Molecomb Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)

Updated: 1088 Horse Racing

If you are a fan of horse racing trends then this preview of the Molecomb Stakes will be perfect for you! Not only do we look at the trends but we look at past winners as well as trainer and jockey records for the Molecomb Stakes, a race run over 5f at Goodwood during the Glorious Goodwood.

Molecomb Stakes Preview, Tips, Runners & Trends (Glorious Goodwood)
Andy Powell Content Editor

Horse Racing stats man, Andy has contributed to OLBG for 18 years - An Ipswich fan and F1 fanatic, he also contributes EFL football and Motor Sport opinion.

2024 Molecomb Stakes Preview

Open to two-year-old runners, the Morecomb Stakes is a Group 3 race that is run over five furlongs, the race is more often than not all over in under a minute. It takes place at the Glorious Goodwood Festival in late July or early August and features on the second day.

A weight of nine stone and one pound is allocated to each runner, any fillies in the race get a 3lb allowance, any previous Group 1 or 2 winners have to carry a 5lb penalty whilst previous Group 3 winners carry a 3lb penalty.

Molecomb Stakes Information:

We also have a dedicated Goodwood tips page that will cover this race as well as all of the other races on the day of the race, see which runners the OLBG racing tipsters are predicting to win this race and the others on the cards. You may also be interested in other preview blogs that we have packed full of information, head down to the Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood section for links to these.

How competitive is the Molecomb Stakes market? When looking at the over-rounds for the last 20 renewals, the most competitive market was in 2013 when the race had an over-round of 113%. The race in 2007 was a race that was most in the bookie's favour with an over-round of 126%, whilst on average over the last 20 renewals of the Molecomb Stakes, the over-round has been 118%, which means the bookie expects to pay out £100 for every £118 which is bet.

Molecomb Stakes Trends:

Looking at the future form, is the winner worth following next time out? From the past 20 if you had followed the winner of the Molecomb Stakes next time out then you would have backed a total of 2 winners. Backing all 19 runners who have been out since to win at SP next time out, would have returned an LSP of -14.00. Ahead of the 2024 Molecomb Stakes why not head over to the racing predictions for tips on other races today?

The runner that holds the record over the past 20 renewals for the slowest time in the race was set in the 2023 renewal when Big Evs from Michael Appleby under the guidance of Jason Hart, won in a time of 1:01.27, whilst at the other end of the spectrum, Trillium, trained by Richard Hannon and ridden by Pat Dobbs set the quickest time of 56.68 in the 2022 renewal.

These are the top three quickest-run Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals:

  • 2022 - Trillium (56.68)
  • 2016 - Yalta (57.14)
  • 2014 - Cotai Glory (57.30)

Molecomb Stakes Past Winners

Here are the Molecomb Stakes past winners for the last 10 renewals. Each row details the year of the race, the horse which won along with the age & weight of the horse. Also detailed is the stall where the horse came from and also the total number of runners in the race. The trainer of the horse at the time of winning the Molecomb Stakes as well as the jockey is also displayed along with the starting price the horse was sent off.

Year Horse (Drawn) Info
2023
1:01.27
Big Evs (IRE)
2yo 9-3 (8 of 8) 9/4F
Jason Hart
Michael Appleby (GB)
2022
56.68
Trillium (GB)
2yo 9-0 (6 of 8) 7/1
Pat Dobbs
Richard Hannon (GB)
2021
59.26
Armor (GB)
2yo 9-1 (11 of 11) 6/1
Ryan Moore
Richard Hannon (GB)
2020
58.59
Steel Bull (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 2/1F
Colin Keane
M D O'Callaghan (IRE)
2019
58.88
Liberty Beach (GB)
2yo 8-12 (12 of 13) 11/8F
Jason Hart
John Quinn (GB)
2018
58.22
Rumble Inthejungle (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (6 of 11) 5/1
Tom Queally
Richard Spencer (GB)
2017
1:00.89
Havana Grey (GB)
2yo 9-1 (10 of 10) 7/2
P J McDonald
K R Burke (GB)
2016
57.14
Yalta (IRE)
2yo 9-1 (3 of 9) 8/1
James Doyle
Mark Johnston (GB)
2015
58.55
Kachy (GB)
2yo 9-1 (7 of 10) 4/1
Richard Kingscote
Tom Dascombe (GB)
2014
57.30
Cotai Glory (GB)
2yo 9-1 (2 of 8) 3/1
George Baker
Charles Hills (GB)

Where have the winning runners come from?

Here are the countries where the winning trainers of the Molecomb Stakes have been based:

  • GB: 18 winners with an additional 37 placings from 202 runners
  • IRE: 2 winners with an additional 2 placings from 13 runners
  • FR: 0 winners with an additional 1 placing from 4 runners
  • USA: 0 winners with an additional 0 placings from 1 runner

Molecomb Stakes Trainer Statistics

There are two leading trainers in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Richard Hannon and Mick Channon who have both won the race two times. Richard Hannon's winners have been Armor (2021) and Trillium (2022). Mick Channon winners have been with Tournedos (2004) and Bungle Inthejungle (2012). There is one trainer who has not had the best of times in the Molecomb Stakes, Kevin Ryan has sent a total of 14 runners to the race without recording any wins.

Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes trainer statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Trainer R-W-P Win EW
Richard Hannon 9-2-4 +6.00 +1.99
Mick Channon 7-2-4 +23.00 +14.40
Mark Johnston 8-1-2 +1.00 -1.40
K R Burke 7-1-3 -2.50 -1.08
Tom Dascombe 6-1-1 -1.00 -2.60
William Haggas 3-1-2 +1.00 +1.00
Charles Hills 3-1-1 +1.00 -0.20
Richard Spencer 2-1-1 +4.00 +2.00
M D O'Callaghan 2-1-1 +1.00 +0.20
John Quinn 2-1-1 +0.38 -0.17

Molecomb Stakes Jockey Statistics

There are two leading jockeys in the Molecomb Stakes over the last 20 renewals with both Pat Dobbs and Jason Hart who have both won the race two times. Pat Dobbs's winners have been Brown Sugar (2013) and Trillium (2022). Jason Hart's winners have been with Liberty Beach (2019) and Big Evs (2023).

Here are some of the top Molecomb Stakes jockey statistics over the last 20 renewals (R = Runners, W = Winners, P = Places including winners, Win LSP is based on 1pt Win and EW LSP is based on 0.5pt Win & 0.5pt Place):

Jockey R-W-P Win EW
Pat Dobbs 6-2-2 +11.00 +5.00
Jason Hart 2-2-2 +3.63 +2.18
Ryan Moore 16-1-3 -9.00 -9.38
Tom Queally 5-1-1 +1.00 -1.00
Richard Kingscote 5-1-1 +0.00 -1.60
Martin Harley 4-1-3 +11.00 +7.45
James Doyle 4-1-1 +5.00 +1.80
P J McDonald 3-1-2 +1.50 +0.76
Wayne Lordan 2-1-1 +5.00 +2.60
Colin Keane 1-1-1 +2.00 +1.20

Favourites finishing positions (oldest to latest): 7, 8, 1, 4, 5, 1, 1, 4, 2, 5, 3, 2, 3, 2, 3, 1, 1, 2, 2, (1, 3)

The percentage shown is the percentage of the total number of runners who fell under that factor. High percentages are less appealing than lower ones as you would expect them to do well.

  • 20 / 20 (57%) - No bigger than 14/1
  • 20 / 20 (64%) - Within the first 7 of market
  • 20 / 20 (69%) - Achieved an RPR of 83+ (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (72%) - A RPR no less than 60 (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (73%) - Carried 123 - 131lbs (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (79%) - Carried 122 - 131lbs (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (80%) - Highest Won is not G3/Cl3/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (81%) - Achieved an RPR of 84+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Not in FRA/SCO/WAL (Last Win)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 50+ (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (83%) - Achieved a TS of 70+ (Career)
  • 20 / 20 (84%) - Highest Placed is not G2/Cl3/Cl6
  • 20 / 20 (85%) - Not in a G3/LST/Cl3 (Debut)
  • 20 / 20 (87%) - No bigger than 20/1 (LTO)
  • 20 / 20 (89%) - No bigger than 20/1 (Last Win)

Remember to use the trends listed above along with the Goodwood racing predictions to see if you can find the winner of the Molecomb Stakes. If there is anything that you do not understand in this blog, please do leave a comment or alternatively, head over to the Horse Racing Terms and Abbreviations article which is available in the OLBG Betting School section.

Are you already a member? If not, then why not? With over £6,000 given away each month in the tipster competition, why not get involved? Remember, It is completely FREE! So, head over to the registration page to sign up today! If you are already a member, then share your thoughts on the Molecomb Stakes by adding a tip on the race here.

Molecomb Stakes Trend Analysis

The trend factor which had produced 10+ winners and shows the best LSP, an LSP of +11.25 is when runners ran in a Class 4 on debut. The worst performing factor which has failed to produce a single winner is when runners had 3 career starts over the trip, when backing these the trend shows a record of 0-59.

Here are the most recent winning draws along with the further placings in brackets:

  • 2023: Winner in 8 (4,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2022: Winner in 6 (8,3) [8 Runners]
  • 2021: Winner in 11 (4,10) [11 Runners]
  • 2020: Winner in 7 (3,9) [10 Runners]
  • 2019: Winner in 12 (6,11) [13 Runners]

The courses which have produced the most winners of the Molecomb Stakes are Sandown and Newbury, there has been a total number of 4 winners from each of those courses.

The race is open to both sexes with the Male runners having produced a total of 16 winners from a total of 161 runners whilst the Female runners have produced 4 winners from a total of 59 runners.

Looking over the past renewals, these are the stallions whose offspring have produced multiple winners of the Molecomb Stakes:

  • Exceed And Excel (3 Wins)
  • Invincible Spirit (2 Wins)
  • No Nay Never (2 Wins)

These are the stallions whose offspring have not produced a winner of the Molecomb Stakes despite multiple attempts:

  • Kodiac (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Showcasing (0 Wins from 8 runners)
  • Acclamation (0 Wins from 7 runners)
  • Compton Place (0 Wins from 5 runners)
  • Dandy Man (0 Wins from 5 runners)

Looking at the winning odds over the last 20 renewals, the biggest-priced winner was Tournedos in 2004, winning for Mick Channon at odds of 14/1 under the guidance of Ted Durcan. Looking at the runners at the head of the market over the last 20 renewals there has been a total of 6 winning favourites in the race. Whilst we wait for the 2024 Molecomb Stakes remember you can get daily racing predictions from the top racing tipsters on the best racing tipsters page.

Races Covered at Glorious Goodwood

Glorious Goodwood races for Tuesday 30th July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Wednesday 31st July 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Thursday 1st August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Friday 2nd August 2024

Glorious Goodwood races for Saturday 3rd August 2024

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