Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2026 Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview
This Class Two Handicap is scheduled to take place in May of each year at the York racecourse during the Dante Festival.
The race is contested over a straight six furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older, the race attracts plenty of interest with recent renewals seeing 16+ runners start this race and plenty of double-figure winners too.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Information:
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated York tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Churchill Tyres Handicap, but will also have predictions for each meeting at York throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season, you can find links to those here.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Churchill Tyres Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2024 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Churchill Tyres Handicap, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Churchill Tyres Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Hoof It (1:09.81) in 2011
- Bielsa (1:09.88) in 2023
- Soldiers Minute (1:10.06) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -16.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page to access the OLBG racing picks easily daily.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2006 renewal when Borderlescott from Robin Bastiman under the guidance of Royston Ffrench, won in a time of 1:15.39, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Hoof It, trained by Michael Easterby and ridden by Kieren Fallon set the quickest time of 1:09.81 in the 2011 renewal.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Churchill Tyres Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Churchill Tyres Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 (60k) 1:10.86 | Rousing Encore (IRE) 5yo 8-5 (13 of 16) 22/1 | James Sullivan Ruth Carr (GB) |
| 2024 (50k) 1:11.14 | Aleezdancer (IRE) 5yo 8-13 (6 of 21) 14/1 | Neil Callan Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2023 (40k) 1:09.88 | Bielsa (IRE) 8yo 8-13 (14 of 21) 12/1 | Oisin Murphy Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2022 (35k) 1:11.93 | Dakota Gold (GB) 8yo 9-4 (21 of 22) 18/1 | Connor Beasley Michael Dods (GB) |
| 2021 (25k) 1:11.09 | Mr Lupton (IRE) 8yo 9-3 (15 of 18) 14/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2019 (30k) 1:10.06 | Soldiers Minute (GB) 4yo 8-9 (3 of 21) 20/1 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2018 (30k) 1:10.31 | George Bowen (IRE) 6yo 8-7 (5 of 19) 10/1 | Connor Beasley Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2017 (25k) 1:12.83 | Al Qahwa (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (8 of 16) 25/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2016 (25k) 1:11.23 | See The Sun (GB) 5yo 8-5 (5 of 18) 9/1 | James Sullivan Tim Easterby (GB) |
| 2015 (25k) 1:10.96 | Algar Lad (GB) 5yo 8-12 (11 of 17) 14/1 | Sam James David O'Meara (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Churchill Tyres Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 354 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Wyatt Earp (2007), George Bowen (2018) and Mr Lupton (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Churchill Tyres Handicap are Kevin Ryan (2 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Michael Dods (2 wins) and Michael Easterby (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Churchill Tyres Handicap, John Quinn has sent a total of 11 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fahey | 39-3-14 | -5.50 | +6.97 |
| Kevin Ryan | 33-2-7 | -5.00 | -1.86 |
| David O'Meara | 17-2-3 | +24.00 | +11.63 |
| Michael Dods | 13-2-6 | +21.00 | +18.25 |
| Michael Easterby | 9-2-3 | +7.00 | +3.51 |
| Tim Easterby | 28-1-4 | -18.00 | -11.86 |
| David Barron | 9-1-3 | -2.00 | -1.00 |
| Ruth Carr | 8-1-1 | +15.00 | +6.75 |
| Ronald Harris | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +7.13 |
| John Quinn | 11-0-2 | -11.00 | -6.81 |
Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals, with both James Sullivan and Connor Beasley, who have both won the race two times. James Sullivan winners have been with See The Sun (2016) and Rousing Encore (2025). Connor Beasley winners have been with George Bowen (2018) and Dakota Gold (2022).
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 9-2-2 | +24.00 | +12.38 |
| Connor Beasley | 9-2-6 | +21.00 | +21.07 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 11-1-2 | +15.00 | +7.88 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 11-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.25 |
| Ryan Moore | 8-1-3 | +0.00 | -0.36 |
| Joe Fanning | 7-1-2 | +14.00 | +8.50 |
| Neil Callan | 6-1-2 | +9.00 | +6.25 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +7.75 |
| Oisin Murphy | 5-1-2 | +8.00 | +5.06 |
| Tom Queally | 5-1-2 | +2.50 | +2.06 |
2026 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): (2, 3), 5, 7, 11, 2, (1, 2), 2, 19, 2, (1, 2, 13), 4, 18, (2, 10), 13, 13, 5, 19, 16, 14, 4
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Had 1 - 7 placings (Going)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Highest Placed is not G1/LST
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Furthest Placed 5f - 7f
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 4 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 68+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 13 starts
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Won is not G1/LST/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Beaten no more -11l (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Placed within last 6 starts
- 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 28/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Not on STD (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Churchill Tyres Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.50, is when runners had 1 career win on the going.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places on the going, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-65.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 13 (3,7,15) [16 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (15,10,4) [21 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (2,4,18) [21 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 21 (18,10,20) [22 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 15 (13,8,1) [18 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap is Doncaster; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 346 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 10 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap:
- Fast Company (2 Wins)
- Kheleyf (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Mayson (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Zebedee (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dutch Art (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Al Qahwa in 2017, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Route to the Churchill Tyres Handicap
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Churchill Tyres Handicap, these are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Rousing Encore Leicester - 6th of 11 (12/1) | Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap |
| 2024 - Aleezdancer Newmarket (Rowley) - 13th of 15 (29/1) | Rowley Handicap Stakes |
| 2023 - Bielsa Redcar - 2nd of 12 (19/2) | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap |
| 2022 - Dakota Gold Musselburgh - 11th of 11 (4/1) | Betway Holyrood Handicap |
| 2021 - Mr Lupton Ripon - 4th of 6 (11/2) | Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy Handicap |
| 2019 - Soldiers Minute Musselburgh - 15th of 16 (12/1) | Scottish Sprint Cup |
| 2018 - George Bowen Doncaster - 2nd of 11 (9/1) | crownhotel-bawtry.com Handicap |
| 2017 - Al Qahwa Cork - 7th of 9 (20/1) | Platinum Stakes |
| 2016 - See The Sun Doncaster - 1st of 15 (16/1) | Trueman Family Handicap |
| 2015 - Algar Lad Ripon - 4th of 16 (16/1) | Visit attheraces.com/punchestown Handicap |
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jorvik Stakes | Almoshher (GB) 4yo - 15/2 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Churchill Tyres Handicap | Rousing Encore (IRE) 5yo - 22/1 | Ruth Carr James Sullivan |
| Duke of York Stakes | Inisherin (GB) 4yo - 11/8 | Kevin Ryan Ryan Moore |
| Musidora Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Lindum York Handicap | American Affair (GB) 5yo - 7/2 | Jim Goldie Paul Mulrennan |
| Hambleton Stakes | Old Cock (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Edward Bethell Callum Rodriguez |
| Middleton Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 4yo - 8/11 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Dante Stakes | Pride Of Arras (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan |
| Westow Stakes | Tropical Storm (GB) 3yo - 4/1 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k the runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Marygate Fillies Stakes | Secret Hideaway (IRE) 2yo - 33/1 | Adrian Paul Keatley P J McDonald |
| Knights Solicitors Handicap | Thunder Run (IRE) 4yo - 5/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes | Kon Tiki (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | Jane Chapple-Hyam David Egan |
| Yorkshire Cup | Rebels Romance (IRE) 7yo - 11/10 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
