Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2025 Molecomb Stakes Preview
Open to two-year-old runners, the Morecomb Stakes is a Group 3 race that is run over five furlongs, the race is more often than not all over in under a minute. It takes place at the Glorious Goodwood Festival in late July or early August and features on the second day.
A weight of nine stone and one pound is allocated to each runner, any fillies in the race get a 3lb allowance, any previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty whilst previous Group 3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.
Molecomb Stakes Information:
Our dedicated Goodwood tips page will not only bring you predictions from the OLBG racing tipsters for the upcoming card that includes the Molecomb Stakes but will also have predictions for each meeting at Goodwood throughout the season so be sure to head over there. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Molecomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Molecomb Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Molecomb Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Molecomb Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Remember to use the racing predictions along with the information on this page to find a bet on the 2025 Molecomb Stakes.
The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Big Evs from Michael Appleby under the guidance of Jason Hart, won in a time of 1:01.27, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Big Mojo, trained by Michael Appleby and ridden by Silvestre De Sousa set the quickest time of 56.13 in the 2024 renewal.
These are the top three quickest-run Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Big Mojo (56.13) in 2024
- Trillium (56.68) in 2022
- Yalta (57.14) in 2016
Molecomb Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Molecomb Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer and the jockey at the time of winning the Molecomb Stakes are also displayed, along with the starting price at which the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 56.13 | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (7 of 15) 25/1 | Silvestre De Sousa Michael Appleby (GB) |
| 2023 1:01.27 | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (8 of 8) 9/4F | Jason Hart Michael Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 56.68 | Trillium (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/1 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2021 59.26 | Armor (GB) 2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 6/1 | Ryan Moore Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 58.59 | Steel Bull (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 2/1F | Colin Keane M D O'Callaghan (IRE) |
| 2019 58.88 | Liberty Beach (GB) 2yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 11/8F | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2018 58.22 | Rumble Inthejungle (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 5/1 | Tom Queally Richard Spencer (GB) |
| 2017 1:00.89 | Havana Grey (GB) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 7/2 | P J McDonald K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 57.14 | Yalta (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 8/1 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2015 58.55 | Kachy (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 4/1 | Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Molecomb Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 203 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 14 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Molecomb Stakes Trainer Statistics
There are two leading trainers in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Hannon and Michael Appleby who have both won the race two times. Richard Hannon's winners have been with Armor (2021) and Trillium (2022). Michael Appleby winners have been with Big Evs (2023) and Big Mojo (2024). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Molecomb Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 15 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 9-2-4 | +6.00 | +1.99 |
| Michael Appleby | 3-2-3 | +26.25 | +16.95 |
| K R Burke | 7-1-3 | -2.50 | -1.08 |
| Tom Dascombe | 6-1-1 | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| Richard Spencer | 3-1-1 | +3.00 | +1.00 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| Charles Hills | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.20 |
| M D O'Callaghan | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| John Quinn | 1-1-1 | +1.38 | +0.83 |
Molecomb Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Pat Dobbs and Jason Hart who have both won the race two times. Pat Dobbs winners have been with Brown Sugar (2013) and Trillium (2022). Jason Hart's winners have been with Liberty Beach (2019) and Big Evs (2023).
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Dobbs | 6-2-2 | +11.00 | +5.00 |
| Jason Hart | 3-2-2 | +2.63 | +1.18 |
| Ryan Moore | 16-1-3 | -9.00 | -9.38 |
| James Doyle | 5-1-2 | +4.00 | +1.50 |
| Tom Queally | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Martin Harley | 4-1-3 | +11.00 | +7.45 |
| Silvestre De Sousa | 3-1-1 | +23.00 | +13.00 |
| P J McDonald | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.76 |
| Wayne Lordan | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
2025 Molecomb Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 8, 1, 4, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, (1, 3), 2
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (75%) - No bigger than 25/1
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Carried 123 - 133lbs (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved an RPR of 77+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (86%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Within the first 10 of the market
- 19 / 20 (72%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl3/Cl6
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 19 / 20 (82%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Career)
- 19 / 20 (86%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 18 / 20 (86%) - Placed within last 2 starts
- 17 / 20 (66%) - No bigger than 10/1 (Career Place)
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Molecomb Stakes. If you are looking to place a bet on this race well in advance of the actual running, then there may be an ante-post market available for you to place your bet. If you are unfamiliar with this type of betting then head over to the OLBG Betting School and read our Ante-Post Horse Racing article which explains how ante-post betting works.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Molecomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis
The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 1 career start over further, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2024: Winner in 7 (10,3) [15 Runners]
- 2023: Winner in 8 (4,3) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (8,3) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (4,10) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (3,9) [10 Runners]
The course which has produced the most winners of the Molecomb Stakes is Sandown, there has been a total number of 4 winners of this race who ran at Sandown last time out. The next best courses which have produced the second most winners are Ascot and Newbury, there has been a total number of 3 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 165 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 57 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Molecomb Stakes:
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- No Nay Never (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Molecomb Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 9 runners)
- Showcasing (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Mehmas (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Dandy Man (0 Wins from 6 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Big Mojo in 2024, winning for Michael Appleby at odds of 25/1 under the guidance of Silvestre De Sousa. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2025 Molecomb Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Molecomb Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
James Banting
Tipster Competition Assistant
Andy Powell
Content Editor
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Tuesday at Glorious Goodwood
Part of the British Champion Series, the Goodwood Cup is the highlight on the opening day, a marathon over two miles where stamina is key.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Take Heart (IRE) 4yo - 7/1 | J P Murtagh Ben Coen |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Aomori City (FR) 2yo - 2/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Audience (GB) 5yo - 4/1 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Kyprios (IRE) 6yo - 8/13 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Wednesday at Glorious Goodwood
Run over a mile, the Sussex Stakes is the main race on the second day, this Group 1 is also part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Raqiya (IRE) 3yo - 7/1 | Owen Burrows Jim Crowley |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Mojo (IRE) 2yo - 25/1 | Michael Appleby Silvestre De Sousa |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Notable Speech (GB) 3yo - 3/1 | Charlie Appleby William Buick |
Thursday at Glorious Goodwood
The Group 1 Nassau Stakes is the highlight on Thursday, contested over 1m2f and restricted to only fillies and mares, the race is part of the British Champion Series.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Approval (GB) 3yo - 11/2 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Black Forza (USA) 2yo - 9/1 | M D O'Callaghan Dylan Browne McMonagle |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Jan Brueghel (IRE) 3yo - 4/5 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Opera Singer (USA) 3yo - 9/4 | A P O'Brien Ryan Moore |
Friday at Glorious Goodwood
Friday features a couple of decent handicaps with the Goodwood Handicap a stamina-testing race and the Golden Mile which is a heritage handicap. The highlight of the day is the King George Stakes, a sprint run over five furlongs.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Master Milliner (IRE) 8yo - 25/1 | Emma Lavelle Charles Bishop |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Lead Artist (GB) 3yo - 9/2 | John & Thady Gosden Kieran Shoemark |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Toimy Son (FR) 5yo - 12/1 | David Menuisier Oisin Murphy |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 3yo - 13/8 | Michael Appleby Tom Marquand |
Saturday at Glorious Goodwood
Saturday is the day of one of the biggest handicaps on the flat, the Stewards Cup, 20+ runners over six furlongs compete in this heritage handicap.
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Glorious Stakes | Al Aasy (IRE) 7yo - 3/1 | William Haggas Jim Crowley |
| 14:25 Summer Handicap | Align The Stars (IRE) 3yo - 100/30 | Charlie Johnston Joe Fanning |
| 15:00 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Term Of Endearment (GB) 5yo - 15/2 | Henry De Bromhead W J Lee |
| 15:35 Stewards Cup | Get It (GB) 6yo - 40/1 | George Baker Pat Cosgrave |
