John Porter Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Spring Trials)

Our preview of the John Porter Stakes, a race contested over 1m4f at Newbury during the Spring Trials, outlines the most significant winning records, details the accomplishments of leading trainers and jockeys and digs into the historical trends.
John Porter Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Spring Trials)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 John Porter Stakes Preview

Established in 1928, the John Porter Stakes is scheduled to take place in April of each year at the Newbury racecourse.

The Group 3 race is run over a trip of one mile and four furlongs and is open to runners aged four or older, in which fillies and mares receive a 3lb allowance, and previous group winners who had won over a mile or further have to carry penalties.

John Porter Stakes Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Newbury tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.

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How competitive is the John Porter Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018, when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the John Porter Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ114 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 John Porter Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the John Porter Stakes Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run John Porter Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Harbinger (2:30.58) in 2010
  2. Muntahaa (2:31.58) in 2017
  3. Al Aasy (2:31.92) in 2021

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the John Porter Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -6.55. Whilst we wait for the 2027 John Porter Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2016 renewal when Dartmouth from Sir Michael Stoute under the guidance of Ryan Moore, won in a time of 2:50.43, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Harbinger, trained by Sir Michael Stoute and ridden by Ryan Moore set the quickest time of 2:30.58 in the 2010 renewal.

What the expert says...
One race seems to be appearing as a decent pre-race for this, and that is the St Simon Stakes from which three of the last five winners have come, the winners in 2004, 2006 & 2010 also came from that race.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

John Porter Stakes Past Winners

Here are the John Porter Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the race year, the winning horse, and the horse's age & weight. Also detailed is the stall from which the horse came and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the John Porter Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

Race Notes: The 2016 renewal was switched to Chelmsford on the all-weather.

YearHorse (Drawn)Info
2026
2:32.78
Convergent (IRE)
4yo 9-7 (1 of 6) 4/1
Clifford Lee
K R Burke (GB)
2025
2:33.64
Divina Grace (IRE)
5yo 8-13 (2 of 7) 14/1
David Probert
Andrew Balding (GB)
2024
2:35.09
Hamish (GB)
8yo 9-5 (3 of 10) 5/2F
Tom Marquand
William Haggas (GB)
2023
2:45.57
Grand Alliance (IRE)
4yo 9-2 (1 of 7) 18/1
James Doyle
Charlie Fellowes (GB)
2022
2:36.31
Max Vega (IRE)
5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 9/2
Rob Hornby
Ralph Beckett (GB)
2021
2:31.92
Al Aasy (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F
Jim Crowley
William Haggas (GB)
2019
2:42.15
Marmelo (GB)
6yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 7/1
Gerald Mosse
Hughie Morrison (GB)
2018
2:40.21
Defoe (IRE)
4yo 9-0 (1 of 6) 5/4F
Andrea Atzeni
Roger Varian (GB)
2017
2:31.58
Muntahaa (IRE)
4yo 8-13 (6 of 8) 9/2
Jim Crowley
John Gosden (GB)
2016
2:50.43
Dartmouth (GB)
4yo 8-13 (5 of 6) 3/1
Ryan Moore
Sir Michael Stoute (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the John Porter Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 32 placings from 169 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 2 runners

John Porter Stakes Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the John Porter Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute, who has won the race four times, with those four winners coming from Maraahel (2007), Harbinger (2010), Arab Spring (2015) and Dartmouth (2016). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the John Porter Stakes are William Haggas (3 wins) and Ralph Beckett (2 wins).

Here are some of the top John Porter Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Sir Michael Stoute10-4-5+7.50+2.98
William Haggas12-3-4-3.50-4.72
Ralph Beckett8-2-4+5.50+5.76
Andrew Balding7-1-2+8.00+6.55
Hughie Morrison5-1-2+3.00+2.30
Marcus Tregoning4-1-1+6.00+2.40
John Gosden4-1-3+1.50+1.36
William Muir3-1-1+10.00+5.20
K R Burke3-1-2+2.00+1.80
Roger Varian3-1-1-0.75-1.22

John Porter Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the John Porter Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Ryan Moore and Jim Crowley, who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore's winners have been with Harbinger (2010), Arab Spring (2015) and Dartmouth (2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Cubanita (2014), Muntahaa (2017) and Al Aasy (2021).

Here are some of the top John Porter Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Ryan Moore13-3-3+1.25-3.17
Jim Crowley8-3-4+8.00+4.50
Tom Queally9-1-4-1.00+0.95
James Doyle8-1-3+11.00+5.68
Andrea Atzeni6-1-2-3.75-3.02
Neil Callan4-1-1+3.50+0.90
Silvestre De Sousa3-1-1+9.00+4.60
Tom Marquand3-1-2+0.50+0.44
Clifford Lee2-1-2+3.00+2.80
Liam Jones2-1-1+0.50-0.06

John Porter Stakes Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +24.00, is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 place in the past year, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-23.

Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2026: Winner in 1 (5) [6 Runners]
  • 2025: Winner in 2 (1) [7 Runners]
  • 2024: Winner in 3 (1,8) [10 Runners]
  • 2023: Winner in 1 (4) [7 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]

The course which has produced the most winners of the John Porter Stakes is Newbury; there have been a total of 5 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out. The next best course, which has produced the second most winners, is Newmarket (Rowley); there have been a total of 3 winners of this race who ran at Newmarket (Rowley) last time out.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 155 runners, while female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 16 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the John Porter Stakes:

  • Dansili (2 Wins)
  • Dubawi (2 Wins)

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the John Porter Stakes; that stallion is Galileo, who has failed to produce a winner from 11 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Grand Alliance in 2023, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of James Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Route to the John Porter Stakes

Many trainers target races as preparation for the John Porter Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Convergent
Munich - 7th of 8 (8/5)
Grosser Allianz Preis von Bayern
2025 - Divina Grace
Newmarket (Rowley) - 9th of 15 (23/1)
Newmarket Pony Academy Pride Stakes
2024 - Hamish
Newmarket (Rowley) - 1st of 6 (5/4)
Betfred St Simon Stakes
2023 - Grand Alliance
Newbury - 3rd of 8 (16/1)
Virgin Bet St Simon Stakes
2022 - Max Vega
Newbury - 2nd of 7 (11/2)
Virgin Bet St Simon Stakes
2021 - Al Aasy
Goodwood - 6th of 6 (7/2)
Gordon Stakes
2019 - Marmelo
Flemington - 2nd of 24 (11/1)
Melbourne Cup
2018 - Defoe
Doncaster - 10th of 11 (6/1)
St Leger
2017 - Muntahaa
Doncaster - 3rd of 6 (2/1)
Adwick Kingpin Conditions Stakes
2016 - Dartmouth
Kempton (AW) - 3rd of 9 (15/8)
32Red Floodlit Stakes

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this John Porter Stakes Preview are Andy and James. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for Flat racing.

James Banting

James Banting

Expert Guide

James Banting, a passionate horse racing enthusiast and aficionado, brings a wealth of experience to OLBG, having attended numerous race meetings over the years. His background working with the Jockey Association provides him with a unique insider's perspective on the industry.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for flat racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful flat racing blogs for OLBG.

Other Principal races at Newbury Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Newbury racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in March

Races in April (Spring Trials)

Races in May

Races in July

Races in August

Races in September

Races in November

Races in December

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