You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2025 Celebration Mile Preview
Established in 1967, the Celebration Mile currently holds Group 2 status, which it received in 1977. The race takes place at the Goodwood Racecourse in August of each year, with it contested over, as the name suggests, a mile and is open to runners aged three or older.
Celebration Mile Information:
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Celebration Mile, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Celebration Mile market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 109%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Celebration Mile, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Celebration Mile Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Celebration Mile Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Celebration Mile races over the last 20 renewals:
- Lightning Spear (1:35.96) in 2016
- Lavenders Blue (1:36.21) in 2021
- Beat The Bank (1:37.12) in 2018
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Celebration Mile next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of +10.00. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Celebration Mile, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.96 was set by Lightning Spear in 2016, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by David Simcock and ridden by Oisin Murphy. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Angel Bleu won in a time of 1:44.67, booked to ride was Hector Crouch by trainer Ralph Beckett.
Celebration Mile Past Winners
Here are the Celebration Mile past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Celebration Mile are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:43.95 | Ice Max (GB) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 4) 5/1 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2023 1:44.67 | Angel Bleu (FR) 4yo 9-6 (3 of 7) 9/2 | Hector Crouch Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2022 1:40.86 | Jadoomi (FR) 4yo 9-6 (5 of 5) 100/30 | William Buick Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2021 1:36.21 | Lavenders Blue (IRE) 5yo 9-1 (7 of 9) 20/1 | Rob Hornby Amanda Perrett (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.38 | Century Dream (IRE) 6yo 9-4 (5 of 6) 11/4F | James Doyle Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2019 1:37.47 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 8-12 (3 of 6) 3/1 | Rossa Ryan Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:37.12 | Beat The Bank (GB) 4yo 9-7 (7 of 8) 11/8F | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2017 1:38.89 | Lightning Spear (GB) 6yo 9-4 (3 of 6) 1/1F | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2016 1:35.96 | Lightning Spear (GB) 5yo 9-4 (2 of 5) 4/1 | Oisin Murphy David Simcock (GB) |
| 2015 1:39.46 | Kodi Bear (IRE) 3yo 8-12 (6 of 6) 4/5F | Gerald Mosse Clive Cox (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Celebration Mile have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 24 placings from 124 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2024 Celebration Mile Replay
Celebration Mile Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Celebration Mile over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Chic (2005), Echelon (2007) and Zacinto (2009). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Celebration Mile are Saeed bin Suroor (2 wins), Simon & Ed Crisford (2 wins) and David Simcock (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Celebration Mile trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 7-3-3 | +13.50 | +7.56 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 10-2-4 | +0.00 | -2.63 |
| Simon & Ed Crisford | 5-2-4 | +3.08 | +4.37 |
| David Simcock | 5-2-3 | +2.00 | +1.43 |
| Clive Cox | 8-1-3 | -6.20 | -4.60 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-1-2 | -2.62 | -1.17 |
| Chris Wall | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.50 |
| John Gosden | 3-1-2 | -1.50 | +0.06 |
| Ralph Beckett | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.81 |
| Amanda Perrett | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
Celebration Mile Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Celebration Mile over the last 20 renewals, with both Oisin Murphy and Ryan Moore, who have both won the race three times. Oisin Murphy winners have been with Lightning Spear (2016 & 2017) and Beat The Bank (2018). Ryan Moore winners have been with Chic (2005), Echelon (2007) and Zacinto (2009). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Celebration Mile is Frankie Dettori (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Celebration Mile jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oisin Murphy | 6-3-5 | +3.38 | +2.68 |
| Ryan Moore | 5-3-3 | +15.50 | +8.56 |
| Frankie Dettori | 9-2-4 | +1.00 | -1.51 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-3 | -1.25 | -0.37 |
| William Buick | 4-1-1 | +0.33 | -0.92 |
| Hector Crouch | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +1.81 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 3-1-2 | -0.62 | +0.21 |
| Joe Fanning | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.70 |
| Rob Hornby | 1-1-1 | +20.00 | +12.00 |
| Clifford Lee | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +0.00 |
2025 Celebration Mile Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 6, 3, 2, 1, DSQ, 2, 7, 3, 1, 3, 1, 5, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 4, 5, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - In a field of 3 - 10 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Ran in 1 - 3 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - In a field of 6 - 13 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Off a break of 8 - 56 days
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Held an OR of 106+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 6 races (Season)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in a Cl2-3 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 86+ (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not in DEU/IRL/ZAF/TUR/UAE (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Achieved an RPR of 111+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 20 (80%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 17 / 20 (76%) - Won within last 5 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Celebration Mile. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Celebration Mile by adding a tip on the race here.
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Celebration Mile Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +40.84, is when runners had 2 places in the past year.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners were drawn in stall 4, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-20.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 5 [4 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 3 (2) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 5 (4) [5 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 7 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (3) [6 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Celebration Mile is Goodwood; there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Salisbury; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Salisbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 113 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 15 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Celebration Mile:
- Dubawi (3 Wins)
- Dark Angel (2 Wins)
- Pivotal (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Celebration Mile; that stallion is Dutch Art, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Lavenders Blue in 2021, winning for Amanda Perrett at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Rob Hornby. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Celebration Mile
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Celebration Mile. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2024 - Ice Max Chantilly - 5th of 7 (29/5) | Prix Messidor |
| 2023 - Angel Bleu Ascot - 4th of 8 (9/2) | Summer Mile Stakes |
| 2022 - Jadoomi Clairefontaine - 1st of 6 (32/5) | Prix du Pays dAuge - 9th Etape Defi du Galop - Une Pensee Pour le Havre |
| 2021 - Lavenders Blue Newmarket (July) - 8th of 13 (41/1) | Falmouth Stakes |
| 2020 - Century Dream Chantilly - 5th of 8 (29/1) | Prix dIspahan |
| 2019 - Duke Of Hazzard Goodwood - 1st of 9 (3/1) | Thoroughbred Stakes |
| 2018 - Beat The Bank Goodwood - 5th of 8 (9/2) | Sussex Stakes |
| 2017 - Lightning Spear Goodwood - 3rd of 7 (8/1) | Sussex Stakes |
| 2016 - Lightning Spear Deauville - 9th of 11 (18/1) | Prix Jacques le Marois |
| 2015 - Kodi Bear Salisbury - 1st of 9 (11/4) | totepool Sovereign Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Celebration Mile Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
