Melrose Heritage Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

We look at the Class 2 Melrose Heritage Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m6f at York to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Melrose Heritage Handicap.

Melrose Heritage Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis
Melrose Heritage Handicap Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Melrose Heritage Handicap Preview

The Melrose Stakes is a heritage handicap that features on the final day of the York Ebor Festival which is run in August of each year, the race features on the same day as the Ebor Handicap. This Class 2 race is open to three-year-old runners only and is run over one mile, five furlongs and one hundred and eighty-eight yards.

Melrose Heritage Handicap Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated York Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

When looking over the past 19 renewals, a time of 2:53.82 was set by Tawqeet in 2005, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by John Dunlop and ridden by Richard Hills. The slowest winning time was set in 2004 when Lost Soldier Three won in a time of 3:04.67, booked to ride was Kieren Fallon on this Luca Cumani trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Melrose Heritage Handicap over the last 19 renewals:

  • 2005 - Tawqeet (2:53.82)
  • 2018 - Ghostwatch (2:53.87)
  • 2022 - Soulcombe (2:55.85)

How competitive is the Melrose Heritage Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 19 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2006 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 19 renewals of the Melrose Heritage Handicap, the over-round has been 124%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 19 if you had followed the winner of the Melrose Heritage Handicap next time out then you would have back a total of 6 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +6.88. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Melrose Heritage Handicap see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Melrose Heritage Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Melrose Heritage Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Melrose Heritage Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2022
2:55.85
Soulcombe (GB)
3yo 8-4 (11 of 13) 3/1F
Hollie Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2021
2:56.50
Valley Forge (GB)
3yo 8-8 (16 of 22) 10/1
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2020
3:02.77
Coltrane (IRE)
3yo 8-8 (8 of 14) 12/1
Oisin Murphy
Andrew Balding (GB)
2019
2:56.08
Hamish (GB)
3yo 9-3 (6 of 12) 7/1
James Doyle
William Haggas (GB)
2018
2:53.87
Ghostwatch (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (1 of 16) 10/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2017
2:57.27
Secret Advisor (FR)
3yo 9-2 (13 of 19) 5/1F
James Doyle
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2016
2:56.94
Wall Of Fire (IRE)
3yo 9-6 (4 of 13) 16/1
William Buick
Hugo Palmer (GB)
2015
3:01.84
Polarisation (GB)
3yo 8-7 (19 of 18) 28/1
Liam Jones
Mark Johnston (GB)
2014
2:56.54
Vent De Force (GB)
3yo 8-7 (7 of 17) 16/1
Richard Kingscote
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2013
2:59.42
Dark Crusader (IRE)
3yo 8-13 (16 of 11) 8/1
Fran Berry
A J Martin (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Melrose Heritage Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 42 placings from 264 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • HK: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Melrose Heritage Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Melrose Heritage Handicap over the last 19 renewals is William Haggas who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Guarantee (2012), Hamish (2019) & Soulcombe (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Melrose Heritage Handicap are Andrew Balding (2 wins) & Charlie Appleby (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 19 renewals in the Melrose Heritage Handicap, Michael Bell has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Sir Michael Stoute has sent out 11 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Melrose Heritage Handicap trainer statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
William Haggas 11-3-4 +11.00 +4.95
Andrew Balding 17-2-5 +7.00 +5.75
Charlie Appleby 5-2-2 +12.00 +6.38
Mark Johnston 27-1-3 +2.00 -5.00
Hughie Morrison 7-1-2 +10.00 +5.13
Hugo Palmer 4-1-2 +13.00 +8.63
A J Martin 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.80
Michael Bell 13-0-3 -13.00 -3.37
Sir Michael Stoute 11-0-3 -11.00 -8.10
Sir Mark Prescott Bt 9-0-2 -9.00 -6.49

Melrose Heritage Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Melrose Heritage Handicap over the last nineteen renewals with both William Buick & James Doyle who have both won the race 2 times. William Buick winners have been with Wall Of Fire (2016) & Ghostwatch (2018). James Doyle winners have been with Secret Advisor (2017) & Hamish (2019).

Here are some of the top Melrose Heritage Handicap jockey statistics over the last 19 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
William Buick 7-2-4 +21.00 +16.75
James Doyle 5-2-2 +9.00 +4.51
David Probert 8-1-3 +3.00 +3.25
Jamie Spencer 8-1-5 -3.00 +2.38
Frankie Dettori 6-1-3 +4.00 +3.00
Richard Kingscote 3-1-2 +14.00 +11.00
Oisin Murphy 3-1-1 +10.00 +5.50
Hollie Doyle 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.12
Liam Jones 2-1-1 +27.00 +16.50
Franny Norton 2-1-2 +7.00 +5.50

2023 Melrose Heritage Handicap Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,5,1,3,2,1,(4,6),(1,4,10,14),9,3,3,3,3,5,1,4,2,11,4,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 19 / 19 (78%) - Not on GF ground (Debut)
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - Furthest ran 1m2f - 1m6f
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - 6-73 days (Last Place)
  • 19 / 19 (82%) - Carried 121-134lbs (Last Win)
  • 19 / 19 (84%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
  • 19 / 19 (87%) - Not a claiming jockey
  • 19 / 19 (88%) - Had 1-6 placings (90 Days)
  • 19 / 19 (89%) - Had 1-4 wins (Season)
  • 19 / 19 (90%) - Never placed over 1m6½f+
  • 18 / 19 (65%) - No bigger than 16/1
  • 18 / 19 (77%) - Did not run in a Cl4 (LTO)
  • 18 / 19 (81%) - Fewer than 5 starts (Hcp)
  • 18 / 19 (84%) - Field of 5-15 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 19 (87%) - Ran over 1m4f+ (LTO)
  • 17 / 19 (52%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 17 / 19 (73%) - No more than -4lbs ave weight
  • 17 / 19 (85%) - Off a 14+ Day break

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Melrose Heritage Handicap. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Melrose Heritage Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Melrose Heritage Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.50 is when runners ran on Good ground on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Firm ground on debut, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-60.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2022: Winner in 11 (13,8) [13 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 16 (17,14,10) [22 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 8 (15,1) [14 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (5,1) [12 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 1 (11,10,16) [16 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Melrose Heritage Handicap is Goodwood, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Goodwood last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 256 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 23 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Melrose Heritage Handicap:

  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Montjeu (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Melrose Heritage Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Galileo (0 Wins from 15 runners)
  • Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Hernando (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Sadlers Wells (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Teofilo (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 19 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Polarisation in 2015 when winning for Mark Johnston at odds of 28/1 under the guidance of Liam Jones. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 19 renewals there has been a total of 5 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Melrose Heritage Handicap see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races during the York Ebor Festival

York Ebor festival races for Wednesday 23rd August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Thursday 24th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Friday 25th August 2023

York Ebor festival races for Saturday 26th August 2023

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