Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Festival Trials Day)

Updated: 161 Horse Racing

We look at the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase ahead of the next renewal, a race contested over 2m4½f at Cheltenham during the Festival Trials Day to see which runners, trainers and jockeys have previously won the race and which trends you can use to find the winner of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase.

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Festival Trials Day)
In this article: Preview
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2025 Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Preview

Scheduled to take place in January of each year at the Cheltenham Racecourse during Festival Trials Day is this Novices Handicap Chase, a Class Two that is open to runners who are aged five or older and is contested over a distance of two miles, four and a half furlongs.

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Information:

Why not use the trends shortlist below to help you narrow down the field and then head over to the dedicated Cheltenham tips page to see which runners are being supported by the OLBG expert racing tipsters to find yourself a bet? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Other Principal Races at Cheltenham Racecourse section for links to these.

How competitive is the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 108%. The race in 2012 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 121%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase, the over-round has been 116%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £116 which is bet.

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase next time out then you would have backed a total of 6 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of +12.33. Whilst we wait for the 2025 Timeform Novices Handicap Chase remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.

Over the last 20 renewals, it was the Paul Nicholls trained Stage Star ridden by Harry Cobden who set the fastest winning time in the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase, the runner won the race in a time of 5:15.10 was set when winning the race in 2023. At the other end of the scale, it was the combination of trainer Venetia Williams and jockey Aidan Coleman with Ping Pong Sivola who set the slowest winning time, the race-winning time was 5:46.34 in the 2009 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Timeform Novices Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals:

  1. Stage Star (5:15.10) in 2023
  2. Imperial Alcazar (5:16.55) in 2022
  3. Kildisart (5:17.30) in 2019

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Past Winners

Here are the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

YearHorseInfo
2024
5:20.34
Ginnys Destiny (IRE)
8yo 12-0 4/1F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2023
5:15.10
Stage Star (IRE)
7yo 12-0 11/4F
Harry Cobden
Paul Nicholls (GB)
2022
5:16.55
Imperial Alcazar (IRE)
8yo 11-12 9/1
Paddy Brennan
Fergal O'Brien (GB)
2020
5:35.20
Simply The Betts (IRE)
7yo 11-5 11/2
Gavin Sheehan
Harry Whittington (GB)
2019
5:17.30
Kildisart (IRE)
7yo 11-7 9/2
Daryl Jacob
Ben Pauling (GB)
2018
5:28.60
Mister Whitaker (IRE)
6yo 10-8 6/1
A P Heskin
Mick Channon (GB)
2017
5:28.30
Royal Vacation (IRE)
7yo 11-9 12/1
Paddy Brennan
Colin Tizzard (GB)
2016
5:39.10
Kings Odyssey (IRE)
7yo 10-13 8/1
Leighton Aspell
Evan Williams (GB)
2015
5:24.70
Generous Ransom (IRE)
7yo 10-11 6/1
Daryl Jacob
Nick Gifford (GB)
2014
5:34.70
Indian Castle (IRE)
6yo 11-3 14/1
Jason Maguire
Donald McCain (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase have been based:

  • GB: 20 winners with an additional 36 placings from 199 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
  • IRE: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 4 runners

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals with both Venetia Williams and Paul Nicholls who have both won the race three times. Venetia Williams winners have been with Ballyconnell I (2004), Flying Enterprise (2007) and Ping Pong Sivola (2009). Paul Nicholls winners have been with Arturio (2008), Stage Star (2023) and Ginnys Destiny (2024). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase, Nigel Twiston-Davies has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Timeform Novices Handicap Chase trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

TrainerR-W-PWinEW
Venetia Williams17-3-9-3.50+2.08
Paul Nicholls15-3-5-0.25-2.30
Philip Hobbs6-1-1-1.00-2.50
Ben Pauling5-1-1+0.50-1.30
Donald McCain4-1-2+11.00+7.40
Alan King4-1-2+3.50+2.31
Fergal O'Brien3-1-1+7.00+3.40
Gary Moore2-1-2+24.00+15.83
Evan Williams2-1-1+7.00+4.00
Nick Gifford2-1-1+5.00+2.75

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Jockey Statistics

There are multiple leading jockeys in the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase over the last 20 renewals with Paddy Brennan, Daryl Jacob and Harry Cobden having all won the race two times. Paddy Brennan's winners have been with Royal Vacation (2017) and Imperial Alcazar (2022). Daryl Jacob winners have been with Generous Ransom (2015) and Kildisart (2019). Harry Cobden winners have been with Stage Star (2023) and Ginnys Destiny (2024).

Here are some of the top Timeform Novices Handicap Chase jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

JockeyR-W-PWinEW
Paddy Brennan8-2-4+15.00+10.40
Daryl Jacob7-2-3+5.50+3.55
Harry Cobden5-2-3+3.75+2.65
Aidan Coleman7-1-5-3.00+2.59
Gavin Sheehan5-1-3+1.50+2.39
Jamie Moore4-1-2+22.00+13.83
A P Heskin2-1-1+5.00+2.75
Sam Twiston-Davies6-0-0-6.00-6.00
Nick Scholfield4-0-0-4.00-4.00
Charlie Deutsch4-0-0-4.00-4.00

Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +51.00 is when runners finished in 2nd on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career place with the jockey, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-36.

The course which has produced the most winners of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase is Kempton, there has been a total number of 7 winners of this race who ran at Kempton last time out. The next best course which has produced the second most winners is Cheltenham, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Cheltenham last time out.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 18 winners from a total of 197 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 2 winners from a total of 11 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, there is only one stallion whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase, that stallion Kings Theatre has produced 2 winners (2017,2016).

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Timeform Novices Handicap Chase despite multiple attempts:

  • Presenting (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Milan (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Flemensfirth (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kayf Tara (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Vino Griego in 2013, winning for Gary Moore at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Jamie Moore. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 3 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2025 Timeform Novices Handicap Chase head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters today.

Other Principal races at Cheltenham Racecourse

Here are some other notable races at the Cheltenham racecourse throughout the racing season that you may be interested in.

Races in January (Festival Trials Day)

Races in January

Races in March (Cheltenham Festival)

Races in April

Races in October

Races in November (November Meeting)

Races in December (Christmas Meeting)

Article Contributor Information

We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Timeform Novices Handicap Chase Preview are at hand, Andy and Darren. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for National Hunt Racing.

Darren Brett

Darren Brett

Tipster competition manager

Darren has worked in the horse racing industry for decades bringing to OLBG for the last 20 years a wealth of knowledge, creating much of our content on these sports. Darren also manages our Grand National Guide and is the go-to font of knowledge for the world's greatest steeplechase.
Andy Powell

Andy Powell

Content editor

Andy, a seasoned horse racing expert with over 15 years of experience, possesses a comprehensive understanding of the sport, from delving into complex statistical data for jump racing in the UK and Ireland to crafting insightful national hunt racing blogs for OLBG.

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