You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview
This race was given Listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes. At the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012).
It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile. The race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood Festival, which is staged in late July or early August.
Thoroughbred Stakes Information:
- Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
- Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2025, when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Thoroughbred Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Shayem (1:35.05) in 2026
- Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70) in 2019
- Lead Artist (1:35.82) in 2024
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.62. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Thoroughbred Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.05 was set by Shayem in 2026, trained by K R Burke and ridden by Clifford Lee, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Zacinto won in a time of 1:41.30 for trainer Sir Michael Stoute, who booked Ryan Moore in the saddle.
Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Thoroughbred Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:35.05 | Shayem (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (6 of 7) 17/2 | Clifford Lee K R Burke (GB) |
| 2025 1:39.65 | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (2 of 4) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2024 1:35.82 | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 9) 9/2 | Kieran Shoemark John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2023 1:41.04 | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 6/1 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.10 | Rocchigiani (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 11/2 | Tom Marquand P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 1:41.20 | Baaeed (GB) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.46 | Tilsit (USA) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1 | Ryan Moore Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.70 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F | P J McDonald Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.79 | Regal Reality (GB) 3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:40.83 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F | Ryan Moore Andrew Balding (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 28 placings from 146 runners
- GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 7 runners
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2026 Thoroughbred Stakes Replay
Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) and Regal Reality (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is John & Thady Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 11-3-6 | +6.75 | +3.43 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 3-2-2 | +9.50 | +5.45 |
| John Gosden | 6-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.62 |
| Andrew Balding | 6-1-2 | -3.25 | -2.51 |
| William Haggas | 6-1-2 | -4.60 | -3.88 |
| Charles Hills | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.00 |
| Hugo Palmer | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -2.00 |
| K R Burke | 1-1-1 | +8.50 | +5.31 |
| P Schiergen | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Beat The Bank (2017) and Tilsit (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes; James Doyle has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-3-7 | +1.25 | -0.19 |
| William Buick | 9-1-3 | -1.00 | -2.42 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.15 |
| Tom Marquand | 5-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.31 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | -0.25 | -1.90 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.70 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.80 |
| Royston Ffrench | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
| Clifford Lee | 1-1-1 | +8.50 | +5.31 |
| James Doyle | 10-0-1 | -10.00 | -3.50 |
2027 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (3, 7), 6, 1, 2, 3, (3, 14), 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 6, 3, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (76%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Break of 22 - 342 days (Last Place)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 21 / 21 (87%) - In a field of 4 - 19 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - No bigger than 50/1 (Career)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Ran over 7f - 1m2f (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (89%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 21 (72%) - Were Bay in colour
- 20 / 21 (88%) - Ran in England (Last Win)
- 19 / 21 (80%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 19 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
- 18 / 21 (52%) - Within the first 4 of the market
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
2027 Thoroughbred Stakes Runners & Shortlist
The runners and the final trends shortlist for the 2027 renewal of the Thoroughbred Stakes will be added once the final declarations are confirmed, which are usually 48 hours before the race.
Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +20.50, is when runners had a different jockey than last time out.
❌ The worst-performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts; when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-23.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 6 (4) [7 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 8 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Ascot and Chantilly; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 149 runners, while female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes; that stallion, Dubawi, has produced 2 winners (2024,2014).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes; that stallion is Exceed And Excel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Thoroughbred Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Thoroughbred Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Shayem Newmarket (July) - 1st of 7 (11/2) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2025 - Seagulls Eleven Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 7 (23/1) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2024 - Lead Artist Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 6 (6/4) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2023 - Epictetus Ascot - 13th of 16 (13/2) | Hampton Court Stakes |
| 2022 - Rocchigiani Ascot - 5th of 15 (23/1) | Jersey Stakes |
| 2021 - Baaeed Newmarket (July) - 1st of 5 (10/11) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2020 - Tilsit Newcastle (AW) - 1st of 14 (4/11) | Win Bigger On Betfair Exchange Novice Median Auction Stakes |
| 2019 - Duke Of Hazzard Newmarket (July) - 1st of 6 (10/1) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2018 - Regal Reality Sandown - 6th of 9 (14/1) | Matchbook Is Commission Free Heron Stakes |
| 2017 - Beat The Bank Newmarket (July) - 1st of 8 (7/1) | Robinsons Mercedes-Benz Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs. Each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Al Aali (FR) 4yo - 11/2 | George Scott William Buick |
| Vintage Stakes | Dr Rascal (GB) 2yo - 13/2 | Oliver Cole Kaiya Fraser |
| Lennox Stakes | Lake Forest (GB) 5yo - 10/11 | William Haggas Cieren Fallon |
| Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 4yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Glorious Goodwood 1m4f Handicap | Infraad (IRE) 3yo - 2/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Alice Keppel Fillies Conditions Stakes | Wild Blossom (IRE) 2yo - 5/4 | K R Burke James Doyle |
| Oak Tree Stakes | Flora Of Bermuda (IRE) 5yo - 5/2 | Andrew Balding James Doyle |
| Molecomb Stakes | Pershaada (IRE) 2yo - 11/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| Sussex Stakes | Bow Echo (IRE) 3yo - 10/11 | George Boughey Billy Loughnane |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Kincsem Handicap | Ciarrai Abu (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Harry Eustace George Wood |
| Richmond Stakes | Mans Best Friend (IRE) 2yo - 11/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| Gordon Stakes | Enceladus (IRE) 3yo - 6/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Nassau Stakes | Diamond Necklace (IRE) 3yo - 4/6 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Goodwood Handicap | Defiantly (FR) 4yo - 11/4 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Thoroughbred Stakes | Shayem (IRE) 3yo - 17/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Golden Mile Handicap | Archivist (GB) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani Callum Rodriguez |
| King George Stakes | American Affair (GB) 6yo - 12/1 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Summer Handicap | Hopewell Rock (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | George Boughey Ryan Moore |
| Glorious Stakes | Enfjaar (IRE) 6yo - 8/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
| Lillie Langtry Stakes | Goodie Two Shoes (IRE) 7yo - 8/1 | Joseph Patrick O'Brien Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| Stewards Cup | Evening Saigon (IRE) 4yo - 16/1 | Hamad Al Jehani James Doyle |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Thoroughbred Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at Goodwood Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Goodwood racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
