Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Goodwood Handicap Preview
The Goodwood Stakes is a real test of stamina, the class two handicap is open to three-year-olds or older and is run over the marathon trip of two miles, four and a half furlongs on day two of the Glorious Goodwood festival which takes place in either late July or early August.
Goodwood Handicap Information:
- Goodwood Handicap Past Winners
- Goodwood Handicap Trainer Statistics
- Goodwood Handicap Jockey Statistics
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Goodwood Handicap but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Goodwood Handicap market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2005 when the race had an over-round of 114%. The race in 2023 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 133%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Goodwood Handicap, the over-round has been 125%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £125 which is bet.
Goodwood Handicap Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Goodwood Handicap next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.65. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Goodwood Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2017 renewal when Cool Sky from Ian Williams under the guidance of Josephine Gordon, won in a time of 4:48.04, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Master Milliner, trained by Emma Lavelle and ridden by Sean Levey set the quickest time of 4:24.93 in the 2022 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Goodwood Handicap over the last 20 renewals:
- Master Milliner (4:24.93) in 2022
- Teak (4:25.85) in 2014
- Key Time (4:27.90) in 2006
Goodwood Handicap Past Winners
Here are the Goodwood Handicap past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Goodwood Handicap and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 4:35.48 | Temporize (GB) 4yo 8-5 (0 of 17) 6/1F | Luke Morris Syd Hosie (GB) |
| 2022 4:24.93 | Master Milliner (IRE) 6yo 9-1 (0 of 14) 14/1 | Sean Levey Emma Lavelle (GB) |
| 2021 4:39.40 | Calling The Wind (IRE) 5yo 8-13 (0 of 20) 8/1 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hughes (GB) |
| 2020 4:34.39 | Just Hubert (IRE) 4yo 8-8 (0 of 15) 25/1 | Tom Marquand William Muir (GB) |
| 2019 4:33.00 | Timoshenko (GB) 4yo 8-0 (0 of 19) 9/1 | Luke Morris Sir Mark Prescott Bt (GB) |
| 2018 4:28.58 | Lil Rockerfeller (USA) 7yo 8-13 (0 of 14) 11/4F | Silvestre De Sousa Neil King (GB) |
| 2017 4:48.04 | Cool Sky (GB) 8yo 8-2 (18 of 15) 25/1 | Josephine Gordon Ian Williams (GB) |
| 2016 4:32.87 | Star Rider (GB) 4yo 8-13 (12 of 20) 11/1 | Jimmy Fortune Hughie Morrison (GB) |
| 2015 4:36.45 | Sands Of Fortune (IRE) 6yo 8-8 (20 of 19) 16/1 | William Twiston-Davies Nigel Twiston-Davies (GB) |
| 2014 4:25.85 | Teak (IRE) 7yo 8-6 (3 of 12) 33/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Ian Williams (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Goodwood Handicap have been based:
- GB: 20 winners with an additional 52 placings from 342 runners
- IRE: 0 winners with an additional 2 placings from 5 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Goodwood Handicap Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Goodwood Handicap over the last 20 renewals is Ian Williams who has won the race three times with those three winners coming from Baddam (2008), Teak (2014) and Cool Sky (2017). Other trainers who have recorded multiple wins in the Goodwood Handicap are Nicky Henderson (2 wins), Sir Mark Prescott Bt (2 wins) and Hughie Morrison (2 wins). Multiple trainers have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Goodwood Handicap, Amanda Perrett (0-11), Gary Moore (0-11) and Andrew Balding (0-10) have all failed to produce a single winner despite sending multiple runners to the race.
Here are some of the top Goodwood Handicap trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Williams | 21-3-4 | +52.00 | +29.39 |
| Nicky Henderson | 10-2-5 | +3.00 | +4.88 |
| Sir Mark Prescott Bt | 9-2-3 | +7.00 | +2.89 |
| Hughie Morrison | 8-2-3 | +21.00 | +12.19 |
| Richard Fahey | 7-1-1 | -0.50 | -2.56 |
| Nigel Twiston-Davies | 4-1-2 | +13.00 | +8.63 |
| Richard Hughes | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.00 |
| Micky Hammond | 3-1-1 | +18.00 | +10.50 |
| Neil King | 3-1-1 | +0.75 | -0.28 |
| Emma Lavelle | 2-1-2 | +13.00 | +9.31 |
Goodwood Handicap Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Goodwood Handicap over the last 20 renewals with Luke Morris, Joe Fanning and Silvestre De Sousa having all won the race two times. Luke Morris winners have been with Timoshenko (2019) and Temporize (2023). Joe Fanning's winners have been with Hurricane Higgins (2012) and Broxbourne (2013). Silvestre De Sousa winners have been with Teak (2014) and Lil Rockerfeller (2018). Two jockeys have not had the best of times over the last 20 renewals in the Goodwood Handicap, Jim Crowley has ridden 12 runners to the race without recording any wins whilst Ryan Moore has ridden 10 without a winner.
Here are some of the top Goodwood Handicap jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Morris | 14-2-4 | +3.00 | +2.14 |
| Joe Fanning | 11-2-4 | +12.00 | +6.75 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 10-2-5 | +27.75 | +19.41 |
| Tom Marquand | 4-1-1 | +22.00 | +12.63 |
| Josephine Gordon | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.63 |
| Pat Dobbs | 3-1-1 | +6.00 | +3.00 |
| Liam Jones | 2-1-1 | +7.00 | +4.00 |
| Sean Levey | 1-1-1 | +14.00 | +8.75 |
| Jim Crowley | 12-0-3 | -12.00 | -6.62 |
| Ryan Moore | 10-0-2 | -10.00 | -6.25 |
2024 Goodwood Handicap Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 13, 1, (1, 6), 4, 15, 3, 1, (7, 18), 5, 2, 7, 3, 14, 10, 1, 6, 6, (3, 5, 10), 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Ran in 1 - 23 races (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Within the first 14 of the market
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Fewer than 11 placings (Hcps)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Not in a G1/G3/LST/Cl5-6 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 33/1
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Not fallen (Career)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Held an OR of 73+ (Last 5)
- 20 / 20 (89%) - Fewer than 4 placings (Class)
- 19 / 20 (84%) - No older than a 7yo
- 19 / 20 (88%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Carried no more than 133lbs
- 18 / 20 (73%) - Achieved a TS of 37+ (LTO)
- 18 / 20 (83%) - No more than +3yrs (Vs Min Age)
- 17 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 16/1 (LTO)
- 17 / 20 (78%) - Placed within last 3 starts
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Goodwood Handicap. if you are unaware of what trends and statistics are, how they can be used etc then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read this Stats And Trends article which will make everything much clearer.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Goodwood Handicap by adding a tip on the race here.
Goodwood Handicap Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +2.50 is when runners had 1 start in the past 30 days. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners last win was 2 starts ago, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-56.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [17 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 0 (0,0) [14 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [20 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 0 (0,0) [15 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 0 (0,0,0) [19 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Goodwood Handicap is Ascot, there has been a total number of 5 winners of this race who ran at Ascot last time out.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 17 winners from a total of 309 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 3 winners from a total of 39 runners.
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Goodwood Handicap despite multiple attempts:
- Galileo (0 Wins from 17 runners)
- Champs Elysees (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Hernando (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Singspiel (0 Wins from 6 runners)
- Daylami (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Teak in 2014, winning for Ian Williams at odds of 33/1 under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 5 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Goodwood Handicap remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Goodwood Handicap Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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