Thoroughbred Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 834 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Thoroughbred Stakes. This is a race that is hosted at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood with the race being run over a distance of 1m, see which trends the past winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes have set for this year.

Thoroughbred Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Thoroughbred Stakes Preview

This race was given listed status in 1998 and also given the current name of the Thoroughbred Stakes at the same time, it has since been upgraded to a Group 3 (since 2012).

It is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile, the race is run on day four of the Glorious Goodwood Festival which is staged in late July or early August.

Previous Group 1 winners cannot enter the race, fillies get a 3lbs allowance whilst previous Group 2 (7lb) and Group 3 (5lb) winners have to carry a penalty.

Thoroughbred Stakes Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Goodwood then head over to the Goodwood tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Thoroughbred Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2020 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2009 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 122%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Thoroughbred Stakes, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.

Thoroughbred Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 4 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.62. Ahead of the 2024 Thoroughbred Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Paul Cole trained Duke Of Hazzard ridden by P J McDonald who set the fastest winning time in the Thoroughbred Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 1:35.70 was set when winning the race in 2019. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Ryan Moore with Zacinto who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:41.30 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2019 - Duke Of Hazzard (1:35.70)
  • 2014 - Wannabe Yours (1:36.10)
  • 2018 - Regal Reality (1:36.79)

Thoroughbred Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Thoroughbred Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Thoroughbred Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:41.04
Epictetus (IRE)
3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
John & Thady Gosden (GB)
2022
1:38.10
Rocchigiani (GB)
3yo 9-3 (1 of 7) 11/2
Tom Marquand
P Schiergen (GER)
2021
1:41.20
Baaeed (GB)
3yo 9-1 (2 of 7) 2/5F
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2020
1:40.46
Tilsit (USA)
3yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 10/1
Ryan Moore
Charles Hills (GB)
2019
1:35.70
Duke Of Hazzard (FR)
3yo 9-1 (6 of 9) 3/1F
P J McDonald
Paul Cole (GB)
2018
1:36.79
Regal Reality (GB)
3yo 9-1 (7 of 6) 10/1
Frankie Dettori
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2017
1:40.83
Beat The Bank (GB)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 6) 7/4F
Ryan Moore
Andrew Balding (GB)
2016
1:38.16
Thikriyaat (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (4 of 9) 9/4F
Paul Hanagan
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2015
1:36.82
Malabar (GB)
3yo 8-12 (1 of 10) 6/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mick Channon (GB)
2014
1:36.10
Wannabe Yours (IRE)
3yo 9-1 (3 of 6) 7/1
William Buick
John Gosden (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Thoroughbred Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 31 placings from 155 runners
  • GER: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • NOR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Thoroughbred Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Zacinto (2009), Thikriyaat (2016) and Regal Reality (2018). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes are Brian Meehan (2 wins) and Mark Johnston (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Thoroughbred Stakes, Saeed bin Suroor has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Sir Michael Stoute 13-3-7 +4.75 +2.68
Brian Meehan 6-2-2 +7.50 +2.90
Mark Johnston 5-2-2 +17.50 +9.30
John Gosden 6-1-1 +2.00 -0.62
Andrew Balding 5-1-2 -2.25 -1.51
William Haggas 5-1-2 -3.60 -2.88
Charles Hills 3-1-1 +8.00 +4.25
Mick Channon 3-1-2 +4.00 +3.30
John & Thady Gosden 1-1-1 +6.00 +3.75
P Schiergen 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44

Thoroughbred Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Thoroughbred Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race four times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Forward Move (2005), Zacinto (2009), Beat The Bank (2017) and Tilsit (2020). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Neebras (2011), Archbishop (2012), Regal Reality (2018) and Epictetus (2023).

Here are some of the top Thoroughbred Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 16-4-9 +16.25 +9.46
Frankie Dettori 10-4-6 +24.00 +14.10
William Buick 8-1-2 +0.00 -1.97
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-2 +1.00 -0.15
Jim Crowley 4-1-2 -2.60 -1.50
Tom Marquand 3-1-2 +3.50 +2.31
Joe Fanning 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.70
Paul Hanagan 3-1-2 +0.25 +0.20
Royston Ffrench 2-1-1 +15.00 +8.60
P J McDonald 2-1-1 +2.00 +0.80

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 7, (4, 8), (3, 7), 6, 1, 2, 3, (3, 14), 1, 5, 3, 1, 1, 6, 1, 3, 1, 4, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 21 / 21 (76%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 21 / 21 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 92+ (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (82%) - In a field of 4 - 19 (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (84%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 95+ (Non-Hcps)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Not exactly 5 starts (Career)
  • 21 / 21 (87%) - Beaten no more -10l (LTO)
  • 21 / 21 (88%) - Furthest Won 7f - 1m2f
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - Won within last 6 starts
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - Not BB/BR/GR/RG in colour
  • 21 / 21 (89%) - Not in a Cl3 (LTO)
  • 20 / 21 (76%) - Ran in a Non Handicap (LTO)
  • 20 / 21 (80%) - Ran in a Non-Handicap (Last Win)
  • 19 / 21 (79%) - Won by at least ½l (Last Win)
  • 19 / 21 (81%) - Field of fewer than 13 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Thoroughbred Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Thoroughbred Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Thoroughbred Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +34.25 is when runners ran on Good ground last time out. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 5 career starts, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 1 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 1 (7) [7 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 2 (5) [7 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (9,10) [9 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Chantilly, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 154 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 10 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion Dr Fong has produced 3 winners (2007,2005,2004).

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Thoroughbred Stakes, that stallion Exceed And Excel has failed to produce a winner from 5 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Dubais Touch in 2007, winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Royston Ffrench. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 7 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Thoroughbred Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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