
You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.
2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview
This Class Two Handicap is scheduled to take place in May of each year at the York racecourse during the Dante Festival.
The race is contested over a straight six furlongs and is open to runners who are aged four or older. The race attracts plenty of interest, with recent renewals seeing 16+ runners start this race and plenty of double-figure winners too.
Churchill Tyres Handicap Information:
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
- Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
If you are interested in other predictions at York, then head over to the York tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information during the Dante Festival, head down to the Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival section for links to these. In addition to those, we also cover numerous races at York during the flat season; you can find links to those here.

Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2026
How competitive is the Churchill Tyres Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2010, when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2026 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 137%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Churchill Tyres Handicap, the over-round has been 128%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £128 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Churchill Tyres Handicap races over the last 20 renewals:
- Hoof It (1:09.81) in 2011
- Bielsa (1:09.88) in 2023
- Soldiers Minute (1:10.06) in 2019
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap next time out, then you would have backed a total of 0 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -19.00. Before placing your bet on the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap, see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.81 was set by Hoof It in 2011, trained by Michael Easterby and ridden by Kieren Fallon, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2006 when Borderlescott won in a time of 1:15.39 for trainer Robin Bastiman, who booked Royston Ffrench in the saddle.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Churchill Tyres Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Churchill Tyres Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Churchill Tyres Handicap are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 1:11.91 | Dark Thirty (IRE) 6yo 8-10 (4 of 22) 11/1 | Jason Hart John & Sean Quinn (GB) |
| 2025 1:10.86 | Rousing Encore (IRE) 5yo 8-5 (13 of 16) 22/1 | James Sullivan Ruth Carr (GB) |
| 2024 1:11.14 | Aleezdancer (IRE) 5yo 8-13 (6 of 21) 14/1 | Neil Callan Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2023 1:09.88 | Bielsa (IRE) 8yo 8-13 (14 of 21) 12/1 | Oisin Murphy Kevin Ryan (GB) |
| 2022 1:11.93 | Dakota Gold (GB) 8yo 9-4 (21 of 22) 18/1 | Connor Beasley Michael Dods (GB) |
| 2021 1:11.09 | Mr Lupton (IRE) 8yo 9-3 (15 of 18) 14/1 | Paul Hanagan Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2019 1:10.06 | Soldiers Minute (GB) 4yo 8-9 (3 of 21) 20/1 | Joe Fanning Keith Dalgleish (GB) |
| 2018 1:10.31 | George Bowen (IRE) 6yo 8-7 (5 of 19) 10/1 | Connor Beasley Richard Fahey (GB) |
| 2017 1:12.83 | Al Qahwa (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (8 of 16) 25/1 | Daniel Tudhope David O'Meara (GB) |
| 2016 1:11.23 | See The Sun (GB) 5yo 8-5 (5 of 18) 9/1 | James Sullivan Tim Easterby (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Churchill Tyres Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 56 placings from 357 runners
- AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Richard Fahey, who has won the race three times, with those three winners coming from Wyatt Earp (2007), George Bowen (2018) and Mr Lupton (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Churchill Tyres Handicap are Kevin Ryan (2 wins), David O'Meara (2 wins), Michael Dods (2 wins) and Michael Easterby (2 wins).
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fahey | 37-3-12 | -3.50 | +4.97 |
| Kevin Ryan | 36-2-7 | -8.00 | -4.86 |
| David O'Meara | 18-2-3 | +23.00 | +10.63 |
| Michael Dods | 14-2-6 | +20.00 | +17.25 |
| Michael Easterby | 8-2-3 | +8.00 | +4.51 |
| Tim Easterby | 28-1-4 | -18.00 | -11.86 |
| Ruth Carr | 9-1-1 | +14.00 | +5.75 |
| David Barron | 7-1-3 | +0.00 | +1.00 |
| Ronald Harris | 4-1-2 | +11.00 | +7.13 |
| John & Sean Quinn | 2-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.88 |
Churchill Tyres Handicap Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Churchill Tyres Handicap over the last 20 renewals, with both James Sullivan and Connor Beasley, who have both won the race twice. James Sullivan winners have been with See The Sun (2016) and Rousing Encore (2025). Connor Beasley winners have been with George Bowen (2018) and Dakota Gold (2022). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Churchill Tyres Handicap; Silvestre De Sousa has ridden 10 runners in the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Churchill Tyres Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| James Sullivan | 10-2-2 | +23.00 | +11.38 |
| Connor Beasley | 10-2-6 | +20.00 | +20.07 |
| Daniel Tudhope | 12-1-2 | +14.00 | +6.88 |
| Paul Mulrennan | 11-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.25 |
| Joe Fanning | 7-1-2 | +14.00 | +8.50 |
| Jason Hart | 7-1-1 | +5.00 | +0.88 |
| Ryan Moore | 7-1-3 | +1.00 | +0.64 |
| Neil Callan | 6-1-2 | +9.00 | +6.25 |
| Oisin Murphy | 6-1-2 | +7.00 | +4.06 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +10.00 | +7.75 |
2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 5, 7, 11, 2, (1, 2), 2, 19, 2, (1, 2, 13), 4, 18, (2, 10), 13, 13, 5, 19, 16, 14, 4, 2
The percentage shown is the proportion of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (74%) - Not on GS/STD (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (77%) - Within the first 13 of the market
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Highest Placed is not G1/LST/Cl4
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 1 - 7 placings (Going)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved a TS of 73+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Fewer than 4 races (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Going)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not on HY/FM/STD-SLW/STD (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Fewer than 2 placings (180 Days)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 13 starts
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Highest Won is not G1/LST/Cl5-6
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Carried no more than 130lbs
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran in 7 - 53 races (Career)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Ran over 5f - 6f (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the York racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Churchill Tyres Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Churchill Tyres Handicap Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.00, is when runners ran in a Class 3 when last winning.
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (Listed), when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-62.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2026: Winner in 4 (9,6,3) [22 Runners]
- 2025: Winner in 13 (3,7,15) [16 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 6 (15,10,4) [21 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 14 (2,4,18) [21 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 21 (18,10,20) [22 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap is Doncaster; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.
The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 351 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 8 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Churchill Tyres Handicap:
- Fast Company (2 Wins)
- Kheleyf (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Churchill Tyres Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Dutch Art (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Mayson (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Zebedee (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Exceed And Excel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Al Qahwa in 2017, winning for David O'Meara at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Daniel Tudhope. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 2 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2027 Churchill Tyres Handicap, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Route to the Churchill Tyres Handicap
Many trainers target races as preparation for the Churchill Tyres Handicap. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2026 - Dark Thirty Newmarket (Rowley) - 7th of 13 (23/1) | Weatherbys Global Stallions App Handicap |
| 2025 - Rousing Encore Leicester - 6th of 11 (12/1) | Carling King Richard III Cup Handicap |
| 2024 - Aleezdancer Newmarket (Rowley) - 13th of 15 (29/1) | Rowley Handicap Stakes |
| 2023 - Bielsa Redcar - 2nd of 12 (19/2) | Market Cross Jewellers Handicap |
| 2022 - Dakota Gold Musselburgh - 11th of 11 (4/1) | Betway Holyrood Handicap |
| 2021 - Mr Lupton Ripon - 4th of 6 (11/2) | Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy Handicap |
| 2019 - Soldiers Minute Musselburgh - 15th of 16 (12/1) | Scottish Sprint Cup |
| 2018 - George Bowen Doncaster - 2nd of 11 (9/1) | crownhotel-bawtry.com Handicap |
| 2017 - Al Qahwa Cork - 7th of 9 (20/1) | Platinum Stakes |
| 2016 - See The Sun Doncaster - 1st of 15 (16/1) | Trueman Family Handicap |
Other Principal races during the York Dante Festival
Remember to head over to the York predictions page to see which runner the racing tipsters are supporting in the Churchill Tyres Handicap. Below are the other principal races that we cover during the Dante Festival, with links to each race blog as well as information for last year's winners.
Wednesday at the Dante Festival
The highlight on Wednesday, the opening day of the Dante Festival, is the Group 2 Duke of York Stakes, a race contested over six furlongs with a prize fund of £150k.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Jorvik Stakes | Klassleader (GB) 4yo - 15/8 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Churchill Tyres Handicap | Dark Thirty (IRE) 6yo - 11/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
| Minster Stakes | Elmonjed (IRE) 5yo - 8/1 | William Haggas William Buick |
| Musidora Stakes | Legacy Link (GB) 3yo - 6/4 | John & Thady Gosden Colin Keane |
Thursday at the Dante Festival
Thursday's highlight is the Dante Stakes, a race that carries a prize fund of £180k and is restricted to three-year-olds and run over an extended ten furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Lindum York Handicap | Jakajaro (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | Robert Cowell Jamie Spencer |
| Hambleton Stakes | Maybe Not (GB) 4yo - 18/1 | Ralph Beckett Saffie Osborne |
| Middleton Stakes | See The Fire (GB) 5yo - 5/6 | Andrew Balding Oisin Murphy |
| Dante Stakes | Item (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | Andrew Balding Colin Keane |
| Westow Stakes | Dickensian (GB) 3yo - 12/1 | Kevin Ryan Shane Gray |
Friday at the Dante Festival
On Friday, the final day of the festival, the feature race, the Yorkshire Cup, which is part of the British Champion Series, is the highlight, with a prize fund of £180k. The runners compete over a distance of one mile, five furlongs and 188 yards.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Seely Memorial Fillies Stakes | Lilt (GB) 3yo - 13/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| Macmillan Charity Handicap | Warrant Holder (IRE) 4yo - 11/4 | John & Thady Gosden William Buick |
| Marygate Fillies Stakes | Love A Giggle (IRE) 2yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| Yorkshire Cup | Rahiebb (GB) 4yo - 4/1 | Roger Varian Ray Dawson |
Article Contributor Information
We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Churchill Tyres Handicap Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.
Other Principal Races at York Racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the York racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in July
Races in August (Ebor Festival)
- Acomb Stakes
- Ebor Festival Stayers Heritage Handicap
- Great Voltigeur Stakes
- Hong Kong Jockey Club World Pool Handicap
- Juddmonte International Stakes
- Clipper Handicap
- Ebor Festival Fillies Heritage Handicap
- Galtres Stakes
- Harry's Half Million By Goffs
- Lowther Stakes
- Yorkshire Oaks
- Ebor Festival Mile Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Festival Sky Bet Heritage Handicap
- Gimcrack Stakes
- Lonsdale Cup
- Nunthorpe Stakes
- City of York Stakes
- Ebor Festival Finale Heritage Handicap
- Ebor Handicap
- Melrose Heritage Handicap
- Roses Stakes
- Strensall Stakes




