2022 Jersey Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: May 31, 3:33pm Last Updated: Jul 5, 12:16pm Horse Racing 0 Comments 656 Views

2022 Jersey Stakes Preview

Established in 1919, the Jersey Stakes is a Group 3 race that is held during the Royal Ascot Festival. The race is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over a sprint of seven furlongs where fillies get a 3lb allowance. Previous Group winners get penalties in this race, Group 1 and Group 2 winners get 5lb penalties whilst Group 3 winners get a 3lb penalty.

If you are interested in other predictions at Royal Ascot then head over to the Royal Ascot Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2021 renewal when Creative Force from Charlie Appleby who under the guidance of James Doyle, won in a time of 1:29.06, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Proclamation, trained by Jeremy Noseda and ridden by Johnny Murtagh set the quickest time of 1:22.82 in the 2005 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Jersey Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2005 - Proclamation (1:22.82)
  • 2014 - Mustajeeb (1:24.54)
  • 2019 - Space Traveller (1:24.57)

How competitive is the Jersey Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2014 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 131%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Jersey Stakes, the over-round has been 122% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £122 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Jersey Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -10.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Jersey Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Jersey Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Jersey Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
1:29.06
Creative Force
3yo 9-1 (4 of 18) 5/1F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby
2020
1:28.94
Molatham
3yo 9-1 (5 of 13) 11/2
Jim Crowley
Roger Varian
2019
1:24.57
Space Traveller
3yo 9-1 (8 of 18) 25/1
Daniel Tudhope
Richard Fahey
2018
1:26.25
Expert Eye
3yo 9-1 (8 of 21) 8/1
James McDonald
Sir Michael Stoute
2017
1:25.05
Le Brivido
3yo 9-1 (10 of 20) 2/1F
Pierre-Charles Boudot
A Fabre
2016
1:28.49
Ribchester
3yo 9-6 (7 of 19) 7/1
William Buick
Richard Fahey
2015
1:26.83
Dutch Connection
3yo 9-4 (9 of 16) 14/1
Jim Crowley
Charles Hills
2014
1:24.54
Mustajeeb
3yo 9-4 (19 of 23) 9/2F
Pat Smullen
D K Weld
2013
1:25.32
Gale Force Ten
3yo 9-1 (4 of 21) 9/2F
Joseph O'Brien
A P O'Brien
2012
1:25.45
Ishvana
3yo 8-12 (6 of 22) 20/1
Seamie Heffernan
A P O'Brien

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Jersey Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 16 winners with an additional 34 placings from 272 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 5 placings from 47 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 14 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • SPA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • SWE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Jersey Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Jersey Stakes over the last 20 renewals with all of A P O'Brien, Sir Michael Stoute & Richard Fahey having all won the race 2 times. A P O'Brien winners have been with Ishvana (2012) & Gale Force Ten (2013). Sir Michael Stoute winners have been with Jeremy (2006) & Expert Eye (2018). Richard Fahey winners have been with Ribchester (2016) & Space Traveller (2019). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Jersey Stakes, John Gosden has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Jersey Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
A P O'Brien 25-2-6 +1.50 -8.35
Sir Michael Stoute 8-2-6 +6.50 +2.90
Richard Fahey 7-2-2 +27.00 +11.00
Saeed bin Suroor 17-1-6 -10.00 -8.10
William Haggas 11-1-4 -3.50 -5.25
Charles Hills 8-1-1 +7.00 +0.00
Roger Varian 8-1-2 -1.50 -3.20
Mark Johnston 6-1-1 +3.00 -0.20
Peter Chapple-Hyam 5-1-1 +3.50 +0.50
Charlie Appleby 5-1-3 +1.00 -0.50

Jersey Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Jersey Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Jim Crowley who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Dutch Connection (2015) & Molatham (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Jersey Stakes, Jamie Spencer has had a total of 14 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Jersey Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jim Crowley 8-2-2 +13.50 +4.30
Frankie Dettori 18-1-5 -11.00 -9.00
Ryan Moore 16-1-4 -7.00 -8.30
William Buick 11-1-2 -3.00 -6.00
James Doyle 7-1-2 -1.00 -3.00
Daniel Tudhope 4-1-1 +22.00 +9.50
Seamie Heffernan 4-1-1 +17.00 +7.00
Jamie Spencer 14-0-2 -14.00 -13.00
Silvestre De Sousa 9-0-1 -9.00 -8.50
Andrea Atzeni 7-0-0 -7.00 -7.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,2,2,3,5,2,9,16,6,2,3,1,(1,2),14,6,1,16,2,6,(1,2)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (63%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not drawn in first 3 stalls
  • 19 / 20 (50%) - Within first 8 of the market
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Best in 3 of 1st or 2nd
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - Carried between 121-129lbs LTO
  • 18 / 20 (71%) - Placed in a Class 1 race
  • 18 / 20 (72%) - 1-2 Career wins
  • 18 / 20 (73%) - OR of 100 or higher
  • 18 / 20 (73%) - Finished first three on debut
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - Furthest won over 6f-7f
  • 17 / 20 (83%) - Furthest run between 7f - 8f

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Royal Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Jersey Stakes. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you a member on OLBG? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Jersey Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Jersey Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +36.50 is when runners had 2 career wins in Non-Handicap races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 7 career starts, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-55.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 4 (15,12) [18 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 5 (6,14) [13 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 8 (7,4) [18 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 8 (11,13) [21 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 10 (20,15) [20 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Jersey Stakes is Newmarket (Rowley), there has been a total number of 9 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Newbury and Curragh, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 308 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 31 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Jersey Stakes, that stallion is Oasis Dream who has produced 3 winners (2013,2010,2008).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Jersey Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 14 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Pivotal (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • War Front (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Space Traveller in 2019 when winning for Richard Fahey at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Jersey Stakes.

Schedule at Royal Ascot

Royal Ascot races for Tuesday 14th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Wednesday 15th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Thursday 16th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Friday 17th June 2022

Royal Ascot races for Saturday 18th June 2022

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