2022 Molecomb Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Molecomb Stakes Preview, Trends & Analysis

2022 Molecomb Stakes Preview

Open to two-year-old runners, the Morecomb Stakes is a Group 3 race that is run over five furlongs, the race is more often than not all over with under a minute. It takes place at the Glorious Goodwood festival in late July or early August and features on the second day. A weight of nine stone and one pound is allocated to each runner, any fillies in the race get a 3lb allowance, any previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty whilst previous Group 3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.

To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood Betting Picks on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2017 renewal when Havana Grey from K R Burke who under the guidance of P J McDonald, won in a time of 1:00.89, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Yalta, trained by Mark Johnston and ridden by James Doyle set the quickest time of 57.14 in the 2016 renewal.

These are the top three quickest run Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2016 - Yalta (57.14)
  • 2014 - Cotai Glory (57.30)
  • 2011 - Requinto (57.51)

How competitive is the Molecomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Molecomb Stakes, the over-round has been 118% that means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Molecomb Stakes next time out then you would have back a total of 1 winner. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -17.00. Remember to bookmark the racing tips page so you can get easy access to the OLBG racing picks on a daily basis.

Molecomb Stakes Past Ten Winners

Here are the past 10 winners of the Molecomb Stakes. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall which the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Molecomb Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2021
59.26
Armor
2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 6/1
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon
2020
58.59
Steel Bull
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 2/1F
Colin Keane
M D O'Callaghan
2019
58.88
Liberty Beach
2yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 11/8F
Jason Hart
John Quinn
2018
58.22
Rumble Inthejungle
2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 5/1
Tom Queally
Richard Spencer
2017
1:00.89
Havana Grey
2yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 7/2
P J McDonald
K R Burke
2016
57.14
Yalta
2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 8/1
James Doyle
Mark Johnston
2015
58.55
Kachy
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 4/1
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe
2014
57.30
Cotai Glory
2yo 9-1 (2 of 8) 3/1
George Baker
Charles Hills
2013
59.30
Brown Sugar
2yo 9-0 (1 of 8) 8/1
Pat Dobbs
Richard Hannon Snr
2012
58.22
Bungle Inthejungle
2yo 9-0 (10 of 10) 14/1
Martin Harley
Mick Channon

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Molecomb Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 209 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 12 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Molecomb Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Mick Channon & William Haggas who have both won the race 2 times. Mick Channon winners have been with Tournedos (2004) & Bungle Inthejungle (2012). William Haggas winners have been with Majestic Missile (2003) & Enticing (2006). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Molecomb Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 13 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Mick Channon 9-2-5 +21.00 +14.30
William Haggas 4-2-3 +3.25 +2.35
Mark Johnston 9-1-2 +0.00 -2.40
Richard Hannon 7-1-3 +0.00 -1.21
Tom Dascombe 6-1-1 -1.00 -2.60
K R Burke 5-1-2 -0.50 +0.20
Charles Hills 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.20
Richard Spencer 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
John Quinn 2-1-1 +0.38 -0.17
Marcus Tregoning 1-1-1 +5.00 +3.00

Molecomb Stakes Jockey Statistics

Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Rides, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Ryan Moore 14-1-2 -7.00 -8.10
Pat Dobbs 5-1-1 +4.00 +0.80
Tom Queally 5-1-1 +1.00 -1.00
Richard Kingscote 5-1-1 +0.00 -1.60
Martin Harley 4-1-3 +11.00 +7.45
James Doyle 4-1-1 +5.00 +1.80
P J McDonald 3-1-2 +1.50 +0.76
Wayne Lordan 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.60
Colin Keane 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.20
Jason Hart 1-1-1 +1.38 +0.83

2022 Molecomb Stakes Trends

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): ,2,1,7,8,1,4,5,1,1,4,2,5,3,2,3,2,3,1,1,2

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (56%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (63%) - Within first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (69%) - No bigger than 9/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Carried 123-131lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Not a gelding
  • 20 / 20 (88%) - Debut was on turf
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Ran in at least a Cl4 (LTO)
  • 19 / 20 (84%) - Beaten no more than 7l (Debut)
  • 19 / 20 (88%) - 1-5 Career starts
  • 18 / 20 (82%) - Placed in at least a Cl4

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Molecomb Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there is plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not! With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then why share your thoughts on the Molecomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which has produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +8.25 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-60.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2021: Winner in 11 (4,10) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (3,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (6,11) [13 Runners]
  • 2018: Winner in 6 (7,5) [11 Runners]
  • 2017: Winner in 10 (1,12) [10 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Molecomb Stakes are Sandown and Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 159 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 67 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, These are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Molecomb Stakes:

  • Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • Royal Applause (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Molecomb Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Showcasing (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 6 runners)
  • Kheleyf (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest priced winner was Tournedos in 2004 when winning for Mick Channon at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Ted Durcan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2022 Molecomb Stakes see which other runners today are being back by the best racing tipsters today.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 26th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 27th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 28th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 29th July 2022

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 30th July 2022

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