2023 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

Better known as simply the Kim Muir, this handicap chase for amateur jockeys only is run over 3m2f on the new course and has been used as a stepping stone to the Grand National.

2023 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Preview

Better known as simply the Kim Muir! This race is a handicap chase for amateur jockeys only and is run over 3m2f on the new course at Cheltenham. The Kim Muir has been a stepping stone to the Grand National in the past with 2010 winner Ballabriggs going on to Aintree glory and the 2012 winner Sunnyhillboy losing out in the National by a whisker.

Additionally, Cause of Causes took this in 2016 and went on to finish runner up in the 2017 Grand National. Ireland had not won this race since 1983 until 2014 but they have now won five of the last nine renewals so perhaps the tide is changing?

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Content:

We also have a dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2020 renewal when Milan Native from Gordon Elliott who under the guidance of Mr R James, won in a time of 7:09.20, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Youre Special, trained by Ferdy Murphy and ridden by Mr R O Harding set the quickest time of 6:10.30 in the 2006 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2006 - Youre Special (6:10.30)
  • 2007 - Cloudy Lane (6:16.51)
  • 2005 - Juveigneur (6:16.70)

How competitive is the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2004 when the race had an over-round of 124%. The race in 2019 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 138%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup, the over-round has been 132%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £132 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup next time out then you would have back a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -12.57. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Past Winners

Here are the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
6:55.29
Chambard (FR)
10yo 10-12 40/1
Miss Lucy Turner (3lbs)
Venetia Williams (GB)
2021
6:53.97
Mount Ida (IRE)
7yo 11-9 3/1F
Jack Kennedy
Mrs Denise Foster (IRE)
2020
7:09.20
Milan Native (IRE)
7yo 11-1 9/1
Mr R James (7lbs)
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2019
6:48.14
Any Second Now (IRE)
7yo 11-11 6/1
Mr Derek O'Connor
T M Walsh (IRE)
2018
7:07.90
Missed Approach (IRE)
8yo 11-5 8/1
Mr N McParlan
Warren Greatrex (GB)
2017
6:48.90
Domesday Book (USA)
7yo 11-4 40/1
Miss Gina Andrews
Stuart Edmunds (GB)
2016
6:43.80
Cause Of Causes (USA)
8yo 11-9 9/2
Mr J J Codd
Gordon Elliott (IRE)
2015
6:33.60
The Package (GB)
12yo 11-4 9/1
Mr J J Codd
David Pipe (GB)
2014
6:35.10
Spring Heeled (IRE)
7yo 11-8 12/1
Robbie McNamara
J H Culloty (IRE)
2013
6:39.74
Same Difference (IRE)
7yo 11-0 16/1
Ryan Hatch (7lbs)
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup have been based:

  • GB: 14 winners with an additional 40 placings from 362 runners
  • IRE: 5 winners with an additional 17 placings from 84 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 3 placings from 11 runners

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup over the last 20 renewals with all of David Pipe, Gordon Elliott & Donald McCain having all won the race 2 times. David Pipe winners have been with Junior (2011) & The Package (2015). Gordon Elliott winners have been with Cause Of Causes (2016) & Milan Native (2020). Donald McCain winners have been with Cloudy Lane (2007) & Ballabriggs (2010). There are multiple trainers who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup, Paul Nicholls (0-19), Philip Hobbs (0-15), Tom George (0-12) & Charlie Longsdon (0-12) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.

Here are some of the top Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
David Pipe 29-2-4 -14.67 -13.29
Gordon Elliott 14-2-7 +1.50 +9.01
Donald McCain 11-2-3 +7.50 +2.51
Jonjo O'Neill 27-1-3 -19.50 -17.56
Venetia Williams 23-1-6 +18.00 +23.01
Nigel Twiston-Davies 23-1-3 -6.00 -1.00
Nicky Henderson 23-1-5 -10.00 -2.49
Evan Williams 5-1-1 +10.00 +4.75
Warren Greatrex 5-1-2 +4.00 +3.50
T M Walsh 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.75

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup over the last 20 renewals is Mr J J Codd who has won the race 4 times. Those 4 winners came from Character Building (2009), Junior (2011), The Package (2015) & Cause Of Causes (2016). There are two jockeys who have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup, Mr Sam Waley-Cohen has had a total of 16 rides to the race without recording any wins whilst Mr William Biddick has had 13 rides without a winner.

Here are some of the top Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Mr J J Codd 16-4-5 +20.83 +9.65
Mr Derek O'Connor 15-1-5 -8.00 -2.06
Miss Gina Andrews 7-1-1 +34.00 +19.00
Miss Lucy Turner 4-1-1 +37.00 +22.00
Mr N McParlan 4-1-2 +5.00 +4.50
Mr R James 3-1-1 +7.00 +3.63
Jack Kennedy 1-1-1 +3.00 +1.88
Mr Sam Waley-Cohen 16-0-4 -16.00 -7.49
Mr William Biddick 13-0-1 -13.00 -11.12
Mr P W Mullins 9-0-3 -9.00 -4.87

2023 Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,3,8,(8,9),1,UR,7,3,1,1,2,7,7,UR,UR,2,8,(7,11),1,(2,PU)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 9/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 40/1
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in G2/G3/Cl2/Cl3 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Never off bigger than 80/1
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Fewer than 2 wins (Class)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 21 starts (Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - Ran in ENG, FR or IRE (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (98%) - Fewer than 4 starts (Trip)
  • 19 / 20 (77%) - No season falls
  • 19 / 20 (81%) - Fewer than 8 starts (1 Year)
  • 19 / 20 (89%) - Not in a G3 (Last Win)
  • 18 / 20 (70%) - Fewer than 2 falls (Career)
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - Made 4-20 starts (Fences)
  • 18 / 20 (80%) - Sent off 2/1 - 20/1 (LTO)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup. If you are looking to place on a bet this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and have a read of our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup by adding a tip on the race here.

Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.00 is when runners ran in a Non-Handicap when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had recorded 2 career falls, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-78.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup is Haydock, there has been a total number of 3 winners of this race who ran at Haydock last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 19 winners from a total of 439 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 1 winner from a total of 18 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup, that stallion is Old Vic who has produced 2 winners (2014,2012).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup despite multiple attempts:

  • Beneficial (0 Wins from 19 runners)
  • Kings Theatre (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Winged Love (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Midnight Legend (0 Wins from 7 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Chambard in 2022 when winning for Venetia Williams at odds of 40/1 under the guidance of Miss Lucy Turner. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to bookmark the best racing tipsters page so you can get easy access to the best OLBG racing tipsters.

Schedule at the Cheltenham Festival

Have a look at our racing tipsters Cheltenham predictions for the Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup. Next up is the JCB Triumph Hurdle, head over to find trends and tips.

Cheltenham Festival races for Tuesday 14th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Supreme Novices Hurdle
Constitution Hill (GB)
5yo - 9/4
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
14:10 Cheltenham
Arkle Challenge Trophy
Edwardstone (GB)
8yo - 5/2
Alan King
Tom Cannon
14:50 Cheltenham
Ultima Handicap Chase
Corach Rambler (IRE)
8yo - 10/1
Lucinda Russell
Derek Fox
15:30 Cheltenham
Champion Hurdle
Honeysuckle (GB)
8yo - 8/11
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Close Brothers Mares Hurdle
Maries Rock (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
Nicky Henderson
Nico de Boinville
16:50 Cheltenham
Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
Brazil (IRE)
4yo - 10/1
Padraig Roche
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
National Hunt Chase Challenge Cup
Stattler (IRE)
7yo - 2/1
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Wednesday 15th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Ballymore Novices Hurdle
Sir Gerhard (IRE)
7yo - 8/11
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
Brown Advisory Novices Chase
LHomme Presse (FR)
7yo - 9/4
Venetia Williams
Charlie Deutsch
14:50 Cheltenham
Coral Cup (Link)
Commander Of Fleet (IRE)
8yo - 50/1
Gordon Elliott
Shane Fitzgerald
15:30 Cheltenham
Queen Mother Champion Chase
Energumene (FR)
8yo - 5/2
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
16:10 Cheltenham
Cross Country Chase
Delta Work (FR)
9yo - 5/2
Gordon Elliott
Jack Kennedy
16:50 Cheltenham
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
Global Citizen (IRE)
10yo - 28/1
Ben Pauling
Kielan Woods
17:30 Cheltenham
Champion Bumper
Facile Vega (IRE)
5yo - 15/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins

Cheltenham Festival races for Thursday 16th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
Turners Novices Chase
Bob Olinger (IRE)
7yo - 6/5
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
14:10 Cheltenham
Pertemps Network Final
Third Wind (GB)
8yo - 25/1
Hughie Morrison
Tom OBrien
14:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Chase
Allaho (FR)
8yo - 4/7
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
15:30 Cheltenham
Stayers Hurdle
Flooring Porter (IRE)
7yo - 4/1
Gavin Cromwell
Danny Mullins
16:10 Cheltenham
Festival Plate
Coole Cody (IRE)
11yo - 22/1
Evan Williams
Adam Wedge
16:50 Cheltenham
Ryanair Mares Novices Hurdle
Love Envoi (IRE)
6yo - 15/2
Harry Fry
Jonathan Burke
17:30 Cheltenham
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Chambard (FR)
10yo - 40/1
Venetia Williams
Miss Lucy Turner

Cheltenham Festival races for Friday 17th March 2023

Race 2022 Winner Info
13:30 Cheltenham
JCB Triumph Hurdle
Vauban (FR)
4yo - 6/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:10 Cheltenham
County Handicap Hurdle
State Man (FR)
5yo - 11/4
W P Mullins
Paul Townend
14:50 Cheltenham
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
The Nice Guy (IRE)
7yo - 18/1
W P Mullins
Sean OKeeffe
15:30 Cheltenham
Cheltenham Gold Cup
A Plus Tard (FR)
8yo - 3/1
Henry De Bromhead
Rachael Blackmore
16:10 Cheltenham
Foxhunter Chase Challenge Cup
Billaway (IRE)
10yo - 13/8
W P Mullins
Mr P W Mullins
16:50 Cheltenham
Mrs PP Mares Chase
Elimay (FR)
8yo - 9/4
W P Mullins
Mark Walsh
17:30 Cheltenham
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys Handicap Hurdle
Banbridge (IRE)
6yo - 12/1
Joseph Patrick OBrien
M M McDonagh

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