Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview
This Class Two Handicap is scheduled to take place in May of each year at the York racecourse during the Dante Festival.
The race is contested over a straight six furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older, the race attracts plenty of interest with recent renewals seeing 16+ runners start this race and plenty of double-figure winners too.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Information:
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at York then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
How competitive is the Churchill Tyres Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2022 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Churchill Tyres Handicap, the over-round has been 125%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £125 which is bet.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -17.50. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Churchill Tyres Handicap see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Hoof It, trained by Michael Easterby and ridden by Kieren Fallon who set the fastest winning time in the Churchill Tyres Handicap, the runner won the race in a time of 1:09.81 when winning the race in 2011. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Robin Bastiman and jockey Royston Ffrench with Borderlescott who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 1:15.39 in the 2006 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Hoof It (1:09.81) in 2011
- Bielsa (1:09.88) in 2023
- Soldiers Minute (1:10.06) in 2019
Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Churchill Tyres Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Churchill Tyres Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
---|---|---|
2023 1:09.88 | Bielsa (IRE) 8yo 8-13 (14 of 21) 12/1 | Oisin Murphy Kevin Ryan (GB) |
2022 1:11.93 | Dakota Gold (GB) 8yo 9-4 (21 of 22) 18/1 | Connor Beasley Michael Dods (GB) |
2021 1:11.09 | Mr Lupton (IRE) 8yo 9-3 (15 of 18) 14/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
2019 1:10.06 | Soldiers Minute (GB) 4yo 8-9 (3 of 21) 20/1 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
2018 1:10.31 | George Bowen (IRE) 6yo 8-7 (5 of 19) 10/1 | Connor Beasley Richard Fahey (GB) |
2017 1:12.83 | Al Qahwa (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (8 of 16) 25/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
2016 1:11.23 | See The Sun (GB) 5yo 8-5 (5 of 18) 9/1 | James Sullivan Tim Easterby (GB) |
2015 1:10.96 | Algar Lad (GB) 5yo 8-12 (11 of 17) 14/1 | Sam James David O'Meara (GB) |
2014 1:13.37 | Aetna (GB) 4yo 8-9 (20 of 20) 7/1F | Graham Gibbons Michael Easterby (GB) |
2013 1:12.48 | Mass Rally (IRE) 6yo 9-3 (18 of 15) 14/1 | Paul Mulrennan Michael Dods (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Churchill Tyres Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 54 placings from 339 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Wyatt Earp (2007), George Bowen (2018) and Mr Lupton (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Churchill Tyres Handicap are David O'Meara (2 wins), Michael Dods (2 wins) and Michael Easterby (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Churchill Tyres Handicap, John Quinn has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Richard Fahey | 36-3-14 | -2.50 | +9.97 |
David O'Meara | 15-2-3 | +26.00 | +13.63 |
Michael Dods | 9-2-4 | +25.00 | +17.06 |
Michael Easterby | 9-2-3 | +7.00 | +3.51 |
Kevin Ryan | 30-1-6 | -17.00 | -8.61 |
Tim Easterby | 27-1-5 | -17.00 | -9.91 |
David Barron | 9-1-3 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
Ronald Harris | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +7.13 |
Roger Charlton | 1-1-1 | +3.50 | +2.10 |
John Quinn | 11-0-2 | -11.00 | -6.81 |
Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Connor Beasley who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from George Bowen (2018) and Dakota Gold (2022).
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
---|---|---|---|
Connor Beasley | 7-2-5 | +23.00 | +19.44 |
Daniel Tudhope | 10-1-2 | +16.00 | +8.88 |
Paul Mulrennan | 10-1-2 | +5.00 | +2.25 |
James Sullivan | 7-1-1 | +3.00 | -0.37 |
Ryan Moore | 7-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.49 |
Joe Fanning | 6-1-2 | +15.00 | +9.50 |
Jamie Spencer | 6-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.12 |
James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +7.75 |
Tom Queally | 5-1-2 | +2.50 | +2.06 |
Oisin Murphy | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.50 |
2024 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (1, 2, 4), 5, (2, 3), 5, 7, 11, 2, (1, 2), 2, 19, 2, (1, 2, 13), 4, 18, (2, 10), 13, 13, 5, 19, 16
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (82%) - Highest Placed is not G1/LST
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved an RPR of 94+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried 121 - 136lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Held an OR of 88+
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest ran 6f - 1m½f
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on STD (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 87+ (Career)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the York racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap. You may want to do your research into the race, there are times when there are several runners who pass the trends so you need to do your research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Churchill Tyres Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis
The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-64.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 14 (2,4,18) [21 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 21 (18,10,20) [22 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 15 (13,8,1) [18 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 3 (15,22,18) [21 Runners]
- 2018: Winner in 5 (8,18,11) [19 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 330 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 11 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap, that stallion Kheleyf has produced 2 winners (2015,2013).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Mayson (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Namid (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Royal Applause (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Zebedee (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Al Qahwa in 2017, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 York Jorvik Stakes | Scampi (GB) 5yo - 16/1 | Andrew Balding Hayley Turner |
14:25 York Churchill Tyres Handicap | Bielsa (IRE) 8yo - 12/1 | Kevin Ryan Oisin Murphy |
15:00 York Duke of York Stakes | Azure Blue (IRE) 4yo - 12/1 | Michael Dods Paul Mulrennan |
15:35 York Musidora Stakes | Soul Sister (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
13:50 York Lindum York Handicap | Regional (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
14:25 York Middleton Stakes | Free Wind (IRE) 5yo - 6/5 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
15:00 York Hambleton Stakes | Croupier (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | Simon & Ed Crisford William Buick |
15:35 York Dante Stakes | The Foxes (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup which is part of the British Champion Series is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k the runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
Race | Last Winner | Info |
---|---|---|
15:00 York Knights Solicitors Handicap | Marhaba The Champ (GB) 4yo - 10/1 | Kevin Ryan William Buick |
15:35 York Yorkshire Cup | Giavellotto (IRE) 4yo - 14/1 | Marco Botti Andrea Atzeni |
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Symphony Group Handicap
- York Ebor Festival Stayers Handicap
- Clipper Logistics Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Lowther Stakes
- Premier Yearling Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- York Ebor Festival Sky Bet Handicap
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes
Races in October
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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