Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Epsom Derby Preview
The Epsom Derby was first run in 1780, a year after the inaugural running of the Epsom Oaks and was won by Diomed who still has a race named after him at the Epsom Derby meeting.
Initially run on a Thursday at Epsom and then traditionally on the first Wednesday in June until 1994 after which it moved to its current Saturday slot, the Epsom Derby is open to three-year-old colts and fillies and is run over one mile four furlongs.
Epsom Derby Information:
We also have a dedicated Epsom tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
How competitive is the Epsom Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Epsom Derby Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Derby next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.38. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Epsom Derby see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Workforce, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Epsom Derby, the runner won the race in a time of 2:31.33 when winning the race in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer D K Weld and jockey Pat Smullen with Harzand who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:40.09 in the 2016 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals:
- Workforce (2:31.33) in 2010
- Golden Horn (2:32.32) in 2015
- Wings Of Eagles (2:33.02) in 2017
What the expert says...
Twelve of the last twenty winners came here having run in either the 2,000 Guineas (x7) or the Dante Stakes (x5) including all of the last three. The last two have both come from the 2,000 Guineas with Auguste Rodin (12th) in 2023 and City Of Troy (9th) in 2024 both performing much better than last time out.Epsom Derby Past Winners
Here are the Epsom Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Epsom Derby and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:38.32 | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 16) 3/1F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:33.88 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 14) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:36.38 | Desert Crown (GB) 3yo 9-2 (12 of 17) 5/2F | Richard Kingscote Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2021 2:36.85 | Adayar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 16/1 | Adam Kirby Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.43 | Serpentine (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (12 of 16) 25/1 | Emmet McNamara A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:33.38 | Anthony Van Dyck (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 13/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 2:34.93 | Masar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 16/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:33.02 | Wings Of Eagles (FR) 3yo 9-0 (14 of 18) 40/1 | P B Beggy A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:40.09 | Harzand (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 16) 13/2 | Pat Smullen D K Weld (IRE) |
| 2015 2:32.32 | Golden Horn (GB) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 13/8F | Frankie Dettori John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Derby have been based:
- IRE: 11 winners with an additional 17 placings from 111 runners
- GB: 8 winners with an additional 22 placings from 162 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Epsom Derby Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Camelot (2012), Ruler Of The World (2013), Australia (2014), Wings Of Eagles (2017), Anthony Van Dyck (2019), Serpentine (2020), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby are Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby, Andrew Balding has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 87-8-21 | +9.00 | -9.67 |
| Charlie Appleby | 12-2-3 | +22.00 | +10.30 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 11-2-4 | -0.50 | -2.90 |
| John Gosden | 19-1-5 | -16.37 | -14.02 |
| J S Bolger | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.50 |
| A Fabre | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| D K Weld | 4-1-2 | +3.50 | +0.75 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.50 |
| Michael Bell | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.20 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 3-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.37 |
Epsom Derby Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Workforce (2010), Ruler Of The World (2013), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby is Frankie Dettori (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby, Jamie Spencer has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 19-4-9 | +5.50 | +0.40 |
| Frankie Dettori | 16-2-5 | -11.12 | -9.94 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 15-1-4 | -7.50 | +1.62 |
| William Buick | 13-1-5 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.75 |
| Adam Kirby | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 2-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.40 |
| Emmet McNamara | 1-1-1 | +25.00 | +12.50 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-0-0 | -10.00 | -10.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 8-0-3 | -8.00 | -2.00 |
2025 Epsom Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 5, 1, 3, 2, 4, 3, 1, 12, 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 7, 1, 10, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-6
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Highest Won is not LST/Cl2/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Achieved a TS of 52+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - No bigger than 40/1
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 123/10 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Break of 7 - 231 days (Last Place)
- 18 / 20 (48%) - Achieved a TS of 94+ (Last 3)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Placed within last 1 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Epsom racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Epsom Derby. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Epsom Derby by adding a tip on the race here.
Epsom Derby Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +15.38 is when runners carried 131lbs on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (6,4) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (4,2) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 12 (3,2) [17 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (10,5) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 12 (14,5) [16 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Derby is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Derby:
- Galileo (5 Wins)
- Montjeu (4 Wins)
- Cape Cross (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 14 runners)
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Camelot (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- High Chaparral (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Teofilo (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wings Of Eagles in 2017, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of P B Beggy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Epsom Derby why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2025 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 6th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:00 Woodcote Stakes | Teej A (IRE) 2yo - 7/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:35 Trustatrader Handicap | Two Tempting (IRE) 5yo - 12/1 | Jonathan Portman David Egan |
| 15:10 Coronation Cup | Luxembourg (IRE) 5yo - 9/4 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 15:45 Betfred Handicap | Bolster (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Pierre-Louis Jamin |
| 16:30 Epsom Oaks | Ezeliya (FR) 3yo - 13/2 | D K Weld Chris Hayes |
| 17:10 Surrey Stakes | Evade (FR) 3yo - 10/1 | Archie Watson Oisin Murphy |
| 17:40 Tattenham Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 6yo - 9/1 | David OMeara James Doyle |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 7th June 2025
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:25 Lester Piggott Handicap | Persica (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 14:00 Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Breege (GB) 4yo - 5/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| 14:35 Diomed Stakes | Royal Scotsman (IRE) 4yo - 17/2 | Paul & Oliver Cole Jamie Spencer |
| 15:10 Epsom 3yo Dash | Blue Storm (GB) 3yo - 8/1 | Gemma Tutty Rossa Ryan |
| 15:45 Epsom Dash | Dream Composer (FR) 6yo - 6/1 | James Evans Joe Leavy |
| 16:30 Epsom Derby | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo - 3/1 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
| 17:15 Northern Dancer Handicap | Relentless Voyager (GB) 4yo - 7/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| 17:50 JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Misty Grey (IRE) 7yo - 7/1 | David OMeara Rossa Ryan |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Epsom Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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