2023 Cotswold Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Cotswold Chase Preview, Trends & Analysis

2023 Cotswold Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse is the Cotswold Chase, a Grade 2 chase that is open to runners who are aged five or older. The race s run on the new course at Cheltenham over around three miles, one and a half furlongs during which the runners will face a total of twenty-one fences.

Featured on the festival trials day, the race serves as a trial for the biggest race on the racing calendar, the Cheltenham Gold Cup and because of that, we have seen some top quality winners over the years with the likes of Gold Cup winners See More Business & Native River, Grand National winners Neptune Collonges & Many Clouds and more recently the likes of Frodon and Santini.

Cotswold Chase Content:

Our dedicated Cheltenham Betting Picks will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Cotswold Chase but will also have predictions for each meeting at Cheltenham throughout the season so be sure to head over there.

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2013 renewal when Cape Tribulation from Malcolm Jefferson who under the guidance of Denis O'Regan, won in a time of 7:16.50, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Midnight Chase, trained by Neil Mulholland and ridden by Dougie Costello set the quickest time of 6:32.44 in the 2012 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Cotswold Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2012 - Midnight Chase (6:32.44)
  • 2022 - Chantry House (6:33.81)
  • 2019 - Frodon (6:35.60)

How competitive is the Cotswold Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2015 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2016 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 119%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cotswold Chase, the over-round has been 112%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £112 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Cotswold Chase next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 17 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -11.50. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Cotswold Chase see which other runners today are being back on the racing predictions page.

Cotswold Chase Past Winners

Here are the Cotswold Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Cotswold Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse Info
2022
6:33.81
Chantry House (IRE)
8yo 11-6 5/6F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2021
6:39.74
Native River (IRE)
11yo 11-6 13/2
Richard Johnson
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2020
6:59.15
Santini (GB)
8yo 11-4 13/8F
Nico de Boinville
Nicky Henderson (GB)
2019
6:35.60
Frodon (FR)
7yo 11-6 9/4
Bryony Frost
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2018
6:54.00
Definitly Red (IRE)
9yo 11-6 7/1
Danny Cook
Brian Ellison (GB)
2017
6:41.20
Many Clouds (IRE)
10yo 11-10 8/1
Leighton Aspell
Oliver Sherwood (GB)
2016
6:58.10
Smad Place (FR)
9yo 11-6 9/2
Richard Johnson
Alan King (GB)
2015
6:52.10
Many Clouds (IRE)
8yo 11-10 4/1
Leighton Aspell
Oliver Sherwood (GB)
2014
7:07.90
The Giant Bolster (GB)
9yo 11-0 6/1
Tom Scudamore
David Bridgwater (GB)
2013
7:16.50
Cape Tribulation (GB)
9yo 11-6 7/1
Denis O'Regan
Malcolm Jefferson (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Cotswold Chase have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 26 placings from 132 runners
  • FR: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners

Cotswold Chase Trainer Statistics

The leading trainer in the Cotswold Chase over the last 20 renewals is Paul Nicholls who has won the race 3 times. Those 3 winners came from Taranis (2010), Neptune Collonges (2011) & Frodon (2019). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Cotswold Chase are Colin Tizzard (2 wins), Nicky Henderson (2 wins) & Oliver Sherwood (2 wins).

Here are some of the top Cotswold Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Paul Nicholls 19-3-7 +7.75 +1.98
Colin Tizzard 10-2-5 +9.50 +7.76
Nicky Henderson 7-2-2 -2.54 -3.46
Oliver Sherwood 3-2-3 +11.00 +7.60
Nigel Twiston-Davies 14-1-5 +3.00 -0.32
Alan King 5-1-4 +0.50 +1.14
David Bridgwater 3-1-1 +4.00 +1.75
Jonjo O'Neill 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.60
Neil Mulholland 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.30
Henry Daly 2-1-1 +3.50 +1.81

Cotswold Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Cotswold Chase over the last 20 renewals is Nico de Boinville who has won the race 2 times. Those 2 winners came from Santini (2020) & Chantry House (2022).

Here are some of the top Cotswold Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Nico de Boinville 2-2-2 +2.46 +1.54
Tom Scudamore 9-1-2 -2.00 -3.70
Paddy Brennan 6-1-2 +11.00 +5.45
Nick Scholfield 3-1-3 +14.00 +11.35
Denis O'Regan 3-1-2 +5.00 +3.15
Danny Cook 2-1-1 +6.00 +3.20
Dougie Costello 2-1-1 +4.50 +2.30
Graham Lee 2-1-1 +2.33 +1.08
Bryony Frost 2-1-1 +1.25 +0.41
Daryl Jacob 7-0-4 -7.00 -4.08

2023 Cotswold Chase Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,F,F,2,(2,UR),2,(2,3),2,2,3,(4,5),PU,2,3,F,2,3,2,1,2,1

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (81%) - No bigger than 18/1
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Best win not Listed > Class 3
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - No bigger than 8/1 (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Had 7-19 Placings (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (86%) - Beaten no more than 20l (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Made 7-25 Starts (Non-Hcps)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Carried 156-168lbs (LTO)
  • 18 / 20 (83%) - Not favourite

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Cheltenham racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Cotswold Chase. You may want to do your own research into the race, there are times when there are a number of runners who pass the trends so you need to do your own research to find a bet, we have a Horse Racing Form Reading Made Easy & What to Look For article to help you do just this in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Cotswold Chase by adding a tip on the race here.

Cotswold Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +47.71 is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4yo+ when last winning. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had a best in three result of 2nd, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-30.

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Cotswold Chase are Kempton and Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 5 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 138 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 1 runner.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Cotswold Chase, that stallion is Cloudings who has produced 2 winners (2017,2015).

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was See You Sometime in 2006 when winning for Seamus Mullins at odds of 18/1 under the guidance of Andrew Thornton. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 2 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2023 Cotswold Chase see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

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