Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (November Meeting)

Updated: 6400 Horse Racing

Contested over a distance of 2m4f is the Paddy Power Gold Cup which is scheduled to take place at Cheltenham during the November Meeting. Below we have detailed past winners along with both trainer and jockey records in the race and see which trends have been set based on past winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (November Meeting)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview

Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse, the Paddy Power Gold Cup was previously sponsored by Paddy Power between 2003-2015 until BetVictor picked up the sponsorship in 2016-2019 but in 2020 Paddy Power resumed sponsorship of the race.

This is a Class 1 Premier Handicap chase, open to runners aged four years old or older and is run over an extended two miles and four furlongs. The race was first run back in 1960 under the sponsor Mackeson who sponsored the race until 1995. Imperial Commander won the race back in 2008, he went on to succeed at the Cheltenham Festival the following two years winning the Ryanair Chase and Gold Cup.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Information:

We also have a dedicated Cheltenham tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Cheltenham Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Paddy Power Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 119%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Paddy Power Gold Cup, the over-round has been 127%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup next time out then you would have backed a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.55. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Al Ferof from Paul Nicholls under the guidance of R Walsh, won in a time of 5:25.02, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Baron Alco, trained by Gary Moore and ridden by Jamie Moore set the quickest time of 4:55.50 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Baron Alco (4:55.50)
  • 2021 - Midnight Shadow (4:59.52)
  • 2011 - Great Endeavour (5:01.95)

Paddy Power Gold Cup Past Winners

Here are the Paddy Power Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Paddy Power Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2023
5:13.26
Stage Star (IRE)
7yo 11-7 4/1F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2022
5:02.77
Ga Law (FR)
6yo 11-0 5/1
Jonathan Burke
Jamie Snowden (GB)
2021
4:59.52
Midnight Shadow (GB)
8yo 11-5 9/1
Ryan Mania
Sue Smith (GB)
2020
5:14.36
Coole Cody (IRE)
9yo 10-5 10/1
Tom O'Brien
Evan Williams (GB)
2019
5:17.72
Happy Diva (IRE)
8yo 11-0 14/1
Richard Patrick (3lbs)
Kerry Lee (GB)
2018
4:55.50
Baron Alco (FR)
7yo 10-11 8/1
Jamie Moore
Gary Moore (GB)
2017
5:24.50
Splash Of Ginge (GB)
9yo 10-6 25/1
Tom Bellamy
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2016
5:16.60
Taquin Du Seuil (FR)
9yo 11-11 8/1
Aidan Coleman
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2015
5:12.80
Annacotty (IRE)
7yo 11-0 12/1
Ian Popham
Alan King (GB)
2014
5:23.30
Caid Du Berlais (FR)
5yo 10-13 10/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Paddy Power Gold Cup have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 51 placings from 313 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 4 placings from 30 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals with Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies and Jonjo O'Neill having all won the race three times. Paul Nicholls winners have been with Al Ferof (2012), Caid Du Berlais (2014) and Stage Star (2023). Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Imperial Commander (2008), Little Josh (2010) and Splash Of Ginge (2017). Jonjo O'Neill winners have been with Exotic Dancer (2006), Johns Spirit (2013) and Taquin Du Seuil (2016). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, Nicky Henderson (0-28), Philip Hobbs (0-16) and Venetia Williams (0-14) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Paul Nicholls42-3-12-17.00-4.18
Nigel Twiston-Davies24-3-7+30.50+17.82
Jonjo O'Neill16-3-5+18.00+10.88
David Pipe22-1-4-13.00-8.62
Alan King14-1-5-1.00+8.26
Evan Williams9-1-3+2.00+2.00
Gary Moore5-1-1+4.00+1.00
Kerry Lee4-1-1+11.00+5.75
Jamie Snowden4-1-2+2.00+1.26
Sue Smith3-1-1+7.00+3.63

Paddy Power Gold Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Little Josh (2010) and Caid Du Berlais (2014).

Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Sam Twiston-Davies11-2-4+21.00+13.88
Aidan Coleman8-1-2+1.00+0.50
Harry Cobden8-1-2-3.00-3.12
Jamie Moore7-1-2+2.00+1.25
Richie McLernon7-1-2+1.00-0.12
Paddy Brennan7-1-3+0.50+1.06
Graham Lee6-1-3+1.50+4.56
Richard Patrick4-1-1+11.00+5.75
Jonathan Burke4-1-1+2.00+0.13
Tom Bellamy3-1-1+23.00+13.63

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 3, 1, 2, F, 6, 1, 3, 6, PU, 7, 3, 11, PU, PU, 4, F, 3, 2, UR, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Carried 143 - 162lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (75%) - Achieved a TS of 124+ (Last 5)
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - No bigger than 25/1
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 4 wins (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 1 - 6 placings (Going)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Within the first 14 of the market
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Ran over 1m3f - 2m5½f (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 78+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 125+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Made 3 - 19 starts (Chase)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Furthest Won 2m3f - 3m1½f
  • 19 / 20 (87%) - Held an OR of 136+ (Last 5)
  • 18 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 11/1 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (78%) - Won within last 5 starts

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Paddy Power Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor that produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +27.50 is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G1). The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-44.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup is Aintree, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 340 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup, that stallion Dom Alco has produced 2 winners (2018,2012).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Presenting (0 Wins from 10 runners)
  • Anshan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Saint Des Saints (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Shantou (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Accordion (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Splash Of Ginge in 2017, winning for Nigel Twiston-Davies at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Tom Bellamy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2024 Paddy Power Gold Cup.

Other Principal races at Cheltenham racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Cheltenham racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (Festival Trials Day)

Races in January

Races in January (November Meeting)

Races in March (Cheltenham Festival)

Races in April

Races in October

Races in November (November Meeting)

Races in December (International)

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