Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Swinley Handicap Chase Preview
Scheduled to take place in February of each year at the Ascot Racecourse is the Swinley Handicap Chase, a race that is contested over just shy of three miles (two miles and seven and a half furlongs) during which the runners will face a total of twenty fences making it a real jumping test.
The race is now classed as a Premier Handicap and although first run in 2011, the race is the Whitbread Trial rebranded, which was first run in 1966.
Swinley Handicap Chase Information:
- Swinley Handicap Chase Past Winners
- Swinley Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
- Swinley Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at Ascot then head over to the Ascot tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Ascot Racecourse section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Swinley Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 14 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 123%, whilst on average over the last 14 renewals of the Swinley Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 115%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £115 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2025 Swinley Handicap Chase Trends, see which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal, we also have a section that looks at the Swinley Handicap Chase Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Swinley Handicap Chase over the last 14 renewals:
- Calipto (6:00.40) in 2019
- Massinis Maguire (6:00.70) in 2012
- Tenor Nivernais (6:05.60) in 2017
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 14 if you had followed the winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 13 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.38. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 14 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2022 renewal when Fortescue from Henry Daly under the guidance of Hugh Nugent, won in a time of 6:34.89, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Calipto, trained by Venetia Williams and ridden by Charlie Deutsch set the quickest time of 6:00.40 in the 2019 renewal.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Swinley Handicap Chase Past Winners
Here are the Swinley Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Swinley Handicap Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 6:07.23 | Threeunderthrufive (IRE) 9yo 12-0 5/1 | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 6:08.18 | Cap Du Nord (FR) 10yo 10-8 11/2 | Jack Tudor Christian Williams (GB) |
| 2022 6:34.89 | Fortescue (GB) 8yo 10-7 7/1 | Hugh Nugent (5lbs) Henry Daly (GB) |
| 2021 6:22.04 | Captain Chaos (IRE) 10yo 10-9 10/1 | Harry Skelton Dan Skelton (GB) |
| 2020 6:23.25 | Ballyoptic (IRE) 10yo 11-10 8/1 | Sam Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2019 6:00.40 | Calipto (FR) 9yo 10-8 15/2 | Charlie Deutsch Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2018 6:15.10 | Regal Encore (IRE) 10yo 11-5 6/1 | Richie McLernon Anthony Honeyball (GB) |
| 2017 6:05.60 | Tenor Nivernais (FR) 10yo 11-7 6/1 | Liam Treadwell Venetia Williams (GB) |
| 2016 6:15.60 | Sausalito Sunrise (IRE) 8yo 11-10 3/1 | Tom O'Brien Philip Hobbs (GB) |
| 2015 6:11.10 | Caroles Destrier (GB) 7yo 11-0 5/4F | Barry Geraghty Neil Mulholland (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Swinley Handicap Chase have been based:
- GB: 14 winners with an additional 22 placings from 117 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 1 runner
Swinley Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Swinley Handicap Chase over the last 14 renewals is Venetia Williams who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Tenor Nivernais (2017) and Calipto (2019).
Here are some of the top Swinley Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venetia Williams | 14-2-2 | +1.50 | -3.75 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 10-1-1 | -1.00 | -4.20 |
| Paul Nicholls | 8-1-3 | -2.00 | -0.78 |
| Philip Hobbs | 8-1-2 | -4.00 | -3.52 |
| Anthony Honeyball | 7-1-4 | +0.00 | +2.60 |
| David Pipe | 6-1-3 | +4.00 | +3.25 |
| Gary Moore | 4-1-1 | -0.25 | -1.35 |
| Dan Skelton | 3-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.00 |
| Henry Daly | 3-1-2 | +5.00 | +4.50 |
| Alex Hales | 2-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.20 |
Swinley Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics
Here are some of the top Swinley Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 14 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 7-1-1 | +2.00 | -1.20 |
| Richie McLernon | 5-1-4 | +2.00 | +4.60 |
| Charlie Deutsch | 3-1-1 | +5.50 | +2.50 |
| Harry Skelton | 2-1-2 | +9.00 | +6.00 |
| Harry Cobden | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| Hugh Nugent | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
| Jack Tudor | 1-1-1 | +5.50 | +3.44 |
| Sean Bowen | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.00 |
| Brendan Powell | 3-0-1 | -3.00 | -2.31 |
| Lorcan Williams | 2-0-1 | -2.00 | +0.50 |
2025 Swinley Handicap Chase Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, F, 1, 6, 1, 3, F, (3, 5), 2, 6, PU, 2, 5, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 14 / 14 (67%) - Achieved a TS of 111+ (Last 3)
- 14 / 14 (68%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Trip)
- 14 / 14 (69%) - Achieved a TS of 97+ (Trip)
- 14 / 14 (69%) - No bigger than 10/1
- 14 / 14 (73%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 14 / 14 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 128+ (Trip)
- 14 / 14 (75%) - In a field of 9 - 18 (Debut)
- 14 / 14 (76%) - Ran in 13 - 43 races (Career)
- 14 / 14 (79%) - Furthest Placed 3m - 4m
- 14 / 14 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 109+ (Going)
- 14 / 14 (81%) - Held an OR of 123+ (Trip)
- 14 / 14 (81%) - Carried 140 - 162lbs (Last Win)
- 14 / 14 (86%) - Off a break of 21 - 109 days
- 14 / 14 (86%) - No bigger than 33/1 (Debut)
- 14 / 14 (86%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Ascot racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please leave a comment or head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Swinley Handicap Chase by adding a tip on the race here.
Swinley Handicap Chase Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor which had produced 7+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +25.50 is when runners were aged 10.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Swinley Handicap Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Swinley Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:
- Getaway (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Pistolet Bleu (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 14 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Captain Chaos in 2021, winning for Dan Skelton at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Harry Skelton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 14 renewals there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Swinley Handicap Chase why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Swinley Handicap Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
