Finale Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends

Updated: 321 Horse Racing

See which trainers and jockeys have performed well in this fact-packed blog for the Finale Handicap. This is a race that is hosted at York with the race being run over a distance of 1m6f, see which trends the past winners of the Finale Handicap have set for this year.

Finale Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Finale Handicap Preview

Established in 2015, this race is a class two heritage handicap that is contested over a distance of one mile and six furlongs, the race is open to runners who are aged three years old and is scheduled to take place in October of each year at the York racecourse.

Finale Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at York Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Finale Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 9 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 130%, whilst on average over the last 9 renewals of the Finale Handicap, the over-round has been 120%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £120 which is bet.

Finale Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 9 if you had followed the winner of the Finale Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 8 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Finale Handicap.

The runner that holds the record over the past 9 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Lordship from William Haggas under the guidance of Adam Farragher, won in a time of 3:09.66, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Calvinist, trained by Brian Meehan and ridden by Kieren Fox set the quickest time of 2:58.08 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Finale Handicap over the last 9 renewals:

  • 2016 - Calvinist (2:58.08)
  • 2018 - Elegiac (3:00.02)
  • 2017 - Brimham Rocks (3:01.02)

Finale Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Finale Handicap past winners for the last 9 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Finale Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2023
3:09.66
Lordship (GER)
3yo 9-3 (4 of 11) 13/2
Adam Farragher (3lbs)
William Haggas (GB)
2022
3:04.52
Post Impressionist (IRE)
3yo 8-9 (3 of 14) 6/1
Adam Farragher (5lbs)
William Haggas (GB)
2021
3:07.90
Surrey Gold (IRE)
3yo 8-10 (4 of 13) 9/2
Sean Levey
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2020
3:06.57
Prince Alex (GB)
3yo 8-4 (7 of 11) 5/1
Harry Bentley
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2019
3:08.31
Hamish (GB)
3yo 9-7 (9 of 17) 13/8F
Daniel Tudhope
William Haggas (GB)
2018
3:00.02
Elegiac (GB)
3yo 8-12 (5 of 12) 6/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2017
3:01.02
Brimham Rocks (GB)
3yo 8-8 (6 of 13) 16/1
Richard Kingscote
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2016
2:58.08
Calvinist (GB)
3yo 8-2 (6 of 14) 16/1
Kieren Fox
Brian Meehan (GB)
2015
3:05.92
Swaheen (GB)
3yo 8-13 (6 of 6) 8/1
Joe Doyle (3lbs)
Julie Camacho (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Finale Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 9 winners with an additional 18 placings from 109 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Finale Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Finale Handicap over the last 9 renewals is William Haggas who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Hamish (2019), Post Impressionist (2022) and Lordship (2023). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Finale Handicap is Ralph Beckett (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Finale Handicap trainer statistics over the last 9 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
William Haggas10-3-4+7.13+2.54
Ralph Beckett6-2-4+17.00+12.01
Hughie Morrison3-1-2+2.50+2.00
Julie Camacho2-1-1+7.00+4.00
Brian Meehan1-1-1+16.00+10.00
Andrew Balding9-0-3-9.00-5.54
John Gosden7-0-0-7.00-7.00
Roger Varian5-0-1-5.00-3.80
Tim Easterby4-0-0-4.00-4.00
David O'Meara3-0-1-3.00-0.70

Finale Handicap Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Finale Handicap over the last 9 renewals is Adam Farragher who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Post Impressionist (2022) and Lordship (2023).

Here are some of the top Finale Handicap jockey statistics over the last 9 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Adam Farragher2-2-2+12.50+7.65
Richard Kingscote3-1-2+14.00+9.25
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-2+4.00+3.31
Daniel Tudhope3-1-1-0.37-0.98
Harry Bentley2-1-1+4.00+2.00
Sean Levey2-1-2+3.50+3.06
Joe Doyle1-1-1+8.00+5.00
Franny Norton5-0-0-5.00-5.00
David Probert4-0-2-4.00-2.10
Joe Fanning3-0-2-3.00+1.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 2, 8, 7, 1, 8, 3, 4, 2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 9 / 9 (63%) - In a field of 7 - 12 (LTO)
  • 9 / 9 (64%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 9 / 9 (71%) - Not on HY/GF/FM/STD (Debut)
  • 9 / 9 (73%) - Furthest ran 1m2f - 1m6f
  • 9 / 9 (75%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
  • 9 / 9 (76%) - Off a break of 14 - 49 days
  • 9 / 9 (76%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW/STD (Last Win)
  • 9 / 9 (77%) - Furthest Placed 1m2f - 1m6f
  • 9 / 9 (77%) - Highest Run is not G1-3/Cl4-5
  • 9 / 9 (79%) - Within the first 10 of the market
  • 9 / 9 (80%) - Not on HY/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
  • 9 / 9 (81%) - Made 4 - 11 starts (Career)
  • 9 / 9 (81%) - Dam is not GER/USA bred
  • 9 / 9 (82%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Last 3)
  • 9 / 9 (83%) - No more than -19lbs (Vs Max Weight)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Finale Handicap. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Finale Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Finale Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 5+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.50 is when runners had 7 season starts. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 season places, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 4 (14,12) [11 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 3 (2,11) [14 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 4 (9,3) [13 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (9,1) [11 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 9 (8,5,2) [17 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Finale Handicap is Haydock, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 9 winners from a total of 105 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 6 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Finale Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Nathaniel (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Frankel (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 9 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Brimham Rocks in 2017, winning for Ralph Beckett at odds of 16/1 under the guidance of Richard Kingscote. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 9 renewals there has been a total of 1 winning favourite in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Finale Handicap head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

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