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2022 Ladbrokes Trophy Preview, Trends & Analysis

Published: Nov 22, 1:29pm Last Updated: Nov 29, 2:03pm Horse Racing 3 Comments 6765 Views

2022 Ladbrokes Trophy Preview

Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Newbury racecourse is the Ladbrokes Trophy, a Grade 3 Handicap run over a distance slightly short of three miles two furlongs and is open to four-year-old's and upwards. Still fondly remembered by National Hunt enthusiasts as the Hennessy Gold Cup, this top staying handicap chase was first won by Mandarin (has a race named after him here at Newbury) in 1957 and early winners include the legendary Arkle who won back to back in 1964 and 1965.

The Ladbrokes Trophy (Hennessy Gold Cup) has been the launchpad of many a top chaser and in the last dozen years alone has been won by three Gold Cup winners (Denman (2007 & 2009), Bobs Worth (2012), Native River (2016) and Grand National winner Many Clouds (2014). As the roll of honour suggests, the Ladbrokes Trophy is an important pointer as regards future national hunt tips for upcoming high-quality chases throughout the current season and beyond.

If you are interested in other predictions at Newbury then head over to the Newbury Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 6:21.10 was set by Cloth Cap in 2020, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Jonjo O'Neill and ridden by Tom Scudamore. The slowest winning time was set in 2007 when Denman won in a time of 6:58.60, booked to ride was Sam Thomas on this Paul Nicholls trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Ladbrokes Trophy over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2020 - Cloth Cap (6:21.10)
  • 2016 - Native River (6:25.00)
  • 2013 - Triolo DAlene (6:25.94)

How competitive is the Ladbrokes Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 141%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Ladbrokes Trophy, the over-round has been 129% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £129 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Ladbrokes Trophy next time out then you would have back a total of 8 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +16.46. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Ladbrokes Trophy Past Winners

Here are the Ladbrokes Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Ladbrokes Trophy as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
6:36.31
Cloudy Glen (IRE)
8yo 10-8 33/1
Charlie Deutsch
Venetia Williams (GB)
2020
6:21.10
Cloth Cap (IRE)
8yo 10-0 9/1
Tom Scudamore
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2019
6:27.40
De Rasher Counter (GB)
7yo 10-10 12/1
Ben Jones (5lbs)
Emma Lavelle (GB)
2018
6:37.10
Sizing Tennessee (IRE)
10yo 11-3 12/1
Tom Scudamore
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2017
6:29.60
Total Recall (IRE)
8yo 10-8 9/2F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
6:25.00
Native River (IRE)
6yo 11-1 7/2F
Richard Johnson
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2015
6:45.30
Smad Place (FR)
8yo 11-4 7/1
Wayne Hutchinson
Alan King (GB)
2014
6:48.10
Many Clouds (IRE)
7yo 11-6 8/1
Leighton Aspell
Oliver Sherwood (GB)
2013
6:25.94
Triolo DAlene (FR)
6yo 11-1 20/1
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2012
6:37.24
Bobs Worth (IRE)
7yo 11-6 4/1F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Ladbrokes Trophy have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 49 placings from 321 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 6 placings from 43 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 7 runners

Ladbrokes Trophy Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Ladbrokes Trophy over the last 20 renewals with both Paul Nicholls & Nicky Henderson who have both won the race 3 times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Strong Flow (2003), Denman (2007) & Denman (2009). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Trabolgan (2005), Bobs Worth (2012) & Triolo DAlene (2013). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Ladbrokes Trophy is Colin Tizzard (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Ladbrokes Trophy, Nigel Twiston-Davies has sent a total of 22 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Philip Hobbs has sent out 17 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Ladbrokes Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 38-3-12 -22.25 -7.00
Nicky Henderson 28-3-9 +5.50 +8.57
Colin Tizzard 19-2-7 -1.50 +2.82
Alan King 18-1-2 -10.00 -10.87
W P Mullins 15-1-4 -9.50 -2.56
David Pipe 14-1-4 +12.00 +12.01
Jonjo O'Neill 9-1-3 +1.00 +1.13
Venetia Williams 8-1-2 +26.00 +20.38
Mark Bradstock 5-1-1 +6.00 +2.25
Evan Williams 5-1-1 +6.00 +2.25

Ladbrokes Trophy Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Ladbrokes Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Tom Scudamore who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Madison Du Berlais (2008), Sizing Tennessee (2018) & Cloth Cap (2020). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Ladbrokes Trophy, Aidan Coleman has had a total of 10 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Ladbrokes Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Tom Scudamore 15-3-4 +34.00 +18.26
Daryl Jacob 5-1-2 +2.00 +1.25
Mattie Batchelor 4-1-1 +7.00 +3.25
Paul Townend 3-1-1 +2.50 +0.81
Charlie Deutsch 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63
Ben Jones 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.50
Aidan Coleman 10-0-1 -10.00 -3.25
Paddy Brennan 9-0-1 -9.00 -7.00
Jamie Moore 7-0-1 -7.00 -4.50
Sam Twiston-Davies 6-0-0 -6.00 -6.00

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,15,(1,PU),1,3,7,F,11,1,3,11,1,7,8,5,1,1,PU,UR,(11,UR),PU

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - 1-6 starts in the past year
  • 19 / 20 (70%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Ran in England LTO
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Had finished every race that season
  • 18 / 20 (64%) - No more than 2lbs lower than race average OR
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - No more than 1 start that season
  • 18 / 20 (77%) - Wore either no headgear or cheekpieces
  • 18 / 20 (90%) - No more than 2 falls over fences
  • 17 / 20 (77%) - 4-9 career wins
  • 16 / 20 (58%) - Previously ridden by jockey
  • 16 / 20 (78%) - Last win came over no further than 3m1f
  • 16 / 20 (79%) - Previously contested a G1 or G2
  • 15 / 20 (61%) - Won within last three starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Newbury racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Ladbrokes Trophy. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Ladbrokes Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.

Ladbrokes Trophy Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +1.25 is when runners had the same jockey as when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 3 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-67.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Ladbrokes Trophy is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Aintree, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 367 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 4 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Ladbrokes Trophy:

  • Cloudings (2 Wins)
  • Indian River (2 Wins)
  • Presenting (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Ladbrokes Trophy despite multiple attempts:

  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 16 runners)
  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 11 runners)
  • Oscar (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Dom Alco (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Lord Americo (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Old Vic (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Shantou (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Cloudy Glen in 2021 when winning for Venetia Williams at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Charlie Deutsch. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Ladbrokes Trophy.

Other Principal races at Newbury racecourse

Here are some other notable races at Newbury racecourse for throughout the racing season which you may be interested in.

Races in February

Races in March

Races in April

Races in May

Races in July

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