Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Festival Trials Day)

The Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase is always an anticipated contest at Cheltenham during the Festival Trials Day, run over a trip of 2m4½f. In this guide, we take a closer look at the winning connections, past records, and the key trends that could help you pinpoint this year's Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase winner.
Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Festival Trials Day)
Andy Powell
Andy Powell Expert Guide

You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident you’re betting with more than just gut instinct.

2027 Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Cheltenham racecourse is the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase, a Premier Handicap which is run over a trip of two miles, four and a half furlongs, with a total of seventeen fences to be jumped, and it is open to runners who are five or older.

Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Information:

Our dedicated Cheltenham tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Cheltenham throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Schedule for the Festival Trials Day at Cheltenham section for links to these.

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How competitive is the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2022 when the race had an over-round of 112%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 129%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 119%, which means the bookie expects to pay out ÂŁ100 for every ÂŁ119 which is bet.

Below you will find the 2027 Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Trend Analysis.

These are the top three quickest-run Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase races over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Il Ridoto (5:12.13) in 2023
  2. The Giant Bolster (5:15.42) in 2012
  3. Siruh Du Lac (5:17.00) in 2019

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase next time out, then you would have backed a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -13.50. Ahead of the 2027 Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase, why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 5:12.13 was set by Il Ridoto in 2023, trained by Paul Nicholls and ridden by Harry Cobden, which is the quickest time over that period. The slowest winning time was set in 2013 when Katenko won in a time of 5:48.80 for trainer Venetia Williams, who booked Aidan Coleman in the saddle.

What the expert says...
Ten of the last fourteen winners between 2011 & 2025 went directly to the festival; however, there has been limited success with only Siruh Du Lac (2019) going on to win the Festival Plate and only one other going on to place.

Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com

Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2026
5:18.11
Donnacha (IRE)
8yo 10-8 12/1
James Davies
Nigel Hawke (GB)
2025
5:26.50
Moon DOrange (FR)
7yo 10-5 7/2F
Sean Bowen
John C McConnell (IRE)
2024
5:22.35
Ga Law (FR)
8yo 11-8 8/1
Gavin Sheehan
Jamie Snowden (GB)
2023
5:12.13
Il Ridoto (FR)
6yo 10-12 9/2
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2022
5:17.05
Torn And Frayed (FR)
8yo 10-10 5/1F
Sam Twiston-Davies
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2020
5:33.42
Cepage (FR)
8yo 11-12 8/1
Charlie Deutsch
Venetia Williams (GB)
2019
5:17.00
Siruh Du Lac (FR)
6yo 10-6 6/1
Lizzie Kelly (3lbs)
Nick Williams (GB)
2018
5:28.90
Frodon (FR)
6yo 11-7 13/2
Bryony Frost (5lbs)
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2017
5:25.30
Foxtail Hill (IRE)
8yo 10-0 12/1
Jamie Bargary (3lbs)
Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB)
2016
5:42.00
Annacotty (IRE)
8yo 11-9 13/2
Ian Popham
Alan King (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase have been based:

  • GB: 19 winners with an additional 43 placings from 228 runners
  • IRE: 1 winner with an additional 0 placings from 5 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 3 runners

Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

There are multiple leading trainers in the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals, with Paul Nicholls, Nigel Twiston-Davies, Venetia Williams, Philip Hobbs, Nick Williams, and Bob Buckler having all won the race two times. Paul Nicholls' winners have been with Frodon (2018) and Il Ridoto (2023). Nigel Twiston-Davies winners have been with Foxtail Hill (2017) and Torn And Frayed (2022). Venetia Williams' winners have been with Katenko (2013) and Cepage (2020). Philip Hobbs' winners have been with Wishfull Thinking (2011 & 2014). Nick Williams winners have been with Maljimar (2008) and Siruh Du Lac (2019). Bob Buckler winners have been with The Sawyer (2009 & 2010).

Here are some of the top Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Paul Nicholls28-2-5-15.00-15.58
Nigel Twiston-Davies20-2-5-1.00-2.50
Venetia Williams18-2-5-4.00-4.05
Philip Hobbs12-2-4+3.50+1.73
Nick Williams4-2-3+9.50+6.00
Bob Buckler3-2-2+13.50+8.07
David Pipe11-1-1-2.00-5.20
Alan King10-1-4-2.50+0.15
Jamie Snowden2-1-2+7.00+5.75
John C McConnell2-1-1+2.50+1.10

Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

The leading jockey in the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals is Gavin Sheehan, who has won the race two times, with those two winners coming from Annacotty (2015) and Ga Law (2024).

Here are some of the top Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Gavin Sheehan5-2-3+10.00+5.94
Sam Twiston-Davies9-1-3-3.00-1.20
Charlie Deutsch6-1-1+3.00-0.20
Harry Cobden5-1-2+0.50-0.19
Jamie Bargary2-1-1+11.00+6.50
William Kennedy2-1-1+8.00+4.63
Bryony Frost2-1-1+5.50+3.06
Sean Bowen2-1-1+2.50+1.10
James Davies1-1-1+12.00+7.20
Brendan Powell4-0-1-4.00-1.70

Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

✅ The trend factor, which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +13.50, is when runners ran in a race restricted to 4-6yo on debut.

❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners ran on Heavy ground when last winning, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-31.

The courses that have produced the most winners of the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase are Cheltenham and Newbury; there have been a total of 6 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes, with male runners having produced a total of 20 winners from a total of 230 runners, while female runners have produced 0 winners from a total of 6 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase:

  • Alflora (2 Wins)
  • Beneficial (2 Wins)
  • Fleetwood (2 Wins)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Donnacha in 2026, winning for Nigel Hawke at odds of 12/1 under the guidance of James Davies. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 4 winning favourites in the race. Remember to use the best racing tipsters along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2027 Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase.

Route to the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase

Many trainers target races as preparation for the Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:

InfoLast Race
2026 - Donnacha
Chepstow - 2nd of 7 (7/2)
Coral "Pipped-At-The Post" Payouts Handicap Chase
2025 - Moon DOrange
Newbury - 2nd of 8 (11/1)
Coral Pipped-At-The Post And Win Novices Limited Handicap Chase
2024 - Ga Law
Newbury - 7th of 20 (33/1)
Coral Gold Cup
2023 - Il Ridoto
Cheltenham - 4th of 16 (8/1)
Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase
2022 - Torn And Frayed
Haydock - PU of 6 (4/1)
Campbell Novices Limited Handicap Chase
2020 - Cepage
Cheltenham - 6th of 12 (15/2)
Cheltenham New Year's Day Handicap Chase
2019 - Siruh Du Lac
Exeter - 1st of 12 (11/2)
If Carlsberg Did Race Days Handicap Chase
2018 - Frodon
Ascot - 2nd of 14 (8/1)
Ascot Silver Cup
2017 - Foxtail Hill
Kempton - 1st of 7 (9/2)
32Red On The App Store Handicap Chase
2016 - Annacotty
Cheltenham - 6th of 14 (13/2)
December Gold Cup

Schedule for the Festival Trials Day at Cheltenham

Here is the schedule for the Festival Trials Day at Cheltenham, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.

RaceLast WinnerInfo
Cheltenham Trophy Handicap ChaseDonnacha (IRE)
8yo - 12/1
Nigel Hawke
James Davies
Classic Novices HurdleKripticjim (FR)
6yo - 14/1
Joe Tizzard
Brendan Powell
Cleeve HurdleMa Shantou (IRE)
7yo - 5/2
Emma Lavelle
Ben Jones
Cotswold ChaseSpillanes Tower (IRE)
8yo - 11/4
James Joseph Mangan
Jack Kennedy
International HurdleThe New Lion (GB)
7yo - 9/4
Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton
JCB Triumph Juvenile Hurdle TrialMaestro Conti (FR)
4yo - 5/2
Dan Skelton
Harry Skelton
Timeform Novices Handicap ChaseJordans Cross (IRE)
6yo - 7/1
Anthony Honeyball
Sam Twiston-Davies

Article Contributor Information

We are fortunate to have an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to the creation and maintenance of this Cheltenham Trophy Handicap Chase Preview are Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse Racing Tips team, overseeing the tipsters and managing the tip settlement, while also creating and managing all the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Expert Guide

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Expert Guide

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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