You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Hambleton Stakes Preview
Scheduled to take place in May of each year at the York racecourse during the Dante Festival is the Hambleton Stakes, a class two handicap, which was downgraded from a Listed race in 2018 when the new BHA rule came out that no class 1 race could be a handicap.
The race is contested over a distance of just shy of a mile, except for the 2005 renewal, which was run over seven furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older.
Hambleton Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the York tips on the day of the race. Do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist, or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season; you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Hambleton Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008, when the race had an over-round of 111%. The race in 2026 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 136%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Hambleton Stakes, the over-round has been 123%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £123 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Hambleton Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Hambleton Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Hambleton Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Croupier (1:34.35) in 2023
- Here Comes When (1:35.96) in 2017
- Always Smile (1:36.34) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Hambleton Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -13.00. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Hambleton Stakes, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:34.35 was set by Croupier in 2023, trained by Simon & Ed Crisford and ridden by William Buick, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Zero Tolerance won in a time of 1:42.32 for trainer David Barron, who booked Jamie Spencer in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Hambleton Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Hambleton Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Hambleton Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:37.20 | Maybe Not (GB) 4yo 8-3 (19 of 18) 18/1 | Saffie Osborne Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2025 1:39.08 | Old Cock (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (5 of 14) 9/2 | Callum Rodriguez Edward Bethell (GB) |
| 2024 1:36.97 | Point Lynas (IRE) 5yo 9-6 (5 of 17) 6/1 | Callum Rodriguez Edward Bethell (GB) |
| 2023 1:34.35 | Croupier (IRE) 4yo 9-5 (6 of 16) 7/1 | William Buick Simon & Ed Crisford (GB) |
| 2022 1:36.71 | Cruyff Turn (GB) 5yo 9-5 (1 of 13) 8/1 | David Allan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2021 1:37.52 | Kynren (IRE) 7yo 9-2 (12 of 14) 17/2 | Connor Beasley David Barron (GB) |
| 2019 1:38.15 | Whats The Story (GB) 5yo 9-5 (16 of 14) 9/1 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2018 1:36.84 | Afaak (GB) 4yo 9-1 (6 of 10) 9/2 | Jim Crowley Charles Hills (GB) |
| 2017 1:35.96 | Here Comes When (IRE) 7yo 9-1 (12 of 17) 10/1 | Oisin Murphy Andrew Balding (GB) |
| 2016 1:36.34 | Always Smile (IRE) 4yo 9-4 (16 of 19) 8/1F | James Doyle Saeed bin Suroor (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Hambleton Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 46 placings from 279 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners
Hambleton Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are multiple leading trainers in the Hambleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Edward Bethell, David Barron, and Saeed bin Suroor having all won the race twice. Edward Bethell winners have been with Point Lynas (2024) and Old Cock (2025). David Barron winners have been with Zero Tolerance (2006) and Kynren (2021). Saeed bin Suroor winners have been with Yamal (2009) and Always Smile (2016). Two trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Hambleton Stakes. David O'Meara has sent a total of 34 runners to the race without recording any wins, whilst Richard Fahey has sent out 18 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Hambleton Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Bethell | 5-2-4 | +7.50 | +7.81 |
| David Barron | 4-2-2 | +11.00 | +6.12 |
| Saeed bin Suroor | 3-2-2 | +12.00 | +7.13 |
| Tim Easterby | 11-1-2 | -2.00 | -2.75 |
| William Haggas | 9-1-2 | -5.00 | -4.70 |
| Andrew Balding | 7-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.25 |
| John Quinn | 6-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.63 |
| Ed Dunlop | 4-1-1 | +2.50 | +0.30 |
| Geoff Oldroyd | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.50 |
| Ralph Beckett | 2-1-1 | +17.00 | +10.25 |
Hambleton Stakes Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Hambleton Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Callum Rodriguez, who has won the race twice, with those two winners coming from Point Lynas (2024) and Old Cock (2025). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Hambleton Stakes; Daniel Tudhope has ridden 13 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Hambleton Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Rodriguez | 6-2-5 | +6.50 | +7.75 |
| Ryan Moore | 12-1-5 | -8.00 | -3.80 |
| Jamie Spencer | 11-1-4 | -5.50 | -2.04 |
| David Allan | 7-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.25 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-2 | +5.00 | +2.19 |
| Joe Fanning | 6-1-1 | +4.00 | +0.63 |
| William Buick | 6-1-1 | +2.00 | -0.62 |
| Jim Crowley | 5-1-1 | +0.50 | -1.30 |
| James Doyle | 3-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.00 |
| Jimmy Quinn | 2-1-2 | +6.50 | +4.82 |
2027 Hambleton Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 2, 2, (1, 3), (2, 4), 4, 3, 4, 10, 7, (1, 5, 8, 9, 11), 2, 4, 5, 2, 11, 3, 6, 2, (3, 18)
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 21 / 21 (77%) - Ran in 3 - 33 races (Hcps)
- 21 / 21 (88%) - Ran in 2 - 17 races (Going)
- 20 / 20 (72%) - Had 2 - 12 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (74%) - No bigger than 20/1
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 2 - 7 wins (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran in 2 - 19 races (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/SFT/FM/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 2 wins (Class)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - In a field of 7 - 22 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Last 3)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Had 3 - 16 placings (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/IRL/ITA/WAL (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Trip)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Beaten no more -9½l (Debut)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Hambleton Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Hambleton Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Hambleton Stakes Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +23.00, is when runners had 1 career place over further.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 1 start ago, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-39.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 19 (6,4,1) [18 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 5 (13,6) [14 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 5 (9,10,15) [17 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 6 (16,5,4) [16 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 1 (7,2) [13 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Hambleton Stakes is Haydock; there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 262 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 19 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Hambleton Stakes:
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- Kings Best (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Hambleton Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Johannesburg (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Sea The Stars (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Alfred Hutchinson in 2015, winning for Geoff Oldroyd at odds of 20/1 under the guidance of Barry McHugh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Hambleton Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Hambleton Stakes
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Hambleton Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Maybe Not Newmarket (Rowley) - 4th of 8 (15/8) | CopyBet Fillies Handicap |
| 2025 - Old Cock Doncaster - 22nd of 22 (14/1) | Lincoln Handicap |
| 2024 - Point Lynas Haydock - 4th of 7 (11/1) | Best Odds On The Betfair Exchange Superior Mile Stakes |
| 2023 - Croupier Doncaster - 22nd of 22 (41/1) | Lincoln Handicap |
| 2022 - Cruyff Turn Thirsk - 7th of 15 (9/1) | Thirsk Hunt Cup |
| 2021 - Kynren Chester - 3rd of 10 (12/1) | tote+ Placepots Pay More Earl Grosvenor Handicap |
| 2019 - Whats The Story Newcastle (AW) - 3rd of 7 (7/1) | Newcastle International Airport Handicap |
| 2018 - Afaak Newbury - 12th of 22 (6/1) | OLBG Spring Cup |
| 2017 - Here Comes When Kempton (AW) - 4th of 7 (8/1) | British Stallion Studs EBF Hyde Stakes |
| 2016 - Always Smile Ascot - 2nd of 17 (2/1) | Sandringham Stakes |
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Hambleton Stakes. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jorvik Stakes | Klassleader (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Churchill Tyres Handicap | Dark Thirty (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| Minster Stakes | Elmonjed (IRE) 5yo - 8/1 | William Haggas William Buick |
| Musidora Stakes | Legacy Link (GB) 3yo - 6/4 | John & Thady Gosden Colin Keane |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k and is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Lindum York Handicap | Jakajaro (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | Robert Cowell Jamie Spencer |
| Hambleton Stakes | Maybe Not (GB) 4yo - 18/1 | Ralph Beckett Saffie Osborne |
| Middleton Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 5yo - 5/6 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Dante Stakes | Item (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| Westow Stakes | Dickensian (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Kevin Ryan Shane Gray |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k. The runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes | Lilt (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Macmillan Charity Handicap | Warrant Holder (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Marygate Fillies Stakes | Love A Giggle (IRE) 2yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Yorkshire Cup | Rahiebb (GB) 4yo - 4/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Hambleton Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Clipper Handicap
- Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Harry's Half Million By Goffs
- Lowther Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes
