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2027 Swinley Handicap Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot Racecourse is the Swinley Handicap Chase, a race that is contested over just shy of three miles (two miles and seven and a half furlongs), during which the runners will face a total of twenty fences, making it a real jumping test.
The race is now classed as a Premier Handicap, and although first run in 2011, the race is the Whitbread Trial, rebranded, which was first run in 1966.
Swinley Handicap Chase Information:
- Swinley Handicap Chase Past Winners
- Swinley Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
- Swinley Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot, then head over to the Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Swinley Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 16 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015, when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 16 renewals of the Swinley Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Swinley Handicap Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Swinley Handicap Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Swinley Handicap Chase races over the last 16 renewals:
- Montregard (5:58.55) in 2026
- Calipto (6:00.40) in 2019
- Massinis Maguire (6:00.70) in 2012
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 16 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 14 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -12.38. Ahead of the 2027 Swinley Handicap Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?
Over the last 16 renewals, it was Montregard, trained by Tom Lacey and ridden by Jonathan Burke, who set the fastest winning time in the Swinley Handicap Chase. That runner won the race in a time of 5:58.55 in 2026. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Henry Daly and jockey Hugh Nugent with Fortescue who set the slowest winning time; the race-winning time was 6:34.89 in the 2022 renewal.
Swinley Handicap Chase Past Winners
Here are the Swinley Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse that won, and the horse's age & weight. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Swinley Handicap Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 5:58.55 | Montregard (FR) 7yo 10-2 100/30 | Jonathan Burke Tom Lacey (GB) |
| 2025 6:01.30 | Victtorino (FR) 7yo 11-7 7/2 | Charlie Deutsch Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2024 6:07.23 | Threeunderthrufive (IRE) 9yo 12-0 5/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 6:08.18 | Cap Du Nord (FR) 10yo 10-8 11/2 | Jack Tudor Christian Williams (GB) |
| 2022 6:34.89 | Fortescue (GB) 8yo 10-7 7/1 | Hugh Nugent (5lbs) Henry Daly (GB) |
| 2021 6:22.04 | Captain Chaos (IRE) 10yo 10-9 10/1 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2020 6:23.25 | Ballyoptic (IRE) 10yo 11-10 8/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2019 6:00.40 | Calipto (FR) 9yo 10-8 15/2 | Charlie Deutsch Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2018 6:15.10 | Regal Encore (IRE) 10yo 11-5 6/1 | Richie McLernon Anthony Honeyball (GB) |
| 2017 6:05.60 | Tenor Nivernais (FR) 10yo 11-7 6/1 | Liam Treadwell Venetia Williams (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Swinley Handicap Chase have been based:
- GB: 16 winners with an additional 26 placings from 139 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Swinley Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Swinley Handicap Chase over the last 16 renewals is Venetia Williams, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Tenor Nivernais (2017), Calipto (2019) and Victtorino (2025).
Here are some of the top Swinley Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venetia Williams | 16-3-3 | +4.00 | -2.65 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 10-1-1 | -1.00 | -4.20 |
| Paul Nicholls | 10-1-4 | -4.00 | -1.18 |
| Anthony Honeyball | 9-1-4 | -2.00 | +0.60 |
| Philip Hobbs | 8-1-2 | -4.00 | -3.52 |
| David Pipe | 7-1-4 | +3.00 | +4.55 |
| Dan Skelton | 5-1-2 | +6.00 | +3.00 |
| Tom Lacey | 4-1-1 | +0.33 | -1.00 |
| Gary Moore | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| Henry Daly | 3-1-2 | +5.00 | +4.50 |
Swinley Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Swinley Handicap Chase over the last 16 renewals is Charlie Deutsch, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Calipto (2019) and Victtorino (2025).
Here are some of the top Swinley Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 16 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Deutsch | 4-2-2 | +9.00 | +4.60 |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.20 |
| Richie McLernon | 5-1-4 | +2.00 | +4.60 |
| Harry Cobden | 4-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.60 |
| Jonathan Burke | 4-1-2 | +0.33 | +0.19 |
| Harry Skelton | 3-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| Jack Tudor | 2-1-2 | +4.50 | +4.74 |
| Hugh Nugent | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Stan Sheppard | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -0.70 |
| Sean Bowen | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
2027 Swinley Handicap Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, F, 1, 6, 1, 3, F, (3, 5), 2, 6, PU, 2, 5, 4, 4, 4
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 16 / 16 (66%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Last 3)
- 16 / 16 (66%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 16 / 16 (69%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
- 16 / 16 (69%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Trip)
- 16 / 16 (71%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 16 / 16 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 128+ (Trip)
- 16 / 16 (77%) - In a field of 9 - 18 (Debut)
- 16 / 16 (79%) - Ran in 13 - 43 races (Career)
- 16 / 16 (81%) - Held an OR of 122+ (Trip)
- 16 / 16 (81%) - Furthest Placed 3m - 4m
- 16 / 16 (85%) - Carried 140 - 164lbs (Last Win)
- 16 / 16 (86%) - Off a break of 21 - 109 days
- 16 / 16 (86%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Debut)
- 16 / 16 (87%) - Had 5 - 15 placings (Career)
- 16 / 16 (89%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Ascot racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over ÂŁ6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Swinley Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
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Swinley Handicap Chase Trend Analysis
â The trend factor, which has produced 8+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.83, is when runners had 2 places in the past 180 days.
â The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places over the trip, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-40.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Swinley Handicap Chase is Cheltenham; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Ascot; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 138 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 2 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Getaway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Pistolet Bleu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Stowaway (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 16 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Captain Chaos in 2021, winning for Dan Skelton at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Harry Skelton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 16 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2027 Swinley Handicap Chase, why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Route to the Swinley Handicap Chase
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Swinley Handicap Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Montregard Ascot - 2nd of 11 (8/1) | BetMGM Handicap Chase |
| 2025 - Victtorino Ascot - 1st of 8 (5/2) | Ascot Silver Cup |
| 2024 - Threeunderthrufive Cheltenham - 2nd of 8 (15/2) | Cheltenham Christmas Meeting Handicap Chase |
| 2023 - Cap Du Nord Doncaster - 2nd of 11 (19/2) | Great Yorkshire Chase |
| 2022 - Fortescue Haydock - 3rd of 10 (16/1) | Peter Marsh Chase |
| 2021 - Captain Chaos Warwick - 4th of 13 (7/1) | Classic Chase |
| 2020 - Ballyoptic Aintree - 11th of 18 (9/1) | Becher Chase |
| 2019 - Calipto Doncaster - 3rd of 11 (10/1) | Great Yorkshire Chase |
| 2018 - Regal Encore Ascot - PU of 14 (9/1) | Ascot Silver Cup |
| 2017 - Tenor Nivernais Cheltenham - 3rd of 13 (16/1) | Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Swinley Handicap Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
