Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Epsom Derby Preview
The Epsom Derby was first run in 1780, a year after the inaugural running of the Epsom Oaks and was won by Diomed, who still has a race named after him at the Epsom Derby meeting.
Initially run on a Thursday at Epsom and then traditionally on the first Wednesday in June until 1994, after which it moved to its current Saturday slot, the Epsom Derby is open to three-year-old colts and fillies and is run over one mile four furlongs.
Epsom Derby Information:
Our dedicated Epsom tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Epsom Derby, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Epsom throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Epsom Derby market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 132%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Epsom Derby, the over-round has been 122%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Epsom Derby Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Epsom Derby Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Epsom Derby races over the last 20 renewals:
- Workforce (2:31.33) in 2010
- Golden Horn (2:32.32) in 2015
- Wings Of Eagles (2:33.02) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Epsom Derby next time out, then you would have backed a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -5.13. Ahead of the 2026 Epsom Derby, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Workforce, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore, who set the fastest winning time in the Epsom Derby. That runner won the race in a time of 2:31.33 in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer D K Weld and jockey Pat Smullen with Harzand who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 2:40.09 in the 2016 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Epsom Derby Past Winners
Here are the Epsom Derby past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Epsom Derby are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 2:38.50 | Lambourn (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 18) 13/2 | Wayne Lordan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2024 2:38.32 | City Of Troy (USA) 3yo 9-2 (1 of 16) 3/1F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2023 2:33.88 | Auguste Rodin (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (10 of 14) 9/2 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2022 2:36.38 | Desert Crown (GB) 3yo 9-2 (12 of 17) 5/2F | Richard Kingscote Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2021 2:36.85 | Adayar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (1 of 11) 16/1 | Adam Kirby Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2020 2:34.43 | Serpentine (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (12 of 16) 25/1 | Emmet McNamara A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2019 2:33.38 | Anthony Van Dyck (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (7 of 13) 13/2 | Seamie Heffernan A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 2:34.93 | Masar (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 16/1 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2017 2:33.02 | Wings Of Eagles (FR) 3yo 9-0 (14 of 18) 40/1 | P B Beggy A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:40.09 | Harzand (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (9 of 16) 13/2 | Pat Smullen D K Weld (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Epsom Derby have been based:
- IRE: 12 winners with an additional 18 placings from 110 runners
- GB: 7 winners with an additional 22 placings from 166 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 9 runners
- GER: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Epsom Derby Replay
Epsom Derby Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien, who has won the race nine times, with those nine winners coming from Camelot (2012), Ruler Of The World (2013), Australia (2014), Wings Of Eagles (2017), Anthony Van Dyck (2019), Serpentine (2020), Auguste Rodin (2023), City Of Troy (2024) and Lambourn (2025). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby are Charlie Appleby (2 wins) and Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby; Andrew Balding has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 86-9-22 | +17.50 | -4.42 |
| Charlie Appleby | 12-2-3 | +22.00 | +10.30 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 11-2-4 | -0.50 | -2.90 |
| John Gosden | 19-1-5 | -16.37 | -14.02 |
| J S Bolger | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.50 |
| A Fabre | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| D K Weld | 4-1-2 | +3.50 | +0.75 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 3-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.50 |
| Peter Chapple-Hyam | 3-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.37 |
| Andrew Balding | 13-0-2 | -13.00 | -12.00 |
Epsom Derby Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Epsom Derby over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Workforce (2010), Ruler Of The World (2013), Auguste Rodin (2023) and City Of Troy (2024). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Epsom Derby is Frankie Dettori (2 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Epsom Derby; Jamie Spencer has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Epsom Derby jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 19-4-9 | +5.50 | +0.40 |
| Frankie Dettori | 15-2-4 | -10.12 | -9.94 |
| Seamie Heffernan | 15-1-4 | -7.50 | +1.62 |
| William Buick | 13-1-5 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Wayne Lordan | 9-1-4 | -1.50 | +1.25 |
| Richard Kingscote | 4-1-1 | -0.50 | -1.75 |
| Adam Kirby | 3-1-1 | +14.00 | +7.60 |
| Mickael Barzalona | 3-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.40 |
| Emmet McNamara | 1-1-1 | +25.00 | +12.50 |
| Jamie Spencer | 10-0-0 | -10.00 | -10.00 |
2026 Epsom Derby Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 1, 3, 2, 4, 3, 1, 12, 1, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 4, 7, 1, 10, 1, 9
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (67%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-6
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 11/1 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 40/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 52+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Run is not LST/Cl2/Cl4-5
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 123/10 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Carried 120 - 131lbs (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 100+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a Cl2/Cl6 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Break of 7 - 231 days (Last Place)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Carried 124 - 133lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Epsom racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Epsom Derby. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Epsom Derby by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Epsom Derby Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +14.38, is when runners carried 131lbs on debut.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class won of Class 1 (Listed), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-41.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 10 (3,12) [18 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (6,4) [16 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 10 (4,2) [14 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 12 (3,2) [17 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 1 (10,5) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Epsom Derby is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is York; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at York last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Epsom Derby:
- Galileo (5 Wins)
- Montjeu (3 Wins)
- Cape Cross (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Epsom Derby despite multiple attempts:
- Dubawi (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Camelot (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- High Chaparral (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Teofilo (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Wings Of Eagles in 2017, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of P B Beggy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Epsom Derby, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Epsom Derby
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Epsom Derby, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Lambourn Chester - 1st of 8 (11/8) | Chester Vase |
| 2024 - City Of Troy Newmarket (Rowley) - 9th of 11 (4/6) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2023 - Auguste Rodin Newmarket (Rowley) - 12th of 14 (13/8) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2022 - Desert Crown York - 1st of 8 (7/2) | Dante Stakes |
| 2021 - Adayar Lingfield - 2nd of 6 (6/5) | Novibet Derby Trial Stakes |
| 2020 - Serpentine Curragh - 1st of 8 (5/2) | Dubai Duty Free The Irish Village Irish EBF Maiden |
| 2019 - Anthony Van Dyck Lingfield - 1st of 10 (2/1) | RaceBets Derby Trial Stakes |
| 2018 - Masar Newmarket (Rowley) - 3rd of 14 (5/2) | 2000 Guineas |
| 2017 - Wings Of Eagles Chester - 2nd of 8 (8/1) | Chester Vase |
| 2016 - Harzand Leopardstown - 1st of 7 (2/1) | P.W. McGrath Memorial Ballysax Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Epsom Derby Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at the Epsom Derby Festival
Here is the 2026 schedule for the two-day Epsom Derby Festival, each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Epsom Derby Festival races for Friday 5th June 2026
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Surrey Stakes | Formal (GB) 3yo - 9/4 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Woodcote Stakes | Maximized (GB) 2yo - 6/5 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| Coronation Cup | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 4yo - 100/30 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Betfred Handicap | Ecureuil Secret (FR) 4yo - 28/1 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| Epsom Oaks | Minnie Hauk (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Trustatrader Handicap | Mirsky (GB) 6yo - 9/4 | David O'Meara Oisin Murphy |
| Debenhams Handicap | Partisan Hero (IRE) 5yo - 7/2 | David Loughnane Silvestre De Sousa |
Epsom Derby Festival races for Saturday 6th June 2026
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Princess Elizabeth Stakes | Spiritual (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| Diomed Stakes | Persica (IRE) 4yo - 6/4 | Richard Hannon Ryan Moore |
| Epsom 3yo Dash | Stormy Impact (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | Richard Fahey Warren Fentiman |
| Epsom Dash | Jm Jungle (IRE) 5yo - 7/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| Epsom Derby | Lambourn (IRE) 3yo - 13/2 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
| Northern Dancer Handicap | Small Fry (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | Gary & Josh Moore Ashley Lewis |
| Lester Piggott Handicap | War Hawk (IRE) 3yo - 9/2 | Simon & Ed Crisford Jack Mitchell |
| JRA Tokyo Trophy Handicap | Sondad (GB) 4yo - 12/1 | Michael & David Easterby Joanna Mason |
