Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview
This race was given listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes at the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012).
It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile, the race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood Festival which is staged in late July or early August.
Previous Group 1 winners cannot enter the race, fillies get a 3lbs allowance whilst previous Group 2 (7lb) and Group 3 (5lb) winners have to carry a penalty.
Thoroughbred Stakes Information:
- Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
- Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Thoroughbred Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.62. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to easily access the OLBG racing picks daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2009 renewal when Zacinto from Sir Michael Stoute under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 1:41.30, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Duke Of Hazzard, trained by Paul Cole and ridden by P J McDonald set the quickest time of 1:35.70 in the 2019 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70) in 2019
- Lead Artist (1:35.82) in 2024
- Wannabe Yours (1:36.10) in 2014
Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Thoroughbred Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 1:35.82 | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 9) 9/2 | Kieran Shoemark John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2023 1:41.04 | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 6/1 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.10 | Rocchigiani (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 11/2 | Tom Marquand P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 1:41.20 | Baaeed (GB) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.46 | Tilsit (USA) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1 | Ryan Moore Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.70 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F | P J McDonald Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.79 | Regal Reality (GB) 3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:40.83 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F | Ryan Moore Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:38.16 | Thikriyaat (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Paul Hanagan Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2015 1:36.82 | Malabar (GB) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 10) 6/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 31 placings from 154 runners
- GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) and Regal Reality (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is John & Thady Gosden (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 12-3-7 | +5.75 | +3.68 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-2-2 | +10.50 | +6.45 |
| John Gosden | 6-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.62 |
| Brian Meehan | 5-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.00 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-1-2 | -2.25 | -1.51 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-2 | -3.60 | -2.88 |
| Charles Hills | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
| P Schiergen | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 10-0-3 | -10.00 | -5.30 |
| Roger Varian | 9-0-3 | -9.00 | -5.02 |
Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race four times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Forward Move (2005), Zacinto (2009), Beat The Bank (2017) and Tilsit (2020). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Neebras (2011), Archbishop (2012), Regal Reality (2018) and Epictetus (2023).
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-4-9 | +16.25 | +9.46 |
| Frankie Dettori | 9-4-5 | +25.00 | +14.35 |
| William Buick | 8-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.97 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.15 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.31 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-2 | -2.60 | -1.50 |
| Joe Fanning | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.70 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.70 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.80 |
| Royston Ffrench | 1-1-1 | +16.00 | +9.60 |
2025 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, (4, 8), (3, 7), 6, 1, 2, 3, (3, 14), 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 6
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 21 / 21 (84%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - In a field of 4 - 19 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Non-Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Beaten no more -8¼l (Debut)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG in colour
- 20 / 21 (79%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
- 20 / 21 (82%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 20 / 21 (83%) - Won within last 5 starts
- 19 / 21 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 105+ (Last 5)
- 19 / 21 (80%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 19 / 21 (87%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works, No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.75 is when runners had a different jockey to last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 1 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Chantilly, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 155 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes:
- Dr Fong (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion is Exceed And Excel who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2025 Thoroughbred Stakes.
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Thoroughbred Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
