2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview

This race was given listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes at the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012). It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile, the race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood festival which is staged in late July or early August. Any previous Group 1 winners cannot enter the race, fillies get a 3lbs allowance whilst previous Group 2 (7lb) and Group 3 (5lb) winners have to carry a penalty.

Our dedicated Goodwood Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Thoroughbred Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Paul Cole trained Duke Of Hazzard ridden by P J McDonald who has set the fastest winning time in the Thoroughbred Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.70 that was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Ryan Moore with Zacinto who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:41.30 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

2019 - Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70)
2014 - Wannabe Yours (1:36.10)
2018 - Regal Reality (1:36.79)

How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -9.12. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Thoroughbred Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year	Horse (Drawn)	Info
2021 1:41.20	Baaeed 3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F	Jim Crowley William Haggas
2020 1:40.46	Tilsit 3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1	Ryan Moore Charles Hills
2019 1:35.70	Duke Of Hazzard 3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F	P J McDonald Paul Cole
2018 1:36.79	Regal Reality 3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1	Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute
2017 1:40.83	Beat The Bank 3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F	Ryan Moore Andrew Balding
2016 1:38.16	Thikriyaat 3yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 9/4F	Paul Hanagan Sir Michael Stoute
2015 1:36.82	Malabar 3yo 8-12 (1 of 10) 6/1	Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon
2014 1:36.10	Wannabe Yours 3yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 7/1	William Buick John Gosden
2013 1:37.37	Montiridge 3yo 9-0 (2 of 7) 5/6F	Richard Hughes Richard Hannon Snr
2012 1:37.53	Archbishop 3yo 9-0 (13 of 14) 10/1	Frankie Dettori Brian Meehan

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:

GB: 21 winners with an additional 32 placings from 163 runners
IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) & Regal Reality (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes are Brian Meehan (2 wins) & Mark Johnston (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer	R-W-P	Win	EW
Sir Michael Stoute	14-3-6	+3.75	+1.10
Brian Meehan	6-2-2	+7.50	+2.90
Mark Johnston	5-2-2	+17.50	+9.30
John Gosden	7-1-1	+1.00	-1.62
William Haggas	5-1-2	-3.60	-2.88
Andrew Balding	4-1-2	-1.25	-0.51
Mick Channon	3-1-2	+4.00	+3.30
Ed Dunlop	2-1-1	+4.00	+2.00
Charles Hills	1-1-1	+10.00	+6.25
Saeed bin Suroor	10-0-3	-10.00	-5.30

Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Forward Move (2005), Zacinto (2009), Beat The Bank (2017) & Tilsit (2020). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is Frankie Dettori (3 wins).

Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey	R-W-P	Win	EW
Ryan Moore	14-4-8	+18.25	+10.88
Frankie Dettori	10-3-5	+17.00	+9.35
William Buick	7-1-2	+1.00	-0.97
Silvestre De Sousa	6-1-2	+1.00	-0.15
Jim Crowley	4-1-2	-2.60	-1.50
Joe Fanning	3-1-1	+2.50	+0.70
Paul Hanagan	3-1-2	+0.25	+0.20
Royston Ffrench	2-1-1	+15.00	+8.60
P J McDonald	2-1-1	+2.00	+0.80
Andrea Atzeni	7-0-3	-7.00	-3.31

2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,3,(2,5),1,7,(4,8),(3,7),6,1,2,3,(3,14),1,5,3,1,1,6,1,3,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

21 / 21 (86%) - Not made 5 career starts
20 / 21 (81%) - Last win came in non-hcp
20 / 21 (83%) - Ran in at least a Cl2 (LTO)
19 / 21 (58%) - No bigger than 10/1
19 / 21 (74%) - Beaten no more than 7l (LTO)
19 / 21 (76%) - Held an OR of 100+
19 / 21 (80%) - Placed in at least a Class 2
19 / 21 (82%) - Field of under 13 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +32.88 is when runners ran on Good ground last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

2021: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
2020: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
2019: Winner in 6 (9,10) [9 Runners]
2018: Winner in 7 (6) [6 Runners]
2017: Winner in 4 (9) [6 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Chantilly, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Chantilly last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 157 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion is Dr Fong who has produced 3 winners (2007,2005,2004).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion is Exceed And Excel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007 when winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Thoroughbred Stakes.

2022 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis