Roses Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Listed Roses Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 5f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Roses Stakes.

Roses Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis
Roses Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Roses Stakes Preview

A Listed race which is run over five furlongs, the Roses Stakes is restricted to two-year-old runners only in which fillies and mares receive a 5lb allowance, previous group winners have to carry a 5lb penalty and previous listed winners have to carry a 3lb penalty. The race is currently featured on the final day of the four-day York Ebor Festival which takes place in August of each year.

Roses Stakes Content:

If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2004 renewal when Dance Night from B A McMahon who under the guidance of Graham Gibbons, won in a time of 1:02.13, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Big Time Baby, trained by Tom Dascombe and ridden by Frankie Dettori set the quickest time of 57.11 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Roses Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Big Time Baby (57.11)
  • 2009 - Star Rover (57.33)
  • 2019 - Alligator Alley (57.69)

How competitive is the Roses Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Roses Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Roses Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -16.25. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Roses Stakes see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Roses Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Roses Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Roses Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
57.71
Treasure Trove (IRE)
2yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 4/1
W J Lee
P Twomey (IRE)
2021
58.59
Attagirl (GB)
2yo 8-9 (7 of 9) 7/2
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2020
59.48
Acklam Express (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 100/30F
Tom Marquand
Nigel Tinkler (GB)
2019
57.69
Alligator Alley (GB)
2yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 11/8F
Donnacha O'Brien
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2018
58.90
Well Done Fox (GB)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 11) 13/2
Jim Crowley
Richard Hannon (GB)
2017
59.19
Sound And Silence (GB)
2yo 9-3 (9 of 12) 9/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016
57.11
Big Time Baby (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
Tom Dascombe (GB)
2015
59.20
Shadow Hunter (IRE)
2yo 8-9 (8 of 9) 33/1
Phillip Makin
Paul DArcy (GB)
2014
58.58
Mind Of Madness (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 4/1
Jamie Spencer
David Brown (GB)
2013
1:01.22
Hot Streak (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 3/1
Jamie Spencer
Kevin Ryan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Roses Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 35 placings from 176 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Roses Stakes Trainer Statistics

There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Roses Stakes, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Roses Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Kevin Ryan 12-1-1 -8.00 -9.12
K R Burke 8-1-1 -3.50 -4.90
Bryan Smart 6-1-3 -3.50 -1.50
Richard Hannon 5-1-2 +2.50 +1.30
Tom Dascombe 5-1-3 +2.00 +5.00
David Evans 3-1-2 +12.00 +8.25
Charlie Appleby 3-1-2 +2.50 +1.60
Michael Bell 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.12
John Quinn 2-1-1 +7.50 +4.10
David Brown 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.21

Roses Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Roses Stakes over the last twenty renewals with both Jamie Spencer & Frankie Dettori who have both won the race 3 times. Jamie Spencer winners have been with Hoyam (2012), Hot Streak (2013) & Mind Of Madness (2014). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Howick Falls (2003), My Propeller (2011) & Big Time Baby (2016). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Roses Stakes is J F Egan (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Roses Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jamie Spencer 8-3-3 +5.00 +1.16
Frankie Dettori 4-3-3 +12.50 +7.10
J F Egan 2-2-2 +17.50 +10.94
Daniel Tudhope 6-1-2 -1.50 -0.60
Ryan Moore 6-1-4 -3.50 -0.94
Jim Crowley 4-1-3 +3.50 +3.80
James Doyle 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.70
Tom Marquand 2-1-1 +2.33 +1.00
Olivier Peslier 1-1-1 +6.00 +3.60
W J Lee 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40

2023 Roses Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,8,4,4,3,1,2,8,4,2,2,2,4,4,4,3,1,1,9,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Field of 6-17 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - A RPR no less than 63 (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest ran not G1/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Not a G1/Cl5-6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 122-131lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved a RPR of 80+ (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a RPR of 76+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Within first 8 of market
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a RPR of 80+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - Achieved a TS of 63+ (Last 3)
  • 19 / 20 (65%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Field of 7-17 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No bigger than 16/1 (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Had recorded a win (Turf)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Roses Stakes. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Roses Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Roses Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +44.00 is when runners last place was 2 starts ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 3, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-32.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 4 (6,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (10,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (10,8) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (6,4) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 1 (6,9) [11 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Roses Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 133 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 49 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Roses Stakes, that stallion is Royal Applause who has produced 2 winners (2012,2002).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Roses Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kyllachy (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Showcasing (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Shadow Hunter in 2015 when winning for Paul DArcy at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Phillip Makin. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Roses Stakes.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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