Jockey Club Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)

Updated: 380 Horse Racing

We look at the Jockey Club Stakes ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 1m4f at Newmarket during the Guineas Festival to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Jockey Club Stakes.

Jockey Club Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Guineas Festival)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Jockey Club Stakes Preview

Established in 1894 the Jockey Club Stakes was originally run over two furlongs shorter but it now takes place over one mile and four furlongs and holds a Group 2 status. The race is scheduled to take place in May of each year during the Guineas Festival at the Newmarket racecourse and those who perform well in the race tend to go on to run in the Coronation Cup at Epsom, Shirocco was the last runner to win both races (2006).

Jockey Club Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Newmarket tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newmarket Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Jockey Club Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 106%. The race in 2008 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Jockey Club Stakes, the over-round has been 111%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £111 which is bet.

Jockey Club Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Jockey Club Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +3.98. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Jockey Club Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Al Kazeem from Roger Charlton under the guidance of James Doyle, won in a time of 2:39.66, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Gamut, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Kieren Fallon set the quickest time of 2:29.77 in the 2004 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Jockey Club Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2004 - Gamut (2:29.77)
  • 2009 - Bronze Cannon (2:30.70)
  • 2016 - Exospheric (2:30.92)

Jockey Club Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Jockey Club Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Jockey Club Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
2:33.86
Hurricane Lane (IRE)
5yo 9-5 (2 of 5) 2/1
William Buick
Charlie Appleby (GB)
2022
2:38.15
Living Legend (IRE)
6yo 9-1 (4 of 5) 11/1
Joe Fanning
Charlie & Mark Johnston (GB)
2021
2:32.54
Sir Ron Priestley (GB)
5yo 9-1 (5 of 5) 15/8F
Franny Norton
Mark Johnston (GB)
2019
2:33.49
Communique (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (6 of 7) 12/1
Silvestre De Sousa
Mark Johnston (GB)
2018
2:34.01
Defoe (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (1 of 5) 1/2F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2017
2:34.39
Seventh Heaven (IRE)
4yo 9-1 (2 of 5) 4/7F
Ryan Moore
A P O'Brien (IRE)
2016
2:30.92
Exospheric (GB)
4yo 9-0 (5 of 6) 17/2
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2015
2:32.37
Second Step (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (3 of 4) 7/1
Andrea Atzeni
Luca Cumani (GB)
2014
2:33.03
Gospel Choir (GB)
5yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 6/1
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)
2013
2:32.83
Universal (IRE)
4yo 8-12 (1 of 4) 11/4
Joe Fanning
Mark Johnston (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Jockey Club Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 17 placings from 106 runners
  • FR: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 7 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

Jockey Club Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Jockey Club Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Mark Johnston who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Jukebox Jury (2010), Universal (2013), Communique (2019) and Sir Ron Priestley (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Jockey Club Stakes are Sir Michael Stoute (3 wins) and A Fabre (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Jockey Club Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mark Johnston 13-4-5 +9.38 +3.65
Sir Michael Stoute 10-3-5 +9.25 +5.76
A Fabre 5-2-2 -0.34 -1.38
John Gosden 5-1-1 +3.00 -4.00
Charlie Appleby 4-1-3 -1.00 -0.16
Roger Varian 3-1-2 -1.50 -0.75
Charlie & Mark Johnston 1-1-1 +11.00 +6.88
Roger Charlton 1-1-1 +7.50 +4.50
A P O'Brien 1-1-1 +0.57 +0.36
David Elsworth 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00

Jockey Club Stakes Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Jockey Club Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Ryan Moore who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Gospel Choir (2014), Exospheric (2016) and Seventh Heaven (2017). Other jockeys who have recorded multiple wins in the Jockey Club Stakes are Joe Fanning (2 wins) and Andrea Atzeni (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Jockey Club Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 10-3-5 +8.07 +5.28
Joe Fanning 5-2-2 +10.75 +4.88
Andrea Atzeni 2-2-2 +7.50 +0.31
Frankie Dettori 9-1-2 -5.50 -5.59
William Buick 7-1-2 -4.00 -4.22
James Doyle 5-1-3 +3.50 +3.81
Silvestre De Sousa 2-1-1 +11.00 +6.50
Stephane Pasquier 2-1-1 +0.75 +0.05
Franny Norton 1-1-1 +1.88 +1.18
Paul Mulrennan 1-1-1 +1.75 +1.09

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 4, 1, 1, 1, 4, 1, 2, 1, 1, 4, 4, 3, 2, PU, 1, 1, 4, (1, 2), 2, 3

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (66%) - Made 6 - 18 starts (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (70%) - Made 3 - 13 starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (71%) - Had 3 - 10 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 12/1
  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Fewer than 8 starts (Trip)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Career Place)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Had 2 - 6 wins (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Within the first 5 of market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Carried 120 - 131lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No older than a 6yo
  • 19 / 20 (79%) - Beaten no more -8l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Break of 14 - 275 days (Last Place)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Achieved an RPR of 109+ (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newmarket racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Jockey Club Stakes. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Jockey Club Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Jockey Club Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +35.23 is when runners had 0 career starts over further. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners finished in 5th last time out, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-12.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 2 (5) [5 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (6) [5 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 5 (2) [5 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 6 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 1 (5) [5 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the Jockey Club Stakes is Newbury, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 108 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Jockey Club Stakes:

  • Galileo (3 Wins)
  • Dalakhani (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)
  • Monsun (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Warrsan in 2003, winning for Clive Brittain at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of Philip Robinson. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Jockey Club Stakes.

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