Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.
2024 Molecomb Stakes Preview
Open to two-year-old runners, the Morecomb Stakes is a Group 3 race that is run over five furlongs, the race is more often than not all over in under a minute. It takes place at the Glorious Goodwood Festival in late July or early August and features on the second day.
A weight of nine stone and one pound is allocated to each runner, any fillies in the race get a 3lb allowance, any previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty whilst previous Group 3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.
Molecomb Stakes Information:
To see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are tipping throughout the card that includes this race, head over to the Goodwood tips on the day of the race, do they agree with the runners on the trend shortlist or are they predicting other runners? You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.
How competitive is the Molecomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Molecomb Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.
Molecomb Stakes Trends:
Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Molecomb Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 20 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -15.00. Before placing your bet on the 2024 Molecomb Stakes see which other runners today are being backed on the racing predictions page.
When looking over the past 20 renewals, a time of 56.68 was set by Trillium in 2022, which is the quickest time over that period, the runner was trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Pat Dobbs. The slowest winning time was set in 2023 when Big Evs won in a time of 1:01.27, booked to ride was Jason Hart by the trainer Michael Appleby.
These are the top three quickest-run Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals:
- Trillium (56.68) in 2022
- Yalta (57.14) in 2016
- Cotai Glory (57.30) in 2014
Molecomb Stakes Past Winners
Here are the Molecomb Stakes' past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and the total number of runners in the race. The horse's trainer at the time of winning the Molecomb Stakes and the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.
| Year | Horse (Drawn) | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 1:01.27 | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo 9-3 (8 of 8) 9/4F | Jason Hart Michael Appleby (GB) |
| 2022 56.68 | Trillium (GB) 2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/1 | Pat Dobbs Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2021 59.26 | Armor (GB) 2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 6/1 | Ryan Moore Richard Hannon (GB) |
| 2020 58.59 | Steel Bull (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 2/1F | Colin Keane M D O'Callaghan (IRE) |
| 2019 58.88 | Liberty Beach (GB) 2yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 11/8F | Jason Hart John Quinn (GB) |
| 2018 58.22 | Rumble Inthejungle (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 5/1 | Tom Queally Richard Spencer (GB) |
| 2017 1:00.89 | Havana Grey (GB) 2yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 7/2 | P J McDonald K R Burke (GB) |
| 2016 57.14 | Yalta (IRE) 2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 8/1 | James Doyle Mark Johnston (GB) |
| 2015 58.55 | Kachy (GB) 2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 4/1 | Richard Kingscote Tom Dascombe (GB) |
| 2014 57.30 | Cotai Glory (GB) 2yo 9-1 (2 of 8) 3/1 | George Baker Charles Hills (GB) |
Where have the winning runners come from?
Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Molecomb Stakes have been based:
- GB: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 202 runners
- IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
- FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
- USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner
Molecomb Stakes Trainer Statistics
The leading trainer in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals is Richard Hannon who has won the race two times with those two winners coming from Armor (2021) and Trillium (2022). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Molecomb Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Trainer | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hannon | 9-2-4 | +6.00 | +1.99 |
| K R Burke | 7-1-3 | -2.50 | -1.08 |
| Tom Dascombe | 6-1-1 | -1.00 | -2.60 |
| William Haggas | 3-1-2 | +1.00 | +1.00 |
| Charles Hills | 3-1-1 | +1.00 | -0.20 |
| Richard Spencer | 2-1-1 | +4.00 | +2.00 |
| M D O'Callaghan | 2-1-1 | +1.00 | +0.20 |
| John Quinn | 2-1-1 | +0.38 | -0.17 |
| Marcus Tregoning | 1-1-1 | +5.00 | +3.00 |
| Michael Appleby | 1-1-1 | +2.25 | +1.35 |
Molecomb Stakes Jockey Statistics
There are two leading jockeys in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Pat Dobbs and Jason Hart who have both won the race two times. Pat Dobbs winners have been with Brown Sugar (2013) and Trillium (2022). Jason Hart's winners have been with Liberty Beach (2019) and Big Evs (2023).
Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):
| Jockey | R-W-P | Win | EW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Dobbs | 6-2-2 | +11.00 | +5.00 |
| Jason Hart | 2-2-2 | +3.63 | +2.18 |
| Ryan Moore | 16-1-3 | -9.00 | -9.38 |
| Tom Queally | 5-1-1 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Richard Kingscote | 5-1-1 | +0.00 | -1.60 |
| Martin Harley | 4-1-3 | +11.00 | +7.45 |
| James Doyle | 4-1-1 | +5.00 | +1.80 |
| P J McDonald | 3-1-2 | +1.50 | +0.76 |
| Wayne Lordan | 2-1-1 | +5.00 | +2.60 |
| Colin Keane | 1-1-1 | +2.00 | +1.20 |
2024 Molecomb Stakes Trends
Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 8, 1, 4, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, (1, 3)
The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.
- 20 / 20 (57%) - No bigger than 14/1
- 20 / 20 (64%) - Within the first 7 of the market
- 20 / 20 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 83+ (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (73%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (75%) - Not on HY/GS/FM/STD-SLW/STD/FS (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Career)
- 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl3/Cl6
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Won by at least a neck (Last Win)
- 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl3 (Debut)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
- 20 / 20 (87%) - Sex is not Gelding
Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Molecomb Stakes. If you are a newcomer to horse racing betting, then the number of types of bets can be scary! Don't let that put you off though, head over to this Types Of Horse Racing Bet article and have a read, you will then have a better knowledge of betting on racing in the future and there are plenty of other articles in the OLBG Betting School too.
Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Molecomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.
Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis
The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.25 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor that has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.
Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:
- 2023: Winner in 8 (4,3) [8 Runners]
- 2022: Winner in 6 (8,3) [8 Runners]
- 2021: Winner in 11 (4,10) [11 Runners]
- 2020: Winner in 7 (3,9) [10 Runners]
- 2019: Winner in 12 (6,11) [13 Runners]
The courses that have produced the most winners of the Molecomb Stakes are Sandown and Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.
The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 161 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 59 runners.
Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Molecomb Stakes:
- Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
- Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
- No Nay Never (2 Wins)
These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Molecomb Stakes despite multiple attempts:
- Kodiac (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Showcasing (0 Wins from 8 runners)
- Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
- Compton Place (0 Wins from 5 runners)
- Dandy Man (0 Wins from 5 runners)
Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Tournedos in 2004, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Ted Durcan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there have been 6 winning favourites in the race. Ahead of the 2024 Molecomb Stakes why not head over to the best racing tipster page to see what the tipsters are backing today?
Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood
Here is the schedule for the five-day Glorious Goodwood festival for races which we cover with blogs, each race will be linked to the race blog and detail last year's winner in the table below.
Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Chesterfield Cup Handicap | Ancient Rome (USA) 4yo - 33/1 | Charles Hills Jamie Spencer |
| 14:25 Vintage Stakes | Haatem (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Richard Hannon Sean Levey |
| 15:00 Lennox Stakes | Kinross (GB) 6yo - 10/11 | Ralph Beckett Frankie Dettori |
| 15:35 Goodwood Cup | Quickthorn (GB) 6yo - 16/1 | Hughie Morrison Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 14:25 Oak Tree Stakes | Magical Sunset (IRE) 3yo - 18/1 | Richard Hannon Kevin Stott |
| 15:00 Molecomb Stakes | Big Evs (IRE) 2yo - 9/4 | Michael Appleby Jason Hart |
| 15:35 Sussex Stakes | Paddington (GB) 3yo - 4/9 | A P OBrien Ryan Moore |
Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Kincsem Handicap | Royal Rhyme (IRE) 3yo - 9/1 | K R Burke Clifford Lee |
| 14:25 Richmond Stakes | Vandeek (GB) 2yo - 11/8 | Simon & Ed Crisford Andrea Atzeni |
| 15:00 Gordon Stakes | Desert Hero (GB) 3yo - 7/1 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
| 15:35 Nassau Stakes | Al Husn (IRE) 4yo - 9/1 | Roger Varian Jim Crowley |
Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:50 Goodwood Handicap | Temporize (GB) 4yo - 6/1 | Syd Hosie Luke Morris |
| 14:25 Thoroughbred Stakes | Epictetus (IRE) 3yo - 6/1 | John & Thady Gosden Frankie Dettori |
| 15:00 Golden Mile Handicap | Johan (GB) 6yo - 25/1 | Jack Channon James Doyle |
| 15:35 King George Stakes | Highfield Princess (FR) 6yo - 4/9 | John Quinn Jason Hart |
| 16:10 Glorious Stakes | Hamish (GB) 7yo - 5/6 | William Haggas Tom Marquand |
Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024
| Race | Last Winner | Info |
|---|---|---|
| 13:40 Stewards Sprint Handicap | Monsieur Kodi (IRE) 4yo - 9/2 | Richard Fahey Oisin Orr |
| 14:10 Summer Handicap | Sweet William (IRE) 4yo - 9/4 | John & Thady Gosden Robert Havlin |
| 14:45 Lillie Langtry Stakes | Sumo Sam (GB) 3yo - 25/1 | Paul & Oliver Cole Tom Marquand |
| 15:20 Stewards Cup | Aberama Gold (GB) 6yo - 18/1 | David OMeara Andrea Atzeni |
Article Contributor Information
We are blessed with an excellent team of specialists and experts at OLBG. Contributing to creating and maintaining this Molecomb Stakes Preview are at hand, Andy and James. They both work on the Horse racing tips team team looking after the tipsters and managing the tips settlement, whilst also creating and managing all of the horse racing event previews for Flat Racing.
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