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2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis - November Meeting

Published: Nov 8, 12:27pm Last Updated: Nov 15, 12:06pm Horse Racing 2 Comments 3981 Views

2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup Preview

Scheduled to take place in November of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse is the Paddy Power Gold Cup was previously sponsored by Paddy Power between 2003-2015 until BetVictor picked up the sponsorship in 2016-2019 but in 2020 Paddy Power resumed sponsorship of the race. This is Grade 3 handicap chase, open to runners aged four years old or older and is run over an extended two miles and four furlongs. The race was first run back in 1960 under the sponsor Mackeson who sponsored the race until 1995. Imperial Commander won the race back in 2008, he went on to succeed at the Cheltenham Festival the following two years winning the Ryanair Chase and Gold Cup.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Cheltenham Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 4:55.50 was set by Baron Alco in 2018, that is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Gary Moore and ridden by Jamie Moore. The slowest winning time was set in 2012 when Al Ferof won in a time of 5:25.02, booked to ride was R Walsh on this Paul Nicholls trained runner.

These are the top three quickest run Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Baron Alco (4:55.50)
  • 2021 - Midnight Shadow (4:59.52)
  • 2011 - Great Endeavour (5:01.95)

How competitive is the Paddy Power Gold Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2003 when the race had an over-round of 118%. The race in 2011 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Paddy Power Gold Cup, the over-round has been 127% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £127 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 3 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -5.55. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Past Winners

Here are the Paddy Power Gold Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Paddy Power Gold Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
4:59.52
Midnight Shadow (GB)
8yo 11-5 9/1
Ryan Mania
Sue Smith (GB)
2020
5:14.36
Coole Cody (IRE)
9yo 10-5 10/1
Tom O'Brien
Evan Williams (GB)
2019
5:17.72
Happy Diva (IRE)
8yo 11-0 14/1
Richard Patrick (3lbs)
Kerry Lee (GB)
2018
4:55.50
Baron Alco (FR)
7yo 10-11 8/1
Jamie Moore
Gary Moore (GB)
2017
5:24.50
Splash Of Ginge (GB)
9yo 10-6 25/1
Tom Bellamy
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2016
5:16.60
Taquin Du Seuil (FR)
9yo 11-11 8/1
Aidan Coleman
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2015
5:12.80
Annacotty (IRE)
7yo 11-0 12/1
Ian Popham
Alan King (GB)
2014
5:23.30
Caid Du Berlais (FR)
5yo 10-13 10/1
Sam Twiston-Davies
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2013
5:07.02
Johns Spirit (IRE)
6yo 10-2 7/1
Richie McLernon
Jonjo O'Neill (GB)
2012
5:25.02
Al Ferof (FR)
7yo 11-8 8/1
R Walsh
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Paddy Power Gold Cup have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 52 placings from 309 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 30 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 2 placings from 6 runners

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals with both Nigel Twiston-Davies & Jonjo O'Neill who have both won the race 3 times. Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Imperial Commander (2008), Little Josh (2010) & Splash Of Ginge (2017). Jonjo O'Neill winners have been with Exotic Dancer (2006), Johns Spirit (2013) & Taquin Du Seuil (2016). The only other trainer to have recorded multiple wins in the Paddy Power Gold Cup is Paul Nicholls (2 wins). There are two trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, Philip Hobbs has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Venetia Williams has sent out 14 without a winner.

Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Nigel Twiston-Davies 24-3-7 +30.50 +17.82
Jonjo O'Neill 16-3-5 +18.00 +10.88
Paul Nicholls 41-2-12 -21.00 -4.20
Nicky Henderson 28-1-8 -24.00 -12.00
David Pipe 21-1-4 -12.00 -7.62
Alan King 13-1-5 +0.00 +9.26
Evan Williams 8-1-3 +3.00 +3.00
Kerry Lee 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.75
Sue Smith 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.63
Gary Moore 3-1-1 +6.00 +3.00

Paddy Power Gold Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Paddy Power Gold Cup over the last 20 renewals is Sam Twiston-Davies who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Little Josh (2010) & Caid Du Berlais (2014). There is one jockey who has not had the best of times in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, Tom Scudamore has had a total of 13 rides to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Paddy Power Gold Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Sam Twiston-Davies 9-2-4 +23.00 +15.88
Tom O'Brien 8-1-3 +3.00 +2.75
Aidan Coleman 8-1-2 +1.00 +0.50
Richie McLernon 7-1-2 +1.00 -0.12
Paddy Brennan 7-1-3 +0.50 +1.06
Graham Lee 6-1-3 +1.50 +4.56
Jamie Moore 5-1-2 +4.00 +3.25
Richard Patrick 3-1-1 +12.00 +6.75
Tom Bellamy 2-1-1 +24.00 +14.63
Ryan Mania 1-1-1 +9.00 +5.63

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,PU,1,3,1,2,F,6,1,3,6,PU,7,3,11,PU,PU,4,F,3,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Fewer than 4 Handicap wins
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Placed over at least 20.5f
  • 20 / 20 (90%) - No more than 2 career falls
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - At least 2 starts at Cheltenham
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Ran over at least 19.5f last time out
  • 19 / 20 (83%) - No more than 3 non-finishes
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Between 6yo-9yo
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - No more than 2 season starts
  • 18 / 20 (52%) - Within first 8 of the market
  • 18 / 20 (79%) - Either FR or IRE bred
  • 18 / 20 (87%) - No claimer in the saddle
  • 17 / 20 (73%) - 5-15 Starts over fences
  • 15 / 20 (58%) - Previously contested a G1

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Paddy Power Gold Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Paddy Power Gold Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +53.50 is when runners had a highest class placed of Class 1 (G1). The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 0 career places on the going, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-46.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup are Aintree and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 336 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 9 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Paddy Power Gold Cup:

  • Cyborg (3 Wins)
  • Dom Alco (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Paddy Power Gold Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Presenting (0 Wins from 9 runners)
  • Anshan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Saint Des Saints (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Splash Of Ginge in 2017 when winning for Nigel Twiston-Davies at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Tom Bellamy. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Paddy Power Gold Cup see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Cheltenham racecourse

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