Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Dante Festival)

Looking ahead to the Churchill Tyres Handicap, which takes place over 6f at York during the Dante Festival, we dive into the history of the race to see which trainers and jockeys have dominated, and identify the statistical trends shaping the outcome of this year's renewal.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Dante Festival)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview

This Class Two Handicap is scheduled to take place in May of each year at the York racecourse during the Dante Festival.

The race is contested over a straight six furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older. The race attracts plenty of interest, with recent renewals seeing 16+ runners start this race and plenty of double-figure winners too.

Churchill Tyres Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

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How competitive is the Churchill Tyres Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010, when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2026 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Churchill Tyres Handicap, the over-round has been 128%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Churchill Tyres Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Hoof It (1:09.81) in 2011
  2. Bielsa (1:09.88) in 2023
  3. Soldiers Minute (1:10.06) in 2019

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -19.00. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.81 was set by Hoof It in 2011, trained by Michael Easterby and ridden by Kieren Fallon, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Borderlescott won in a time of 1:15.39 for trainer Robin Bastiman, who booked Royston Ffrench in the saddle.

What the expert says...
The Wokingham Stakes is a popular route for the winner, with eight of them between 2006 and 2025 heading that way; however, their form in that race reads 40700000, and overall, the winners between 2006 & 2025 have all failed to win next time out.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Churchill Tyres Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Churchill Tyres Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
1:11.91
Dark Thirty (IRE)
6yo 8-10 (4 of 22) 11/1
Jason Hart
John & Sean Quinn (GB)
2025
1:10.86
Rousing Encore (IRE)
5yo 8-5 (13 of 16) 22/1
James Sullivan
Ruth Carr (GB)
2024
1:11.14
Aleezdancer (IRE)
5yo 8-13 (6 of 21) 14/1
Neil Callan
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2023
1:09.88
Bielsa (IRE)
8yo 8-13 (14 of 21) 12/1
Oisin Murphy
Kevin Ryan (GB)
2022
1:11.93
Dakota Gold (GB)
8yo 9-4 (21 of 22) 18/1
Connor Beasley
Michael Dods (GB)
2021
1:11.09
Mr Lupton (IRE)
8yo 9-3 (15 of 18) 14/1
Paul Hanagan
Richard Fahey (GB)
2019
1:10.06
Soldiers Minute (GB)
4yo 8-9 (3 of 21) 20/1
Joe Fanning
Keith Dalgleish (GB)
2018
1:10.31
George Bowen (IRE)
6yo 8-7 (5 of 19) 10/1
Connor Beasley
Richard Fahey (GB)
2017
1:12.83
Al Qahwa (IRE)
4yo 8-13 (8 of 16) 25/1
Daniel Tudhope
David O'Meara (GB)
2016
1:11.23
See The Sun (GB)
5yo 8-5 (5 of 18) 9/1
James Sullivan
Tim Easterby (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Churchill Tyres Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 357 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Wyatt Earp (2007), George Bowen (2018) and Mr Lupton (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Churchill Tyres Handicap are Kevin Ryan (2 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Michael Dods (2 wins) and Michael Easterby (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Richard Fahey37-3-12-3.50+4.97
Kevin Ryan36-2-7-8.00-4.86
David O'Meara18-2-3+23.00+10.63
Michael Dods14-2-6+20.00+17.25
Michael Easterby8-2-3+8.00+4.51
Tim Easterby28-1-4-18.00-11.86
Ruth Carr9-1-1+14.00+5.75
David Barron7-1-3+0.00+1.00
Ronald Harris4-1-2+11.00+7.13
John & Sean Quinn2-1-1+10.00+5.88

Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals, with both James Sullivan and Connor Beasley, who have both won the race twice. James Sullivan winners have been with See The Sun (2016) and Rousing Encore (2025). Connor Beasley winners have been with George Bowen (2018) and Dakota Gold (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Churchill Tyres Handicap; Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
James Sullivan10-2-2+23.00+11.38
Connor Beasley10-2-6+20.00+20.07
Daniel Tudhope12-1-2+14.00+6.88
Paul Mulrennan11-1-2+4.00+1.25
Joe Fanning7-1-2+14.00+8.50
Jason Hart7-1-1+5.00+0.88
Ryan Moore7-1-3+1.00+0.64
Neil Callan6-1-2+9.00+6.25
Oisin Murphy6-1-2+7.00+4.06
James Doyle5-1-2+10.00+7.75

Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.00, is when runners ran in a Class 3 when last winning.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (Listed), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-62.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 4 (9,6,3) [22 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 13 (3,7,15) [16 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 6 (15,10,4) [21 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 14 (2,4,18) [21 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 21 (18,10,20) [22 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap is Doncaster; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 351 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap:

  • Fast Company (2 Wins)
  • Kheleyf (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Dutch Art (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Mayson (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Zebedee (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Al Qahwa in 2017, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Route to the Churchill Tyres Handicap

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Churchill Tyres Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Dark Thirty
Newmarket (Rowley) - 7th of 13 (23/1)
Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap
2025 - Rousing Encore
Leicester - 6th of 11 (12/1)
Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap
2024 - Aleezdancer
Newmarket (Rowley) - 13th of 15 (29/1)
Rowley Handicap Stakes
2023 - Bielsa
Redcar - 2nd of 12 (19/2)
Market Cross Jewellers Handicap
2022 - Dakota Gold
Musselburgh - 11th of 11 (4/1)
Betway Holyrood Handicap
2021 - Mr Lupton
Ripon - 4th of 6 (11/2)
Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy Handicap
2019 - Soldiers Minute
Musselburgh - 15th of 16 (12/1)
Scottish Sprint Cup
2018 - George Bowen
Doncaster - 2nd of 11 (9/1)
crownhotel-bawtry.com Handicap
2017 - Al Qahwa
Cork - 7th of 9 (20/1)
Platinum Stakes
2016 - See The Sun
Doncaster - 1st of 15 (16/1)
Trueman Family Handicap

Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival

Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.

Wednesday at the Dante Festival

The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Jorvik StakesKlassleader (GB)
4yo - 15/8
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
Churchill Tyres HandicapDark Thirty (IRE)
6yo - 11/1
John & Sean Quinn
Jason Hart
Minster StakesElmonjed (IRE)
5yo - 8/1
William Haggas
William Buick
Musidora StakesLegacy Link (GB)
3yo - 6/4
John & Thady Gosden
Colin Keane

Thursday at the Dante Festival

Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k and is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Lindum York HandicapJakajaro (IRE)
5yo - 14/1
Robert Cowell
Jamie Spencer
Hambleton StakesMaybe Not (GB)
4yo - 18/1
Ralph Beckett
Saffie Osborne
Middleton StakesSee The Fire (GB)
5yo - 5/6
Andrew Balding
Oisin Murphy
Dante StakesItem (GB)
3yo - 11/2
Andrew Balding
Colin Keane
Westow StakesDickensian (GB)
3yo - 12/1
Kevin Ryan
Shane Gray

Friday at the Dante Festival

On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k. The runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Michael Seely Memorial Fillies StakesLilt (GB)
3yo - 13/2
William Haggas
Tom Marquand
Macmillan Charity HandicapWarrant Holder (IRE)
4yo - 11/4
John & Thady Gosden
William Buick
Marygate Fillies StakesLove A Giggle (IRE)
2yo - 9/1
K R Burke
Clifford Lee
Yorkshire CupRahiebb (GB)
4yo - 4/1
Roger Varian
Ray Dawson

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

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