You know how punters get lost in too much data or bet blindly? I break down the stats and trends so you can feel confident youâre betting with more than just gut instinct.
2026 Molecomb Stakes Preview
Open to two-year-old runners, the Morecomb Stakes is a Group 3 race that is run over five furlongs; the race is more often than not all over in under a minute. It takes place at the Glorious Goodwood Festival in late July or early August and features on the second day.
A weight of nine stone and one pound is allocated to each runner. Any fillies in the race get a 3lb allowance, any previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty, whilst previous Group 3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.
Molecomb Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Molecomb Stakes, but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season, so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information. Head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
Best Horse Racing Betting Sites 2025
How competitive is the Molecomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Molecomb Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Below you will find the 2026 Molecomb Stakes Trends. See which patterns have occurred over the recent renewals that you may be able to use for the next renewal. We also have a section that looks at the Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis.
These are the top three quickest-run Molecomb Stakes races over the last 20 renewals:
- Big Mojo (56.13) in 2024
- Trillium (56.68) in 2022
- Yalta (57.14) in 2016
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? Over the past 20 renewals, if you had followed the winner of the Molecomb Stakes next time out, then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since their win at SP next time out would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Whilst we wait for the 2026 Molecomb Stakes, remember you can get daily racing predictions from the expert tipsters on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 56.13 was set by Big Mojo in 2024, which is the quickest time over that period. The runner was trained by Michael Appleby and ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Big Evs won in a time of 1:01.27, booked to ride was Jason Hart by trainer Michael Appleby.
What the expert says...
Andy Powell - Horse Racing Betting Expert - OLBG.com
Molecomb Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Molecomb Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won, along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Molecomb Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 57.16 | Lady Iman (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (2 of 8) 11/8F | Ryan Moore G M Lyons (IRE) |
| 2024 56.13 | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (7 of 15) 25/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Michael Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:01.27 | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (8 of 8) 9/4F | Jason Hart Michael Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 56.68 | Trillium (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/1 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2021 59.26 | Armor (GB) 2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 6/1 | Ryan Moore Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 58.59 | Steel Bull (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 2/1F | Colin Keane M D O'Callaghan (IRE) |
| 2019 58.88 | Liberty Beach (GB) 2yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 11/8F | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2018 58.22 | Rumble Inthejungle (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 5/1 | Tom Queally Richard Spencer (GB) |
| 2017 1:00.89 | Havana Grey (GB) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 7/2 | P J McDonald K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 57.14 | Yalta (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 8/1 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Molecomb Stakes have been based:
- GB: 17 winners with an additional 39 placings from 198 runners
- IRE: 3 winners with an additional 1 placing from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 3 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
2025 Molecomb Stakes Replay
Molecomb Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with both Richard Hannon and Michael Appleby, who have both won the race two times. Richard Hannon winners have been with Armor (2021) and Trillium (2022). Michael Appleby winners have been with Big Evs (2023) and Big Mojo (2024). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Molecomb Stakes; Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 17 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 9-2-4 | +6.00 | +1.99 |
| Michael Appleby | 3-2-3 | +26.25 | +16.95 |
| K R Burke | 7-1-3 | -2.50 | -1.08 |
| Tom Dascombe | 6-1-1 | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| Richard Spencer | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.00 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| Charles Hills | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.20 |
| M D O'Callaghan | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| John Quinn | 1-1-1 | +1.38 | +0.83 |
Molecomb Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are multiple leading jockeys in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals, with Ryan Moore, Pat Dobbs, and Jason Hart having all won the race two times. Ryan Moore winners have been with Armor (2021) and Lady Iman (2025). Pat Dobbs winners have been with Brown Sugar (2013) and Trillium (2022). Jason Hart winners have been with Liberty Beach (2019) and Big Evs (2023).
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Moore | 16-2-4 | -6.62 | -7.55 |
| Pat Dobbs | 6-2-2 | +11.00 | +5.00 |
| Jason Hart | 3-2-2 | +2.63 | +1.18 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.50 |
| Richard Kingscote | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Martin Harley | 4-1-3 | +11.00 | +7.45 |
| Tom Queally | 4-1-1 | +2.00 | +0.00 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.00 |
| P J McDonald | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.76 |
| Wayne Lordan | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
2026 Molecomb Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 1, 4, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, (1, 3), 2, 1
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones, as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (77%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - Ran in 1 - 4 races (90 Days)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl3 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Sex is not Gelding
- 20 / 20 (88%) - Highest Placed is not G3/Cl3/Cl6
- 19 / 20 (81%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (87%) - Break of 7 - 95 days (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (89%) - Not in a Handicap (Last Win)
Remember to use the trends listed above, along with the Goodwood racing predictions, to see if you can find the winner of the Molecomb Stakes. Did you know that we have an OLBG Betting School section on OLBG? It is a place to help you improve your betting experience with articles covering numerous topics.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, it is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Molecomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
101 Ways to find Winners in Horse Racing
Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis
❌ The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts over the trip, when backing these, the trend shows a record of 0-61.
Here are the most recent winning draws, along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2025: Winner in 2 (1,6) [8 Runners]
- 2024: Winner in 7 (10,3) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 8 (4,3) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (8,3) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (4,10) [11 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Molecomb Stakes is Sandown; there have been a total of 4 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out. The next best courses, which have produced the second most winners, are Ascot and Newbury; there have been a total of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes, with the Male runners having produced a total of 15 winners from a total of 163 runners, whilst the Female runners have produced 5 winners from a total of 52 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Molecomb Stakes:
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- No Nay Never (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Molecomb Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Mehmas (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Showcasing (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dandy Man (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Mojo in 2024, winning for Michael Appleby at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals, there have been 7 winning favourites in the race. Before placing your bet on the 2026 Molecomb Stakes, head over to see which other runners today are being backed by the best racing tipsters.
Route to the Molecomb Stakes
Many trainers will target races to use as prep races before coming to the Molecomb Stakes. These are the races which the recent winners ran in before coming here:
| Info | Last Race |
|---|---|
| 2025 - Lady Iman Curragh - 2nd of 6 (8/15) | Airlie Stud Stakes |
| 2024 - Big Mojo Beverley - 2nd of 13 (4/1) | Topmark Solutions National EV Bay-Marking Specialist EBF Maiden Stakes |
| 2023 - Big Evs Ascot - 1st of 23 (20/1) | Windsor Castle Stakes |
| 2022 - Trillium Newbury - 1st of 11 (13/8) | bet365 British EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes |
| 2021 - Armor Ascot - 5th of 27 (9/1) | Windsor Castle Stakes |
| 2020 - Steel Bull Naas - 1st of 10 (2/1) | Foran Equine Irish EBF Auction Maiden |
| 2019 - Liberty Beach Sandown - 1st of 10 (9/4) | Chasemore Farm Dragon Stakes |
| 2018 - Rumble Inthejungle Ascot - 4th of 10 (9/1) | Norfolk Stakes |
| 2017 - Havana Grey Sandown - 1st of 8 (3/1) | Allied World Dragon Stakes |
| 2016 - Yalta Newmarket (July) - 8th of 9 (7/1) | July Stakes |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Molecomb Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Expert Guide
Andy Powell
Expert Guide
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog, and details of last year's winner are in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Westridge (FR) 4yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Billy Loughnane |
| 13:55 Vintage Stakes | Zavateri (IRE) 2yo - 8/1 | Eve Johnson Houghton Charles Bishop |
| 14:30 Lennox Stakes | Witness Stand (GB) 4yo - 25/1 | Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole Hollie Doyle |
| 15:05 Goodwood Cup | Scandinavia (USA) 3yo - 4/1 | A P O'Brien Wayne Lordan |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day; this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:55 Oak Tree Stakes | Saqqara Sands (GB) / Tabiti (GB) 3yo - 16/1 / 3yo - 9/2 | Ralph Beckett / Ralph Beckett Rossa Ryan / Ryan Moore |
| 14:30 Molecomb Stakes | Lady Iman (IRE) 2yo - 11/8 | G M Lyons Ryan Moore |
| 15:05 Sussex Stakes | Qirat (GB) 4yo - 150/1 | Ralph Beckett Richard Kingscote |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Kincsem Handicap | Best Secret (FR) 3yo - 7/2 | S Wattel James Doyle |
| 13:55 Richmond Stakes | Coppull (GB) 2yo - 5/1 | Clive Cox David Probert |
| 14:30 Gordon Stakes | Merchant (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:05 Nassau Stakes | Whirl (IRE) 3yo - 6/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps, with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile, which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Goodwood Handicap | Kyle Of Lochalsh (GB) 5yo - 5/1 | Hughie Morrison Oisin Murphy |
| 13:55 Thoroughbred Stakes | Seagulls Eleven (IRE) 3yo - 11/4 | Hugo Palmer Oisin Murphy |
| 14:30 Golden Mile Handicap | Rhoscolyn (GB) 7yo - 11/2 | David O'Meara Daniel Tudhope |
| 15:05 King George Stakes | Jm Jungle (IRE) 5yo - 14/1 | John & Sean Quinn Jason Hart |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:20 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 8yo - 13/8 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 13:55 Summer Handicap | Sam Hawkens (IRE) 4yo - 4/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:30 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Waardah (IRE) 3yo - 7/2 | Owen Burrows Callum Rodriguez |
| 15:05 Stewards Cup | Two Tribes (GB) 4yo - 11/2 | Richard Spencer David Egan |
