2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Preview, Trends & Analysis

A Grade One Chase for Novices over 2 miles on the Old Course at Cheltenham racecourse, for the Arkle Chase we are on the lookout for a future star of steeplechasing.

2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Preview

A Grade One Chase for Novices over 2 miles on the Old Course at Cheltenham racecourse, for the Arkle Chase we are on the lookout for a future star of steeplechasing. Arkle winners including Put The Kettle On, Altior, Sprinter Sacre, Sizing Europe, Voy Per Ustedes, Moscow Flyer, Azertyuiop, Flagship Uberalles and Klairon Davis have all gone on to win the Queen Mother Champion Chase.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Content:

We also have a dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Put The Kettle On from Henry De Bromhead who under the guidance of Aidan Coleman, won in a time of 4:08.14, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Western Warhorse, trained by David Pipe and ridden by Tom Scudamore set the quickest time of 3:47.04 in the 2014 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Arkle Challenge Trophy over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2014 - Western Warhorse (3:47.04)
  • 2016 - Douvan (3:48.60)
  • 2012 - Sprinter Sacre (3:51.10)

How competitive is the Arkle Challenge Trophy market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2021 when the race had an over-round of 110%. The race in 2017 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 134%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Arkle Challenge Trophy, the over-round has been 117%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £117 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy next time out then you would have back a total of 10 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -1.98. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Arkle Chase 11 Aug @ 13:36 - AntePost
Jonbon 7.50
Sir Gerhard 8.00
Constitution Hill 9.00
El Fabiolo 11.00
Appreciate It 11.00
Mighty Potter 15.00
Vauban 15.00
State Man 15.00
Dysart Dynamo 21.00
Kilcruit 26.00

Arkle Challenge Trophy Past Winners

Here are the Arkle Challenge Trophy past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Arkle Challenge Trophy as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
3:51.32
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo 11-4 5/2F
Tom Cannon
Alan King (GB)
2021
3:53.36
Shishkin (IRE)
7yo 11-4 4/9F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2020
4:08.14
Put The Kettle On (IRE)
6yo 10-11 16/1
Aidan Coleman
Henry De Bromhead (IRE)
2019
3:58.90
Duc Des Genievres (FR)
6yo 11-4 5/1
Paul Townend
W P Mullins (IRE)
2018
4:02.40
Footpad (FR)
6yo 11-4 5/6F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2017
3:55.50
Altior (IRE)
7yo 11-4 1/4F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2016
3:48.60
Douvan (FR)
6yo 11-4 1/4F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2015
3:51.40
Un De Sceaux (FR)
7yo 11-4 4/6F
R Walsh
W P Mullins (IRE)
2014
3:47.04
Western Warhorse (IRE)
6yo 11-4 33/1
Tom Scudamore
David Pipe (GB)
2013
4:01.64
Simonsig (GB)
7yo 11-7 8/15F
Barry Geraghty
Nicky Henderson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Arkle Challenge Trophy have been based:

  • GB: 13 winners with an additional 20 placings from 136 runners
  • IRE: 7 winners with an additional 13 placings from 74 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 7 runners

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Arkle Challenge Trophy over the last 20 renewals with both W P Mullins & Nicky Henderson who have both won the race 4 times. W P Mullins winners have been with Un De Sceaux (2015), Douvan (2016), Footpad (2018) & Duc Des Genievres (2019). Nicky Henderson winners have been with Sprinter Sacre (2012), Simonsig (2013), Altior (2017) & Shishkin (2021). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Arkle Challenge Trophy are Alan King (3 wins) & Henry De Bromhead (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Arkle Challenge Trophy trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
W P Mullins 19-4-6 -8.25 -9.25
Nicky Henderson 15-4-9 -9.05 -1.58
Alan King 7-3-3 +9.50 +4.10
Henry De Bromhead 14-2-4 +10.00 +5.83
Paul Nicholls 17-1-3 -14.75 -14.08
Philip Hobbs 7-1-3 +0.00 -1.07
David Pipe 5-1-1 +29.00 +15.80
Thomas Cooper 1-1-1 +8.00 +4.00
Venetia Williams 5-0-0 -5.00 -5.00
Colin Tizzard 4-0-2 -4.00 +1.94

Arkle Challenge Trophy Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Arkle Challenge Trophy over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Altior (2017) & Shishkin (2021).

Here are some of the top Arkle Challenge Trophy jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Nico de Boinville 4-2-3 -1.31 +0.68
Paul Townend 7-1-2 -1.00 -2.10
Tom Scudamore 6-1-1 +28.00 +14.80
Aidan Coleman 5-1-1 +12.00 +5.60
Denis O'Regan 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.60
Tom Cannon 1-1-1 +2.50 +1.50
Paddy Brennan 8-0-2 -8.00 -3.70
Davy Russell 8-0-1 -8.00 -5.00
B J Cooper 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.23
Graham Lee 4-0-1 -4.00 -3.50

2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,1,F,7,7,2,3,F,8,4,1,1,(2,3),1,1,1,1,7,6,1,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (76%) - Beaten no more than 4½l (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (77%) - Had 3-7 placings (1 Year)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Had 2-5 placings (180 Days)
  • 20 / 20 (82%) - Beaten no more 14½l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Won previously with jockey
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Placed within last 17-114 days
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Won within last 17-132 days
  • 19 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 9/2 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (76%) - Ridden 3+ times by jockey
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - Placed in at least a Grade 2
  • 19 / 20 (82%) - Within 2yrs of youngest runner
  • 19 / 20 (85%) - Made 1-3 starts (90 Days)
  • 19 / 20 (86%) - Field of no more than 8 (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (44%) - No bigger than 11/1
  • 18 / 20 (49%) - Within first 5 of the betting
  • 18 / 20 (57%) - Placed in at least a G2

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Arkle Challenge Trophy by adding a tip on the race here.

Arkle Challenge Trophy Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +29.03 is when runners had 1 career place at the track. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 place in the past 180 days, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-35.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Arkle Challenge Trophy is Leopardstown, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Leopardstown last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Doncaster, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Doncaster last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 209 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 8 runners.

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Arkle Challenge Trophy despite multiple attempts:

  • Oscar (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Presenting (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Western Warhorse in 2014 when winning for David Pipe at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Tom Scudamore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 9 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find you a bet on the 2023 Arkle Challenge Trophy.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Arkle Challenge Trophy. Next up is the Ultima Handicap Chase, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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