You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview
This race was given listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes. At the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012).
It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile. The race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood Festival, which is staged in late July or early August.
Previous Group 1 winners cannot enter the race, fillies get a 3lbs allowance whilst previous Group 2 (7lb) and Group 3 (5lb) winners have to carry a penalty.
Thoroughbred Stakes Information:
- Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
- Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
- Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Thoroughbred Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2025 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Thoroughbred Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70) in 2019
- Lead Artist (1:35.82) in 2024
- Wannabe Yours (1:36.10) in 2014
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -7.62. Ahead of the 2026 Thoroughbred Stakes, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:35.70 was set by Duke Of Hazzard in 2019, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Paul Cole and ridden by P J McDonald. The slowest winning time was set in 2009 when Zacinto won in a time of 1:41.30, booked to ride was Ryan Moore by trainer Sir Michael Stoute.
Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Thoroughbred Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 1:39.65 | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (2 of 4) 11/4 | Oisin Murphy Hugo Palmer (GB) |
| 2024 1:35.82 | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 9) 9/2 | Kieran Shoemark John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2023 1:41.04 | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 6/1 | Frankie Dettori John & Thady Gosden (GB) |
| 2022 1:38.10 | Rocchigiani (GB) 3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 11/2 | Tom Marquand P Schiergen (GER) |
| 2021 1:41.20 | Baaeed (GB) 3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2020 1:40.46 | Tilsit (USA) 3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1 | Ryan Moore Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2019 1:35.70 | Duke Of Hazzard (FR) 3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F | P J McDonald Paul Cole (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.79 | Regal Reality (GB) 3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1 | Frankie Dettori Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2017 1:40.83 | Beat The Bank (GB) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F | Ryan Moore Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:38.16 | Thikriyaat (IRE) 3yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 9/4F | Paul Hanagan Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 29 placings from 148 runners
- GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 6 runners
- SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Thoroughbred Stakes Replay
Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) and Regal Reality (2018). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is John & Thady Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 12-3-7 | +5.75 | +3.68 |
| John & Thady Gosden | 2-2-2 | +10.50 | +6.45 |
| John Gosden | 6-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.62 |
| Andrew Balding | 5-1-2 | -2.25 | -1.51 |
| William Haggas | 5-1-2 | -3.60 | -2.88 |
| Charles Hills | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.25 |
| Brian Meehan | 4-1-1 | +7.00 | +3.00 |
| Hugo Palmer | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -2.00 |
| P Schiergen | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Roger Varian | 9-0-3 | -9.00 | -5.02 |
Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Frankie Dettori, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Neebras (2011), Archbishop (2012), Regal Reality (2018) and Epictetus (2023). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes is Ryan Moore (3 wins). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes; James Doyle has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frankie Dettori | 9-4-5 | +25.00 | +14.35 |
| Ryan Moore | 16-3-8 | +1.25 | +1.06 |
| William Buick | 8-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.97 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 7-1-2 | +0.00 | -1.15 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-1-2 | +2.50 | +1.31 |
| Oisin Murphy | 4-1-2 | -0.25 | -1.90 |
| Jim Crowley | 4-1-2 | -2.60 | -1.50 |
| Joe Fanning | 3-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.70 |
| Kieran Shoemark | 2-1-1 | +3.50 | +1.70 |
| P J McDonald | 2-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.80 |
2026 Thoroughbred Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (4, 8), (3, 7), 6, 1, 2, 3, (3, 14), 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2, 6, 3
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (77%) - No bigger than 16/1
- 21 / 21 (84%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Last Win)
- 21 / 21 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (86%) - In a field of 4 - 19 (LTO)
- 21 / 21 (87%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Beaten no more -8¼l (Debut)
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG in colour
- 21 / 21 (89%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
- 20 / 21 (80%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
- 19 / 21 (79%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
- 19 / 21 (80%) - No bigger than 22/1 (LTO)
- 19 / 21 (84%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
- 18 / 21 (53%) - Within the first 4 of the market
- 18 / 21 (54%) - Achieved an RPR of 107+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 21 (76%) - Won within last 4 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +18.48, is when runners had a furthest trip run of 1m.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-23.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 [4 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 1 (8,4) [9 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July); there have been a total of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Chantilly and Ascot; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 150 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes; that stallion, Dubawi, has produced 2 winners (2024,2014).
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes; that stallion is Exceed And Excel, who has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2026 Thoroughbred Stakes.
Route to the Thoroughbred Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Thoroughbred Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Seagulls Eleven Newmarket (July) - 2nd of 7 (23/1) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2024 - Lead Artist Newmarket (July) - 3rd of 6 (6/4) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2023 - Epictetus Ascot - 13th of 16 (13/2) | Hampton Court Stakes |
| 2022 - Rocchigiani Ascot - 5th of 15 (23/1) | Jersey Stakes |
| 2021 - Baaeed Newmarket (July) - 1st of 5 (10/11) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2020 - Tilsit Newcastle (AW) - 1st of 14 (4/11) | Win Bigger On Betfair Exchange Novice Median Auction Stakes |
| 2019 - Duke Of Hazzard Newmarket (July) - 1st of 6 (10/1) | Edmondson Hall Solicitors Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2018 - Regal Reality Sandown - 6th of 9 (14/1) | Matchbook Is Commission Free Heron Stakes |
| 2017 - Beat The Bank Newmarket (July) - 1st of 8 (7/1) | Robinsons Mercedes-Benz Sir Henry Cecil Stakes |
| 2016 - Thikriyaat Ascot - 2nd of 19 (8/1) | Jersey Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Thoroughbred Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Westridge (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Billy Loughnane |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 8/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Witness Stand (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Hollie Doyle |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 4/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Saqqara Sands (GB) / Tabiti (GB) 3yo - 16/1 / 3yo - 9/2 | Ralph Beckett / Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan / Ryan Moore |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Lady Iman (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | G M Lyons Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Qirat (GB) 4yo - 150/1 | Ralph Beckett Richard Kingscote |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Best Secret (FR) 3yo - 7/2 | S Wattel James Doyle |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Coppull (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Clive Cox David Probert |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Kyle Of Lochalsh (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 7yo - 11/2 | David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Jm Jungle (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 8yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Sam Hawkens (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Waardah (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Two Tribes (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Richard Spencer David Egan |
