Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview
Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was previously sponsored by Paddy Power between 2003-2015 until BetVictor picked up the sponsorship in 2016-2019 but in 2020 Paddy Power resumed sponsorship of the race.
This is a Class 1 Premier Handicap chase, open to runners aged four years old or older and is run over an extended two miles and four furlongs. The race was first run back in 1960 under the sponsor Mackeson who sponsored the race until 1995. Imperial Commander won the race back in 2008, he went on to succeed at the Cheltenham Festival the following two years winning the Ryanair Chase and Gold Cup.
Paddy Power Gold Cup Information:
- Paddy Power Gold Cup Past Winners
- Paddy Power Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
- Paddy Power Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Cheltenham tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Paddy Power Gold Cup but will also have predictions for each meeting at Cheltenham throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Schedule for the November Meeting at Cheltenham section for links to these.
How competitive is the Paddy Power Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 120%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Paddy Power Gold Cup, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.
Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -8.80. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
Over the last 20 renewals, it was Baron Alco, trained by Gary Moore and ridden by Jamie Moore who set the fastest winning time in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, the runner won the race in a time of 4:55.50 when winning the race in 2018. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Paul Nicholls and jockey R Walsh with Al Ferof who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:25.02 in the 2012 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:
- Baron Alco (4:55.50) in 2018
- Midnight Shadow (4:59.52) in 2021
- Il Ridoto (4:59.53) in 2024
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Paddy Power Gold Cup Past Winners
Here are the Paddy Power Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Paddy Power Gold Cup are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 4:59.53 | Il Ridoto (FR) 7yo 9-13 10/1 | Freddie Gingell (3lbs) Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2023 5:13.26 | Stage Star (IRE) 7yo 11-7 4/1F | Harry Cobden Paul Nicholls (GB) |
| 2022 5:02.77 | Ga Law (FR) 6yo 11-0 5/1 | Jonathan Burke Jamie Snowden (GB) |
| 2021 4:59.52 | Midnight Shadow (GB) 8yo 11-5 9/1 | Ryan Mania Sue Smith (GB) |
| 2020 5:14.36 | Coole Cody (IRE) 9yo 10-5 10/1 | Tom O'Brien Evan Williams (GB) |
| 2019 5:17.72 | Happy Diva (IRE) 8yo 11-0 14/1 | Richard Patrick (3lbs) Kerry Lee (GB) |
| 2018 4:55.50 | Baron Alco (FR) 7yo 10-11 8/1 | Jamie Moore Gary Moore (GB) |
| 2017 5:24.50 | Splash Of Ginge (GB) 9yo 10-6 25/1 | Tom Bellamy Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2016 5:16.60 | Taquin Du Seuil (FR) 9yo 11-11 8/1 | Aidan Coleman Jonjo O'Neill (GB) |
| 2015 5:12.80 | Annacotty (IRE) 7yo 11-0 12/1 | Ian Popham Alan King (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Paddy Power Gold Cup have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 50 placings from 313 runners
- IRE: 1 winner with an additional 5 placings from 31 runners
- FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners
Paddy Power Gold Cup Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race four times with those four winners coming from Al Ferof (2012), Caid Du Berlais (2014), Stage Star (2023) and Il Ridoto (2024). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Paddy Power Gold Cup are Nigel Twiston-Davies (3 wins) and Jonjo O'Neill (3 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, Nicky Henderson (0-27), Philip Hobbs (0-14) and Venetia Williams (0-13) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Nicholls | 42-4-12 | -6.00 | +1.76 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 23-3-7 | +31.50 | +18.82 |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 16-3-5 | +18.00 | +10.88 |
| David Pipe | 22-1-4 | -13.00 | -8.62 |
| Alan King | 14-1-5 | -1.00 | +8.26 |
| Evan Williams | 9-1-3 | +2.00 | +2.00 |
| Jamie Snowden | 5-1-3 | +1.00 | +1.32 |
| Kerry Lee | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +5.75 |
| Gary Moore | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.00 |
| Sue Smith | 2-1-1 | +8.00 | +4.63 |
Paddy Power Gold Cup Jockey Statistics
The leading jockey in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Little Josh (2010) and Caid Du Berlais (2014).
Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 11-2-4 | +21.00 | +13.88 |
| Harry Cobden | 9-1-2 | -4.00 | -4.12 |
| Richie McLernon | 7-1-2 | +1.00 | -0.12 |
| Jonathan Burke | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.87 |
| Richard Patrick | 4-1-1 | +11.00 | +5.75 |
| Tom Bellamy | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.63 |
| Freddie Gingell | 2-1-2 | +9.00 | +7.25 |
| Ryan Mania | 1-1-1 | +9.00 | +5.63 |
| Harry Skelton | 6-0-3 | -6.00 | -1.12 |
| Adam Wedge | 6-0-1 | -6.00 | -4.62 |
2025 Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 2, F, 6, 1, 3, 6, PU, 7, 3, 11, PU, PU, 4, F, 3, 2, UR, 1, PU
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Carried 143 - 162lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (76%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Achieved a TS of 121+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Within the first 14 of the market
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Ran over 1m3f - 2m4½f (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Achieved a TS of 78+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 125+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 8 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (68%) - Achieved an RPR of 148+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 11/1 (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (78%) - Held an OR of 140+ (Career)
- 18 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least ¾ (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Carried no more than 161lbs
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup. How well do you know your horse racing? Are there certain types of races that you are unsure of? Why not take a look at this Types Of Horse Race article to familiarise yourself with the different types of racing, that is just one of many helpful horse racing articles in the OLBG Betting School.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Paddy Power Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.
Paddy Power Gold Cup Trend Analysis
✅ The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +26.50 is when runners had a highest class place of Class 1 (G1).
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-43.
The course which has produced the most winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup is Aintree, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Chepstow, Cheltenham and Carlisle, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 341 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup, that stallion Dom Alco has produced 2 winners (2018,2012).
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:
- Presenting (0 Wins from 10 runners)
- Anshan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Saint Des Saints (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Shantou (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Accordion (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Splash Of Ginge in 2017, winning for Nigel Twiston-Davies at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Tom Bellamy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.
Schedule for the November Meeting at Cheltenham
Here is the schedule for the November Meeting at Cheltenham, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| Day 1 (Friday) Glenfarclas Cross Country Handicap Chase | Sweet David (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Gabriel Leenders Felix De Giles |
| Day 1 (Friday) Hyde Novices Hurdle | Potters Charm (IRE) 5yo - 7/4 | Nigel Twiston-Davies Sam Twiston-Davies |
| Day 1 (Friday) Shloer Chase | Jonbon (FR) 8yo - 1/3 | Nicky Henderson Nico de Boinville |
| Day 2 (Saturday) Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase | LEau du Sud (FR) 6yo - 10/11 | Dan Skelton Harry Skelton |
| Day 2 (Saturday) JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle | East India Dock (GB) 3yo - 4/5 | James Owen Sam Twiston-Davies |
| Day 2 (Saturday) Paddy Power Gold Cup | Il Ridoto (FR) 7yo - 10/1 | Paul Nicholls Freddie Gingell |
| Day 3 (Sunday) Greatwood Hurdle | Burdett Road (GB) 4yo - 7/2 | James Owen Harry Cobden |
| Day 3 (Sunday) November Meeting Handicap Chase | Abuffalosoldier (IRE) 7yo - 100/30 | Warren Greatrex Sean Bowen |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.
Darren Brett
Tipster Competition Manager
Andy Powell
Content Editor
