Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis (The November Meeting)

We look at the Grade 2 Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 2m at Cheltenham during The November Meeting to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends can you use to find the winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis (The November Meeting)

2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Preview

The Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase takes place during the November Meeting at Cheltenham Racecourse each year, the race is registered and known better by some as the November Novices' Chase. The race is a Grade 3 that is run over two miles in which the runners will face twelve fences, runners aged four or older and are novices over fences are eligible to enter.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Content:

Our dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Cheltenham throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Captain Conan from Nicky Henderson under the guidance of Barry Geraghty, won in a time of 4:17.49, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Lalor, trained by Kayley Woollacott and ridden by Richard Johnson set the quickest time of 3:50.90 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Lalor (3:50.90)
  • 2022 - Banbridge (3:54.72)
  • 2011 - Al Ferof (3:54.90)

How competitive is the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 107%. The race in 2006 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 115%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase, the over-round has been 110%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £110 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 9 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +15.08. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Past Winners

Here are the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
3:54.72
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo 11-4 11/8F
J J Slevin
Joseph Patrick O'Brien (IRE)
2021
3:55.51
Third Time Lucki (IRE)
6yo 11-5 2/5F
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2020
4:04.41
Eldorado Allen (FR)
6yo 11-2 13/2
Robbie Power
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2019
4:09.63
Put The Kettle On (IRE)
5yo 10-9 6/1
Aidan Coleman
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2018
3:50.90
Lalor (GER)
6yo 11-2 11/2
Richard Johnson
Kayley Woollacott (GB)
2017
4:06.50
North Hill Harvey (GB)
6yo 11-5 6/4
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2016
4:02.40
Le Prezien (FR)
5yo 11-2 8/11F
Barry Geraghty
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2015
4:03.70
Garde La Victoire (FR)
6yo 11-2 8/15F
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2014
4:08.30
Dunraven Storm (IRE)
9yo 11-2 7/2
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2013
4:00.81
Dodging Bullets (GB)
5yo 11-2 2/1
Daryl Jacob
Paul Nicholls (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 15 placings from 89 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 0 placings from 17 runners

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race 7 times. Those 7 winners came from Thisthatandtother (2003), Tatenen (2008), Tataniano (2009), Ghizao (2010), Al Ferof (2011), Dodging Bullets (2013) & Le Prezien (2016). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase are Philip Hobbs (3 wins) & Dan Skelton (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 21-7-12 -1.87 +2.75
Philip Hobbs 8-3-4 +2.36 -1.11
Dan Skelton 2-2-2 +1.90 +0.00
Nigel Twiston-Davies 10-1-2 -7.00 -2.44
Nicky Henderson 10-1-2 -7.90 -5.31
Colin Tizzard 5-1-1 +2.50 +0.06
Henry De Bromhead 5-1-1 +2.00 -4.00
Charlie Mann 1-1-1 +10.00 +6.00
Kayley Woollacott 1-1-1 +5.50 +3.44
Paul Nolan 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase over the last 20 renewals is Harry Skelton who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from North Hill Harvey (2017) & Third Time Lucki (2021).

Here are some of the top Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Harry Skelton 2-2-2 +1.90 +0.00
Aidan Coleman 5-1-1 +2.00 -3.00
Daryl Jacob 3-1-1 +0.00 -0.75
Robbie Power 2-1-1 +5.50 +4.06
J J Slevin 1-1-1 +1.38 +0.86
Sam Twiston-Davies 6-0-1 -6.00 -1.69
Harry Cobden 4-0-2 -4.00 -0.19
Jamie Moore 3-0-2 -3.00 +1.44
Paddy Brennan 3-0-0 -3.00 -1.00
Nico de Boinville 2-0-0 -2.00 -1.00

2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 3, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 2, 3, 2, PU, 1, 1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (72%) - No bigger than 10/1
  • 20 / 20 (74%) - Achieved an RPR of 133+ (Last 3)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Off a break of 16-373 days
  • 20 / 20 (78%) - Had 4-10 placings (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Field of 5-19 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 4-12 placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Had 2-7 wins (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Made 3-12 starts (Further)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Won within last 4 starts
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Achieved a TS of 114+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 5 of market
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No more than one DNF
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Had 1-5 wins (Further)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 6 starts (Season)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Never fallen over fences

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +9.64 is when runners were aged 6yo. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 2 career wins over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-22.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices Chase is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Aintree, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Aintree last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 103 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 3 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Moon Over Miami in 2007, winning for Charlie Mann at odds of 10/1 under the guidance of Noel Fehily. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 10 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

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