You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Epsom Derby Preview
The Epsom Derby was first run in 1780, a year after the inaugural running of the Epsom Oaks and was won by Diomed, who still has a race named after him at the Epsom Derby meeting.
Initially run on a Thursday at Epsom and then traditionally on the first Wednesday in June until 1994, after which it moved to its current Saturday slot, the Epsom Derby is open to three-year-old colts and fillies and is run over one mile four furlongs.
Epsom Derby Information:
We also have a dedicated Epsom tips page that will cover this race, as well as all the other races on the day. See which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Epsom Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021, when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Epsom Derby Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Epsom Derby Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Derby races over the last 20 renewals:
- Workforce (2:31.33) in 2010
- Golden Horn (2:32.32) in 2015
- Wings Of Eagles (2:33.02) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Derby next time out, then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -3.51. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Epsom Derby.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Workforce, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore, who set the fastest winning time in the Epsom Derby. That runner won the race in a time of 2:31.33 in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer A P O'Brien and jockey Ronan Whelan with Christmas Day who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:43.75 in the 2026 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Epsom Derby Past Winners
Here are the Epsom Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Epsom Derby are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 2:43.75 | Christmas Day (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (5 of 13) 7/1 | Ronan Whelan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2025 2:38.50 | Lambourn (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 18) 13/2 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 2:38.32 | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 16) 3/1F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:33.88 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 14) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:36.38 | Desert Crown (GB) 3yo 9-2 (12 of 17) 5/2F | Richard Kingscote Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2021 2:36.85 | Adayar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 16/1 | Adam Kirby Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.43 | Serpentine (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (12 of 16) 25/1 | Emmet McNamara A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:33.38 | Anthony Van Dyck (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 13/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 2:34.93 | Masar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 16/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:33.02 | Wings Of Eagles (FR) 3yo 9-0 (14 of 18) 40/1 | P B Beggy A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Derby have been based:
- IRE: 13 winners with an additional 18 placings from 110 runners
- GB: 6 winners with an additional 22 placings from 163 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Epsom Derby Replay
Epsom Derby Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race ten times, with those ten winners coming from Camelot (2012), Ruler Of The World (2013), Australia (2014), Wings Of Eagles (2017), Anthony Van Dyck (2019), Serpentine (2020), Auguste Rodin (2023), City Of Troy (2024), Lambourn (2025) and Christmas Day (2026). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby are Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). One trainer has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby; Andrew Balding has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording a win.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 85-10-22 | +26.50 | +1.28 |
| Charlie Appleby | 12-2-3 | +22.00 | +10.30 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 9-2-4 | +1.50 | -0.90 |
| John Gosden | 19-1-5 | -16.37 | -14.02 |
| J S Bolger | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.50 |
| D K Weld | 4-1-2 | +3.50 | +0.75 |
| A Fabre | 3-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.40 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 3-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.37 |
| Andrew Balding | 15-0-2 | -15.00 | -14.00 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 8-0-0 | -8.00 | -8.00 |
Epsom Derby Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Workforce (2010), Ruler Of The World (2013), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby; Jamie Spencer has ridden 11 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 18-4-9 | +6.50 | +1.40 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 14-1-4 | -6.50 | +2.62 |
| William Buick | 13-1-5 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 10-1-4 | -2.50 | +0.25 |
| Richard Kingscote | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.75 |
| Adam Kirby | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Ronan Whelan | 3-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.20 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.40 |
| Emmet McNamara | 1-1-1 | +25.00 | +12.50 |
| Jamie Spencer | 11-0-0 | -11.00 | -11.00 |
2027 Epsom Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 2, 4, 3, 1, 12, 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 7, 1, 10, 1, 9, 7
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-6
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 40/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 52+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 123/10 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Carried 120 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Cl2/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 7 - 231 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
- 17 / 20 (44%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 3)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Epsom racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Epsom Derby. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Epsom Derby by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Epsom Derby Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Epsom Derby will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Epsom Derby Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +19.75, is when runners ran in Ireland on debut.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners carried 133lbs on debut, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-47.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 5 (1,13) [13 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 10 (3,12) [18 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (6,4) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (4,2) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 12 (3,2) [17 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Derby is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is York; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Derby:
- Galileo (5 Wins)
- Montjeu (3 Wins)
- Cape Cross (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- High Chaparral (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Teofilo (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wings Of Eagles in 2017, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of P B Beggy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Epsom Derby
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Epsom Derby. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Christmas Day York - 3rd of 8 (11/4) | Dante Stakes |
| 2025 - Lambourn Chester - 1st of 8 (11/8) | Chester Vase |
| 2024 - City Of Troy Newmarket (Rowley) - 9th of 11 (4/6) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2023 - Auguste Rodin Newmarket (Rowley) - 12th of 14 (13/8) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2022 - Desert Crown York - 1st of 8 (7/2) | Dante Stakes |
| 2021 - Adayar Lingfield - 2nd of 6 (6/5) | Novibet Derby Trial Stakes |
| 2020 - Serpentine Curragh - 1st of 8 (5/2) | Dubai Duty Free The Irish Village Irish EBF Maiden |
| 2019 - Anthony Van Dyck Lingfield - 1st of 10 (2/1) | RaceBets Derby Trial Stakes |
| 2018 - Masar Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 14 (5/2) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2017 - Wings Of Eagles Chester - 2nd of 8 (8/1) | Chester Vase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Epsom Derby Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2027 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 4th June 2027
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Epsom 3yo Dash | Naanas Shadow (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Katie Scott Oisin Murphy |
| Woodcote Stakes | Hickory Lad (IRE) 2yo - 100/30 | Phillip Makin Sam James |
| Diomed Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| Betfred Handicap | Sallaal (IRE) 4yo - 5/2 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
| Epsom Oaks | Thundering On (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| HKJC World Pool Handicap | Mister Winston (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Surrey Stakes | Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Debenhams Handicap | Colombier (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 5th June 2027
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Tattenham Corner Stakes | Ten Bob Tony (IRE) 5yo - 11/2 | Ed Walker Kieran Shoemark |
| Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Sparks Fly (GB) 6yo - 7/2 | David Loughnane Laura Pearson |
| Coronation Cup | Bay City Roller (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | George Scott Oisin Murphy |
| Epsom Dash | Arklow Lad (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Michael Appleby Harry Davies |
| Epsom Derby | Christmas Day (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | A P O'Brien Ronan Whelan |
| Lester Piggott Handicap | Folk Pageant (GB) 3yo - 5/1 | Charlie Johnston Rowan Scott |
| Northern Dancer Handicap | Too Soon (GB) 4yo - 17/2 | Gary & Josh Moore Warren Fentiman |
| JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Sondad (GB) 5yo - 11/2 | Michael & David Easterby Joanna Mason |
