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2022 Greatwood Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis - November Meeting

Published: Nov 8, 12:52pm Last Updated: Nov 15, 11:59am Horse Racing 1 Comment 3275 Views

2022 Greatwood Hurdle Preview

Scheduled to take place in November of each year is the Greatwood Hurdle was first introduced back in 1987 when Celtic Shot for Fred Winter and Peter Scudamore took the inaugural running of the race. The race is run at Cheltenham racecourse and is open to runners aged four years old or older and is a Grade 3 run over an extended two miles. Greatwood is a charity organisation for the welfare of retired racehorses, there have been some very good winners of the race with the likes of Detroit City, Sizing Europe, Menorah, Dell' Arca & Old Guard all landing the wins.

If you are interested in other predictions at Cheltenham then head over to the Cheltenham Betting Picks page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG racing tipsters and also compare those predictions to the runners that make the trend shortlist when added below.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2012 renewal when Olofi from Tom George who under the guidance of Paddy Brennan, won in a time of 4:13.08, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Nietzsche, trained by Brian Ellison and ridden by Danny McMenamin set the quickest time of 3:48.60 in the 2018 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Greatwood Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2018 - Nietzsche (3:48.60)
  • 2011 - Brampour (3:51.17)
  • 2021 - West Cork (3:51.20)

How competitive is the Greatwood Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2008 when the race had an over-round of 116%. The race in 2015 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 138%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Greatwood Hurdle, the over-round has been 124% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £124 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Greatwood Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 7 winners. Backing all 18 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +40.13. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Greatwood Hurdle see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Greatwood Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the Greatwood Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Greatwood Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2021
3:51.20
West Cork (GB)
7yo 10-13 11/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2020
4:10.69
The Shunter (IRE)
7yo 10-0 13/2
Robbie Power
Emmet Mullins (IRE)
2019
4:10.64
Harambe (GB)
6yo 11-0 16/1
Tom Bellamy
Alan King (GB)
2018
3:48.60
Nietzsche (GB)
5yo 9-7 20/1
Danny McMenamin (7lbs)
Brian Ellison (GB)
2017
4:04.40
Elgin (GB)
5yo 10-8 10/1
Wayne Hutchinson
Alan King (GB)
2016
3:56.10
North Hill Harvey (GB)
5yo 11-0 6/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2015
4:00.10
Old Guard (GB)
4yo 10-10 12/1
Harry Cobden (7lbs)
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2014
4:05.00
Garde La Victoire (FR)
5yo 11-9 10/1
Richard Johnson
Philip Hobbs (GB)
2013
3:59.70
Dell Arca (IRE)
4yo 10-5 12/1
Tom Scudamore
David Pipe (GB)
2012
4:13.08
Olofi (FR)
6yo 10-11 8/1
Paddy Brennan
Tom George (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Greatwood Hurdle have been based:

  • GB: 17 winners with an additional 42 placings from 257 runners
  • IRE: 3 winners with an additional 8 placings from 49 runners

Greatwood Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Greatwood Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Philip Hobbs who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Rooster Booster (2002), Detroit City (2006), Menorah (2010) & Garde La Victoire (2014). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Greatwood Hurdle are Paul Nicholls (3 wins), Alan King (2 wins) & Dan Skelton (2 wins). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Greatwood Hurdle, Nicky Henderson has sent a total of 19 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Greatwood Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Philip Hobbs 24-4-6 +4.20 -1.89
Paul Nicholls 21-3-9 +39.00 +25.93
Alan King 20-2-6 +8.00 +8.07
Dan Skelton 12-2-3 +7.00 +2.13
Nigel Twiston-Davies 12-1-3 -2.00 +2.88
Brian Ellison 11-1-4 +10.00 +11.00
David Pipe 11-1-3 +2.00 +0.88
Jonjo O'Neill 11-1-4 -5.00 -4.16
Gary Moore 9-1-3 -3.00 -2.32
Tom George 6-1-2 +3.00 +1.50

Greatwood Hurdle Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Greatwood Hurdle over the last 20 renewals with both Paddy Brennan & Harry Skelton who have both won the race 2 times. Paddy Brennan winners have been with Khyber Kim (2009) & Olofi (2012). Harry Skelton winners have been with North Hill Harvey (2016) & West Cork (2021).

Here are some of the top Greatwood Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paddy Brennan 11-2-3 +8.00 +3.13
Harry Skelton 8-2-3 +11.00 +6.13
Tom Scudamore 10-1-3 +3.00 +2.13
Harry Cobden 4-1-2 +9.00 +5.63
Danny McMenamin 2-1-1 +19.00 +11.50
Tom Bellamy 2-1-1 +15.00 +9.00
Jamie Moore 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.13
Robbie Power 1-1-1 +6.50 +4.06
Aidan Coleman 8-0-1 -8.00 -6.44
Sam Twiston-Davies 6-0-1 -6.00 -4.50

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,6,3,1,15,1,8,2,(2,4),3,11,18,(6,16),2,(8,PU),11,F,4,12,3,9

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not 3-5lbs claimer in the saddle
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - No more than 14 career places
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Fewer than 33 career starts
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - No more than 2 career hcp wins
  • 19 / 20 (68%) - No bigger than 20/1
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - No more than 3 season starts
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - Between 1-7 career wins
  • 18 / 20 (76%) - No more than 3 places in handicaps
  • 17 / 20 (49%) - Within first 7 of the market
  • 17 / 20 (69%) - Within first 5 last time out
  • 16 / 20 (75%) - No older than 6yo
  • 15 / 20 (42%) - Ideally fewer than 3 Hcp runs
  • 0 / 20 (5%) - Placed 1-5 times over further

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Greatwood Hurdle. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles like the How to Find Winners - 101 Tips to Choose A Winning Horse Racing Bet.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Greatwood Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

Greatwood Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +39.03 is when runners had 2 career starts in higher class races. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last place was 3 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-40.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Greatwood Hurdle are Kempton, Aintree, Cheltenham, Ascot, Newmarket (Rowley) and Wincanton, there has been a total number of 2 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 294 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 12 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have been disappointed with multiple attempts but no wins in the Greatwood Hurdle, that stallion is Montjeu who has failed to produce a winner from 6 runners.

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Rigmarole in 2003 when winning for Paul Nicholls at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of R Walsh. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2022 Greatwood Hurdle why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today.

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