2023 County Handicap Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

The County Hurdle is a Grade 3 handicap run on the new course where runners face eight hurdles over two miles and one furlong. Willie Mullins & Dan Skelton have won 7 of the last 8 between them.

2023 County Handicap Hurdle Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 County Handicap Hurdle Preview

The County Hurdle is a Grade 3 handicap run on the new course at Cheltenham where runners face eight hurdles over two miles and one furlong. Usually, run at a fast and furious pace and was traditionally the festival finale "Get Out Stakes!" until 2009, whereas it's now the second race on "Gold Cup" Friday.

County Handicap Hurdle Content:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page to see which of those runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2018 renewal when Mohaayed from Dan Skelton who under the guidance of Bridget Andrews, won in a time of 4:18.00, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Desert Quest, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by R Walsh set the quickest time of 3:52.70 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run County Handicap Hurdle over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Desert Quest (3:52.70)
  • 2007 - Pedrobob (3:53.90)
  • 2011 - Final Approach (3:54.77)

How competitive is the County Handicap Hurdle market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 130%. The race in 2003 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 148%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the County Handicap Hurdle, the over-round has been 135%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £135 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the County Handicap Hurdle next time out then you would have back a total of 5 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +4.82. Before placing your bet on the 2023 County Handicap Hurdle see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

County Handicap Hurdle Past Winners

Here are the County Handicap Hurdle past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the County Handicap Hurdle as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
4:01.25
State Man (FR)
5yo 11-1 11/4F
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2021
4:02.27
Belfast Banter (IRE)
6yo 10-0 33/1
Kevin Sexton
Peter Fahey (IRE)
2020
4:02.42
Saint Roi (FR)
5yo 10-13 11/2F
Barry Geraghty
W P Mullins (IRE)
2019
4:04.85
Chtibello (FR)
8yo 11-5 12/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2018
4:18.00
Mohaayed (GB)
6yo 10-8 33/1
Bridget Andrews (3lbs)
Dan Skelton (GB)
2017
4:00.00
Arctic Fire (GER)
8yo 11-12 20/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2016
3:55.50
Superb Story (IRE)
5yo 10-12 8/1
Harry Skelton
Dan Skelton (GB)
2015
4:05.70
Wicklow Brave (GB)
6yo 11-4 25/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:58.49
Lac Fontana (FR)
5yo 10-11 11/1
Daryl Jacob
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2013
4:16.09
Ted Veale (IRE)
6yo 10-6 10/1
B J Cooper
A J Martin (IRE)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the County Handicap Hurdle have been based:

  • IRE: 12 winners with an additional 22 placings from 176 runners
  • GB: 8 winners with an additional 38 placings from 342 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners

County Handicap Hurdle Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the County Handicap Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is W P Mullins who has won the race 6 times. Those 6 winners came from Thousand Stars (2010), Final Approach (2011), Wicklow Brave (2015), Arctic Fire (2017), Saint Roi (2020) & State Man (2022). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the County Handicap Hurdle are Paul Nicholls (4 wins) & Dan Skelton (3 wins). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the County Handicap Hurdle, Nicky Henderson (0-37), Philip Hobbs (0-31), Gordon Elliott (0-22), Noel Meade (0-15), Alan King (0-14), Jonjo O'Neill (0-11), David Pipe (0-11) & Gary Moore (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top County Handicap Hurdle trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 47-6-15 +42.25 +33.44
Paul Nicholls 31-4-7 +15.00 +5.83
Dan Skelton 13-3-4 +43.00 +24.44
Mrs John Harrington 6-1-1 +5.00 +1.25
A J Martin 5-1-3 +6.00 +4.88
Thomas Mullins 3-1-1 +18.00 +10.50
T Hogan 2-1-1 +49.00 +30.25
Peter Fahey 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63
Anthony Mullins 1-1-1 +12.00 +7.50
Nicky Henderson 37-0-6 -37.00 -21.87

County Handicap Hurdle Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the County Handicap Hurdle over the last 20 renewals is Paul Townend who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Wicklow Brave (2015), Arctic Fire (2017) & State Man (2022). The only other jockey to have recorded multiple wins in the County Handicap Hurdle is Harry Skelton (2 wins). There are multiple jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the County Handicap Hurdle, Tom Scudamore (0-12), Sam Twiston-Davies (0-11), Denis O'Regan (0-10), Davy Russell (0-10) & Paddy Brennan (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite having multiple rides to the race.

Here are some of the top County Handicap Hurdle jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Paul Townend 13-3-4 +37.75 +21.35
Harry Skelton 6-2-3 +16.00 +9.81
Daryl Jacob 8-1-4 +4.00 +12.51
B J Cooper 6-1-1 +5.00 +1.25
Bridget Andrews 5-1-1 +29.00 +16.63
Kevin Sexton 2-1-1 +32.00 +19.63
Tom Scudamore 12-0-0 -12.00 -12.00
Sam Twiston-Davies 11-0-0 -11.00 -11.00
Paddy Brennan 10-0-2 -10.00 -1.50
Denis O'Regan 10-0-1 -10.00 -5.37

2023 County Handicap Hurdle Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,PU,(1,5),11,(1,10),25,2,6,23,15,14,(9,F),PU,13,(4,PU),6,16,4,1,10,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Beaten no more 22l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Not on GS ground (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Never won off bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Ran over hurdles (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Over at least 2m (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - Avoid 5lb & 7lb claimers
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Ran over hurdles (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (91%) - No more than 1 career fall
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 7/1 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (68%) - Had 6-14 placings (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (86%) - Ran over at least 2m (LTO)
  • 17 / 20 (79%) - Avoid G2 or below a Cl3 (LTO)
  • 17 / 20 (87%) - Ideally a GB bred dam

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the County Handicap Hurdle. Maybe you are looking to back something in this race on the tote, but you are not sure of the process or how the tote works? No problem! We have an article which is dedicated to The Tote for you to read which explains everything you need to know! Be sure to check out the other articles too in the OLBG Betting School.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the County Handicap Hurdle by adding a tip on the race here.

County Handicap Hurdle Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +53.25 is when runners ran in France on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Good To Soft ground when last winning, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-96.

The course which has produced the most winners of the County Handicap Hurdle is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Newbury last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 495 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 26 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the County Handicap Hurdle despite multiple attempts:

  • Montjeu (0 Wins from 12 runners)
  • Arcadio (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Authorized (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 6 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Silver Jaro in 2008 when winning for T Hogan at odds of 50/1 under the guidance of Noel Fehily. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 County Handicap Hurdle.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the County Handicap Hurdle. Next up is the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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