Becher Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Becher Chase ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 3m2f at Aintree to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Becher Chase.

Becher Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Becher Chase Preview

The Becher Chase is run at Aintree in December of each year and is a Handicap Chase open to six-year-olds or older. The race is run over the Grand National fences over a distance just shy of three miles and two furlongs. No runner has won the Grand National directly after winning the Becher Chase, however, Amberleigh House won the Becher Chase in 2001 and went on to Grand National success in 2004.

Additionally, Silver Birch won the Becher chase in 2004 and three years later in 2007 won the Grand National so experience with these fences certainly helps for the future. Into the Red (1994 & 1996) and Hello Bud (2010 & 2012) have dual wins, Walk In The Mill who won the race in 2018 became the first runner to win this race back-to-back when also landing the race in 2019.

Becher Chase Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Aintree Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Silver Birch from Paul Nicholls under the guidance of R Walsh, won in a time of 7:35.50, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Eurotrek, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Liam Heard set the quickest time of 6:46.60 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Becher Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Eurotrek (6:46.60)
  • 2022 - Ashtown Lad (6:50.97)
  • 2016 - Vieux Lion Rouge (6:51.10)

How competitive is the Becher Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 140%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Becher Chase, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Becher Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -2.67. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Becher Chase see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Becher Chase Past Winners

Here are the Becher Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Becher Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
6:50.97
Ashtown Lad (IRE)
8yo 11-5 5/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2021
7:19.03
Snow Leopardess (GB)
9yo 10-4 4/1F
Aidan Coleman
Charlie Longsdon (GB)
2020
7:17.12
Vieux Lion Rouge (FR)
11yo 10-7 12/1
Conor O'Farrell
David Pipe (GB)
2019
7:03.10
Walk In The Mill (FR)
9yo 10-8 8/1
James Best
Robert Walford (GB)
2018
6:52.40
Walk In The Mill (FR)
8yo 10-3 10/1
James Best
Robert Walford (GB)
2017
7:18.90
Blaklion (GB)
8yo 11-6 7/4F
Gavin Sheehan
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2016
6:51.10
Vieux Lion Rouge (FR)
7yo 10-9 8/1F
Tom Scudamore
David Pipe (GB)
2015
7:09.20
Highland Lodge (IRE)
9yo 10-0 20/1
Henry Brooke
James Moffatt (GB)
2014
6:54.40
Oscar Time (IRE)
13yo 10-12 25/1
Mr Sam Waley-Cohen (3lbs)
Robert Waley-Cohen (GB)
2013
6:56.30
Chance Du Roy (FR)
9yo 10-6 14/1
Tom O'Brien
Philip Hobbs (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Becher Chase have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 47 placings from 280 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 6 placings from 62 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 8 runners

Becher Chase Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Becher Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls & Nigel Twiston-Davies who have both won the race 3 times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Silver Birch (2004), Eurotrek (2006) & Mr Pointment (2007). Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Hello Bud (2010), Hello Bud (2012) & Blaklion (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Becher Chase are David Pipe (2 wins) & Robert Walford (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Becher Chase, Peter Bowen has sent a total of 20 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Donald McCain has sent out 10 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Becher Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 24-3-8 +15.50 +12.02
Nigel Twiston-Davies 21-3-5 +5.25 +0.53
David Pipe 21-2-5 +1.00 +0.01
Robert Walford 3-2-2 +17.00 +10.25
Jonjo O'Neill 9-1-1 -2.50 -4.56
James Moffatt 6-1-3 +15.00 +12.50
Alan King 5-1-1 +6.00 +2.25
Philip Hobbs 4-1-1 +11.00 +5.75
Charlie Longsdon 4-1-1 +1.00 -0.50
Edward P Mitchell 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63

Becher Chase Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Becher Chase over the last twenty renewals with both Sam Twiston-Davies & James Best who have both won the race 2 times. Sam Twiston-Davies winners have been with Hello Bud (2010) & Hello Bud (2012). James Best winners have been with Walk In The Mill (2018) & Walk In The Mill (2019). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Becher Chase, Paddy Brennan has had a total of 10 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Becher Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Sam Twiston-Davies 7-2-3 +16.50 +10.44
James Best 3-2-2 +17.00 +10.25
Tom Scudamore 12-1-5 -3.00 +2.64
Tom O'Brien 8-1-2 +7.00 +3.75
Henry Brooke 7-1-5 +14.00 +14.00
Conor O'Farrell 7-1-2 +6.00 +4.50
Aidan Coleman 6-1-1 -1.00 -2.50
Denis O'Regan 5-1-4 +3.50 +4.98
Gavin Sheehan 4-1-3 -1.25 +1.59
Liam Heard 3-1-1 +23.00 +13.63

2023 Becher Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, UR, 11, (2, F), 6, 5, 1, 6, PU, 6, 9, UR, 1, 1, 11, PU, (3, F), 1, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Carried 140-161lbs (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Off a break of 18-274 days
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Break of 18-603 days (Last Place)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 73/1 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 1m6f - 2m7½f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 3-10 starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 73/1 (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 2 falls (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Had 4-12 wins (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 12/1 (Last Win)
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - No more than +22lbs (Vs Min Weight)
  • 18 / 20 (66%) - Achieved an RPR of 144+ (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Held an OR of 138+ (Career)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Aintree racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Becher Chase. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Becher Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Becher Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +50.50 is when runners ran on Soft ground when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 3 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-56.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Becher Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Aintree, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 348 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 2 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Becher Chase:

  • Old Vic (3 Wins)
  • Flemensfirth (2 Wins)
  • Jurado (2 Wins)
  • Sabiango (2 Wins)
  • Walk In The Park (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Becher Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Presenting (0 Wins from 17 runners)
  • Anshan (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Montelimar (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Zaffaran (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Garvivonnian in 2005, winning for Edward P Mitchell at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of G Cotter. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Becher Chase.

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