Roses Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)

Updated: 1036 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Roses Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Roses Stakes, a race run over 5f at York during the Ebor Festival.

Roses Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Ebor Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Roses Stakes Preview

A Listed race which is run over five furlongs, the Roses Stakes is restricted to two-year-old runners only in which fillies and mares receive a 5lb allowance, previous group winners have to carry a 5lb penalty and previous listed winners have to carry a 3lb penalty. The race is currently featured on the final day of the four-day York Ebor Festival which takes place in August of each year.

Roses Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated York tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival section for links to these.

How competitive is the Roses Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2023 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2018 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 124%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Roses Stakes, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Roses Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Roses Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -13.75. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Roses Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Tom Dascombe trained Big Time Baby ridden by Frankie Dettori who set the fastest winning time in the Roses Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 57.11 was set when winning the race in 2016. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer B A McMahon and jockey Graham Gibbons with Dance Night who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:02.13 in the 2004 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Roses Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Big Time Baby (57.11)
  • 2009 - Star Rover (57.33)
  • 2019 - Alligator Alley (57.69)

Roses Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Roses Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Roses Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
58.65
Inquisitively (GB)
2yo 9-2 (7 of 10) 6/1
William Buick
Kevin Philippart De Foy (GB)
2022
57.71
Treasure Trove (IRE)
2yo 8-12 (4 of 9) 4/1
W J Lee
P Twomey (IRE)
2021
58.59
Attagirl (GB)
2yo 8-9 (7 of 9) 7/2
Daniel Tudhope
K R Burke (GB)
2020
59.48
Acklam Express (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (2 of 10) 100/30F
Tom Marquand
Nigel Tinkler (GB)
2019
57.69
Alligator Alley (GB)
2yo 9-0 (10 of 12) 11/8F
Donnacha O'Brien
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2018
58.90
Well Done Fox (GB)
2yo 9-3 (1 of 11) 13/2
Jim Crowley
Richard Hannon (GB)
2017
59.19
Sound And Silence (GB)
2yo 9-3 (9 of 12) 9/2
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016
57.11
Big Time Baby (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (5 of 8) 6/1
Frankie Dettori
Tom Dascombe (GB)
2015
59.20
Shadow Hunter (IRE)
2yo 8-9 (8 of 9) 33/1
Phillip Makin
Paul DArcy (GB)
2014
58.58
Mind Of Madness (IRE)
2yo 9-0 (1 of 10) 4/1
Jamie Spencer
David Brown (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Roses Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 35 placings from 175 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Roses Stakes Trainer Statistics

There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Roses Stakes, Richard Fahey has sent a total of 10 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Roses Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Kevin Ryan 13-1-1 -9.00 -10.12
K R Burke 9-1-1 -4.50 -5.90
Richard Hannon 5-1-2 +2.50 +1.30
Tom Dascombe 5-1-3 +2.00 +5.00
Bryan Smart 5-1-2 -2.50 -2.00
David Evans 3-1-2 +12.00 +8.25
Charlie Appleby 3-1-2 +2.50 +1.60
Michael Bell 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.12
John Quinn 2-1-1 +7.50 +4.10
David Brown 2-1-2 +3.00 +2.21

Roses Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Roses Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Jamie Spencer and Frankie Dettori who have both won the race three times. Jamie Spencer winners have been with Hoyam (2012), Hot Streak (2013) and Mind Of Madness (2014). Frankie Dettori winners have been with Howick Falls (2003), My Propeller (2011) and Big Time Baby (2016). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the Roses Stakes is J F Egan (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Roses Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Jamie Spencer 7-3-3 +6.00 +2.16
Frankie Dettori 3-3-3 +13.50 +8.10
J F Egan 2-2-2 +17.50 +10.94
Daniel Tudhope 7-1-2 -2.50 -1.60
Ryan Moore 7-1-4 -4.50 -1.94
Jim Crowley 4-1-3 +3.50 +3.80
William Buick 4-1-2 +3.00 +1.50
Tom Marquand 3-1-2 +1.33 +1.70
James Doyle 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.70
W J Lee 1-1-1 +4.00 +2.40

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 4, 4, 3, 1, 2, 8, 4, 2, 2, 2, 4, 4, 4, 3, 1, 1, 9, 2, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Not in a G1/Cl3/Cl5-6 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Placed is not Cl3/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Run is not G1/Cl3/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - In a field of 6 - 23 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Carried 122 - 131lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 76+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Within the first 8 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 49+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Achieved an RPR of 80+ (Career)
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 22/1 (Career Place)
  • 18 / 20 (48%) - No bigger than 17/2
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Break of 23 - 129 days (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Not on FM/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (81%) - Placed within last 2 starts
  • 18 / 20 (85%) - Carried 121 - 133lbs (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Roses Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Roses Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Roses Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +42.00 is when runners last place was 2 starts ago. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 3, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 7 (6,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (6,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 7 (10,2) [9 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 2 (10,8) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 10 (6,4) [12 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Roses Stakes is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 8 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newmarket (July), there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (July) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 131 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 51 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Roses Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Showcasing (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kyllachy (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Shadow Hunter in 2015, winning for Paul DArcy at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Phillip Makin. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Roses Stakes head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 21st August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 22nd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Friday 23rd August 2024

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 24th August 2024

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