Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview
This race was given listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes at the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012).
It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile, the race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood Festival which is staged in late July or early August.
Previous Group 1 winners cannot enter the race, fillies get a 3lbs allowance whilst previous Group 2 (7lb) and Group 3 (5lb) winners have to carry a penalty.
Thoroughbred Stakes Information:
- Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
- Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Thoroughbred Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Thoroughbred Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.62. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Thoroughbred Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.70 was set by Duke Of Hazzard in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Paul Cole and ridden by P J McDonald. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Zacinto won in a time of 1:41.30, booked to ride was Ryan Moore by the trainer Sir Michael Stoute.
These are the top three quickest-run Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70) in 2019
- Wannabe Yours (1:36.10) in 2014
- Regal Reality (1:36.79) in 2018
Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Thoroughbred Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:41.04 | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 6/1 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.10 | Rocchigiani (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 11/2 | Tom Marquand P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 1:41.20 | Baaeed (GB) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.46 | Tilsit (USA) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1 | Ryan Moore Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.70 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F | P J McDonald Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.79 | Regal Reality (GB) 3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:40.83 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F | Ryan Moore Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:38.16 | Thikriyaat (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Paul Hanagan Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2015 1:36.82 | Malabar (GB) 3yo 8-12 (1 of 10) 6/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Mick Channon (GB) |
| 2014 1:36.10 | Wannabe Yours (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 7/1 | William Buick John Gosden (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 31 placings from 155 runners
- GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) and Regal Reality (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is Brian Meehan (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 13-3-7 | +4.75 | +2.68 |
| Brian Meehan | 6-2-2 | +7.50 | +2.90 |
| John Gosden | 6-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.62 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-1-2 | -2.25 | -1.51 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-2 | -3.60 | -2.88 |
| Charles Hills | 3-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.25 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 1-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.75 |
| P Schiergen | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 10-0-3 | -10.00 | -5.30 |
| Roger Varian | 7-0-3 | -7.00 | -3.02 |
Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race four times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Forward Move (2005), Zacinto (2009), Beat The Bank (2017) and Tilsit (2020). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Neebras (2011), Archbishop (2012), Regal Reality (2018) and Epictetus (2023).
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-4-9 | +16.25 | +9.46 |
| Frankie Dettori | 10-4-6 | +24.00 | +14.10 |
| William Buick | 8-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.97 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 6-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.15 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-2 | -2.60 | -1.50 |
| Tom Marquand | 3-1-2 | +3.50 | +2.31 |
| Joe Fanning | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.70 |
| Royston Ffrench | 2-1-1 | +15.00 | +8.60 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.80 |
| James Doyle | 8-0-1 | -8.00 | -2.50 |
2024 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, (4, 8), (3, 7), 6, 1, 2, 3, (3, 14), 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (76%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 21 / 21 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (82%) - In a field of 4 - 19 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (84%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Non-Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Won within last 6 starts
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG in colour
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Not in a Cl3 (LTO)
- 20 / 21 (76%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
- 20 / 21 (80%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (Last Win)
- 19 / 21 (79%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 18 / 21 (85%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 17 / 21 (52%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 5)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.25 is when runners ran on Good ground last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 6 (9,10) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Chantilly, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 154 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion Dr Fong has produced 3 winners (2007,2005,2004).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion Exceed And Excel has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Thoroughbred Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Thoroughbred Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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