Howden Heritage Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 531 Horse Racing

We look at the Howden Heritage Handicap ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 6f at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Howden Heritage Handicap.

Howden Heritage Handicap Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Howden Heritage Handicap Preview

Scheduled to take place during the Guineas Festival in May of each year at the Newmarket racecourse is this Heritage Handicap, the race is a Class 2 that is open to runners aged four or older and is run over a six-furlong trip. The race in the past has attracted big fields and has also produced a lot of winners priced up 10/1 or bigger.

Howden Heritage Handicap Information:

If you are interested in other predictions at Newmarket then head over to the Newmarket tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Howden Heritage Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2003 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 148%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Howden Heritage Handicap, the over-round has been 131%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £131 which is bet.

Howden Heritage Handicap Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Howden Heritage Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -7.50. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 1:09.82 was set by Eastern Impact in 2015, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Richard Fahey and ridden by Jack Garritty. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Maarek won in a time of 1:14.03, booked to ride was Joseph O'Brien on this David Peter Nagle trained runner.

These are the top three quickest-run Howden Heritage Handicap over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2015 - Eastern Impact (1:09.82)
  • 2009 - Evens And Odds (1:09.90)
  • 2005 - Indian Trail (1:09.99)

Howden Heritage Handicap Past Winners

Here are the Howden Heritage Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Howden Heritage Handicap as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:13.62
Probe (GB)
5yo 8-9 (22 of 21) 15/2
Kieran O'Neill
Jennie Candlish (GB)
2022
1:10.81
Blackrod (GB)
4yo 8-12 (4 of 19) 13/2
Connor Beasley
Michael Dods (GB)
2021
1:11.42
Chil Chil (GB)
5yo 9-7 (3 of 7) 11/4F
Silvestre De Sousa
Andrew Balding (GB)
2019
1:10.66
On The Warpath (GB)
4yo 9-3 (5 of 10) 9/4F
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2018
1:10.97
Gifted Master (IRE)
5yo 9-10 (12 of 15) 8/1
James Doyle
Hugo Palmer (GB)
2017
1:10.63
Mr Lupton (IRE)
4yo 9-9 (4 of 14) 10/1
Gerald Mosse
Richard Fahey (GB)
2016
1:11.48
Englishman (GB)
6yo 8-4 (15 of 16) 12/1
Joe Fanning
Milton Bradley (GB)
2015
1:09.82
Eastern Impact (IRE)
4yo 9-5 (6 of 22) 16/1
Jack Garritty (5lbs)
Richard Fahey (GB)
2014
1:11.12
Goldream (GB)
5yo 8-10 (10 of 21) 25/1
Andrea Atzeni
Robert Cowell (GB)
2013
1:10.39
Hamza (IRE)
4yo 9-4 (6 of 15) 5/1F
Neil Callan
Kevin Ryan (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Howden Heritage Handicap have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 53 placings from 410 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 5 runners
  • AUS: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
  • QA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Howden Heritage Handicap Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Howden Heritage Handicap over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Fahey and Kevin Ryan who have both won the race two times. Richard Fahey's winners have been with Eastern Impact (2015) and Mr Lupton (2017). Kevin Ryan's winners have been Mutamared (2006) and Hamza (2013). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Howden Heritage Handicap, Stuart Williams (0-14), David Barron (0-13) and Mick Channon (0-11) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Howden Heritage Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Fahey 23-2-4 +5.00 -1.37
Kevin Ryan 14-2-5 +5.00 +6.14
Nick Littmoden 11-1-2 +15.00 +6.88
Andrew Balding 10-1-4 -6.25 +2.23
Robert Cowell 9-1-1 +17.00 +7.63
Michael Dods 5-1-1 +2.50 +0.06
David Elsworth 4-1-1 +7.00 +3.25
Eve Johnson Houghton 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.50
Hughie Morrison 3-1-2 +10.00 +7.25
Jim Goldie 3-1-2 +8.00 +5.75

Howden Heritage Handicap Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Howden Heritage Handicap over the last 20 renewals with both Andrea Atzeni and Neil Callan who have both won the race two times. Andrea Atzeni winners have been with Hawkeyethenoo (2010) and Goldream (2014). Neil Callan's winners have been Mutamared (2006) and Hamza (2013). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Howden Heritage Handicap, Ryan Moore (0-11), Frankie Dettori (0-11) and Jamie Spencer (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top Howden Heritage Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Andrea Atzeni 8-2-4 +29.00 +20.13
Neil Callan 7-2-3 +12.00 +7.51
Joe Fanning 11-1-1 +2.00 -2.50
James Doyle 11-1-3 -2.00 +2.25
William Buick 11-1-5 -7.75 +1.86
Silvestre De Sousa 6-1-1 -2.25 -3.28
Kieran O'Neill 2-1-1 +6.50 +3.69
Connor Beasley 2-1-2 +5.50 +4.62
Jack Garritty 1-1-1 +16.00 +10.00
Gerald Mosse 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.25

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 17, (26, 4), 12, 17, (8, 12), 3, 2, (4, 12), (6, 7), (1, 2), 3, 8, 6, (6, 7), 6, 1, (1, 3), 6, 19

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Had 3 - 11 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (67%) - Fewer than 8 placings (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Within the first 14 of market
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - Made 8 - 34 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Fewer than 24 starts (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 5 wins (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Highest Won is not G1/G2/LST/Cl5
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Made 2 - 13 starts (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved an RPR of 87+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No bigger than 25/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 2 - 9 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 3 wins (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Had 1 - 8 placings (1 Year)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Howden Heritage Handicap. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Howden Heritage Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.

Howden Heritage Handicap Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.00 is when runners last place was 1 start ago. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a biggest odds placed of 20/1, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-58.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 22 (5,6,15) [21 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (11,5,10) [19 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 3 (6) [7 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 5 (4,7) [10 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 12 (14,15) [15 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Howden Heritage Handicap are Newmarket (Rowley), Lingfield (AW) and Doncaster, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 384 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 34 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Howden Heritage Handicap despite multiple attempts:

  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Piccolo (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Dark Angel (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Invincible Spirit (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Off The Record in 2008, winning for James Given at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Richard Hughes. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Howden Heritage Handicap.

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