Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 John Porter Stakes Preview
Established in 1928, the John Porter Stakes is scheduled to take place in April of each year at the Newbury racecourse.
The Group 3 race is run over a trip of one mile and four furlongs and is open to runners aged four or older in which fillies and mares receive a 3lb allowance and previous group winners who had won over a mile or further have to carry penalties.
John Porter Stakes Information:
- John Porter Stakes Past Winners
- John Porter Stakes Trainer Statistics
- John Porter Stakes Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Newbury tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the John Porter Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Newbury throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Newbury Racecourse section for links to these.
How competitive is the John Porter Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2018 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2010 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 125%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the John Porter Stakes, the over-round has been 114%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £114 which is bet.
John Porter Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the John Porter Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 7 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -3.42. Whilst we wait for the 2025 John Porter Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Sir Michael Stoute trained Harbinger ridden by Ryan Moore who set the fastest winning time in the John Porter Stakes, the runner won the race in a time of 2:30.58 was set when winning the race in 2010. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Sir Michael Stoute and jockey Ryan Moore with Dartmouth who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 2:50.43 in the 2016 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run John Porter Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Harbinger (2:30.58) in 2010
- Muntahaa (2:31.58) in 2017
- Al Aasy (2:31.92) in 2021
What the expert says...
One race seems to be appearing as a decent prep-race for this, that is the St. Simon Stakes from which all of the last three winners have come from with all three winners having finished in the first three in that race.John Porter Stakes Past Winners
Here are the John Porter Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the John Porter Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
Race Notes: The 2016 renewal was switched to Chelmsford on the all-weather.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 2:35.09 | Hamish (GB) 8yo 9-5 (3 of 10) 5/2F | Tom Marquand William Haggas (GB) |
| 2023 2:45.57 | Grand Alliance (IRE) 4yo 9-2 (1 of 7) 18/1 | James Doyle Charlie Fellowes (GB) |
| 2022 2:36.31 | Max Vega (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (4 of 7) 9/2 | Rob Hornby Ralph Beckett (GB) |
| 2021 2:31.92 | Al Aasy (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 6/4F | Jim Crowley William Haggas (GB) |
| 2019 2:42.15 | Marmelo (GB) 6yo 9-0 (3 of 9) 7/1 | Gerald Mosse Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2018 2:40.21 | Defoe (IRE) 4yo 9-0 (1 of 6) 5/4F | Andrea Atzeni Roger Varian (GB) |
| 2017 2:31.58 | Muntahaa (IRE) 4yo 8-13 (6 of 8) 9/2 | Jim Crowley John Gosden (GB) |
| 2016 2:50.43 | Dartmouth (GB) 4yo 8-13 (5 of 6) 3/1 | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2015 2:32.35 | Arab Spring (IRE) 5yo 9-0 (8 of 8) 11/4 | Ryan Moore Sir Michael Stoute (GB) |
| 2014 2:37.98 | Cubanita (GB) 5yo 9-0 (2 of 9) 7/1 | Jim Crowley Ralph Beckett (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the John Porter Stakes have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 34 placings from 187 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
John Porter Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the John Porter Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Sir Michael Stoute who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Maraahel (2007), Harbinger (2010), Arab Spring (2015) and Dartmouth (2016). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the John Porter Stakes are William Haggas (3 wins), Ralph Beckett (2 wins) and John Gosden (2 wins).
Here are some of the top John Porter Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sir Michael Stoute | 13-4-6 | +4.50 | +0.48 |
| William Haggas | 10-3-3 | -1.50 | -3.66 |
| Ralph Beckett | 7-2-4 | +6.50 | +6.76 |
| John Gosden | 5-2-4 | +3.75 | +2.71 |
| Hughie Morrison | 6-1-2 | +2.00 | +1.30 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 4-1-1 | +6.00 | +2.40 |
| William Muir | 3-1-1 | +10.00 | +5.20 |
| Roger Varian | 3-1-1 | -0.75 | -1.22 |
| Charlie Fellowes | 1-1-1 | +18.00 | +11.25 |
| Michael Bell | 5-0-1 | -5.00 | -3.62 |
John Porter Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the John Porter Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Ryan Moore and Jim Crowley who have both won the race three times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Harbinger (2010), Arab Spring (2015) and Dartmouth (2016). Jim Crowley winners have been with Cubanita (2014), Muntahaa (2017) and Al Aasy (2021).
Here are some of the top John Porter Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 13-3-4 | +1.25 | -1.57 |
| Jim Crowley | 8-3-4 | +8.00 | +4.50 |
| Tom Queally | 9-1-4 | -1.00 | +0.95 |
| James Doyle | 7-1-3 | +12.00 | +6.68 |
| Andrea Atzeni | 6-1-2 | -3.75 | -3.02 |
| Neil Callan | 4-1-1 | +3.50 | +0.90 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-1 | +9.00 | +4.60 |
| Tom Marquand | 2-1-1 | +1.50 | +0.50 |
| Liam Jones | 2-1-1 | +0.50 | -0.06 |
| Gerald Mosse | 1-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.20 |
2025 John Porter Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 2, 1, 3, 1, 14, 4, (2, 11), 5, 1, 3, 2, 3, 4, 5, 1, 5, 1, 4, 7, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (65%) - Within the first 6 of the market
- 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 18/1
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Achieved a TS of 84+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 2 - 6 placings (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (79%) - Made 4 - 11 starts (1 Year)
- 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 14/1 (Career Win)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Furthest Placed 1m4f - 2m
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Made 5 - 34 starts (Career)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not in CAN/DEU/IRL/ITA/QAT/SCO/UAE (LTO)
- 19 / 20 (79%) - No bigger than 25/1 (Career Place)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - No more than -6lbs (Vs Max Weight)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Placed within last 3 starts
- 18 / 20 (59%) - Achieved an RPR of 104+ (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (77%) - Held an OR of 102+ (Last 5)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - No more than +2yrs (Vs Min Age)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the John Porter Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the John Porter Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
John Porter Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +22.00 is when runners ran in a Class 1 (G3) last time out. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 4 career wins in Non-Handicap races, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-25.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 3 (1,8) [10 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 1 (4) [7 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 4 (1) [7 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 2 (7,4) [9 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 3 (5,10) [9 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the John Porter Stakes is Newbury, there has been a total number of 6 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 171 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 17 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the John Porter Stakes:
- Sadlers Wells (3 Wins)
- Dansili (2 Wins)
- Dubawi (2 Wins)
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the John Porter Stakes, that stallion is Galileo who has failed to produce a winner from 11 runners.
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Grand Alliance in 2023, winning for Charlie Fellowes at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of James Doyle. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse
Here are some other notable races at the Newbury racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.
Races in February
Races in March
Races in April (Spring Trials)
Races in May
Races in July
Races in November
Races in December
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this John Porter Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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