Epsom Derby Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)

Updated: 9418 Horse Racing

We look at the Epsom Derby ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m4f at Epsom during the Derby Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Epsom Derby.

Epsom Derby Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Derby Festival)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Epsom Derby Preview

The Epsom Derby was first run in 1780, a year after the inaugural running of the Epsom Oaks and was won by Diomed who still has a race named after him at the Epsom Derby meeting.

Initially run on a Thursday at Epsom and then traditionally on the first Wednesday in June until 1994 after which it moved to its current Saturday slot, the Epsom Derby is open to three-year-old colts and fillies and is run over one mile four furlongs.

Epsom Derby Information:

We also have a dedicated Epsom tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Epsom Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Epsom Derby Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Derby next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -6.38. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Epsom Derby see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was Workforce, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Epsom Derby, the runner won the race in a time of 2:31.33 when winning the race in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer D K Weld and jockey Pat Smullen with Harzand who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:40.09 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Workforce (2:31.33) in 2010
  2. Golden Horn (2:32.32) in 2015
  3. Wings Of Eagles (2:33.02) in 2017
What the expert says...
Twelve of the last twenty winners came here having run in either the 2,000 Guineas (x7) or the Dante Stakes (x5) including all of the last three. The last two have both come from the 2,000 Guineas with Auguste Rodin (12th) in 2023 and City Of Troy (9th) in 2024 both performing much better than last time out.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Epsom Derby Past Winners

Here are the Epsom Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Epsom Derby and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2024
2:38.32
City Of Troy (USA)
3yo 9-2 (1 of 16) 3/1F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2023
2:33.88
Auguste Rodin (IRE)
3yo 9-2 (10 of 14) 9/2
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2022
2:36.38
Desert Crown (GB)
3yo 9-2 (12 of 17) 5/2F
Richard Kingscote
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2021
2:36.85
Adayar (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 16/1
Adam Kirby
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2020
2:34.43
Serpentine (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (12 of 16) 25/1
Emmet McNamara
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2019
2:33.38
Anthony Van Dyck (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 13/2
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2018
2:34.93
Masar (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 16/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:33.02
Wings Of Eagles (FR)
3yo 9-0 (14 of 18) 40/1
P B Beggy
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
2:40.09
Harzand (IRE)
3yo 9-0 (9 of 16) 13/2
Pat Smullen
D K Weld (IRE)
2015
2:32.32
Golden Horn (GB)
3yo 9-0 (8 of 12) 13/8F
Frankie Dettori
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Derby have been based:

  • IRE: 11 winners with an additional 17 placings from 111 runners
  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 22 placings from 162 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 8 runners
  • GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

Epsom Derby Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Camelot (2012), Ruler Of The World (2013), Australia (2014), Wings Of Eagles (2017), Anthony Van Dyck (2019), Serpentine (2020), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby are Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby, Andrew Balding has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Epsom Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
A P O'Brien87-8-21+9.00-9.67
Charlie Appleby12-2-3+22.00+10.30
Sir Michael Stoute11-2-4-0.50-2.90
John Gosden19-1-5-16.37-14.02
J S Bolger5-1-1+1.00-1.50
A Fabre5-1-1+0.00-1.60
D K Weld4-1-2+3.50+0.75
Marcus Tregoning3-1-2+4.00+1.50
Michael Bell3-1-1+1.00-0.20
Peter Chapple-Hyam3-1-1-0.75-1.37

Epsom Derby Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Workforce (2010), Ruler Of The World (2013), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby is Frankie Dettori (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby, Jamie Spencer has ridden a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Epsom Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore19-4-9+5.50+0.40
Frankie Dettori16-2-5-11.12-9.94
Seamie Heffernan15-1-4-7.50+1.62
William Buick13-1-5+4.00+2.00
Richard Kingscote4-1-1-0.50-1.75
Adam Kirby3-1-1+14.00+7.60
Mickael Barzalona2-1-1+3.00+1.40
Emmet McNamara1-1-1+25.00+12.50
Jamie Spencer10-0-0-10.00-10.00
Wayne Lordan8-0-3-8.00-2.00

Epsom Derby Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +15.38 is when runners carried 131lbs on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (L), when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-41.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2024: Winner in 1 (6,4) [16 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 10 (4,2) [14 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 12 (3,2) [17 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 1 (10,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 12 (14,5) [16 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Derby is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is York, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Derby:

  • Galileo (5 Wins)
  • Montjeu (4 Wins)
  • Cape Cross (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Derby despite multiple attempts:

  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 14 runners)
  • Dubawi (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Camelot (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • High Chaparral (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wings Of Eagles in 2017, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of P B Beggy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Epsom Derby why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival

Here is the 2025 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 6th June 2025

RaceLast WinnerInfo
14:00
Woodcote Stakes
Teej A (IRE)
2yo - 7/2
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
14:35
Trustatrader Handicap
Two Tempting (IRE)
5yo - 12/1
Jonathan Portman
David Egan
15:10
Coronation Cup
Luxembourg (IRE)
5yo - 9/4
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
15:45
Betfred Handicap
Bolster (GB)
4yo - 5/1
K R Burke
Pierre-Louis Jamin
16:30
Epsom Oaks
Ezeliya (FR)
3yo - 13/2
D K Weld
Chris Hayes
17:10
Surrey Stakes
Evade (FR)
3yo - 10/1
Archie Watson
Oisin Murphy
17:40
Tattenham Handicap
Rhoscolyn (GB)
6yo - 9/1
David OMeara
James Doyle

Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 7th June 2025

RaceLast WinnerInfo
13:25
Lester Piggott Handicap
Persica (IRE)
3yo - 9/2
Richard Hannon
Sean Levey
14:00
Princess Elizabeth Stakes
Breege (GB)
4yo - 5/1
John & Sean Quinn
Jason Hart
14:35
Diomed Stakes
Royal Scotsman (IRE)
4yo - 17/2
Paul & Oliver Cole
Jamie Spencer
15:10
Epsom 3yo Dash
Blue Storm (GB)
3yo - 8/1
Gemma Tutty
Rossa Ryan
15:45
Epsom Dash
Dream Composer (FR)
6yo - 6/1
James Evans
Joe Leavy
16:30
Epsom Derby
City Of Troy (USA)
3yo - 3/1
A P OBrien
Ryan Moore
17:15
Northern Dancer Handicap
Relentless Voyager (GB)
4yo - 7/1
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
17:50
JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap
Misty Grey (IRE)
7yo - 7/1
David OMeara
Rossa Ryan

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Epsom Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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