£19.00

  • 2023     5/22     23%    +£  8.25

Solid stuff in the last two seasons and a repeat of 2020 wouldn’t be a disaster, could prove a useful addition to the portfolio.

ALISTAIR RALPH (NON NH FLAT)

Another Shropshire trainer, pretty sure this guy is a blog virgin.

  • 2020      2/9       22%     +£ 0.00

  • 2021      2/14     14%     +£20.00

  • 2022      2/14     14%     +£ 5.00

  • 2023      6/22     27%     +£14.05

Decent set of figures in terms of LSP, I would like the strike rate to emulate last year ideally.  Stay away from his bumper runners 0/13 over the above period.

IRISH NH

WILLIE MULLINS (HURDLERS)

No surprise to see this guy in the blog, will be setting his string up for a tilt at the festival next month and he’s had his hurdlers firing in February in recent years.

  • 2020     8/59     14%     (£29.16)

  • 2021     9/54     17%    +£ 4.53

  • 2022    14/39    36%    +£ 0.74

  • 2023    12/39    31%    +£ 9.83

Nice figures, especially the last two years and we should be able to sneak some extra profit using early prices with the amount of winners.

GB AW

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Usually starts the year well, we’ve had him in January and February for the last three years.

  • 2018     2/8      25%     (£  3.18)

  • 2019     7/10    70%    +£  3.11

  • 2020     4/17    24%     (£  7.25)

  • 2021     4/8      50%    +£  3.22

  • 2022     5/19    26%     (£  1.47)

  • 2023     4/10    40%    +£  5.88

We managed +£7.08 with EP last year, while he keeps showing a profit we’ll keep throwing him in.

RICHARD FAHEY (4YO+)

A trainer who we will see a lot of on the turf in the summer, he has some nice figures this month with his older horses.

  • 2019     3/11      27%     +£  3.50

  • 2020     3/12      25%     +£  5.50

  • 2021     7/45      16%      (£  4.17)

  • 2022     4/15      27%     +£29.50

  • 2023     4/12      33%     +£13.33

Good set of figures, there’s a case for having all his runners on the last two years figures but we’ll just take a watching brief in that respect this year with a view to having them all next February.

KEVIN PHILIPPART DE FOY (ALL)

Newmarket trainer, a blog virgin last year.

  • 2021     3/7       43%     +£  2.50

  • 2022     6/14     43%     +£10.75

  • 2023     6/24     25%     +£14.58

We took a bit of a risk on him last year with just two years figures but we were rewarded with a +£18.25 LSP using EP, a must for inclusion this year.

As always, any questions, comments or observations please leave below, let's see if we can add to the kitty before Cheltenham!

Figure updates might be a bit sparse in the middle of the month as I’m away for a week,  Good Luck !





Horse Racing Trainers to Follow in January 2024

January

We showed a nice profit last January +£25.90 LSP with 6 of our 10 trainers showing a profit. 

We have 8 trainers this month, 7 are back from last year, we have 5 NH trainers and 3 AW trainers. 

National Hunt Trainers 

NICKY RICHARDS (NON HURDLERS)

Back in profit last year after a small loss in 2022, we need to see an improvement this time around.

  • 2016     2/10     20%     +£ 1.00

  • 2017     3/17     18%     +£10.88

  • 2018     2/11     18%     +£ 1.00

  • 2019     5/14     33%     +£ 1.53

  • 2020     3/13     23%     +£ 5.75

  • 2021     2/7       29%     +£45.00

  • 2022     0/4        0%       (£ 4.00)

  • 2023     1/9       11%      +£ 3.00

I’d like to see some stronger figures this year but will keep him in while he’s showing a profit.

He was 0/13 with his hurdlers last year and he was 2/23 and (£6.60) in 2022 it’s a similar story in previous years so we stick with his Chase and Bumper runners..

SUE SMITH (ALL)

Another top performer from last season, she showed +£31.50 LSP using a combination of exchange and early prices, a regular to the January blog.

  • 2014     10/40     25%     +£27.28

  • 2015     8/32       25%     +£31.25

  • 2016     4/22       18%     +£  7.00

  • 2017     7/26       27%     +£11.00

  • 2018     9/39       23%     +£  0.70

  • 2019     8/19       42%     +£41.25

  • 2020     8/27       30%     +£12.04

  • 2021     1/6         17%      (£  4.43)

  • 2022     5/23       22%     +£15.00

  • 2023     3/23       13%     +£22.50

It really doesn’t get much better than that over a 10 year period, if I remember correctly she had some illness in the stable in 2021 which stopped her running horses, hence the blip.

GARY MOORE (ALL)

Sussex trainer who currently sits 7th on the trainers list after a good start to the season.

  • 2018     9/46     20%     +£  7.00

  • 2019     9/61     15%      (£20.38)

  • 2020     8/48     17%     +£  5.70

  • 2021    11/56    20%     +£35.78

  • 2022    16/68    24%     +£  9.13

  • 2023    10/49    20%      (£  9.92)

Looks disappointing on the face of it but our own figures were +£4.33 and the strike rate is fine, we’ll give him another go.

CHRIS GORDON (NON BUMPERS)

Hampshire trainer who is back after giving us a +£26.72 LSP last January.

  • 2018     6/21     29%     +£34.10

  • 2019     3/21     14%      (£11.17)

  • 2020     5/28     18%     +£16.23

  • 2021     2/7       29%     +£  0.57

  • 2022     8/39     21%     +£  1.71

  • 2023     3/12     25%     +£23.75    

Solid stuff, avoid his Bumper horses, he’s 1/8 and (£5.25) for the above period.

OLLY MURPHY (ALL)

The only trainer who wasn’t here last January.

  • 2018     10/31     32%     +£19.75

  • 2019      8/43      19%      (£10.56)

  • 2020     15/39     38%     +£29.68

  • 2021     10/52     19%     +£  2.71

  • 2022       6/64       9%      (£43.02)

  • 2023       9/48     19%     +£31.16

As long as we dodge a repeat of the 2022 figures we should make a nice profit from this guy who comes into the month with a 25% strike rate in December.

ALL WEATHER TRAINERS

CHARLIE JOHNSTON (4YO+)

The Johnston’s are Blog regulars who usually start the season well with their older horses.

  • 2017     4/17     24%     +£  0.41

  • 2018     3/9       33%     +£  5.25

  • 2019     4/11     36%     +£22.48

  • 2020     5/25     20%      (£  2.88)

  • 2021     14/24   58%     +£47.68

  • 2022      5/23    22%      (£  7.05)

  • 2023      3/15    20%      (£  4.00)

LSL in the last 2 years but a really consistent strike rate, our own figures were (£2.75) last year and 5 of his 12 non winning runners finished second.

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Won’t be the first time he finds himself in the blog, back from last year.

  • 2015      16/45     36%     +£  2.94

  • 2016       1/4        25%      (£  1.00)

  • 2017       3/4        75%     +£  3.60

  • 2018       7/18      39%     +£  1.14

  • 2019       2/9        22%      (£  1.75)   

  • 2020       5/12      42%      (£  0.45)

  • 2021       6/11      55%     +£  0.25

  • 2022       7/15      47%     +£  0.00

  • 2023       7/15      47%     +£  0.56

Unbelievable strike rate, the LSP is poor but we were +£1.55 last year, while he’s giving us a profit we’ll keep him in.

ARCHIE WATSON (ALL)

We were rewarded for sticking with him last year despite his figures looking a little weak.  +£26.26 was one of the best returns of our trainers.

  • 2017     3/11     27%     +£ 5.50

  • 2018     8/25     32%     +£34.13

  • 2019     4/49     14%     (£27.17)

  • 2020     8/46     17%     +£ 5.38

  • 2021    10/50    20%     (£13.19)

  • 2022     5/34     15%     (£18.17)

  • 2023    10/58    17%     +£ 4.79

We actually made a tiny profit in 2022 from early prices and a disqualified winner that doesn’t appear in the results above but we were paid on.  Last year our profit was some 20 points bigger than the SP figures so get on early!

As always, any comments, questions or observations please leave in the comments below, here’s to another winning year, good luck!

DateRunnersWinnersLSPRunning P&L
1/1/20241533.53.5
2/1/20244225.5
3/1/202440-41.5
4/1/202430-3-1.5
5/1/202461-4-5.5
6/1/2024101-7.5-13
7/1/202413217.284.28
8/1/202420-22.28
9/1/202430-3-0.72
10/1/2024931.130.41












Horse Racing Trainers to Follow in June 2023

June

We move into the summer and one of the most exciting months of the year for flat fans with the Derby, Oaks at Epsom and the 5 day Royal Ascot meeting.

At the time of writing we have had a losing May but we still sit at an overall profit for the year which is really good considering we were running at around (£130) LSL this time last year.  June was the month when everything changed, 7/8 winning trainers and a massive 170 LSP. 

All 8 are back and we have a couple of additions that should make it a really interesting month.

GB FLAT TURF

CHARLIE APPLEBY (ALL)

Returns from last year after bagging us a +£40 LSP

  • 2017     9/52     17%     +£13.63

  • 2018     8/49     16%      (£ 3.75)

  • 2019    12/41    29%      (£ 6.64)

  • 2020    17/66    26%     +£ 1.34

  • 2021    11/43    26%     +£ 9.86

  • 2022    17/69    25%    +£12.05

Stats that are improving year on year and surprising good early price gains, will give plenty of interest at Epsom and Ascot.

JOHN & THADY GOSDEN (ALL)

Another back from last year where he managed a +£45 LSP

  • 2017     13/78     17%     +£ 3.21

  • 2018     16/74     22%      (£22.84)

  • 2019     12/60     20%      (£19.61)

  • 2020     32/116   28%     +£ 8.04

  • 2021     17/76     22%      +£53.59

  • 2022     18/71     25%      +£ 8.15

Massive early price gains, they were largely due to a horse called Morning Poem that we bet at 41/1 on the exchanges and it returned at just 10’s

HARRY & ROGER CHARLTON (2&3YO’S)

Again back from last year, just +£11 LSP but still a nice return.  Another who now shares the licence with his son.

  • 2015     8/33     24%     (£11.59)

  • 2016     7/26     27%    +£12.25

  • 2017     7/28     25%     (£ 3.90)

  • 2018     8/25     32%    +£ 3.11

  • 2019     4/31     13%     (£12.35)

  • 2020     6/30     19%    +£ 2.23

  • 2021     8/37     22%     (£ 0.89)

  • 2022     5/28     18%    +£10.25

Really solid stuff going back 8 years, we made a profit in 2019 (due to a 25’s winner) and 2021.  Ignore his older horses, their record is relatively poor.

CHARLIE JOHNSTON (2YO’S)

Charlie holds the licence on his own now after a brief flirtation with sharing it with his dad, I’m sure his dad still has plenty of influence so I’m confident we can rely on these figures which go back 9 years.

  • 2014     12/35     34%     +£35.29

  • 2015     16/65     25%      (£ 9.29)

  • 2016     17/61     28%     +£ 6.45

  • 2017     13/57     23%     +£14.78

  • 2018     15/55     27%      (£ 5.56)

  • 2019     12/43     28%     +£22.07

  • 2020      6/42      14%      (£21.76)

  • 2021      6/33      18%      (£ 6.40)

  • 2022     11/35     31%     +£18.40

I’m happy to excuse anyone’s figures in 2020 with Covid causing havoc in some schedules and in 2021 he had loads of big priced 2nd’s which were highlighted in last year's blog.  Our faith was rewarded with +£40 LSP from our early price figures and I expect more of the same this year.

CHARLIE FELLOWS (ALL)

The first trainer who wasn’t here last year, he has figures to match them though.

  • 2019      5/25     20%     +£51.75

  • 2020      6/33     18%     +£48.85

  • 2021      5/27     19%     +£18.63

  • 2020      4/29     14%      (£ 6.40)

Cracking stuff until last year and that wasn’t horrendous, there was a tiny case for not including his 2yo’s but such a small sample convinced me to leave them in.

IRISH FLAT TURF

JOHNNY MURTAGH (ALL)

Nice to have a bit of interest over the water and this guy provides plenty.

  • 2018     10/40     25%     +£13.29

  • 2019      4/44       9%       (£ 2.50)

  • 2020     12/63     19%     +£17.17

  • 2021      8/36      22%     +£ 9.70

  • 2022      5/57        9%     +£ 8.00

Even when his strike rate has dropped his LSP has been reasonable so there shouldn't be much risk, he’s definitely a trainer to get on early as his horses can be gambled.

IRISH NH

HENRY DE BROMHEAD (ALL)

While we’re in Ireland, back from last year where he made a tiny loss.

  • 2017     7/38      18%     +£19.38

  • 2018    11/55      20%     (£ 8.63)

  • 2019     7/35       20%    +£ 7.13

  • 2020     5/24       21%    +£ 1.38

  • 2021    12/51      24%    +£ 1.64

  • 2022      6/38      16%     (£ 1.00)

Comes into the month on the back of a good May, no reason why his form should change.

WILLIE MULLINS (ALL)

No surprise to see Mullins in the blog again, some solid figures considering all his big guns will have been put away for the winter.

  • 2016     8/19     42%     +£ 6.07

  • 2017     7/28     25%      (£ 0.18)

  • 2018    10/34    29%      (£ 6.15)

  • 2019     6/15     40%      (£ 2.94)

  • 2020     3/6       50%     +£ 7.25

  • 2021     9/22     41%     +£ 9.35

  • 2022     9/22     41%      (£ 0.95)

Unbelievable strike rate and you get a little more wiggle room than you might think in terms of early price gains, especially when he goes mob handed into races.  Comes into the month with 6 winners from his last 11 runners.

GB NH

NICKY HENDERSON (ALL)

Back from last year and last month where he wasn’t at his brilliant best.

  • 2014      8/21     38%     +£ 6.46

  • 2015      0/5        0%       (£ 5.00)

  • 2016      6/20     30%     +£10.85

  • 2017    11/21      52%     +£ 3.57

  • 2018     5/17       29%     (£ 1.67)

  • 2019     8/29       28%    +£ 0.16

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     8/27      30%     +£ 4.07

  • 2022     2/10      20%      (£ 0.50)

Our own figures were +£3.50 LSP so no reason to discard him, hopefully some of his missing May winners turn up in June.

SEAMUS MULLINS (ALL)

Another back from last year and last month but he had a fantastic May.

  • 2015     4/14     29%     +£38.00

  • 2016     3/15     20%     +£ 7.00

  • 2017     1/13      8%       (£10.63)

  • 2018     5/27     19%     +£ 9.00

  • 2019     3/19     16%      (£ 0.50)

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     2/12     17%      +£ 2.00

  • 2022     4/10     40%      +£15.20

He had some massive priced placed horses in May, if he can get one of those over the line it would be great.

PETER BOWEN (ALL)

Last up this month an old favourite, Peter Bowen got me into this back in the day with his Summer jumpers and he can  be relied upon even now when the sun shines.

  • 2016     7/28     25%      +£ 1.75

  • 2017     9/26     35%      +£21.95

  • 2018    13/39    33%      +£10.52

  • 2019     5/44     11%      +£11.10

  • 2020     No Runners

  • 2021     9/33     27%      (£ 1.93)

  • 2022     6/20     30%     +£ 4.49

Get on early with this guy, we made +£67.50 LSP in 2019 (6 times the SP!).

Busy month ahead, hopefully we can get back on track, as always any comments or questions leave below.    Good Luck!










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