Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Chester Vase Preview
The Group 3 Chester Vase is a race that is open to colts and geldings who are three-year-olds, the race was established in 1907 and is today run over a trip of one mile, four furlongs and sixty-three yards having originally been run over a furlong further.
The race features during the Chester May Meeting and you can get some top-class participants in the race and that is because it serves as a trial for the Epsom Derby.
Chester Vase Information:
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Chester tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Chester Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the Chester Vase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 118%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Chester Vase, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.
Chester Vase Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Chester Vase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks daily.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Golden Sword, trained by A P O'Brien and ridden by Colm O'Donoghue who set the fastest winning time in the Chester Vase, the runner won the race in a time of 2:33.86 when winning the race in 2009. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer John & Thady Gosden and jockey Frankie Dettori with Arrest who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:52.31 in the 2023 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Chester Vase over the last 20 renewals:
- Golden Sword (2:33.86) in 2009
- Papal Bull (2:35.24) in 2006
- Soldier Of Fortune (2:35.24) in 2007
What the expert says...
Chester Vase Past Winners
Here are the Chester Vase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Chester Vase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:38.89 | Hidden Law (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 6) 9/4 | William Buick Charlie Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 2:52.31 | Arrest (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (3 of 5) 10/11F | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 2:43.36 | Changingoftheguard (IRE) 3yo 9-2 (2 of 4) 100/30 | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2021 2:45.83 | Youth Spirit (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (4 of 6) 15/2 | Tom Marquand Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2019 2:42.91 | Sir Dragonet (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (8 of 7) 13/2 | Donnacha O'Brien A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2018 2:39.55 | Young Rascal (FR) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 100/30 | James Doyle William Haggas (GB) |
| 2017 2:35.84 | Our Venice Beach (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 8) 5/2F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2016 2:41.07 | US Army Ranger (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (3 of 6) 4/11F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2015 2:45.53 | Hans Holbein (GB) 3yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 7/4F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
| 2014 2:42.05 | Orchestra (IRE) 3yo 9-0 (2 of 8) 3/1F | Ryan Moore A P O'Brien (IRE) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Chester Vase have been based:
- GB: 10 winners with an additional 12 placings from 91 runners
- IRE: 10 winners with an additional 11 placings from 33 runners
- SAF: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Chester Vase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Chester Vase over the last 20 renewals is A P O'Brien who has won the race ten times with those ten winners coming from Soldier Of Fortune (2007), Golden Sword (2009), Treasure Beach (2011), Ruler Of The World (2013), Orchestra (2014), Hans Holbein (2015), US Army Ranger (2016), Our Venice Beach (2017), Sir Dragonet (2019) and Changingoftheguard (2022). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Chester Vase is Sir Michael Stoute (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Chester Vase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| A P O'Brien | 29-10-20 | +28.29 | +16.81 |
| Sir Michael Stoute | 7-2-2 | -2.12 | -2.23 |
| Andrew Balding | 13-1-2 | -4.50 | -4.11 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-2 | -0.67 | -0.81 |
| Charlie Appleby | 4-1-1 | -0.75 | -0.59 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-1-1 | -1.09 | -1.43 |
| Richard Price | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Richard Fahey | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| John Gosden | 7-0-5 | -7.00 | -1.93 |
| Charles Hills | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -1.75 |
Chester Vase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Chester Vase over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race eight times with those eight winners coming from Doctor Fremantle (2008), Treasure Beach (2011), Ruler Of The World (2013), Orchestra (2014), Hans Holbein (2015), US Army Ranger (2016), Our Venice Beach (2017) and Changingoftheguard (2022).
Here are some of the top Chester Vase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 15-8-12 | +9.73 | +4.53 |
| William Buick | 7-1-3 | -3.75 | -0.95 |
| Frankie Dettori | 6-1-2 | -4.09 | -3.62 |
| Tom Marquand | 3-1-2 | +5.50 | +4.56 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | +1.33 | +0.00 |
| Tony Hamilton | 1-1-1 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| Jamie Spencer | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -2.56 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-0-0 | -5.00 | -5.00 |
| Franny Norton | 4-0-2 | -4.00 | -1.11 |
| David Probert | 4-0-0 | -4.00 | -2.00 |
2025 Chester Vase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (2, 3), 2, 1, 1, 1, 2, 6, 2, 4, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 3, (4, 5), 4, 2, 1, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Highest Placed is not LST/Cl5
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on GS/STD-SLW (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Dam is not AUS/CAN/FR/GER bred
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 19 / 20 (70%) - Not in a G3/Cl5-6 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (70%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (71%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl5-6
- 19 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 5 of the market
- 19 / 20 (85%) - Break of 13 - 299 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - In a field of 5 - 20 (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (64%) - No bigger than 8/1
- 18 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Chester racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Chester Vase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Chester Vase by adding a tip on the race here.
Chester Vase Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +42.10 is when runners had 0 career starts with the jockey. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran in a Class 5 when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-17.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 2 (3) [6 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 4 (7) [6 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 8 (6) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Chester Vase is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Tipperary, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Tipperary last time out.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Chester Vase:
- Galileo (7 Wins)
- Camelot (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
- Montjeu (2 Wins)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Golden Sword in 2009, winning for A P O'Brien at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Colm O'Donoghue. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 9 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Chester Vase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Other Principal races at Chester racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Chester racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in May (May Meeting)
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Chester Vase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
